Overall verdict
Buy
7.6/10
1-year performance
+85.39%
Score breakdown
Up 85.4% over 1 year, 77% of the 52-week range.
Strongest: Profitability 10.0/10. Weakest: Valuation 4.4/10.
42 analysts, target +0.3% vs the price.
ASML Holding N.V. provides lithography solutions for the development, production, marketing, sales, upgrading, and servicing of advanced semiconductor equipment systems. The company offers lithography, metrology, and inspection systems. It also provides extreme ultraviolet lithography systems; and deep ultraviolet lithography systems comprising immersion and dry lithography systems solutions to manufacture various range of semiconductor nodes and technologies.
In addition, the company offers metrology and inspection systems, including YieldStar optical metrology systems, a diffraction-based wafer metrology platform to assess the quality of patterns on the wafers; and HMI electron beam solutions to locate and analyze individual chip defects. Further, it provides computational lithography solutions, and lithography systems and control software solutions; and refurbishes and upgrades lithography systems, as well as offers customer support and related services.
Additionally, the company offers hardware, software, and services to chipmakers to produce the patterns of integrated circuits. It operates in Japan, South Korea, Singapore, Taiwan, China, rest of Asia, the Netherlands, rest of Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the United States. The company was formerly known as ASM Lithography Holding N.V. and changed its name to ASML Holding N.V. in 2001. ASML Holding N.V. was founded in 1984 and is headquartered in Veldhoven, the Netherlands.
Sector
Information Technology
Industry
Semiconductors and Semiconductor Equipment
Primary listing
Euronext
Netherlands
CEO
Mr. Christophe D. Fouquet
Founded
1984
Employees
44 209
Revenue / employee
759 924 EUR
Next earnings
October 14, 2026
Research uses the underlying stock’s market history. The purchase quote is calculated separately when you review your order.
52-week high
1741.00 EUR
52-week low
801.40 EUR
1-year performance
85.39%
Rising
Year-to-date performance
65.35%
Rising
Drawdown
-12.20%
Mild pullback
Position in the 52-week range
77% of range
Against the world ETF
Over 17 years, from September 2009 to August 2026, the share did not do better than the world ETF once risk is accounted for. It earned more, but shaking 2.4 times harder: for the risk taken, the ETF paid better.
10,000 € placed at the end of September 2009 are worth today
| ASML Holding N V | 654 404 € |
| World ETF | 74 620 € |
| STOXX Europe 600 | 39 543 € |
| Risk-free placement | 11 288 € |
The risk
- Shaking:the share moves 2.4 times as much as the world ETF.
- Worst fall:-48 % between November 2021 and October 2022. 10,000 € placed at the top fell to 5 207 €. The world ETF, at worst: -34 %. Back to its high in 15 months.
ASML Holding N V earned 9 times as much as the world ETF since 2009
Value of 10,000 euros placed at the end of September 2009, dividends reinvested, in euros
- ASML Holding N V: 654 404 €
- World ETF: 74 620 €
- STOXX Europe 600: 39 543 €
- Risk-free placement: 11 288 €
Based on past performance. This is not a recommendation.
Range: 634.74 EUR - 834.98 EUR (comparables only)
The price implies growth of 18.92% per year; the company grows at 23.85%.
Quality and profitability
10.0/10Gross margin 52.7%, net margin 30.1%, ROIC 47.1%, ROE 53.9%.
Net margin
30.11%
Exceptional
Sector 10.95%|S&P 12.97%
Gross margin
52.73%
Exceptional
Return on equity (ROE)
53.94%
Exceptional
Sector 9.32%|S&P 16.52%
Return on invested capital (ROIC)
47.15%
Exceptional
Free cash flow margin (FCF)
28.42%
Exceptional
Profit-to-cash conversion (FCF conversion)
0.94x
Exceptional
Margin stability
3.0 pts
Steady
Revenue to net income
Growth
6.1/10Revenue up 21.3% over 1 year, 18.5% a year over 5, EPS 23.9% a year over 5.
Revenue (trailing 12 months)
35.3Md EUR
Revenue growth (1y)
21.25%
Solid
Revenue growth (3y)
54.28%
Strong
EPS growth (1y)
28.55%
Moderate
EPS CAGR (5y)
23.85%
Exceptional
EPS revisions (3 months)
21.17%
Sharply revised up
Valuation
4.4/10P/E 55.5x, forward P/E 39.6x, EV/EBITDA 42.3x, PEG 2.33. The multiple sits in the 93th percentile of its own 5-year history.
P/E (TTM)
55.5x
Fair
Sector 53.3x|S&P 23.0x
Forward P/E
39.6x
Expensive
EV / EBITDA
42.3x
Fair
Sector 38.1x|S&P 14.5x
PEG
2.33
Very expensive
Sector 0.69|S&P 0.86
Fair value (reverse DCF)
734.86 EUR
Deeply overvalued
P/E vs its own 5-year history
among the 7% highest valuations
At its historical high
Market cap
579Md EUR
Financial strength
10.0/10Cash covers 382.1% of the debt, net debt/EBITDA -0.7x.
Net debt / EBITDA
-0.7x
Net cash
Gearing (net debt / equity)
-25.64%
Net cash
Cash
7.4Md EUR
Cash / market cap
1.27%
Stretched
Cash / total debt
382.06%
Net cash
Interest coverage
95.5x
Very solid
Net debt
-5.4Md EUR
Equity
21.2Md EUR
Closed daily candles, 2 years
Last close on September 24, 2026: 1,503.20 EUR
- MM201,461.07
- MM501,489.81
- MM2001,321.88
- RSI 1454.3
Top panel: closed candles, 20, 50 and 200-day moving averages, with volume in grey. Bottom panel: 14-day RSI with dashed 30 and 70 levels.
200-day average slope, 1 month
+4.62%
200-day average slope, 3 months
+17.87%
50-day average slope, 1 month
-3.67%
Price structure
Lower lows
Bullish RSI divergence
No
20-day volatility
2.11 % per day
Volatility change
-26.95%
Forecasts by fiscal year
| Fiscal year | EPS | Normalised EPS | Revenue | EBITDA | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 38.55 (27) | 38.33 (31) | 42 867 (40) | 18 875 (24) | 14 757 (29) |
| 2027 | 52.28 (29) | 51.72 (33) | 54 588 (39) | 24 996 (26) | 19 505 (32) |
Amounts in millions of EUR, EPS in EUR per share. In brackets, the number of analysts. Consensus as of September 18, 2026.
Same sub-industry: 224 companies behind the medians.
| # | Company | Code | Country | Overall / 10 | Fundamentals / 10 | Mkt cap | P/E | Net margin | Revenue growth | ROIC | Net debt / EBITDA | FCF yield | 1-year perf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6857 | 8.4 | 8.4 | 141Md USD | 52.4x | 37.3 % | 39.3 % | 53.1 % | -0.6x | 1.7 % | 125.9 % | ||
| 2 | 8035 | 8.3 | 8.0 | 152Md USD | 39.8x | 23.6 % | 33.3 % | 30.1 % | -0.7x | 1.6 % | 110.8 % | ||
| 3 | AMAT | 8.0 | 7.4 | 376Md USD | 40.9x | 30.1 % | 24.8 % | 32.6 % | -0.2x | 1.5 % | 138.2 % | ||
| 4 | 688012 | 7.7 | 6.9 | 49.8Md USD | 75.8x | 30.0 % | 35.5 % | 16.2 % | -5.0x | 0.9 % | 85.8 % | ||
| 5 | ASML | 7.6 | 7.5 | 659Md USD | 55.5x | 30.1 % | 21.3 % | 47.1 % | -0.7x | 1.7 % | 85.4 % | ||
| 6 | 002371 | 7.4 | 6.2 | 71.8Md USD | 83.3x | 13.1 % | 24.0 % | 11.5 % | 0.3x | 1.3 % | 54.8 % | ||
| 7 | LRCX | 7.3 | 7.1 | 385Md USD | 53.3x | 31.3 % | 30.0 % | 48.0 % | -0.2x | 1.3 % | 136.3 % | ||
| 8 | KLAC | 7.1 | 6.5 | 245Md USD | 51.2x | 35.6 % | 15.2 % | 41.7 % | 0.2x | 1.5 % | 75.5 % | ||
| 9 | TER | 6.9 | 6.9 | 60.8Md USD | 53.4x | 25.8 % | 104.0 % | 35.9 % | -0.0x | 1.3 % | 188.2 % |
