Overall verdict
Buy
7.3/10
1-year performance
+3.17%
Score breakdown
Up 3.2% over 1 year, 76% of the 52-week range.
Strongest: Financial strength 10.0/10. Weakest: Growth 3.8/10.
16 analysts, target -0.1% vs the price.
Evolution AB (publ) develops, produces, markets, and licenses live casino and slots solutions to gaming operators in Europe, Asia, North America, Latin America, and internationally. It offers casino and live games shows under the Evolution and Ezugi brands; online casino under the NetEnt brand name; and casino games and software comprising jackpot system, a smart spins bonus management application, and tournaments gamification under the Red Tiger brand.
It also provides slots titles and game mechanics under the Big Time Gaming brand; online casino platform and games under the Nolimit City brand name; HD spinning gaming wheels under the DigiWheel brand; and B2B social streaming games under the Livespins brand name. The company was formerly known as Evolution Gaming Group AB (publ). Evolution AB (publ) was founded in 2006 and is headquartered in Stockholm, Sweden.
Sector
Consumer Discretionary
Industry
Hotels, Restaurants and Leisure
Primary listing
Omxsto
Sweden
CEO
Mr. Martin Carlesund
Founded
2006
Employees
16 243
Revenue / employee
135 559 EUR
Next earnings
October 23, 2026
Research uses the underlying stock’s market history. The purchase quote is calculated separately when you review your order.
52-week high
911.00 SEK
52-week low
515.40 SEK
1-year performance
3.17%
Rising
Year-to-date performance
35.02%
Rising
Drawdown
-10.27%
Mild pullback
Position in the 52-week range
76% of range
Range: 1234.44 SEK - 1380.26 SEK (comparables only)
The price implies growth of -1.48% per year; the company grows at 25.00%.
Gross margin 57.8%, net margin 51.8%, ROIC 25.7%, ROE 26.2%.
Net margin
51.79%
Exceptional
Sector 6.42%|S&P 12.97%
Gross margin
57.81%
Exceptional
Return on equity (ROE)
26.19%
Exceptional
Sector 12.59%|S&P 16.52%
Return on invested capital (ROIC)
25.72%
Exceptional
Free cash flow margin (FCF)
60.26%
Exceptional
Profit-to-cash conversion (FCF conversion)
1.16x
Fair
Margin stability
3.2 pts
Steady
Revenue to net income
Growth
3.8/10Revenue down 1.9% over 1 year, 31.2% a year over 5, EPS 29.7% a year over 5.
Revenue (trailing 12 months)
2.0Md EUR
Revenue growth (1y)
-1.86%
Declining
Revenue growth (3y)
47.63%
Solid
EPS growth (1y)
4.04%
Moderate
EPS CAGR (5y)
29.67%
Exceptional
EPS revisions (3 months)
0.79%
Revised up
Valuation
8.2/10P/E 13.6x, forward P/E 13.6x, EV/EBITDA 10.4x, PEG 0.46.
P/E (TTM)
13.6x
Fair
Sector 16.4x|S&P 23.0x
Forward P/E
13.6x
Fair
EV / EBITDA
10.4x
Fair
Sector 8.7x|S&P 14.5x
PEG
0.46
Growth unpriced
Sector 0.84|S&P 0.86
Fair value (reverse DCF)
1307.35 SEK
Deeply undervalued
Market cap
15.1Md EUR
Financial strength
10.0/10Cash covers 1278.8% of the debt, net debt/EBITDA -0.5x.
Net debt / EBITDA
-0.5x
Net cash
Gearing (net debt / equity)
-25.11%
Net cash
Cash
1.2Md EUR
Cash / market cap
7.74%
Tight
Cash / total debt
1278.83%
Net cash
Net debt
-1.1Md EUR
Equity
4.3Md EUR
Closed daily candles, 2 years
Last close on September 24, 2026: 838.80 SEK
- MM20860.75
- MM50795.56
- MM200666.74
- RSI 1448.4
Top panel: closed candles, 20, 50 and 200-day moving averages, with volume in grey. Bottom panel: 14-day RSI with dashed 30 and 70 levels.
200-day average slope, 1 month
+3.62%
200-day average slope, 3 months
+3.00%
50-day average slope, 1 month
+10.47%
Price structure
higher-low
Bullish RSI divergence
No
20-day volatility
1.30 % per day
Volatility change
-25.26%
Forecasts by fiscal year
| Fiscal year | EPS | Normalised EPS | Revenue | EBITDA | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 5.33 (14) | 5.38 (18) | 2 098 (17) | 1 380 (17) | 1 027 (12) |
| 2027 | 6.03 (14) | 6.11 (18) | 2 230 (16) | 1 466 (17) | 1 088 (12) |
Amounts in millions of EUR, EPS in EUR per share. In brackets, the number of analysts. Consensus as of September 25, 2026.
Same sub-industry: 64 companies behind the medians.
| # | Company | Code | Country | Overall / 10 | Fundamentals / 10 | Mkt cap | P/E | Net margin | Revenue growth | ROIC | Net debt / EBITDA | FCF yield | 1-year perf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 27 | 7.8 | 8.3 | 18.0Md USD | 13.1x | 35.9 % | 9.6 % | 13.0 % | -1.1x | 8.9 % | -24.2 % | ||
| 2 | EVO | 7.3 | 7.4 | 17.2Md USD | 13.6x | 51.8 % | -1.9 % | 25.7 % | -0.5x | 8.2 % | 3.2 % | ||
| 3 | 1928 | 6.7 | 6.6 | 12.5Md USD | 14.2x | 18.6 % | 4.2 % | 12.3 % | 2.7x | 11.2 % | -47.5 % | ||
| 4 | LVS | 6.3 | 6.2 | 25.4Md USD | 15.3x | 12.6 % | -0.7 % | 11.1 % | 2.6x | 10.6 % | -27.5 % | ||
| 5 | ALWN | 6.2 | 6.8 | 10.7Md USD | 11.5x | 19.1 % | 248.4 % | 6.0 % | 0.4x | 10.7 % | -43.2 % | ||
| 6 | ALL | 6.0 | 5.2 | 25.1Md USD | 25.2x | 23.4 % | 11.0 % | 17.2 % | 0.3x | 4.5 % | -15.2 % | ||
| 7 | MGM | 5.3 | 4.2 | 9.5Md USD | 22.9x | 2.4 % | 1.0 % | 1.3 % | 12.5x | 18.3 % | -3.1 % | ||
| 8 | FLUT | 4.7 | 3.5 | 14.9Md USD | Not meaningful (loss) | -4.4 % | 3.3 % | -3.6 % | 3.5x | 8.4 % | -71.3 % | ||
| 9 | DKNG | 3.8 | 1.7 | 10.5Md USD | Not meaningful (loss) | -2.7 % | -4.6 % | -6.2 % | 2.8x | 6.2 % | -51.0 % |
