Overall verdict
Neutral
4.4/10
1-year performance
-49.72%
Score breakdown
Down 49.7% over 1 year, 17% of the 52-week range.
Strongest: Growth 10.0/10. Weakest: Shareholder return 0.0/10.
10 analysts, target +0.6% vs the price.
Firefly Aerospace Inc. operates as a space and defense technology company and provides mission solutions for national security, government, and commercial customers in United States. The company offers integrated launch and space services technology that is committed to enabling launch, transit, and operations in space. It also provides Launch solutions, such as Alpha, a responsive launch services; and Eclipse, a medium-lift launch vehicles.
In addition, the company offers spacecraft solutions platforms, including Blue Ghost, a lunar delivery and operation service; and Elytra, which provides space maneuverability and servicing. Further, it provides software and sensor solutions; national security software and big data processing capabilities; and responsive space services, as well as Ocula, a lunar imaging service. Firefly Aerospace Inc. was incorporated in 2017 and is headquartered in Leander, Texas.
Sector
Industrials
Industry
Aerospace and Defense
Primary listing
Nasdaq
United States
CEO
Jason Kim
Founded
2017
Employees
1 409
Revenue / employee
113 453 USD
Next earnings
November 12, 2026 (estimated)
Institutional holders
- AE INDUSTRIAL PARTNERS, LP22.60%
- BlackRock, Inc.3.86%
- STATE STREET CORP2.74%
- VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC2.35%
- VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC2.01%
- VAN ECK ASSOCIATES CORP2.00%
- JPMORGAN CHASE & CO1.83%
- TWO SIGMA INVESTMENTS, LP1.78%
- Tema ETFs LLC1.49%
- Other institutions22.59%
- Rest of the register36.75%
266 13F filings as of June 30, 2026: US managers above $100M, filed up to 45 days after quarter end. No insiders, no retail. A share on loan is declared by its lender and by whoever bought it from the short seller, so the total can exceed 100%.
Research uses the underlying stock’s market history. The purchase quote is calculated separately when you review your order.
52-week high
62.17 USD
52-week low
16.00 USD
1-year performance
-49.72%
Declining
Year-to-date performance
-5.24%
Declining
Drawdown
-61.40%
Major drawdown
Position in the 52-week range
17% of range
Gross margin 16.5%, the company loses 126.6% of its revenue, ROIC -49.1%, ROE -56.9%.
Net margin
-126.64%
Negative
Sector 5.62%|S&P 12.97%
Gross margin
16.49%
Fair
Return on equity (ROE)
-56.87%
Negative
Sector 6.22%|S&P 16.52%
Return on invested capital (ROIC)
-49.13%
Negative
Free cash flow margin (FCF)
-113.76%
Negative
Revenue to net income
Growth
10.0/10Revenue up 656.9% over 1 year.
Revenue (trailing 12 months)
287M USD
Revenue growth (1y)
656.85%
Hyper-growth
Revenue growth (3y)
—
EPS growth (1y)
—
EPS CAGR (5y)
—
EPS revisions (3 months)
—
Valuation
0.0/10The company loses money, so no valuation multiple can be read: a negative P/E is not a discount.
P/E (TTM)
—
N/A (loss)
Sector 46.9x|S&P 23.0x
Forward P/E (adjusted)
—
EV / EBITDA
—
N/A (loss)
Sector 28.9x|S&P 14.5x
PEG
—
Sector 1.75|S&P 0.86
Market cap
3.7Md USD
Financial strength
4.3/10Cash covers 1189.7% of the debt, net debt/EBITDA 1.1x.
Net debt / EBITDA
1.1x
Tight
Gearing (net debt / equity)
-47.58%
Net cash
Cash
635M USD
Cash / market cap
17.33%
Very solid
Cash / total debt
1189.70%
Net cash
Interest coverage
-41.2x
Stretched
Net debt
-582M USD
Equity
1.2Md USD
Closed daily candles, 14 months
Last close on September 24, 2026: 23.09 USD
- MM2021.59
- MM5022.29
- MM20027.77
- RSI 1453.4
Top panel: closed candles, 20, 50 and 200-day moving averages, with volume in grey. Bottom panel: 14-day RSI with dashed 30 and 70 levels.
200-day average slope, 1 month
+1.07%
200-day average slope, 3 months
-5.38%
50-day average slope, 1 month
-9.21%
Price structure
Lower lows
Bullish RSI divergence
No
20-day volatility
4.10 % per day
Volatility change
-36.58%
Forecasts by fiscal year
| Fiscal year | EPS | Normalised EPS | Revenue | EBITDA | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -2.20 (7) | -1.87 (5) | 439 (9) | -275 (6) | -362 (8) |
| 2027 | -1.61 (8) | -1.80 (6) | 686 (9) | -185 (6) | -271 (8) |
Amounts in millions of USD, EPS in USD per share. In brackets, the number of analysts. Consensus as of September 14, 2026.
Same sub-industry: 207 companies behind the medians.
| # | Company | Code | Country | Overall / 10 | Fundamentals / 10 | Mkt cap | P/E | Net margin | Revenue growth | ROIC | Net debt / EBITDA | FCF yield | 1-year perf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AIR | 8.1 | 8.9 | 175Md USD | 25.8x | 7.7 % | 27.7 % | 17.6 % | -0.4x | 3.3 % | -0.4 % | ||
| 2 | SAF | 8.1 | 8.4 | 159Md USD | 35.9x | 11.6 % | 12.5 % | 23.3 % | -0.3x | 3.7 % | 14.0 % | ||
| 3 | HWM | 7.4 | 7.0 | 91.2Md USD | 49.3x | 20.5 % | 24.1 % | 20.4 % | 1.0x | 2.0 % | 17.9 % | ||
| 4 | RTX | 7.3 | 7.5 | 259Md USD | 33.8x | 8.3 % | 14.5 % | 7.7 % | 2.5x | 4.4 % | 17.0 % | ||
| 5 | GE | 7.1 | 7.0 | 332Md USD | 37.7x | 17.7 % | 21.1 % | 24.7 % | 1.0x | 2.5 % | 4.2 % | ||
| 6 | LMT | 7.0 | 7.7 | 121Md USD | 19.3x | 8.2 % | 10.5 % | 23.7 % | 2.0x | 7.2 % | 7.5 % | ||
| 7 | RR. | 6.9 | 7.4 | 165Md USD | 40.9x | 13.1 % | 12.2 % | 50.8 % | -0.5x | 3.4 % | 26.5 % | ||
| 8 | BA | 5.3 | 3.7 | 158Md USD | 91.1x | 2.6 % | 8.0 % | 5.5 % | -9.1x | -0.1 % | -9.5 % | ||
| 9 | FLY | 4.4 | 2.6 | 3.7Md USD | Not meaningful (loss) | -126.6 % | 656.9 % | -49.1 % | 1.1x | -8.9 % | -49.7 % |
