Overall verdict
Neutral
4.4/10
1-year performance
-43.79%
Score breakdown
Down 43.8% over 1 year, 2% of the 52-week range.
Strongest: Growth 10.0/10. Weakest: Shareholder return 0.0/10.
11 analysts, target +1.3% vs the price.
Firefly Aerospace Inc. operates as a space and defense technology company and provides mission solutions for national security, government, and commercial customers in United States. The company offers integrated launch and space services technology that is committed to enabling launch, transit, and operations in space. It also provides Launch solutions, such as Alpha, a responsive launch services; and Eclipse, a medium-lift launch vehicles.
In addition, the company offers spacecraft solutions platforms, including Blue Ghost, a lunar delivery and operation service; and Elytra, which provides space maneuverability and servicing. Further, it provides software and sensor solutions; national security software and big data processing capabilities; and responsive space services, as well as Ocula, a lunar imaging service. Firefly Aerospace Inc. was incorporated in 2017 and is headquartered in Leander, Texas.
Sector
Industrials
Industry
Aerospace and Defense
Primary listing
Nasdaq
United States
CEO
Jason Kim
Founded
2017
Employees
1 409
Revenue / employee
113 453 USD
Next earnings
November 10, 2026
Institutional holders
- AE INDUSTRIAL PARTNERS, LP20.63%
- BlackRock, Inc.3.53%
- STATE STREET CORP2.50%
- VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC2.15%
- VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC1.83%
- VAN ECK ASSOCIATES CORP1.82%
- JPMORGAN CHASE & CO1.67%
- TWO SIGMA INVESTMENTS, LP1.62%
- Tema ETFs LLC1.36%
- Other institutions20.64%
- Rest of the register42.26%
268 13F filings as of June 30, 2026: US managers above $100M, filed up to 45 days after quarter end. No insiders, no retail. A share on loan is declared by its lender and by whoever bought it from the short seller, so the total can exceed 100%.
Research uses the underlying stock’s market history. The purchase quote is calculated separately when you review your order.
52-week high
62.17 USD
52-week low
15.99 USD
1-year performance
-43.79%
Declining
Year-to-date performance
-27.52%
Declining
Drawdown
-73.06%
Major drawdown
Position in the 52-week range
2% of range
Gross margin 16.5%, the company loses 126.6% of its revenue, ROIC -49.1%, ROE -56.9%.
Net margin
-126.64%
Negative
Sector 5.59%|S&P 13.13%
Gross margin
16.49%
Fair
Return on equity (ROE)
-56.87%
Negative
Sector 6.63%|S&P 16.52%
Return on invested capital (ROIC)
-49.13%
Negative
Free cash flow margin (FCF)
-113.76%
Negative
Revenue to net income
Growth
10.0/10Revenue up 656.9% over 1 year.
Revenue (trailing 12 months)
287M USD
Revenue growth (1y)
656.85%
Hyper-growth
Revenue growth (3y)
—
EPS growth (1y)
—
EPS CAGR (5y)
—
EPS revisions (3 months)
—
Valuation
0.0/10The company loses money, so no valuation multiple can be read: a negative P/E is not a discount.
P/E (TTM)
—
N/A (loss)
Sector 43.7x|S&P 23.7x
Forward P/E (adjusted)
—
N/A (loss)
EV / EBITDA
—
N/A (loss)
Sector 27.3x|S&P 15.0x
PEG
—
Sector 1.69|S&P 0.89
Market cap
2.8Md USD
Financial strength
3.5/10Cash covers 1189.7% of the debt, net debt/EBITDA 1.1x.
Net debt / EBITDA
1.1x
Stretched
Gearing (net debt / equity)
-47.58%
Net cash
Cash
635M USD
Cash / market cap
22.66%
Very solid
Cash / total debt
1189.70%
Net cash
Interest coverage
-41.2x
Stretched
Net debt
-582M USD
Equity
1.2Md USD
Closed daily candles, 14 months
Last close on October 16, 2026: 16.75 USD
- MM2021.43
- MM5022.45
- MM20027.65
- RSI 1431.0
Top panel: closed candles, 20, 50 and 200-day moving averages, with volume in grey. Bottom panel: 14-day RSI with dashed 30 and 70 levels.
200-day average slope, 1 month
-0.09%
200-day average slope, 3 months
-1.16%
50-day average slope, 1 month
+0.54%
Price structure
higher-low
Bullish RSI divergence
No
20-day volatility
4.57 % per day
Volatility change
-25.50%
Forecasts by fiscal year
| Fiscal year | EPS | Normalised EPS | Revenue | EBITDA | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -2.18 (8) | -1.87 (5) | 439 (9) | -275 (6) | -362 (8) |
| 2027 | -1.61 (9) | -1.80 (6) | 686 (9) | -185 (6) | -271 (8) |
Amounts in millions of USD, EPS in USD per share. In brackets, the number of analysts. Consensus as of October 11, 2026.
Same sub-industry: 214 companies behind the medians.
| # | Company | Code | Country | Overall / 10 | Fundamentals / 10 | Mkt cap | P/E | Net margin | Revenue growth | ROIC | Net debt / EBITDA | FCF yield | 1-year perf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SAF | 8.1 | 8.6 | 148Md USD | 34.1x | 11.6 % | 12.5 % | 23.3 % | -0.3x | 4.0 % | 5.7 % | ||
| 2 | AIR | 7.8 | 7.9 | 173Md USD | 26.1x | 7.7 % | 27.7 % | 17.6 % | -0.4x | 3.3 % | -4.9 % | ||
| 3 | RR. | 7.7 | 7.4 | 150Md USD | 37.9x | 13.1 % | 12.2 % | 50.8 % | -0.5x | 3.8 % | 21.0 % | ||
| 4 | GE | 7.1 | 6.9 | 324Md USD | 36.8x | 17.7 % | 21.1 % | 24.7 % | 1.0x | 2.6 % | 3.5 % | ||
| 5 | RTX | 7.1 | 7.2 | 252Md USD | 32.9x | 8.3 % | 14.5 % | 7.7 % | 2.5x | 4.5 % | 17.2 % | ||
| 6 | LMT | 6.9 | 7.5 | 123Md USD | 19.6x | 8.2 % | 10.5 % | 23.7 % | 2.0x | 7.1 % | 5.9 % | ||
| 7 | GD | 6.8 | 7.1 | 91.2Md USD | 20.5x | 8.2 % | 8.1 % | 13.3 % | 1.2x | 7.1 % | 0.3 % | ||
| 8 | FLY | 4.4 | 2.5 | 2.8Md USD | Not meaningful (loss) | -126.6 % | 656.9 % | -49.1 % | 1.1x | -11.6 % | -43.8 % | ||
| 9 | BA | 3.8 | 2.1 | 149Md USD | 86.0x | 2.6 % | 8.0 % | 5.5 % | -9.1x | -0.1 % | -12.2 % |
