Overall verdict
Buy
8.0/10
1-year performance
+57.49%
Score breakdown
Up 57.5% over 1 year, 85% of the 52-week range.
Strongest: Profitability 10.0/10. Weakest: Growth 7.0/10.
15 analysts, target +0.0% vs the price.
Sector
Materials
Industry
Metals and Mining
Primary listing
Bmv
Mexico
CEO
—
Founded
1890
Employees
31 281
Revenue / employee
618 874 USD
Next earnings
October 23, 2026 (estimated)
Research uses the underlying stock’s market history. The purchase quote is calculated separately when you review your order.
52-week high
239.73 MXN
52-week low
127.42 MXN
1-year performance
57.49%
Rising
Year-to-date performance
29.80%
Rising
Drawdown
-7.19%
Mild pullback
Position in the 52-week range
85% of range
Range: 138.12 MXN - 172.65 MXN (2 methods agree)
The price implies growth of 2.27% per year; the company grows at 13.99%.
Quality and profitability
10.0/10Gross margin 53.1%, net margin 30.2%, ROIC 18.4%, ROE 26.7%.
Net margin
30.17%
Exceptional
Sector 8.08%|S&P 12.97%
Gross margin
53.15%
Exceptional
Return on equity (ROE)
26.69%
Exceptional
Sector 6.72%|S&P 16.52%
Return on invested capital (ROIC)
18.44%
Exceptional
Free cash flow margin (FCF)
27.84%
Exceptional
Profit-to-cash conversion (FCF conversion)
0.92x
Exceptional
Margin stability
4.9 pts
Steady
Revenue to net income
Growth
7.0/10Revenue up 20.2% over 1 year, 8.3% a year over 5, EPS 14.0% a year over 5.
Revenue (trailing 12 months)
21.5Md USD
Revenue growth (1y)
20.23%
Moderate
Revenue growth (3y)
25.04%
Solid
EPS growth (1y)
55.23%
Hyper-growth
EPS CAGR (5y)
13.99%
Fair
EPS revisions (3 months)
—
Valuation
8.5/10P/E 14.4x, forward P/E 14.8x, EV/EBITDA 7.9x, PEG 1.03.
P/E (TTM)
14.4x
Fair
Sector 21.2x|S&P 23.0x
Forward P/E
14.8x
Fair
EV / EBITDA
7.9x
Cheap
Sector 14.4x|S&P 14.5x
PEG
1.03
Fair
Sector 0.12|S&P 0.86
Fair value (reverse DCF)
153.25 MXN
Deeply overvalued
Market cap
97.4Md USD
Financial strength
10.0/10Cash covers 111.3% of the debt, net debt/EBITDA 0.0x.
Net debt / EBITDA
0.0x
Very solid
Gearing (net debt / equity)
-4.78%
Net cash
Cash
13.3Md USD
Cash / market cap
13.64%
Solid
Cash / total debt
111.28%
Net cash
Net debt
-1.3Md USD
Equity
28.2Md USD
Closed daily candles, 2 years
Last close on September 24, 2026: 221.14 MXN
- MM20222.13
- MM50218.56
- MM200201.64
- RSI 1451.0
Top panel: closed candles, 20, 50 and 200-day moving averages, with volume in grey. Bottom panel: 14-day RSI with dashed 30 and 70 levels.
200-day average slope, 1 month
+3.52%
200-day average slope, 3 months
+11.15%
50-day average slope, 1 month
+4.46%
Price structure
higher-low
Bullish RSI divergence
No
20-day volatility
2.07 % per day
Volatility change
-5.97%
Forecasts by fiscal year
| Fiscal year | EPS | Normalised EPS | Revenue | EBITDA | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 0.85 (7) | 0.84 (7) | 22 279 (14) | 13 500 (13) | 6 863 (8) |
| 2027 | 0.77 (6) | 0.80 (7) | 22 122 (13) | 13 063 (14) | 6 559 (9) |
Amounts in millions of USD, EPS in USD per share. In brackets, the number of analysts. Consensus as of September 7, 2026.
Same sub-industry: 240 companies behind the medians.
| # | Company | Code | Country | Overall / 10 | Fundamentals / 10 | Mkt cap | P/E | Net margin | Revenue growth | ROIC | Net debt / EBITDA | FCF yield | 1-year perf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 603993 | 8.7 | 9.2 | 53.8Md USD | 13.1x | 11.3 % | 41.3 % | 33.0 % | -0.3x | 4.8 % | 37.1 % | ||
| 2 | 601899 | 8.3 | 8.6 | 122Md USD | 12.2x | 18.0 % | 7.8 % | 24.1 % | 1.0x | 8.4 % | 16.2 % | ||
| 3 | GMEXICO B | 8.0 | 8.7 | 97.4Md USD | 14.4x | 30.2 % | 20.2 % | 18.4 % | 0.0x | 6.2 % | 57.5 % | ||
| 4 | TECK.B | 6.9 | 7.3 | 32.7Md USD | 18.5x | 17.9 % | 78.2 % | 7.1 % | 1.3x | 3.5 % | 72.8 % | ||
| 5 | RIO | 6.0 | 6.6 | 163Md USD | 13.1x | 19.6 % | 4.2 % | 14.5 % | 0.7x | 3.5 % | 51.1 % | ||
| 6 | BHP | 5.9 | 6.5 | 222Md USD | 21.3x | 16.8 % | 9.6 % | 13.5 % | 0.3x | 5.3 % | 48.1 % | ||
| 7 | GLEN | 5.9 | 4.4 | 85.8Md USD | 16.6x | 1.8 % | 3.8 % | 8.1 % | 3.8x | -0.1 % | 65.6 % | ||
| 8 | 1211 | 4.9 | 4.5 | 64.8Md USD | 31.5x | 19.0 % | 16.2 % | 8.2 % | 1.5x | 1.1 % | 1.9 % | ||
| 9 | AAL | 3.9 | 2.6 | 57.6Md USD | Not meaningful (loss) | -6.6 % | 0.9 % | -3.9 % | 1.5x | 3.6 % | 56.8 % |
