Overall verdict
Neutral
5.7/10
1-year performance
-7.32%
Score breakdown
Down 7.3% over 1 year, 31% of the 52-week range.
Strongest: Shareholder return 8.3/10. Weakest: Financial strength 0.4/10.
10 analysts, target +0.0% vs the price.
Guotai Haitong Securities Co., Ltd. provides wealth management, investment banking, institutional and trading, and investment management services in Mainland China, Hong Kong, and internationally. It offers securities and futures brokerage, financial products, investment advisory, stock pledging, margin financing and securities lending, and agreed securities repurchase and other services ; and sponsorship, equity and debt underwriting, structured debt financing, M&A financial advisory services, and diversified corporate solutions to corporate and government clients.
The company also provides research and institutional brokerage services, such as prime brokers, seat leasing, custody and outsourcing, and QFII and other services to institutional clients ; trading and investment services, including investment transactions in stocks, fixed income, foreign exchange, large commodities, and their derivative financial instruments, as well as integrated financial solutions for clients' investment, financing, and risk management ;
and equity investment services. In addition, it offers asset and fund management services to institutions and individuals; and brokerage, research, leasing, and corporate financing services; logistics and catering management; and information consulting services. Further, the company engages in the real estate and property management; warehousing; investment and corporate management consulting; venture capital investment and management; industrial investment; administrative management; foreign exchange dealing; and securities trading activities.
The company was formerly known as Guotai Junan Securities Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Guotai Haitong Securities Co., Ltd. in April 2025. The company was founded in 1992 and is based in Shanghai, China.
Sector
Financials
Industry
Capital Markets
Primary listing
Sse
China
CEO
—
Founded
1992
Employees
26 228
Revenue / employee
3.6M CNY
Next earnings
October 30, 2026 (estimated)
Research uses the underlying stock’s market history. The purchase quote is calculated separately when you review your order.
52-week high
22.35 CNY
52-week low
14.91 CNY
1-year performance
-7.32%
Declining
Year-to-date performance
-16.29%
Declining
Drawdown
-23.00%
Marked drawdown
Position in the 52-week range
31% of range
Range: 28.08 CNY - 43.82 CNY (comparables only)
The price implies growth of -29.08% per year; the company grows at 7.96%.
Gross margin 63.8%, net margin 41.7%, ROIC 4.7%, ROE 10.1%.
Net margin
41.68%
Exceptional
Sector 23.99%|S&P 12.97%
Gross margin
63.82%
Fair
Return on equity (ROE)
10.07%
Fair
Sector 12.69%|S&P 16.52%
Return on invested capital (ROIC)
4.65%
Low
Free cash flow margin (FCF)
181.74%
Exceptional
Profit-to-cash conversion (FCF conversion)
4.36x
Exceptional
Margin stability
6.8 pts
Uneven
Revenue to net income
Growth
6.6/10Revenue down 22.3% over 1 year, 19.8% a year over 5, EPS 8.0% a year over 5.
Revenue (trailing 12 months)
77.6Md CNY
Revenue growth (1y)
-22.33%
Declining
Revenue growth (3y)
165.35%
Hyper-growth
EPS growth (1y)
296.79%
Hyper-growth
EPS CAGR (5y)
7.96%
Strong
EPS revisions (3 months)
20.50%
Sharply revised up
Valuation
6.7/10P/E 9.0x, forward P/E 9.2x, EV/EBITDA 30.2x, PEG 1.14. The multiple sits in the 23th percentile of its own 5-year history.
P/E (TTM)
9.0x
Fair
Sector 13.4x|S&P 23.0x
Forward P/E
9.2x
Fair
EV / EBITDA
30.2x
Expensive
Sector 16.4x|S&P 14.5x
PEG
1.14
Fair
Sector 0.61|S&P 0.86
Fair value (reverse DCF)
35.95 CNY
Deeply undervalued
P/E vs its own 5-year history
among the 23% lowest valuations
Cheaper than usual
Market cap
292Md CNY
Financial strength
0.4/10Cash covers 6.6% of the debt, net debt/EBITDA 17.6x.
Net debt / EBITDA
17.6x
Stretched
Gearing (net debt / equity)
304.32%
Stretched
Cash
76.4Md CNY
Cash / market cap
26.17%
Very solid
Cash / total debt
6.58%
Stretched
Net debt
1.1T CNY
Equity
356Md CNY
Closed daily candles, 23 months
Last close on September 24, 2026: 17.21 CNY
- MM2017.60
- MM5017.98
- MM20018.21
- RSI 1440.3
Top panel: closed candles, 20, 50 and 200-day moving averages, with volume in grey. Bottom panel: 14-day RSI with dashed 30 and 70 levels.
200-day average slope, 1 month
-1.05%
200-day average slope, 3 months
-2.00%
50-day average slope, 1 month
-1.82%
Price structure
Lower lows
Bullish RSI divergence
No
20-day volatility
1.15 % per day
Volatility change
-28.62%
Forecasts by fiscal year
| Fiscal year | EPS | Normalised EPS | Revenue | EBITDA | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1.88 (8) | 1.82 (1) | 82 900 (6) | — | 33 835 (9) |
| 2027 | 1.97 (8) | 1.88 (1) | 87 167 (6) | — | 35 738 (9) |
Amounts in millions of CNY, EPS in CNY per share. In brackets, the number of analysts. Consensus as of September 4, 2026.
Same sub-industry: 173 companies behind the medians.
| # | Company | Code | Country | Overall / 10 | Fundamentals / 10 | Mkt cap | P/E | Net margin | Revenue growth | ROIC | Net debt / EBITDA | FCF yield | 1-year perf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SCHW | 7.5 | 7.4 | 172Md USD | 18.1x | 34.4 % | 15.3 % | 13.4 % | -2.8x | -4.1 % | 5.8 % | ||
| 2 | IBKR | 7.3 | 6.9 | 156Md USD | 36.5x | 10.0 % | 21.4 % | 20.5 % | -6.3x | 14.0 % | 35.8 % | ||
| 3 | 600030 | 6.9 | 6.8 | 59.8Md USD | 9.8x | 41.3 % | 43.5 % | 8.0 % | 10.9x | 43.2 % | -7.3 % | ||
| 4 | RJF | 6.8 | 7.3 | 30.4Md USD | 13.8x | 13.6 % | 11.8 % | 13.8 % | -3.0x | 6.5 % | -9.8 % | ||
| 5 | GS | 6.4 | 6.6 | 273Md USD | 14.5x | 31.1 % | 23.0 % | 4.7 % | — | 42.1 % | 14.0 % | ||
| 6 | MS | 6.3 | 5.9 | 312Md USD | 16.0x | 25.8 % | 17.5 % | 4.3 % | — | 13.8 % | 21.9 % | ||
| 7 | 601211 | 5.7 | 5.6 | 43.5Md USD | 9.0x | 41.7 % | -22.3 % | 4.7 % | 17.6x | 48.3 % | -7.3 % | ||
| 8 | HOOD | 5.4 | 4.4 | 110Md USD | 54.3x | 41.4 % | 34.5 % | 20.6 % | 5.1x | -7.1 % | -5.3 % | ||
| 9 | 8604 | 5.3 | 4.4 | 28.7Md USD | 11.6x | 8.1 % | 18.6 % | 1.8 % | 52.2x | — | 44.7 % |
