Overall verdict
Buy
7.3/10
1-year performance
-2.57%
Score breakdown
Down 2.6% over 1 year, 81% of the 52-week range.
Strongest: Financial strength 9.5/10. Weakest: Shareholder return 3.0/10.
55 analysts, target +0.1% vs the price.
Microsoft Corporation, a technology company, develops and supports a portfolio of technology solutions for individuals and businesses worldwide. Its products include operating systems, server applications, business solution applications, software development tools, desktop and server management tools, and video games; and devices, such as PCs, tablets, gaming and entertainment consoles, other intelligent devices, and related accessories.
The company's Productivity and Business Processes segment offers Microsoft 365 Commercial, Enterprise Mobility + Security, Power BI, Exchange, SharePoint, Microsoft Teams, Microsoft 365 Security and Compliance, Microsoft 365 Copilot, and Windows Commercial on-premises and Office licensed on-premises. This segment also provides Microsoft 365 Consumer products and cloud services; LinkedIn, including talent solutions, marketing solutions, subscriptions, and sales solutions; Dynamics 365, a set of cloud-based applications; and on-premises ERP and CRM applications.
Its Intelligent Cloud segment offers server products and cloud services ; cloud and AI consumption-based services, GitHub cloud services, health and life sciences cloud services, as well as virtual desktop offerings, and other cloud services ; SQL Server, Windows Server, Visual Studio, System Center, and related client access licenses ; and enterprise support services, industry solutions, Microsoft partner network, and learning experience.
The company's More Personal Computing segment provides Windows OEM licensing and devices comprising Surface and PC accessories ; XBOX hardware, and XBOX first- and third-party content and services ; XBOX Game Pass and other subscriptions ; XBOX Cloud Gaming, advertising, and other cloud services ; and search advertising consisting of Bing, Copilot, Microsoft News, Microsoft Edge, and third-party affiliates. It sells its products through partners and retail networks. The company was founded in 1975 and is headquartered in Redmond, Washington.
Sector
Information Technology
Industry
Software
Primary listing
Nasdaq
United States
CEO
Satya Nadella
Founded
1975
Employees
223 000
Revenue / employee
1.5M USD
Next earnings
October 29, 2026 (estimated)
Institutional holders
- BlackRock, Inc.8.40%
- VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC6.71%
- STATE STREET CORP4.36%
- GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC2.62%
- FMR LLC2.57%
- VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC2.33%
- JPMORGAN CHASE & CO1.87%
- MORGAN STANLEY1.77%
- NORGES BANK1.42%
- Other institutions43.73%
- Rest of the register24.22%
6206 13F filings as of June 30, 2026: US managers above $100M, filed up to 45 days after quarter end. No insiders, no retail. A share on loan is declared by its lender and by whoever bought it from the short seller, so the total can exceed 100%.
Research uses the underlying stock’s market history. The purchase quote is calculated separately when you review your order.
52-week high
553.72 USD
52-week low
349.20 USD
1-year performance
-2.57%
Declining
Year-to-date performance
3.35%
Declining
Drawdown
-7.18%
Mild pullback
Position in the 52-week range
81% of range
Against the world ETF
Over 17 years, from September 2009 to August 2026, the share did better than the world ETF once risk is accounted for.
10,000 € placed at the end of September 2009 are worth today
| Microsoft | 335 356 € |
| World ETF | 74 620 € |
| S&P 500 | 123 025 € |
| Risk-free placement | 11 288 € |
The risk
- Shaking:the share moves 1.9 times as much as the world ETF.
- Worst fall:-33 % between July 2025 and March 2026. 10,000 € placed at the top fell to 6 674 €. The world ETF, at worst: -34 %. The share has not returned to its high yet.
Microsoft earned 4 times as much as the world ETF since 2009
Value of 10,000 euros placed at the end of September 2009, dividends reinvested, in euros
- Microsoft: 335 356 €
- World ETF: 74 620 €
- S&P 500: 123 025 €
- Risk-free placement: 11 288 €
Based on past performance. This is not a recommendation.
Range: 408.94 USD - 413.51 USD (comparables only)
The price implies growth of 18.41% per year; the company grows at 17.38%.
Gross margin 67.9%, net margin 40.3%, ROIC 26.8%, ROE 34.0%.
Net margin
40.31%
Exceptional
Sector 5.62%|S&P 12.97%
Gross margin
67.94%
Fair
Return on equity (ROE)
34.04%
Exceptional
Sector 7.65%|S&P 16.52%
Return on invested capital (ROIC)
26.85%
Exceptional
Free cash flow margin (FCF)
20.19%
Exceptional
Profit-to-cash conversion (FCF conversion)
0.50x
Low
Margin stability
6.8 pts
Uneven
Revenue to net income
Growth
8.3/10Revenue up 17.7% over 1 year, 14.6% a year over 5, EPS 17.4% a year over 5.
Revenue (trailing 12 months)
332Md USD
Revenue growth (1y)
17.75%
Hyper-growth
Revenue growth (3y)
56.59%
Strong
EPS growth (1y)
31.65%
Hyper-growth
EPS CAGR (5y)
17.38%
Exceptional
EPS revisions (3 months)
2.00%
Revised up
Valuation
6.2/10P/E 28.6x, forward P/E 26.1x, EV/EBITDA 18.8x, PEG 1.65. The multiple sits in the 20th percentile of its own 5-year history.
P/E (TTM)
28.6x
Fair
Sector 39.3x|S&P 23.0x
Forward P/E
26.1x
Fair
EV / EBITDA
18.8x
Fair
Sector 28.8x|S&P 14.5x
PEG
1.65
Expensive
Sector 0.84|S&P 0.86
Fair value (reverse DCF)
411.23 USD
Overvalued
P/E vs its own 5-year history
among the 20% lowest valuations
Far cheaper than usual
Market cap
3.7T USD
Financial strength
9.5/10Cash covers 59.7% of the debt, net debt/EBITDA 0.3x.
Net debt / EBITDA
0.3x
Very solid
Gearing (net debt / equity)
11.75%
Very solid
Cash
76.8Md USD
Cash / market cap
2.07%
Stretched
Cash / total debt
59.65%
Solid
Interest coverage
50.9x
Very solid
Net debt
52.0Md USD
Equity
442Md USD
Closed daily candles, 2 years
Last close on September 24, 2026: 497.93 USD
- MM20499.46
- MM50473.50
- MM200431.93
- RSI 1454.4
Top panel: closed candles, 20, 50 and 200-day moving averages, with volume in grey. Bottom panel: 14-day RSI with dashed 30 and 70 levels.
200-day average slope, 1 month
+0.19%
200-day average slope, 3 months
-3.72%
50-day average slope, 1 month
+11.73%
Price structure
higher-low
Bullish RSI divergence
No
20-day volatility
1.38 % per day
Volatility change
-35.91%
Forecasts by fiscal year
| Fiscal year | EPS | Normalised EPS | Revenue | EBITDA | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 19.70 (38) | 19.76 (33) | 391 037 (50) | 239 224 (27) | 146 972 (40) |
Amounts in millions of USD, EPS in USD per share. In brackets, the number of analysts. Consensus as of September 22, 2026.
Same sub-industry: 104 companies behind the medians.
| # | Company | Code | Country | Overall / 10 | Fundamentals / 10 | Mkt cap | P/E | Net margin | Revenue growth | ROIC | Net debt / EBITDA | FCF yield | 1-year perf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2513 | 8.9 | N/A | 40.4Md USD | Not meaningful (loss) | -295.0 % | 131.9 % | -1398.4 % | — | -1.4 % | -13.8 % | ||
| 2 | MSFT | 7.3 | 7.3 | 3.7T USD | 28.6x | 40.3 % | 17.7 % | 26.8 % | 0.3x | 1.8 % | -2.6 % | ||
| 3 | NOW | 6.8 | 6.7 | 146Md USD | 87.9x | 11.3 % | 24.0 % | 10.4 % | -1.4x | 3.1 % | -28.4 % | ||
| 4 | ORCL | 6.4 | 6.3 | 437Md USD | 22.7x | 26.4 % | 29.6 % | 10.9 % | 4.3x | -6.6 % | -55.3 % | ||
| 5 | FTNT | 6.3 | 7.0 | 131Md USD | 63.0x | 28.2 % | 25.6 % | 92.1 % | -1.1x | 2.4 % | 109.5 % | ||
| 6 | ZS | 5.1 | 4.1 | 35.0Md USD | Not meaningful (loss) | -1.9 % | 24.9 % | -1.6 % | -23.3x | 2.2 % | -25.8 % | ||
| 7 | CRWD | 4.8 | 3.7 | 269Md USD | 7352.7x | 0.7 % | 25.8 % | 0.7 % | -27.9x | 0.6 % | 115.3 % | ||
| 8 | PANW | 4.8 | 3.2 | 322Md USD | 767.4x | 2.7 % | 34.4 % | 1.6 % | -0.2x | 1.3 % | 92.4 % | ||
| 9 | NBIS | 3.7 | 1.2 | 61.6Md USD | 1000.1x | 4.5 % | 454.0 % | 0.5 % | 16.0x | — | 123.1 % |
