Overall verdict
Neutral
4.3/10
1-year performance
-50.09%
Score breakdown
Down 50.1% over 1 year, 7% of the 52-week range.
Strongest: Financial strength 7.9/10. Weakest: Growth 2.0/10.
42 analysts, target +0.1% vs the price.
NIKE, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, develops, markets, and sells athletic footwear, apparel, equipment, accessories, and services for men, women, and kids in North America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, Greater China, the Asia Pacific, and Latin America. The company offers its products under the NIKE, Jordan, Converse, Jumpman, Chuck Taylor, All Star, One Star, Star Chevron, and Jack Purcell trademarks.
It also provides a line of performance equipment and accessories, including bags, socks, sport balls, eyewear, timepieces, digital devices, bats, gloves, protective equipment, and other equipment for sports activities ; and sports apparel, as well as sells products to wholesale customers and directly to consumers through NIKE Direct operations ; distributes and licenses casual sneakers, apparel, and accessories ;
and markets apparel with licensed college and professional team and league logos. In addition, the company offers consumer services and experiences, including sport focused events and activations; fitness and activity apps; sport, fitness, and wellness content; and digital services and features in retail stores. It sells its products to footwear stores; sporting goods stores; athletic specialty stores; department stores; skate, tennis, and golf shops; and other wholesale accounts through NIKE-owned retail stores, independent distributors, licensees, sales representatives, and digital platforms. The company was formerly known as Blue Ribbon Sports, Inc. and changed its name to NIKE, Inc. in May 1971. NIKE, Inc. was founded in 1964 and is headquartered in Beaverton, Oregon.
Sector
Consumer Discretionary
Industry
Textiles, Apparel and Luxury Goods
Primary listing
Nyse
United States
CEO
Elliott Hill
Founded
1964
Employees
73 000
Revenue / employee
635 589 USD
Next earnings
December 17, 2026 (estimated)
Institutional holders
- BlackRock, Inc.5.51%
- VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC5.27%
- CALIFORNIA STATE TEACHERS RETIREMENT SYSTEM5.09%
- Capital World Investors4.85%
- STATE STREET CORP4.28%
- VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC3.08%
- GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC1.97%
- WELLINGTON MANAGEMENT GROUP LLP1.50%
- FMR LLC1.43%
- Other institutions36.83%
- Rest of the register30.20%
1724 13F filings as of June 30, 2026: US managers above $100M, filed up to 45 days after quarter end. No insiders, no retail. A share on loan is declared by its lender and by whoever bought it from the short seller, so the total can exceed 100%.
Research uses the underlying stock’s market history. The purchase quote is calculated separately when you review your order.
52-week high
70.44 USD
52-week low
31.97 USD
1-year performance
-50.09%
Declining
Year-to-date performance
-45.77%
Declining
Drawdown
-50.72%
Major drawdown
Position in the 52-week range
7% of range
Against the world ETF
Over 17 years, from September 2009 to September 2026, the share did not clearly beat the world ETF once risk is accounted for. It earned less, while shaking 2.0 times harder.
$10,000 placed at the end of September 2009 are worth today
| NIKE | $27,779 |
| World ETF | $60,004 |
| S&P 500 | $97,541 |
| Risk-free placement | $12,831 |
The risk
- Shaking:the share moves 2.0 times as much as the world ETF.
- Worst fall:-78 % between November 2021 and September 2026. $10,000 placed at the top fell to $2,186. The world ETF, at worst: -34 %. The share has not returned to its high yet.
NIKE earned less than the world ETF since 2009
Value of $10,000 placed at the end of September 2009, dividends reinvested, in dollars
- NIKE: $27,779
- World ETF: $60,004
- S&P 500: $97,541
- Risk-free placement: $12,831
Based on past performance. This is not a recommendation.
Range: 49.01 USD - 53.28 USD (2 methods agree)
The price implies growth of 7.65% per year; the company grows at -10.00%.
Gross margin 43.3%, net margin 6.7%, ROIC 12.9%, ROE 21.6%.
Net margin
6.74%
Fair
Sector 5.90%|S&P 13.13%
Gross margin
43.34%
Fair
Return on equity (ROE)
21.56%
Exceptional
Sector 11.74%|S&P 16.52%
Return on invested capital (ROIC)
12.93%
High
Free cash flow margin (FCF)
4.59%
Low
Profit-to-cash conversion (FCF conversion)
0.68x
Fair
Margin stability
2.7 pts
Steady
Revenue to net income
Growth
2.0/10Revenue down 4.3% over 1 year, 0.8% a year over 5, EPS -10.0% a year over 5.
Revenue (trailing 12 months)
45.9Md USD
Revenue growth (1y)
-4.35%
Declining
Revenue growth (3y)
-9.36%
Declining
EPS growth (1y)
-2.42%
Declining
EPS CAGR (5y)
-10.02%
Declining
EPS revisions (3 months)
-25.53%
Sharply revised down
Valuation
2.1/10P/E 16.6x, forward P/E 26.9x, EV/EBITDA 11.0x, PEG 2.40. The multiple sits in the 5th percentile of its own 5-year history.
P/E (TTM)
16.6x
Fair
Sector 14.2x|S&P 23.5x
Forward P/E
26.9x
Very expensive
EV / EBITDA
11.0x
Fair
Sector 9.3x|S&P 14.7x
PEG
2.40
Very expensive
Sector 0.82|S&P 0.87
Fair value (reverse DCF)
51.14 USD
Deeply undervalued
P/E vs its own 5-year history
among the 5% lowest valuations
Far cheaper than usual
Market cap
51.6Md USD
Financial strength
7.9/10Cash covers 75.6% of the debt, net debt/EBITDA 0.4x.
Net debt / EBITDA
0.4x
Solid
Gearing (net debt / equity)
17.77%
Very solid
Cash
8.4Md USD
Cash / market cap
16.23%
Very solid
Cash / total debt
75.58%
Very solid
Interest coverage
18.7x
Very solid
Net debt
2.7Md USD
Equity
15.2Md USD
Closed daily candles, 2 years
Last close on October 9, 2026: 34.71 USD
- MM2035.50
- MM5038.15
- MM20048.01
- RSI 1437.7
Top panel: closed candles, 20, 50 and 200-day moving averages, with volume in grey. Bottom panel: 14-day RSI with dashed 30 and 70 levels.
200-day average slope, 1 month
-5.96%
200-day average slope, 3 months
-14.99%
50-day average slope, 1 month
-7.59%
Bullish RSI divergence
No
20-day volatility
1.47 % per day
Volatility change
-31.01%
Forecasts by fiscal year
| Fiscal year | EPS | Normalised EPS | Revenue | EBITDA | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 1.29 (35) | 1.32 (26) | 43 152 (39) | 3 242 (26) | 1 916 (33) |
Amounts in millions of USD, EPS in USD per share. In brackets, the number of analysts. Consensus as of October 9, 2026.
Same sub-industry: 32 companies behind the medians.
| # | Company | Code | Country | Overall / 10 | Fundamentals / 10 | Mkt cap | P/E | Net margin | Revenue growth | ROIC | Net debt / EBITDA | FCF yield | 1-year perf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7936 | 7.5 | 7.5 | 19.0Md USD | 25.0x | 13.5 % | 35.9 % | 35.0 % | -0.1x | 3.4 % | 13.3 % | ||
| 2 | CROX | 7.2 | 7.5 | 5.5Md USD | 9.9x | 14.6 % | 2.6 % | 19.5 % | 1.5x | 12.8 % | 41.9 % | ||
| 3 | DECK | 7.1 | 7.8 | 11.3Md USD | 11.8x | 18.4 % | 5.8 % | 37.5 % | -1.2x | 9.9 % | -18.4 % | ||
| 4 | ONON | 6.5 | 7.1 | 11.6Md USD | 23.5x | 12.3 % | 18.7 % | 19.0 % | -0.9x | 4.5 % | -19.4 % | ||
| 5 | PUM | 6.4 | N/A | 3.7Md USD | Not meaningful (loss) | -6.9 % | -9.7 % | -13.9 % | 227.0x | — | 2.2 % | ||
| 6 | SHOO | 6.1 | 5.9 | 3.2Md USD | 22.2x | 5.2 % | 19.1 % | 11.2 % | 2.3x | 6.9 % | 29.0 % | ||
| 7 | BIRK | 5.7 | 5.1 | 6.0Md USD | 15.7x | 14.8 % | 16.2 % | 7.9 % | 1.6x | 4.7 % | -23.7 % | ||
| 8 | 300979 | 5.2 | 5.1 | 5.7Md USD | 15.5x | 10.7 % | -9.5 % | 15.6 % | -0.8x | 0.8 % | -37.6 % | ||
| 9 | NKE | 4.3 | 4.7 | 51.6Md USD | 16.6x | 6.7 % | -4.3 % | 12.9 % | 0.4x | 4.1 % | -50.1 % |
