Overall verdict
Neutral
5.8/10
1-year performance
+31.95%
Score breakdown
Up 32.0% over 1 year, 70% of the 52-week range.
Strongest: Profitability 6.7/10. Weakest: Valuation 3.3/10.
15 analysts, target +0.1% vs the price.
Northern Trust Corporation, a financial holding company, provides wealth management, asset servicing, asset management, and banking solutions for corporations, institutions, families, and individuals. It operates in two segments, Asset Servicing and Wealth Management. The Asset Servicing segment offers asset servicing and related services, including custody, fund administration, investment operations outsourcing, investment management, investment risk and analytics services, employee benefit services, securities lending, foreign exchange, treasury management, brokerage, transition management, banking, and cash management services.
It serves corporate and public retirement funds, foundations, endowments, fund managers, insurance companies, sovereign wealth funds, and other institutional investors. The Wealth Management segment offers trust, investment management, custody, and philanthropic services; financial consulting; guardianship and estate administration; family business consulting; family financial education; brokerage; and private and business banking services.
This segment also provides global custody, fiduciary services, family office consulting, and technology solutions to high-net-worth individuals and families, business owners, executives, professionals, retirees, and established privately held businesses. In addition, it offers asset management and related services comprising active and passive equity ; active and passive fixed income ; cash management ;
multi-asset and alternative asset classes that include private equity and hedge funds of funds ; and multi-manager advisory services and products through separately managed accounts, bank common and collective funds, registered investment companies, exchange-traded funds, non-U.S. collective investment funds, and unregistered private investment funds. Further, the company provides overlay and other risk management services. The company was founded in 1889 and is headquartered in Chicago, Illinois.
Sector
Financials
Industry
Capital Markets
Primary listing
Nasdaq
United States
CEO
Michael O’Grady
Founded
1889
Employees
23 800
Revenue / employee
340 983 USD
Next earnings
October 21, 2026 (Q3 2026)
Institutional holders
- BlackRock, Inc.7.90%
- VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC6.41%
- STATE STREET CORP4.95%
- FMR LLC4.73%
- VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC4.58%
- PRIMECAP MANAGEMENT CO/CA/3.32%
- MASSACHUSETTS FINANCIAL SERVICES CO /MA/3.10%
- NORTHERN TRUST CORP3.02%
- GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC2.81%
- Other institutions43.23%
- Rest of the register15.93%
1020 13F filings as of June 30, 2026: US managers above $100M, filed up to 45 days after quarter end. No insiders, no retail. A share on loan is declared by its lender and by whoever bought it from the short seller, so the total can exceed 100%.
Research uses the underlying stock’s market history. The purchase quote is calculated separately when you review your order.
52-week high
195.78 USD
52-week low
121.12 USD
1-year performance
31.95%
Rising
Year-to-date performance
27.21%
Rising
Drawdown
-11.47%
Mild pullback
Position in the 52-week range
70% of range
Against the world ETF
Over 17 years, from September 2009 to August 2026, the share did clearly worse than the world ETF once risk is accounted for. It earned less, while shaking 2.0 times harder.
10,000 € placed at the end of September 2009 are worth today
| Northern Trust | 61 278 € |
| World ETF | 74 620 € |
| S&P 500 | 123 025 € |
| Risk-free placement | 11 288 € |
The risk
- Shaking:the share moves 2.0 times as much as the world ETF.
- Worst fall:-46 % between January 2022 and October 2023. 10,000 € placed at the top fell to 5 390 €. The world ETF, at worst: -34 %. Back to its high in 15 months.
Northern Trust earned less than the world ETF since 2009
Value of 10,000 euros placed at the end of September 2009, dividends reinvested, in euros
- Northern Trust: 61 278 €
- World ETF: 74 620 €
- S&P 500: 123 025 €
- Risk-free placement: 11 288 €
Based on past performance. This is not a recommendation.
Range: 197.01 USD - 208.00 USD (2 methods agree)
The price implies growth of 21.80% per year; the company grows at 9.85%.
Net margin 24.8%, ROIC 11.5%, ROE 16.9%.
Net margin
24.76%
Fair
Sector 24.58%|S&P 12.97%
Gross margin
—
Return on equity (ROE)
16.93%
High
Sector 12.29%|S&P 16.52%
Return on invested capital (ROIC)
11.52%
Exceptional
Free cash flow margin (FCF)
2.93%
Low
Profit-to-cash conversion (FCF conversion)
0.12x
Low
Margin stability
2.8 pts
Steady
Revenue to net income
Growth
6.7/10Revenue up 17.2% over 1 year, 17.8% a year over 5, EPS 9.9% a year over 5.
Revenue (trailing 12 months)
9.1Md USD
Revenue growth (1y)
17.18%
Strong
Revenue growth (3y)
84.25%
Strong
EPS growth (1y)
98.21%
Hyper-growth
EPS CAGR (5y)
9.85%
Fair
EPS revisions (3 months)
-1.32%
Revised down
Valuation
3.3/10P/E 14.9x, forward P/E 13.6x, PEG 1.51. The multiple sits in the 92th percentile of its own 5-year history.
P/E (TTM)
14.9x
Fair
Sector 15.9x|S&P 23.0x
Forward P/E
13.6x
Expensive
EV / EBITDA
—
Sector 13.7x|S&P 14.5x
PEG
1.51
Expensive
Sector 0.61|S&P 0.86
Fair value (reverse DCF)
202.51 USD
Undervalued
P/E vs its own 5-year history
among the 8% highest valuations
At its historical high
Market cap
31.8Md USD
no net debt (net cash).
Net debt / EBITDA
—
Gearing (net debt / equity)
-302.93%
Net cash
Cash
—
Net debt
-40.6Md USD
Equity
13.4Md USD
Closed daily candles, 2 years
Last close on September 24, 2026: 174.50 USD
- MM20181.90
- MM50183.69
- MM200161.74
- RSI 1436.6
Top panel: closed candles, 20, 50 and 200-day moving averages, with volume in grey. Bottom panel: 14-day RSI with dashed 30 and 70 levels.
200-day average slope, 1 month
+3.55%
200-day average slope, 3 months
+11.69%
50-day average slope, 1 month
+0.92%
Price structure
higher-low
Bullish RSI divergence
No
20-day volatility
1.39 % per day
Volatility change
-5.15%
Forecasts by fiscal year
| Fiscal year | EPS | Normalised EPS | Revenue | EBITDA | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 12.77 (8) | 11.43 (11) | 9 278 (10) | 2 960 (1) | 2 345 (7) |
| 2027 | 12.58 (12) | 12.70 (12) | 9 456 (10) | 3 164 (1) | 2 228 (8) |
Amounts in millions of USD, EPS in USD per share. In brackets, the number of analysts. Consensus as of September 24, 2026.
Same sub-industry: 205 companies behind the medians.
| # | Company | Code | Country | Overall / 10 | Fundamentals / 10 | Mkt cap | P/E | Net margin | Revenue growth | ROIC | Net debt / EBITDA | FCF yield | 1-year perf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AMP | 7.3 | 8.2 | 44.4Md USD | 12.1x | 19.9 % | 11.7 % | 32.1 % | -0.8x | 18.5 % | -1.9 % | ||
| 2 | BNY | 6.1 | 5.6 | 101Md USD | 17.4x | 29.6 % | -1.6 % | 8.3 % | — | 1.6 % | 37.6 % | ||
| 3 | BX | 6.0 | 5.7 | 148Md USD | 26.8x | 22.1 % | 33.2 % | 16.2 % | 1.4x | 1.3 % | -36.6 % | ||
| 4 | STT | 5.9 | 4.7 | 49.4Md USD | 15.9x | 24.9 % | 3.2 % | 6.4 % | — | -8.3 % | 60.0 % | ||
| 5 | BLK | 5.8 | 4.6 | 172Md USD | 26.4x | 23.8 % | 22.4 % | 9.6 % | 0.4x | 2.0 % | -5.3 % | ||
| 6 | NTRS | 5.8 | 5.4 | 31.8Md USD | 14.9x | 24.8 % | 17.2 % | 11.5 % | — | 1.4 % | 32.0 % | ||
| 7 | BAM | 5.6 | 5.0 | 74.1Md USD | 26.7x | 48.9 % | 60.8 % | 27.5 % | 0.7x | 3.2 % | -27.1 % | ||
| 8 | KKR | 5.2 | 4.1 | 87.3Md USD | 31.0x | 13.4 % | 20.4 % | 3.8 % | 6.4x | 10.4 % | -34.6 % | ||
| 9 | BN | 4.0 | 3.2 | 82.7Md USD | 70.1x | 1.8 % | 9.2 % | 0.5 % | 8.1x | -11.1 % | -21.4 % |
