Overall verdict
Neutral
6.4/10
1-year performance
-19.45%
Score breakdown
Down 19.4% over 1 year, 36% of the 52-week range.
Strongest: Profitability 8.8/10. Weakest: Valuation 5.5/10.
19 analysts, target +0.2% vs the price.
Paychex, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides human capital management solutions (HCM) for human resources, payroll processing, employee benefits, and insurance services for small to medium-sized businesses in the United States, Europe, Canada, India, and Israel. It offers technology and advisory solutions; and payroll tax administration services. The company also provides retirement solutions, such as plan implementation, ongoing compliance with government regulations, employee and employer reporting, participant and employer online access, electronic funds transfer, and other administrative services ;
HCM solutions from recruiting and hiring to retirement ; and talent management and talent acquisition services. In addition, it offers payroll solutions, including calculation, preparation, and delivery of employee payroll checks; production of internal accounting records and management reports; preparation of federal, state, and local payroll tax returns; and collection and remittance of clients' payroll obligations.
Further, the company provides workforce management solutions ; benefits administration solutions ; digital marketplace for earned wages, financial wellness solutions, and voluntary lifestyle benefits ; administrative services organization HR outsourcing solutions ; solutions to payroll and non-payroll customers ; retirement and funding solutions ; and insurance services for property and casualty coverage, such as workers' compensation, business-owner policies, cyber security protection, and commercial auto, as well as health and benefits coverage, including health, dental, vision, and life.
Additionally, it offers payroll, HR, employee benefits administration, retirement, insurance, risk management outsourcing, and access to professionally trained HR representatives, virtually and on-site. It markets and sells its solutions primarily through its direct sales force. Paychex, Inc. was founded in 1971 and is headquartered in Rochester, New York.
Sector
Industrials
Industry
Professional Services
Primary listing
Nasdaq
United States
CEO
John Gibson
Founded
1971
Employees
17 600
Revenue / employee
370 000 USD
Next earnings
December 18, 2026 (estimated)
Institutional holders
- Capital International Investors7.88%
- BlackRock, Inc.7.58%
- VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC5.75%
- VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC4.17%
- STATE STREET CORP3.94%
- Invesco Ltd.3.56%
- CHARLES SCHWAB INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT INC2.84%
- GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC2.80%
- MORGAN STANLEY1.79%
- Other institutions40.44%
- Rest of the register19.27%
1527 13F filings as of June 30, 2026: US managers above $100M, filed up to 45 days after quarter end. No insiders, no retail. A share on loan is declared by its lender and by whoever bought it from the short seller, so the total can exceed 100%.
Research uses the underlying stock’s market history. The purchase quote is calculated separately when you review your order.
52-week high
130.32 USD
52-week low
85.45 USD
1-year performance
-19.45%
Declining
Year-to-date performance
-6.81%
Declining
Drawdown
-22.06%
Marked drawdown
Position in the 52-week range
36% of range
Against the world ETF
Over 17 years, from September 2009 to August 2026, the share did not do better than the world ETF once risk is accounted for. It earned more, but shaking 1.7 times harder: for the risk taken, the ETF paid better.
10,000 € placed at the end of September 2009 are worth today
| Paychex | 97 890 € |
| World ETF | 74 620 € |
| S&P 500 | 123 025 € |
| Risk-free placement | 11 288 € |
The risk
- Shaking:the share moves 1.7 times as much as the world ETF.
- Worst fall:-48 % between March 2025 and April 2026. 10,000 € placed at the top fell to 5 172 €. The world ETF, at worst: -34 %. The share has not returned to its high yet.
Paychex earned more than the world ETF since 2009
Value of 10,000 euros placed at the end of September 2009, dividends reinvested, in euros
- Paychex: 97 890 €
- World ETF: 74 620 €
- S&P 500: 123 025 €
- Risk-free placement: 11 288 €
Based on past performance. This is not a recommendation.
Range: 113.53 USD - 116.02 USD (3 methods agree)
The price implies growth of 3.94% per year; the company grows at 10.04%.
Gross margin 72.6%, net margin 27.4%, ROIC 21.4%, ROE 47.1%.
Net margin
27.35%
Exceptional
Sector 4.21%|S&P 12.97%
Gross margin
72.56%
Exceptional
Return on equity (ROE)
47.06%
Exceptional
Sector 15.02%|S&P 16.52%
Return on invested capital (ROIC)
21.37%
Exceptional
Free cash flow margin (FCF)
30.54%
Exceptional
Profit-to-cash conversion (FCF conversion)
1.12x
Fair
Margin stability
1.9 pts
Very steady
Revenue to net income
Growth
5.8/10Revenue up 5.9% over 1 year, 9.9% a year over 5, EPS 10.0% a year over 5.
Revenue (trailing 12 months)
6.6Md USD
Revenue growth (1y)
5.88%
Solid
Revenue growth (3y)
30.06%
Solid
EPS growth (1y)
13.63%
Strong
EPS CAGR (5y)
10.04%
Fair
EPS revisions (3 months)
-0.11%
Revised down
Valuation
5.5/10P/E 20.2x, forward P/E 18.4x, EV/EBITDA 13.5x, PEG 2.01. The multiple sits in the 8th percentile of its own 5-year history.
P/E (TTM)
20.2x
Fair
Sector 17.4x|S&P 23.0x
Forward P/E
18.4x
Fair
EV / EBITDA
13.5x
Expensive
Sector 9.5x|S&P 14.5x
PEG
2.01
Very expensive
Sector 0.71|S&P 0.86
Fair value (reverse DCF)
114.77 USD
Undervalued
P/E vs its own 5-year history
among the 8% lowest valuations
Far cheaper than usual
Market cap
37.2Md USD
Financial strength
7.1/10Cash covers 21.4% of the debt, net debt/EBITDA 1.1x.
Net debt / EBITDA
1.1x
Solid
Gearing (net debt / equity)
98.01%
Tight
Cash
989M USD
Cash / market cap
2.66%
Stretched
Cash / total debt
21.41%
Tight
Interest coverage
9.7x
Solid
Net debt
3.6Md USD
Equity
3.7Md USD
Closed daily candles, 2 years
Last close on September 24, 2026: 101.59 USD
- MM20118.09
- MM50118.64
- MM200104.23
- RSI 1422.2
Top panel: closed candles, 20, 50 and 200-day moving averages, with volume in grey. Bottom panel: 14-day RSI with dashed 30 and 70 levels.
200-day average slope, 1 month
+0.73%
200-day average slope, 3 months
-1.61%
50-day average slope, 1 month
+5.92%
Price structure
higher-low
Bullish RSI divergence
No
20-day volatility
2.30 % per day
Volatility change
+20.68%
Forecasts by fiscal year
| Fiscal year | EPS | Normalised EPS | Revenue | EBITDA | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 5.51 (11) | 5.96 (19) | 6 864 (18) | 3 233 (10) | 1 966 (11) |
Amounts in millions of USD, EPS in USD per share. In brackets, the number of analysts. Consensus as of September 24, 2026.
Same sub-industry: 57 companies behind the medians.
| # | Company | Code | Country | Overall / 10 | Fundamentals / 10 | Mkt cap | P/E | Net margin | Revenue growth | ROIC | Net debt / EBITDA | FCF yield | 1-year perf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BZ | 8.1 | 8.4 | 6.9Md USD | 10.2x | 53.2 % | 21.2 % | 24.3 % | -6.2x | — | -41.8 % | ||
| 2 | BFT | 7.7 | 7.4 | 4.3Md USD | 20.0x | 15.5 % | 33.4 % | 16.4 % | 2.1x | 5.7 % | 61.7 % | ||
| 3 | PCTY | 7.5 | 8.1 | 7.6Md USD | 29.0x | 15.2 % | 11.0 % | 19.4 % | -0.3x | 6.5 % | -13.5 % | ||
| 4 | 6098 | 7.4 | 7.0 | 149Md USD | 39.1x | 15.0 % | 18.9 % | 33.5 % | -0.7x | 3.1 % | 107.9 % | ||
| 5 | PAYC | 6.7 | 7.9 | 9.8Md USD | 23.6x | 22.8 % | 9.8 % | 28.8 % | -0.3x | 5.8 % | 0.4 % | ||
| 6 | PAYX | 6.4 | 6.8 | 37.2Md USD | 20.2x | 27.4 % | 5.9 % | 21.4 % | 1.1x | 5.4 % | -19.4 % | ||
| 7 | ADP | 5.9 | 6.5 | 105Md USD | 24.1x | 20.1 % | 6.8 % | 40.5 % | 0.2x | 5.0 % | -8.8 % | ||
| 8 | RAND | 5.6 | 5.0 | 7.3Md USD | 20.5x | 1.4 % | 1.8 % | 5.6 % | 1.6x | 9.2 % | 2.8 % | ||
| 9 | ADEN | 4.0 | 4.0 | 5.2Md USD | 15.3x | 1.3 % | 1.8 % | 4.5 % | 3.3x | 8.6 % | 15.4 % |
