Overall verdict
Neutral
5.5/10
1-year performance
-10.32%
Score breakdown
Down 10.3% over 1 year, 5% of the 52-week range.
Strongest: Profitability 8.8/10. Weakest: Financial strength 3.1/10.
24 analysts, target +0.1% vs the price.
PepsiCo, Inc. engages in the manufacture, marketing, distribution, and sale of various beverages and convenient foods worldwide. The company operates through six segments: PepsiCo Foods North America; PepsiCo Beverages North America; International Beverages Franchise; Europe, Middle East and Africa; Latin America Foods; and Asia Pacific Foods. It offers cereals, chips, dips, granola bars, oatmeal, pasta, rice, and syrups and mixes; refrigerated dips and spreads; beverage concentrates, fountain syrups, and finished goods; and ready-to-drink tea and coffee products.
The company also provides SodaStream sparkling water makers and related products, as well as various dairy products under the Agusha, Chudo, and Domik v Derevne brands. It serves wholesale and other distributors, foodservice customers, grocery stores, drug stores, convenience stores, discount/dollar stores, mass merchandisers, membership stores, hard discounters, e-commerce retailers and authorized independent bottlers, and others through a network of direct-store-delivery, customer warehouse, and distributor networks, as well as directly to consumers through e-commerce platforms and retailers. PepsiCo, Inc. was founded in 1898 and is based in Purchase, New York.
Sector
Consumer Staples
Industry
Beverages
Primary listing
Nasdaq
United States
CEO
Ramon Laguarta
Founded
1898
Employees
306 000
Revenue / employee
306 941 USD
Next earnings
January 11, 2027 (estimated)
Institutional holders
- BlackRock, Inc.8.68%
- VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC6.55%
- STATE STREET CORP4.43%
- Invesco Ltd.3.16%
- VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC2.73%
- CHARLES SCHWAB INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT INC2.65%
- GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC2.57%
- JPMORGAN CHASE & CO2.25%
- MORGAN STANLEY1.95%
- Other institutions44.22%
- Rest of the register20.82%
3404 13F filings as of June 30, 2026: US managers above $100M, filed up to 45 days after quarter end. No insiders, no retail. A share on loan is declared by its lender and by whoever bought it from the short seller, so the total can exceed 100%.
Research uses the underlying stock’s market history. The purchase quote is calculated separately when you review your order.
52-week high
171.48 USD
52-week low
123.47 USD
1-year performance
-10.32%
Declining
Year-to-date performance
-12.04%
Declining
Drawdown
-26.54%
Marked drawdown
Position in the 52-week range
5% of range
Against the world ETF
Over 17 years, from September 2009 to September 2026, the share did not clearly beat the world ETF once risk is accounted for. It earned less, for a comparable risk.
$10,000 placed at the end of September 2009 are worth today
| PepsiCo | $36,164 |
| World ETF | $60,004 |
| S&P 500 | $97,541 |
| Risk-free placement | $12,831 |
The risk
- Shaking:the share moves about as much as the world ETF.
- Worst fall:-30 % between May 2023 and May 2025. $10,000 placed at the top fell to $6,968. The world ETF, at worst: -34 %. The share has not returned to its high yet.
PepsiCo earned less than the world ETF since 2009
Value of $10,000 placed at the end of September 2009, dividends reinvested, in dollars
- PepsiCo: $36,164
- World ETF: $60,004
- S&P 500: $97,541
- Risk-free placement: $12,831
Based on past performance. This is not a recommendation.
Range: 124.00 USD - 142.64 USD (2 methods agree)
The price implies growth of 2.40% per year; the company grows at 3.25%.
Gross margin 54.1%, net margin 11.1%, ROIC 17.0%, ROE 52.3%.
Net margin
11.09%
High
Sector 8.27%|S&P 13.13%
Gross margin
54.11%
High
Return on equity (ROE)
52.28%
Exceptional
Sector 15.61%|S&P 16.52%
Return on invested capital (ROIC)
16.97%
Exceptional
Free cash flow margin (FCF)
10.66%
High
Profit-to-cash conversion (FCF conversion)
0.96x
High
Margin stability
3.0 pts
Steady
Revenue to net income
Growth
4.1/10Revenue up 5.6% over 1 year, 5.9% a year over 5, EPS 3.2% a year over 5.
Revenue (trailing 12 months)
98.2Md USD
Revenue growth (1y)
5.58%
Moderate
Revenue growth (3y)
8.70%
Moderate
EPS growth (1y)
17.53%
Solid
EPS CAGR (5y)
3.25%
Low
EPS revisions (3 months)
-1.90%
Revised down
Valuation
5.4/10P/E 15.8x, forward P/E 15.1x, EV/EBITDA 11.1x, PEG 4.87. The multiple sits in the 10th percentile of its own 5-year history.
P/E (TTM)
15.8x
Fair
Sector 19.9x|S&P 23.5x
Forward P/E
15.1x
Fair
EV / EBITDA
11.1x
Fair
Sector 11.1x|S&P 14.7x
PEG
4.87
Very expensive
Sector 1.32|S&P 0.87
Fair value (reverse DCF)
133.32 USD
Fairly priced
P/E vs its own 5-year history
among the 10% lowest valuations
Far cheaper than usual
Market cap
172Md USD
Financial strength
3.1/10Cash covers 21.5% of the debt, net debt/EBITDA 2.3x.
Net debt / EBITDA
2.3x
Stretched
Gearing (net debt / equity)
181.07%
Stretched
Cash
11.2Md USD
Cash / market cap
6.50%
Tight
Cash / total debt
21.52%
Tight
Interest coverage
14.5x
Very solid
Net debt
40.7Md USD
Equity
22.5Md USD
Closed daily candles, 2 years
Last close on October 9, 2026: 125.97 USD
- MM20129.11
- MM50135.51
- MM200146.68
- RSI 1436.9
Top panel: closed candles, 20, 50 and 200-day moving averages, with volume in grey. Bottom panel: 14-day RSI with dashed 30 and 70 levels.
200-day average slope, 1 month
-1.31%
200-day average slope, 3 months
-2.25%
50-day average slope, 1 month
-2.91%
Price structure
Lower lows
Bullish RSI divergence
Yes
20-day volatility
1.32 % per day
Volatility change
+2.48%
Forecasts by fiscal year
| Fiscal year | EPS | Normalised EPS | Revenue | EBITDA | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 8.33 (6) | 8.39 (17) | 99 312 (16) | 19 061 (13) | 11 398 (5) |
| 2027 | 8.23 (8) | 8.69 (23) | 101 772 (21) | 19 700 (16) | 11 183 (7) |
Amounts in millions of USD, EPS in USD per share. In brackets, the number of analysts. Consensus as of October 9, 2026.
Same sub-industry: 47 companies behind the medians.
| # | Company | Code | Country | Overall / 10 | Fundamentals / 10 | Mkt cap | P/E | Net margin | Revenue growth | ROIC | Net debt / EBITDA | FCF yield | 1-year perf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9633 | 7.1 | 8.0 | 59.6Md USD | 24.4x | 30.2 % | 22.5 % | 49.5 % | -0.6x | 3.5 % | -22.2 % | ||
| 2 | KO | 6.2 | 5.2 | 379Md USD | 26.5x | 28.3 % | 5.9 % | 19.5 % | 1.9x | 3.8 % | 32.8 % | ||
| 3 | MNST | 6.1 | 5.4 | 85.5Md USD | 40.5x | 23.1 % | 20.2 % | 25.7 % | -1.1x | 2.5 % | 26.9 % | ||
| 4 | AC * | 6.0 | 5.3 | 18.8Md USD | 18.2x | 7.5 % | 0.1 % | 10.9 % | 0.7x | 5.5 % | 9.9 % | ||
| 5 | CCH | 5.5 | 6.2 | 20.6Md USD | 18.0x | 8.1 % | 9.2 % | 13.3 % | 0.7x | 4.1 % | 27.8 % | ||
| 6 | PEP | 5.5 | 5.9 | 172Md USD | 15.8x | 11.1 % | 5.6 % | 17.0 % | 2.3x | 6.1 % | -10.3 % | ||
| 7 | FEMSA UBD | 5.4 | 5.8 | 24.3Md USD | 23.0x | 3.7 % | 22.7 % | 7.0 % | 1.2x | 15.1 % | 12.9 % | ||
| 8 | KDP | 5.1 | 3.3 | 43.2Md USD | 32.2x | 7.1 % | 75.6 % | 3.1 % | 3.9x | 4.2 % | 23.7 % | ||
| 9 | CCEP | 5.0 | 5.7 | 46.2Md USD | 20.5x | 9.3 % | -6.0 % | 11.0 % | 2.7x | 5.3 % | 20.2 % |
