Overall verdict
Neutral
5.5/10
1-year performance
+31.03%
Score breakdown
Up 31.0% over 1 year, 60% of the 52-week range.
Strongest: Financial strength 9.0/10. Weakest: Valuation 1.8/10.
12 analysts, target +0.2% vs the price.
Royal Gold, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, acquires and manages precious metal streams, royalties, and related interests in North America, South and Central America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Australia Pacific. It operates through Acquisition and Management of Stream Interests and Acquisition and Management of Royalty Interests segments. The company engages in the acquisition of existing stream and royalty interests ;
and the financing of projects that are in production, development, or in the exploration stage in exchange for stream or royalty interests, which consists of gold, silver, copper, nickel, zinc, lead, molybdenum, diamonds, uranium, iron, platinum, palladium, rhodium, lithium, titanium, cobalt, barite, tungsten, and coal. Its properties are located in Canada, Chile, the Dominican Republic, the United States, Zambia, Australia, Ghana, Brazil, Mexico, Bolivia, Argentina, Nicaragua, Macedonia, Botswana, Spain, and internationally. Royal Gold, Inc. was incorporated in 1981 and is based in Denver, Colorado.
Sector
Materials
Industry
Metals and Mining
Primary listing
Nasdaq
United States
CEO
William Heissenbuttel
Founded
1981
Employees
39
Revenue / employee
26.4M USD
Next earnings
November 4, 2026 (estimated)
Institutional holders
- BlackRock, Inc.12.82%
- Capital World Investors10.95%
- VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC4.85%
- STATE STREET CORP4.59%
- VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC4.46%
- VAN ECK ASSOCIATES CORP3.44%
- Invesco Ltd.2.43%
- GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC2.04%
- Capital Research Global Investors1.71%
- Other institutions35.85%
- Rest of the register16.86%
763 13F filings as of June 30, 2026: US managers above $100M, filed up to 45 days after quarter end. No insiders, no retail. A share on loan is declared by its lender and by whoever bought it from the short seller, so the total can exceed 100%.
Research uses the underlying stock’s market history. The purchase quote is calculated separately when you review your order.
52-week high
306.25 USD
52-week low
168.88 USD
1-year performance
31.03%
Rising
Year-to-date performance
12.85%
Rising
Drawdown
-17.84%
Marked drawdown
Position in the 52-week range
60% of range
Against the world ETF
Over 17 years, from September 2009 to August 2026, the share did not do better than the world ETF once risk is accounted for. It earned more, but shaking 3.2 times harder: for the risk taken, the ETF paid better.
10,000 € placed at the end of September 2009 are worth today
| Royal Gold | 87 639 € |
| World ETF | 74 620 € |
| S&P 500 | 123 025 € |
| Risk-free placement | 11 288 € |
The risk
- Shaking:the share moves 3.2 times as much as the world ETF.
- Worst fall:-63 % between September 2012 and January 2016. 10,000 € placed at the top fell to 3 728 €. The world ETF, at worst: -34 %. Back to its high in 6 months.
Royal Gold earned more than the world ETF since 2009
Value of 10,000 euros placed at the end of September 2009, dividends reinvested, in euros
- Royal Gold: 87 639 €
- World ETF: 74 620 €
- S&P 500: 123 025 €
- Risk-free placement: 11 288 €
Based on past performance. This is not a recommendation.
Range: 211.37 USD - 215.88 USD (comparables only)
The price implies growth of 60.00% per year; the company grows at 17.16%.
Gross margin 66.8%, net margin 47.7%, ROIC 13.1%, ROE 13.5%.
Net margin
47.70%
Exceptional
Sector 26.54%|S&P 12.97%
Gross margin
66.77%
High
Return on equity (ROE)
13.55%
Low
Sector 19.96%|S&P 16.52%
Return on invested capital (ROIC)
13.07%
Low
Free cash flow margin (FCF)
0.04%
Low
Profit-to-cash conversion (FCF conversion)
0.00x
Low
Margin stability
2.7 pts
Steady
Revenue to net income
Growth
5.3/10Revenue up 114.9% over 1 year, 15.6% a year over 5, EPS 17.2% a year over 5.
Revenue (trailing 12 months)
1.5Md USD
Revenue growth (1y)
114.91%
Hyper-growth
Revenue growth (3y)
70.83%
Strong
EPS growth (1y)
38.22%
Solid
EPS CAGR (5y)
17.16%
Fair
EPS revisions (3 months)
-7.99%
Sharply revised down
Valuation
1.8/10P/E 27.4x, forward P/E 21.4x, EV/EBITDA 17.0x, PEG 1.60. The multiple sits in the 82th percentile of its own 5-year history.
P/E (TTM)
27.4x
Expensive
Sector 14.7x|S&P 23.0x
Forward P/E
21.4x
Expensive
EV / EBITDA
17.0x
Very expensive
Sector 8.4x|S&P 14.5x
PEG
1.60
Expensive
Sector 0.11|S&P 0.86
Fair value (reverse DCF)
213.63 USD
Overvalued
P/E vs its own 5-year history
among the 18% highest valuations
At its historical high
Market cap
21.4Md USD
Financial strength
9.0/10Cash covers 46.1% of the debt, net debt/EBITDA 0.8x.
Net debt / EBITDA
0.8x
Solid
Gearing (net debt / equity)
2.80%
Very solid
Cash
182M USD
Cash / market cap
0.85%
Stretched
Cash / total debt
46.09%
Solid
Net debt
213M USD
Equity
7.6Md USD
Closed daily candles, 2 years
Last close on September 24, 2026: 252.49 USD
- MM20256.14
- MM50234.66
- MM200240.35
- RSI 1453.0
Top panel: closed candles, 20, 50 and 200-day moving averages, with volume in grey. Bottom panel: 14-day RSI with dashed 30 and 70 levels.
200-day average slope, 1 month
+2.96%
200-day average slope, 3 months
+5.05%
50-day average slope, 1 month
+10.47%
Price structure
Lower lows
Bullish RSI divergence
Yes
20-day volatility
1.80 % per day
Volatility change
-26.30%
Forecasts by fiscal year
| Fiscal year | EPS | Normalised EPS | Revenue | EBITDA | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 11.74 (4) | 10.45 (11) | 1 886 (6) | 1 533 (7) | 954 (5) |
| 2027 | 13.61 (4) | 12.87 (11) | 2 272 (6) | 1 800 (8) | 1 206 (5) |
Amounts in millions of USD, EPS in USD per share. In brackets, the number of analysts. Consensus as of September 21, 2026.
Same sub-industry: 150 companies behind the medians.
| # | Company | Code | Country | Overall / 10 | Fundamentals / 10 | Mkt cap | P/E | Net margin | Revenue growth | ROIC | Net debt / EBITDA | FCF yield | 1-year perf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AU | 7.7 | 8.0 | 49.9Md USD | 13.2x | 32.2 % | 27.0 % | 37.6 % | -0.1x | 8.5 % | 41.8 % | ||
| 2 | GFI | 7.1 | 8.8 | 36.0Md USD | 8.1x | 39.6 % | 64.0 % | 44.0 % | 0.3x | 12.6 % | -8.4 % | ||
| 3 | 2259 | 7.0 | 8.2 | 50.0Md USD | 19.0x | 34.3 % | 79.9 % | 36.7 % | -0.9x | 6.2 % | 27.1 % | ||
| 4 | ABX | 6.8 | 7.6 | 69.8Md USD | 11.1x | 31.6 % | 44.6 % | 21.1 % | -0.2x | 7.9 % | 24.9 % | ||
| 5 | NEM | 6.7 | 6.3 | 130Md USD | 15.6x | 34.0 % | 16.9 % | 21.4 % | -0.2x | 7.5 % | 43.5 % | ||
| 6 | AEM | 6.4 | 6.7 | 99.6Md USD | 17.2x | 40.4 % | 29.4 % | 22.4 % | -0.3x | 4.4 % | 21.6 % | ||
| 7 | FNV | 5.5 | 5.4 | 50.1Md USD | 34.7x | 63.8 % | 57.2 % | 19.7 % | -0.4x | 1.8 % | 23.7 % | ||
| 8 | RGLD | 5.5 | 3.9 | 21.4Md USD | 27.4x | 47.7 % | 114.9 % | 13.1 % | 0.8x | 0.0 % | 31.0 % | ||
| 9 | WPM | 5.4 | 5.0 | 66.0Md USD | 32.9x | 64.6 % | 84.6 % | 20.9 % | -0.6x | -4.3 % | 36.5 % |
