Overall verdict
Buy
6.9/10
1-year performance
-5.50%
Score breakdown
Down 5.5% over 1 year, 4% of the 52-week range.
Strongest: Valuation 9.9/10. Weakest: Financial strength 2.8/10.
21 analysts, target +0.3% vs the price.
Vinci SA, together with its subsidiaries, engages in concessions, energy, and construction businesses in France and internationally. It operates through Concessions, Energy Solutions, and Construction segments. The company's Concessions segment operates motorways, autoroutes, airports, highways, railways, and stadiums.
Its Energy segment provides services to the manufacturing sector, infrastructure, building solutions and facilities management, and information and communication technology ; and industrial and energy-related services, which includes development of renewable energy assets, as well as engineering, procurement, construction projects in the energy sector, and development of renewable energy production facilities of solar, and wind farms.
The company's Construction segment engages in designing and undertaking projects, which includes general contractor ; geotechnical, and structural engineering and related digital activities, as well as provision of services in nuclear engineering ; undertaking building, civil engineering, roadworks, rail works, and water works ; development of properties, including residential and commercial properties ; and management of residences and property services. Vinci SA was founded in 1899 and is headquartered in Nanterre, France.
Sector
Industrials
Industry
Construction and Engineering
Primary listing
Euronext
France
CEO
Pierre Anjolras
Founded
1899
Employees
294 000
Revenue / employee
263 652 EUR
Next earnings
October 23, 2026 (estimated)
Research uses the underlying stock’s market history. The purchase quote is calculated separately when you review your order.
52-week high
143.15 EUR
52-week low
109.60 EUR
1-year performance
-5.50%
Declining
Year-to-date performance
-6.85%
Declining
Drawdown
-22.53%
Marked drawdown
Position in the 52-week range
4% of range
Against the world ETF
Over 17 years, from September 2009 to August 2026, the share did clearly worse than the world ETF once risk is accounted for. It earned less, while shaking 1.7 times harder.
10,000 € placed at the end of September 2009 are worth today
| Vinci | 29 268 € |
| World ETF | 74 620 € |
| CAC 40 | 32 720 € |
| Risk-free placement | 11 288 € |
The risk
- Shaking:the share moves 1.7 times as much as the world ETF.
- Worst fall:-47 % between February 2020 and March 2020. 10,000 € placed at the top fell to 5 340 €. The world ETF, at worst: -34 %. Back to its high in 35 months.
Vinci earned less than the world ETF since 2009
Value of 10,000 euros placed at the end of September 2009, dividends reinvested, in euros
- Vinci: 29 268 €
- World ETF: 74 620 €
- CAC 40: 32 720 €
- Risk-free placement: 11 288 €
Share price without dividends; the world ETF and the index reinvest theirs. A dividend payer is therefore understated here.
Based on past performance. This is not a recommendation.
Range: 214.60 EUR - 223.54 EUR (2 methods agree)
The price implies growth of -8.04% per year; the company grows at 25.00%.
Gross margin 14.8%, net margin 6.7%, ROIC 8.4%, ROE 17.2%.
Net margin
6.67%
Exceptional
Sector 4.28%|S&P 12.97%
Gross margin
14.82%
Fair
Return on equity (ROE)
17.18%
Exceptional
Sector 10.63%|S&P 16.52%
Return on invested capital (ROIC)
8.35%
Fair
Free cash flow margin (FCF)
10.86%
Exceptional
Profit-to-cash conversion (FCF conversion)
1.63x
Exceptional
Margin stability
0.6 pts
Very steady
Revenue to net income
Growth
4.6/10Revenue up 2.3% over 1 year, 11.4% a year over 5, EPS 31.4% a year over 5.
Revenue (trailing 12 months)
76.2Md EUR
Revenue growth (1y)
2.30%
Moderate
Revenue growth (3y)
21.05%
Solid
EPS growth (1y)
10.80%
Solid
EPS CAGR (5y)
31.42%
Exceptional
EPS revisions (3 months)
0.33%
Revised up
Valuation
9.9/10P/E 12.3x, forward P/E 12.2x, EV/EBITDA 6.6x, PEG 0.39. The multiple sits in the 10th percentile of its own 5-year history.
P/E (TTM)
12.3x
Fair
Sector 17.8x|S&P 23.0x
Forward P/E
12.2x
Cheap
EV / EBITDA
6.6x
Cheap
Sector 11.4x|S&P 14.5x
PEG
0.39
Growth unpriced
Sector 0.68|S&P 0.86
Fair value (reverse DCF)
215.53 EUR
Deeply undervalued
P/E vs its own 5-year history
among the 10% lowest valuations
Far cheaper than usual
Market cap
62.5Md EUR
Financial strength
2.8/10Cash covers 38.8% of the debt, net debt/EBITDA 1.6x.
Net debt / EBITDA
1.6x
Stretched
Gearing (net debt / equity)
71.64%
Tight
Cash
15.1Md EUR
Cash / market cap
24.23%
Very solid
Cash / total debt
38.81%
Solid
Net debt
23.9Md EUR
Equity
33.3Md EUR
Closed daily candles, 2 years
Last close on September 24, 2026: 110.50 EUR
- MM20112.24
- MM50117.42
- MM200124.46
- RSI 1438.0
Top panel: closed candles, 20, 50 and 200-day moving averages, with volume in grey. Bottom panel: 14-day RSI with dashed 30 and 70 levels.
200-day average slope, 1 month
-0.63%
200-day average slope, 3 months
-0.04%
50-day average slope, 1 month
-4.38%
Price structure
Lower lows
Bullish RSI divergence
Yes
20-day volatility
1.13 % per day
Volatility change
-21.52%
Forecasts by fiscal year
| Fiscal year | EPS | Normalised EPS | Revenue | EBITDA | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 9.09 (14) | 9.13 (15) | 76 606 (18) | 13 987 (19) | 5 178 (17) |
| 2027 | 9.98 (15) | 10.03 (16) | 79 131 (18) | 14 553 (19) | 5 700 (17) |
Amounts in millions of EUR, EPS in EUR per share. In brackets, the number of analysts. Consensus as of September 24, 2026.
Same sub-industry: 409 companies behind the medians.
| # | Company | Code | Country | Overall / 10 | Fundamentals / 10 | Mkt cap | P/E | Net margin | Revenue growth | ROIC | Net debt / EBITDA | FCF yield | 1-year perf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FIX | 7.8 | 7.5 | 57.2Md USD | 40.0x | 12.8 % | 50.3 % | 49.6 % | -0.3x | 3.8 % | 102.6 % | ||
| 2 | EME | 7.7 | 7.8 | 33.2Md USD | 23.3x | 7.7 % | 19.8 % | 35.3 % | -0.4x | 3.5 % | 15.3 % | ||
| 3 | DG | 6.9 | 7.4 | 71.1Md USD | 12.3x | 6.7 % | 2.3 % | 8.4 % | 1.6x | 13.3 % | -5.5 % | ||
| 4 | ACS | 6.5 | 5.8 | 28.1Md USD | 24.3x | 1.9 % | 93.2 % | 5.7 % | 0.7x | 10.1 % | 36.7 % | ||
| 5 | HOT | 6.4 | 6.5 | 34.0Md USD | 34.0x | 2.2 % | 13.6 % | 9.8 % | 0.7x | 6.3 % | 72.3 % | ||
| 6 | PWR | 6.4 | 5.1 | 95.5Md USD | 72.7x | 4.0 % | 41.1 % | 9.4 % | 2.3x | 2.5 % | 60.8 % | ||
| 7 | 601668 | 5.7 | N/A | 25.5Md USD | 5.6x | 1.5 % | -16.1 % | — | 5.4x | — | -23.2 % | ||
| 8 | 500510 | 5.1 | 3.8 | 57.8Md USD | 33.0x | 6.2 % | 6.7 % | — | 1.2x | — | 4.6 % | ||
| 9 | FER | 4.6 | 4.5 | 39.6Md USD | 57.8x | 6.0 % | 5.2 % | 3.8 % | 4.4x | 6.0 % | -2.9 % |
