Overall verdict
Neutral
5.4/10
1-year performance
-1.90%
Score breakdown
Down 1.9% over 1 year, 0% of the 52-week range.
Strongest: Growth 5.7/10. Weakest: Financial strength 1.9/10.
18 analysts, target +0.3% vs the price.
Xcel Energy Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates as an electric and natural gas delivery company in the United States. It operates through Regulated Electric Utility and Regulated Natural Gas Utility segments. The company generates, purchases, transmits, distributes, and sells electricity through its energy portfolio, including wind, nuclear, hydroelectric, biomass, and solar power from both owned generation facilities and PPAs, as well as its fossil fuel energy portfolio, such as coal and natural gas ;
sale and resale of wholesale transmission service ; and engages in wholesale commodity and trading operations. It also purchases, transports, stores, distributes, and sells natural gas; develops and leases natural gas pipelines and storage facilities; operates interstate natural gas pipeline; and invests in rental housing projects, energy technology companies, and community solar garden nonregulated assets.
It serves electric and natural gas customers in portions of Colorado, Michigan, Minnesota, New Mexico, North Dakota, South Dakota, Texas, and Wisconsin. The company was formerly known as Northern States Power company. Xcel Energy Inc. was incorporated in 1909 and is headquartered in Minneapolis, Minnesota.
Sector
Utilities
Industry
Electric Utilities
Primary listing
Nasdaq
United States
CEO
Robert Frenzel
Founded
1909
Employees
11 534
Revenue / employee
1.3M USD
Next earnings
October 29, 2026 (estimated)
Institutional holders
- BlackRock, Inc.9.50%
- VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC6.36%
- STATE STREET CORP6.07%
- VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC5.56%
- BANK OF AMERICA CORP /DE/4.67%
- Capital Research Global Investors4.57%
- JPMORGAN CHASE & CO3.39%
- Invesco Ltd.3.34%
- GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC2.82%
- Other institutions46.75%
- Rest of the register6.97%
1284 13F filings as of June 30, 2026: US managers above $100M, filed up to 45 days after quarter end. No insiders, no retail. A share on loan is declared by its lender and by whoever bought it from the short seller, so the total can exceed 100%.
Research uses the underlying stock’s market history. The purchase quote is calculated separately when you review your order.
52-week high
84.23 USD
52-week low
68.88 USD
1-year performance
-1.90%
Declining
Year-to-date performance
-4.28%
Declining
Drawdown
-18.23%
Marked drawdown
Position in the 52-week range
0% of range
Against the world ETF
Over 17 years, from September 2009 to August 2026, the share did not do better than the world ETF once risk is accounted for. It earned more, but shaking 1.4 times harder: for the risk taken, the ETF paid better.
10,000 € placed at the end of September 2009 are worth today
| Xcel Energy | 87 883 € |
| World ETF | 74 620 € |
| S&P 500 | 123 025 € |
| Risk-free placement | 11 288 € |
The risk
- Shaking:the share moves 1.4 times as much as the world ETF.
- Worst fall:-40 % between September 2022 and March 2024. 10,000 € placed at the top fell to 6 009 €. The world ETF, at worst: -34 %. Back to its high in 19 months.
Xcel Energy earned more than the world ETF since 2009
Value of 10,000 euros placed at the end of September 2009, dividends reinvested, in euros
- Xcel Energy: 87 883 €
- World ETF: 74 620 €
- S&P 500: 123 025 €
- Risk-free placement: 11 288 €
Based on past performance. This is not a recommendation.
Range: 74.00 USD - 84.18 USD (2 methods agree)
Gross margin 26.0%, net margin 15.3%, ROIC 3.9%, ROE 9.9%.
Net margin
15.29%
Exceptional
Sector 10.35%|S&P 12.97%
Gross margin
25.98%
Fair
Return on equity (ROE)
9.92%
Fair
Sector 10.54%|S&P 16.52%
Return on invested capital (ROIC)
3.88%
Fair
Free cash flow margin (FCF)
-52.66%
Negative
Profit-to-cash conversion (FCF conversion)
-3.44x
Low
Margin stability
1.1 pts
Very steady
Revenue to net income
Growth
5.7/10Revenue down 4.9% over 1 year, 4.9% a year over 5, EPS 4.2% a year over 5.
Revenue (trailing 12 months)
14.6Md USD
Revenue growth (1y)
-4.94%
Declining
Revenue growth (3y)
-4.01%
Declining
EPS growth (1y)
23.77%
Hyper-growth
EPS CAGR (5y)
4.20%
Low
EPS revisions (3 months)
0.08%
Revised up
Valuation
3.9/10P/E 18.9x, forward P/E 16.8x, EV/EBITDA 12.9x, PEG 4.49. The multiple sits in the 31th percentile of its own 5-year history.
P/E (TTM)
18.9x
Fair
Sector 16.5x|S&P 23.0x
Forward P/E
16.8x
Fair
EV / EBITDA
12.9x
Expensive
Sector 10.3x|S&P 14.5x
PEG
4.49
Very expensive
Sector 1.62|S&P 0.86
Fair value (reverse DCF)
75.82 USD
Undervalued
P/E vs its own 5-year history
among the 31% lowest valuations
Cheaper than usual
Market cap
44.1Md USD
Financial strength
1.9/10Cash covers 5.3% of the debt, net debt/EBITDA 6.0x.
Net debt / EBITDA
6.0x
Tight
Gearing (net debt / equity)
163.87%
Stretched
Cash
2.2Md USD
Cash / market cap
4.96%
Tight
Cash / total debt
5.26%
Stretched
Interest coverage
1.7x
Stretched
Net debt
39.4Md USD
Equity
24.1Md USD
Closed daily candles, 2 years
Last close on September 24, 2026: 69.56 USD
- MM2074.31
- MM5076.90
- MM20078.22
- RSI 1425.3
Top panel: closed candles, 20, 50 and 200-day moving averages, with volume in grey. Bottom panel: 14-day RSI with dashed 30 and 70 levels.
200-day average slope, 1 month
-0.75%
200-day average slope, 3 months
-0.55%
50-day average slope, 1 month
-2.97%
Bullish RSI divergence
No
20-day volatility
1.06 % per day
Volatility change
-16.86%
Forecasts by fiscal year
| Fiscal year | EPS | Normalised EPS | Revenue | EBITDA | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 4.11 (5) | 4.12 (16) | 15 587 (12) | 6 802 (11) | 2 573 (6) |
| 2027 | 4.52 (7) | 4.54 (18) | 17 163 (13) | 7 996 (11) | 2 947 (7) |
Amounts in millions of USD, EPS in USD per share. In brackets, the number of analysts. Consensus as of September 18, 2026.
Same sub-industry: 126 companies behind the medians.
| # | Company | Code | Country | Overall / 10 | Fundamentals / 10 | Mkt cap | P/E | Net margin | Revenue growth | ROIC | Net debt / EBITDA | FCF yield | 1-year perf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ELE | 6.7 | 7.8 | 48.9Md USD | 16.5x | 12.4 % | 3.5 % | 17.3 % | 1.9x | 6.0 % | 59.0 % | ||
| 2 | NEE | 6.7 | 6.6 | 161Md USD | 17.3x | 33.1 % | 7.9 % | 6.4 % | 6.6x | 1.9 % | 4.8 % | ||
| 3 | IBE | 6.4 | 6.7 | 151Md USD | 18.8x | 13.3 % | 9.8 % | 6.3 % | 3.3x | — | 28.2 % | ||
| 4 | ENEL | 6.3 | 6.6 | 102Md USD | 19.4x | 5.7 % | 9.8 % | 5.0 % | 3.9x | 4.9 % | 11.9 % | ||
| 5 | CEG | 5.7 | 5.4 | 93.5Md USD | 25.7x | 11.2 % | 38.6 % | 9.6 % | 0.9x | 0.3 % | -23.0 % | ||
| 6 | DUK | 5.6 | 5.1 | 89.0Md USD | 17.1x | 15.7 % | 1.1 % | 3.9 % | 6.1x | -4.8 % | -7.9 % | ||
| 7 | XEL | 5.4 | 4.0 | 44.1Md USD | 18.9x | 15.3 % | -4.9 % | 3.9 % | 6.0x | -17.4 % | -1.9 % | ||
| 8 | AEP | 4.9 | 3.8 | 64.5Md USD | 20.5x | 13.8 % | 6.8 % | 4.1 % | 5.6x | -5.9 % | 8.6 % | ||
| 9 | SO | 4.9 | 4.3 | 96.0Md USD | 20.1x | 15.4 % | 0.1 % | 4.5 % | 5.4x | -4.4 % | -11.5 % |
