Overall verdict
Neutral
6.2/10
1-year performance
-11.69%
Score breakdown
Down 11.7% over 1 year, 16% of the 52-week range.
Strongest: Profitability 8.8/10. Weakest: Growth 4.3/10.
29 analysts, target +0.2% vs the price.
American Express Company, together with its subsidiaries, operates as an integrated payments company in the United States, Europe, the Middle East and Africa, the Asia Pacific, Australia, New Zealand, Latin America, Canada, the Caribbean, and internationally. It operates through four segments: U.S. Consumer Services, Commercial Services, International Card Services, and Global Merchant and Network Services.
The company offers credit and charge cards and complementary products and services, including travel, dining, and lifestyle and expense management products and services; and banking and other payment and financing products and services, including deposits and non-card lending. It also provides merchant acquisition and processing, servicing and settlement, fraud prevention, and point-of-sale marketing and information products and services, as well as network services.
The company offers its products and services to consumers, small businesses, mid-sized companies, and large corporations through mobile and online applications, affiliate marketing, customer referral programs, third-party service providers and business partners, in-house sales teams, direct mail, telephone, and direct response advertising. American Express Company was founded in 1850 and is headquartered in New York, New York.
Sector
Financials
Industry
Consumer Finance
Primary listing
Nyse
United States
CEO
Stephen Squeri
Founded
1850
Employees
76 800
Revenue / employee
1.0M USD
Next earnings
October 23, 2026
Institutional holders
- Berkshire Hathaway Inc22.77%
- BlackRock, Inc.6.31%
- VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC5.29%
- STATE STREET CORP4.37%
- JPMORGAN CHASE & CO3.07%
- GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC2.11%
- MORGAN STANLEY1.97%
- Fisher Asset Management, LLC1.42%
- VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC1.31%
- Other institutions37.85%
- Rest of the register13.54%
3000 13F filings as of June 30, 2026: US managers above $100M, filed up to 45 days after quarter end. No insiders, no retail. A share on loan is declared by its lender and by whoever bought it from the short seller, so the total can exceed 100%.
Research uses the underlying stock’s market history. The purchase quote is calculated separately when you review your order.
52-week high
387.49 USD
52-week low
290.97 USD
1-year performance
-11.69%
Declining
Year-to-date performance
-18.28%
Declining
Drawdown
-20.96%
Marked drawdown
Position in the 52-week range
16% of range
Against the world ETF
Over 17 years, from September 2009 to August 2026, the share did not do better than the world ETF once risk is accounted for. It earned more, but shaking 2.0 times harder: for the risk taken, the ETF paid better.
10,000 € placed at the end of September 2009 are worth today
| American Express | 155 148 € |
| World ETF | 74 620 € |
| S&P 500 | 123 025 € |
| Risk-free placement | 11 288 € |
The risk
- Shaking:the share moves 2.0 times as much as the world ETF.
- Worst fall:-49 % between February 2020 and March 2020. 10,000 € placed at the top fell to 5 052 €. The world ETF, at worst: -34 %. Back to its high in 12 months.
American Express earned 2 times as much as the world ETF since 2009
Value of 10,000 euros placed at the end of September 2009, dividends reinvested, in euros
- American Express: 155 148 €
- World ETF: 74 620 €
- S&P 500: 123 025 €
- Risk-free placement: 11 288 €
Based on past performance. This is not a recommendation.
Range: 374.29 USD - 379.79 USD (2 methods agree)
The price implies growth of -0.24% per year; the company grows at 25.00%.
Gross margin 59.7%, net margin 15.1%, ROIC 12.5%, ROE 34.1%.
Net margin
15.07%
Fair
Sector 15.31%|S&P 12.97%
Gross margin
59.74%
Fair
Return on equity (ROE)
34.15%
Exceptional
Sector 12.18%|S&P 16.52%
Return on invested capital (ROIC)
12.51%
Exceptional
Free cash flow margin (FCF)
18.07%
High
Profit-to-cash conversion (FCF conversion)
1.20x
High
Margin stability
3.4 pts
Steady
Revenue to net income
Growth
4.3/10Revenue up 8.4% over 1 year, 16.1% a year over 5, EPS 32.5% a year over 5.
Revenue (trailing 12 months)
76.0Md USD
Revenue growth (1y)
8.38%
Solid
Revenue growth (3y)
44.70%
Solid
EPS growth (1y)
11.03%
Moderate
EPS CAGR (5y)
32.49%
Exceptional
EPS revisions (3 months)
0.01%
Revised up
Valuation
5.0/10P/E 18.6x, forward P/E 17.3x, EV/EBITDA 8.9x, PEG 0.57. The multiple sits in the 51th percentile of its own 5-year history.
P/E (TTM)
18.6x
Expensive
Sector 11.9x|S&P 23.0x
Forward P/E
17.3x
Very expensive
EV / EBITDA
8.9x
Fair
Sector 10.9x|S&P 14.5x
PEG
0.57
Growth unpriced
Sector 0.71|S&P 0.86
Fair value (reverse DCF)
377.04 USD
Undervalued
P/E vs its own 5-year history
among the 49% highest valuations
In line with its history
Market cap
204Md USD
Cash covers 76.6% of the debt, net debt/EBITDA 0.4x.
Net debt / EBITDA
0.4x
Very solid
Gearing (net debt / equity)
40.27%
Solid
Cash
45.2Md USD
Cash / market cap
22.19%
Very solid
Cash / total debt
76.62%
Very solid
Interest coverage
0.7x
Stretched
Net debt
13.8Md USD
Equity
34.3Md USD
Closed daily candles, 2 years
Last close on September 24, 2026: 305.66 USD
- MM20320.73
- MM50333.05
- MM200334.35
- RSI 1432.4
Top panel: closed candles, 20, 50 and 200-day moving averages, with volume in grey. Bottom panel: 14-day RSI with dashed 30 and 70 levels.
200-day average slope, 1 month
-1.21%
200-day average slope, 3 months
-1.00%
50-day average slope, 1 month
-2.87%
Price structure
Lower lows
Bullish RSI divergence
No
20-day volatility
1.31 % per day
Volatility change
-10.52%
Forecasts by fiscal year
| Fiscal year | EPS | Normalised EPS | Revenue | EBITDA | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 17.70 (27) | 17.67 (24) | 79 493 (23) | 27 523 (2) | 11 999 (18) |
| 2027 | 20.17 (27) | 20.18 (24) | 86 710 (23) | 29 814 (2) | 13 270 (19) |
Amounts in millions of USD, EPS in USD per share. In brackets, the number of analysts. Consensus as of September 24, 2026.
Same sub-industry: 113 companies behind the medians.
| # | Company | Code | Country | Overall / 10 | Fundamentals / 10 | Mkt cap | P/E | Net margin | Revenue growth | ROIC | Net debt / EBITDA | FCF yield | 1-year perf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KSPI | 8.2 | 8.2 | 18.7Md USD | 8.5x | 31.5 % | 24.2 % | 36.9 % | — | 14.5 % | 9.6 % | ||
| 2 | SYF | 7.3 | 7.8 | 23.0Md USD | 7.2x | 18.6 % | -0.4 % | 11.9 % | 0.0x | 42.2 % | -4.9 % | ||
| 3 | COF | 7.2 | 7.3 | 120Md USD | 12.1x | 16.8 % | 21.9 % | 6.3 % | — | 24.7 % | -12.2 % | ||
| 4 | 511243 | 7.2 | N/A | 15.0Md USD | 24.3x | 17.4 % | 21.8 % | — | 7.8x | — | 1.3 % | ||
| 5 | 511218 | 7.1 | 6.9 | 25.9Md USD | 18.3x | 22.6 % | 16.2 % | — | 4.9x | — | 59.1 % | ||
| 6 | TATACAP | 6.5 | 6.1 | 15.4Md USD | 26.2x | 16.6 % | 14.7 % | — | 8.9x | — | 2.9 % | ||
| 7 | BAJFINANCE | 6.4 | 6.2 | 67.5Md USD | 30.5x | 23.6 % | 19.6 % | — | 5.8x | — | -3.3 % | ||
| 8 | AXP | 6.2 | 6.1 | 204Md USD | 18.6x | 15.1 % | 8.4 % | 12.5 % | 0.4x | 7.5 % | -11.7 % | ||
| 9 | SOFI | 4.5 | 4.3 | 21.4Md USD | 34.9x | 11.4 % | 39.1 % | 5.0 % | -3.5x | -25.5 % | -43.1 % |
