Overall verdict
Neutral
5.5/10
1-year performance
-5.94%
Score breakdown
Down 5.9% over 1 year, 32% of the 52-week range.
Strongest: Shareholder return 8.4/10. Weakest: Growth 0.0/10.
24 analysts, target +0.3% vs the price.
Capital One Financial Corporation operates as the financial services holding company for the Capital One, National Association, which engages in the provision of various financial products and services in the United States, Canada, and the United Kingdom. It operates through three segments: Credit Card, Consumer Banking, and Commercial Banking. The company accepts checking accounts, money market deposits, negotiable order of withdrawals, savings deposits, time deposits, and sweep accounts.
Its loan products include credit card and personal loans; auto and retail banking loans; and commercial and multifamily real estate, and commercial and industrial loans. The company offers credit and debit card products; bank lending; and provides advisory, capital markets, net interchange, treasury management, and depository services. It serves consumers, small businesses, and commercial clients through digital channels, branches, cafés, and other distribution channels located in New York, Louisiana, Texas, Maryland, Virginia, New Jersey, and the District of Columbia. Capital One Financial Corporation was founded in 1988 and is headquartered in McLean, Virginia.
Sector
Financials
Industry
Consumer Finance
Primary listing
Nyse
United States
CEO
Richard Fairbank
Founded
1988
Employees
76 300
Revenue / employee
697 955 USD
Next earnings
October 20, 2026
Institutional holders
- BlackRock, Inc.8.32%
- VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC6.63%
- STATE STREET CORP4.53%
- JPMORGAN CHASE & CO2.90%
- GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC2.34%
- FRANKLIN RESOURCES INC2.19%
- VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC2.09%
- HARRIS ASSOCIATES L P1.87%
- FMR LLC1.81%
- Other institutions54.71%
- Rest of the register12.61%
2120 13F filings as of June 30, 2026: US managers above $100M, filed up to 45 days after quarter end. No insiders, no retail. A share on loan is declared by its lender and by whoever bought it from the short seller, so the total can exceed 100%.
Research uses the underlying stock’s market history. The purchase quote is calculated separately when you review your order.
52-week high
259.63 USD
52-week low
174.24 USD
1-year performance
-5.94%
Declining
Year-to-date performance
-17.44%
Declining
Drawdown
-22.30%
Marked drawdown
Position in the 52-week range
32% of range
Against the world ETF
Over 21 years, from January 2006 to September 2026, the share did not clearly beat the world ETF once risk is accounted for. It earned less, while shaking 2.5 times harder.
$10,000 placed at the end of January 2006 are worth today
| Capital One | $31,982 |
| World ETF | $54,847 |
| S&P 500 | $87,327 |
| Risk-free placement | $14,210 |
The risk
- Shaking:the share moves 2.5 times as much as the world ETF.
- Worst fall:-85 % between February 2006 and February 2009. $10,000 placed at the top fell to $1,464. The world ETF, at worst: -53 %. Back to its high in 64 months.
Capital One earned less than the world ETF since 2006
Value of $10,000 placed at the end of January 2006, dividends reinvested, in dollars
- Capital One: $31,982
- World ETF: $54,847
- S&P 500: $87,327
- Risk-free placement: $14,210
Based on past performance. This is not a recommendation.
Range: 219.00 USD - 290.00 USD (2 methods agree)
The price implies growth of -16.78% per year; the company grows at -4.88%.
Net margin 16.8%, ROE 8.9%.
Net margin
16.84%
Fair
Sector 15.92%|S&P 13.13%
Gross margin
—
Return on equity (ROE)
8.94%
Low
Sector 12.82%|S&P 16.52%
Return on invested capital (ROIC)
6.25%
Free cash flow margin (FCF)
37.81%
Profit-to-cash conversion (FCF conversion)
2.25x
Margin stability
10.2 pts
Very uneven
Revenue to net income
Growth
0.0/10Revenue up 21.9% over 1 year, 16.9% a year over 5.
Revenue (trailing 12 months)
32.8Md USD
Revenue growth (1y)
21.90%
Hyper-growth
Revenue growth (3y)
80.67%
Strong
EPS growth (1y)
—
EPS CAGR (5y)
—
EPS revisions (3 months)
4.36%
Revised up
Valuation
6.4/10P/E 12.5x, forward P/E 12.1x, PEG 0.02. The multiple sits in the 93th percentile of its own 5-year history.
P/E (TTM)
12.5x
Fair
Sector 11.2x|S&P 23.7x
Forward P/E
12.1x
Expensive
EV / EBITDA
—
Sector 10.9x|S&P 15.0x
PEG
0.02
Growth unpriced
Sector 0.65|S&P 0.89
Fair value (reverse DCF)
267.29 USD
Undervalued
P/E vs its own 5-year history
among the 7% highest valuations
At its historical high
Market cap
124Md USD
Not scored for a bank or an insurer: its solidity is measured by regulatory capital ratios, which we do not collect.
Net debt / EBITDA
—
Gearing (net debt / equity)
34.60%
Cash
—
Net debt
39.4Md USD
Equity
114Md USD
Closed daily candles, 2 years
Last close on October 16, 2026: 201.74 USD
- MM20197.66
- MM50208.06
- MM200203.30
- RSI 1451.6
Top panel: closed candles, 20, 50 and 200-day moving averages, with volume in grey. Bottom panel: 14-day RSI with dashed 30 and 70 levels.
200-day average slope, 1 month
-2.03%
200-day average slope, 3 months
-2.08%
50-day average slope, 1 month
-2.15%
Price structure
Lower lows
Bullish RSI divergence
No
20-day volatility
1.40 % per day
Volatility change
-19.06%
Forecasts by fiscal year
| Fiscal year | EPS | Normalised EPS | Revenue | EBITDA | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 16.63 (15) | 20.56 (20) | 63 969 (15) | 39 050 (1) | 10 154 (10) |
| 2027 | 21.02 (15) | 24.07 (20) | 67 583 (15) | 41 200 (1) | 12 010 (11) |
Amounts in millions of USD, EPS in USD per share. In brackets, the number of analysts. Consensus as of October 14, 2026.
Same sub-industry: 124 companies behind the medians.
| # | Company | Code | Country | Overall / 10 | Fundamentals / 10 | Mkt cap | P/E | Net margin | Revenue growth | ROIC | Net debt / EBITDA | FCF yield | 1-year perf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KSPI | 8.2 | 8.3 | 40.9Md USD | 8.6x | 31.5 % | 24.2 % | 36.9 % | — | 6.6 % | 25.6 % | ||
| 2 | SYF | 7.5 | 8.0 | 24.1Md USD | 7.6x | 18.6 % | -0.4 % | 11.9 % | 0.0x | 40.2 % | 0.8 % | ||
| 3 | 511218 | 6.8 | 6.2 | 23.6Md USD | 16.5x | 22.6 % | 16.2 % | — | 4.9x | — | 38.6 % | ||
| 4 | BAJFINANCE | 6.5 | 5.5 | 63.7Md USD | 30.0x | 23.6 % | 19.6 % | — | 5.8x | — | -8.0 % | ||
| 5 | 511243 | 6.0 | 5.3 | 14.3Md USD | 23.4x | 17.4 % | 21.8 % | — | 7.8x | — | -6.6 % | ||
| 6 | AXP | 5.9 | 5.6 | 212Md USD | 19.0x | 13.5 % | 8.4 % | — | — | — | -6.0 % | ||
| 7 | TATACAP | 5.9 | 4.6 | 14.3Md USD | 24.9x | 16.6 % | 14.7 % | — | 8.9x | — | -3.0 % | ||
| 8 | COF | 5.5 | 4.3 | 124Md USD | 12.5x | 16.8 % | 21.9 % | — | — | — | -5.9 % | ||
| 9 | SOFI | 5.0 | 4.1 | 19.5Md USD | 31.8x | 11.4 % | 39.1 % | — | — | — | -46.5 % |
