Overall verdict
Neutral
5.6/10
1-year performance
-27.46%
Score breakdown
Down 27.5% over 1 year, 9% of the 52-week range.
Strongest: Growth 7.8/10. Weakest: Valuation 0.7/10.
6 analysts, target +0.6% vs the price.
China Northern Rare Earth (Group) High-Tech Co.,Ltd produces and sells rare earth metals in China and internationally. The company offers rare earth salts, rare earth oxides, and rare earth golds. It also provides rare earth new material products, such as rare earth magnetic, polishing, hydrogen storage, and catalytic materials ; rare earth composites ; rare earth alloys ; and rare earth end-use products comprising earth permanent magnet high-efficiency energy-saving motors, solid-state hydrogen-powered two-wheeled vehicles, etc. The company was formerly known as Inner Mongolia Baotou Steel Rare-Earth (Group) Hi-Tech Co., Ltd. and changed its name to China Northern Rare Earth (Group) High-Tech Co.,Ltd in January 2015. China Northern Rare Earth (Group) High-Tech Co.,Ltd was founded in 1961 and is headquartered in Baotou, China.
Sector
Materials
Industry
Metals and Mining
Primary listing
Sse
China
CEO
Yedong Qu
Founded
1961
Employees
10 948
Revenue / employee
3.8M CNY
Next earnings
October 24, 2026
Research uses the underlying stock’s market history. The purchase quote is calculated separately when you review your order.
52-week high
63.57 CNY
52-week low
33.96 CNY
1-year performance
-27.46%
Declining
Year-to-date performance
-20.79%
Declining
Drawdown
-42.54%
Major drawdown
Position in the 52-week range
9% of range
Range: 21.88 CNY - 22.52 CNY (comparables only)
The price implies growth of 49.46% per year; the company grows at 19.80%.
Gross margin 13.3%, net margin 6.8%, ROIC 11.3%, ROE 13.6%.
Net margin
6.81%
Fair
Sector 9.53%|S&P 13.13%
Gross margin
13.34%
Low
Return on equity (ROE)
13.62%
Exceptional
Sector 9.36%|S&P 16.52%
Return on invested capital (ROIC)
11.34%
Exceptional
Free cash flow margin (FCF)
0.53%
Low
Profit-to-cash conversion (FCF conversion)
0.08x
Low
Margin stability
5.1 pts
Uneven
Revenue to net income
Growth
7.8/10Revenue up 45.5% over 1 year, 14.2% a year over 5, EPS 19.8% a year over 5.
Revenue (trailing 12 months)
49.5Md CNY
Revenue growth (1y)
45.53%
Solid
Revenue growth (3y)
14.47%
Moderate
EPS growth (1y)
124.19%
Hyper-growth
EPS CAGR (5y)
19.80%
Exceptional
EPS revisions (3 months)
—
Valuation
0.7/10P/E 39.1x, forward P/E 31.2x, EV/EBITDA 23.8x, PEG 1.98. The multiple sits in the 62th percentile of its own 5-year history.
P/E (TTM)
39.1x
Very expensive
Sector 17.7x|S&P 24.1x
Forward P/E
31.2x
Very expensive
EV / EBITDA
23.8x
Very expensive
Sector 11.2x|S&P 15.2x
PEG
1.98
Expensive
Sector 0.69|S&P 0.90
Fair value (reverse DCF)
22.20 CNY
Deeply overvalued
P/E vs its own 5-year history
among the 38% highest valuations
Pricier than usual
Market cap
129Md CNY
Financial strength
6.0/10Cash covers 40.2% of the debt, net debt/EBITDA 1.5x.
Net debt / EBITDA
1.5x
Tight
Gearing (net debt / equity)
24.08%
Very solid
Cash
5.4Md CNY
Cash / market cap
4.23%
Tight
Cash / total debt
40.23%
Solid
Interest coverage
20.4x
Very solid
Net debt
8.1Md CNY
Equity
33.6Md CNY
Closed daily candles, 2 years
Last close on October 22, 2026: 35.77 CNY
- MM2035.92
- MM5038.50
- MM20046.40
- RSI 1443.4
Top panel: closed candles, 20, 50 and 200-day moving averages, with volume in grey. Bottom panel: 14-day RSI with dashed 30 and 70 levels.
200-day average slope, 1 month
-2.15%
200-day average slope, 3 months
-6.12%
50-day average slope, 1 month
-4.21%
Price structure
Lower lows
Bullish RSI divergence
No
20-day volatility
1.79 % per day
Volatility change
-33.74%
Forecasts by fiscal year
| Fiscal year | EPS | Normalised EPS | Revenue | EBITDA | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1.17 (5) | 1.17 (2) | 52 973 (5) | 6 606 (4) | 4 232 (5) |
| 2027 | 1.45 (5) | 1.45 (2) | 60 330 (5) | 7 971 (4) | 5 353 (5) |
Amounts in millions of CNY, EPS in CNY per share. In brackets, the number of analysts. Consensus as of October 11, 2026.
Same sub-industry: 230 companies behind the medians.
| # | Company | Code | Country | Overall / 10 | Fundamentals / 10 | Mkt cap | P/E | Net margin | Revenue growth | ROIC | Net debt / EBITDA | FCF yield | 1-year perf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 601899 | 8.2 | 8.5 | 108Md USD | 11.7x | 18.0 % | 7.8 % | 24.1 % | 1.0x | 9.4 % | -1.1 % | ||
| 2 | 603993 | 8.0 | 8.9 | 42.6Md USD | 10.9x | 11.3 % | 41.3 % | 33.0 % | -0.3x | 6.1 % | -8.3 % | ||
| 3 | GMEXICO B | 7.5 | 8.1 | 96.7Md USD | 13.9x | 31.0 % | 27.8 % | 18.9 % | 0.0x | 5.9 % | 54.8 % | ||
| 4 | RIO | 6.5 | 7.3 | 144Md USD | 11.3x | 19.6 % | 4.2 % | 14.5 % | 0.7x | 3.9 % | 21.9 % | ||
| 5 | BHP | 5.6 | 6.2 | 204Md USD | 19.2x | 16.8 % | 9.6 % | 13.5 % | 0.3x | 5.8 % | 28.8 % | ||
| 6 | 600111 | 5.6 | 4.7 | 19.3Md USD | 39.1x | 6.8 % | 45.5 % | 11.3 % | 1.5x | 0.2 % | -27.5 % | ||
| 7 | 1211 | 5.3 | 4.7 | 57.8Md USD | 28.2x | 19.0 % | 16.2 % | 8.2 % | 1.5x | 1.3 % | -16.1 % | ||
| 8 | GLEN | 5.1 | 5.0 | 84.2Md USD | 15.9x | 1.8 % | 3.8 % | 8.1 % | 3.8x | -0.1 % | 56.5 % | ||
| 9 | AAL | 3.6 | 2.0 | 52.4Md USD | Not meaningful (loss) | -6.6 % | 0.9 % | -3.9 % | 1.5x | 3.9 % | 26.4 % |
