Overall verdict
Buy
7.5/10
1-year performance
+55.45%
Score breakdown
Up 55.4% over 1 year, 84% of the 52-week range.
Strongest: Profitability 10.0/10. Weakest: Growth 5.6/10.
15 analysts, target +0.0% vs the price.
Grupo México, S.A.B. de C.V. produces copper worldwide. It operates through Mining, Transportation, and Infrastructure divisions. The Mining division is involved in the operation of underground and open pit mines, smelters, refineries, and other plants.
This division also provides copper, silver, molybdenum, zinc, sulfuric acid, gold, and selenium products. The Transportation division offers general and intermodal freight services by rail, passenger services, as well as auxiliary management services for terminals and intra-terminal hauls; and ground transportation and warehousing. The Infrastructure division engages in building infrastructure and industrial plants, and ocean and land drilling ;
provision of engineering services, drilling services for oil and water exploration, and energy production services ; construction of infrastructure works, project engineering services ; operation and highway conservation ; real estate project development, and construction and administration of shopping centers. In addition, it is involved in operation of cycle plants and wind farm; generation of energy; and oil transportation. Grupo México, S.A.B. de C.V. was founded in 1890 and is headquartered in Mexico City, Mexico.
Sector
Materials
Industry
Metals and Mining
Primary listing
Bmv
Mexico
CEO
Lic. German Larrea Mota-Velasco
Founded
1890
Employees
31 281
Revenue / employee
618 874 USD
Next earnings
February 5, 2027 (estimated)
Research uses the underlying stock’s market history. The purchase quote is calculated separately when you review your order.
52-week high
248.59 MXN
52-week low
139.28 MXN
1-year performance
55.45%
Rising
Year-to-date performance
34.55%
Rising
Drawdown
-7.22%
Mild pullback
Position in the 52-week range
84% of range
Range: 94.34 MXN - 112.38 MXN (2 methods agree)
The price implies growth of 2.80% per year; the company grows at 13.99%.
Quality and profitability
10.0/10Gross margin 54.9%, net margin 31.0%, ROIC 18.9%, ROE 27.7%.
Net margin
30.95%
Exceptional
Sector 9.24%|S&P 13.13%
Gross margin
54.90%
Exceptional
Return on equity (ROE)
27.73%
Exceptional
Sector 9.36%|S&P 16.52%
Return on invested capital (ROIC)
18.88%
Exceptional
Free cash flow margin (FCF)
25.80%
Exceptional
Profit-to-cash conversion (FCF conversion)
0.83x
Exceptional
Margin stability
4.9 pts
Steady
Revenue to net income
Growth
5.6/10Revenue up 27.8% over 1 year, 8.3% a year over 5, EPS 14.0% a year over 5.
Revenue (trailing 12 months)
22.2Md USD
Revenue growth (1y)
27.82%
Solid
Revenue growth (3y)
25.04%
Solid
EPS growth (1y)
36.38%
Solid
EPS CAGR (5y)
13.99%
Fair
EPS revisions (3 months)
12.43%
Sharply revised up
Valuation
7.5/10P/E 13.4x, forward P/E 14.1x, EV/EBITDA 7.6x, PEG 0.96. The multiple sits in the 98th percentile of its own 5-year history.
P/E (TTM)
13.4x
Fair
Sector 17.8x|S&P 24.1x
Forward P/E
14.1x
Fair
EV / EBITDA
7.6x
Fair
Sector 11.2x|S&P 15.2x
PEG
0.96
Growth unpriced
Sector 0.10|S&P 0.90
Fair value (reverse DCF)
102.44 MXN
Deeply overvalued
P/E vs its own 5-year history
among the 2% highest valuations
At its historical high
Market cap
96.7Md USD
Financial strength
9.5/10Cash covers 99.6% of the debt, net debt/EBITDA 0.0x.
Net debt / EBITDA
0.0x
Very solid
Gearing (net debt / equity)
0.20%
Very solid
Cash
13.7Md USD
Cash / market cap
14.20%
Solid
Cash / total debt
99.57%
Very solid
Interest coverage
17.4x
Very solid
Net debt
58.9M USD
Equity
30.1Md USD
Closed daily candles, 2 years
Last close on October 22, 2026: 231.22 MXN
- MM20235.02
- MM50227.85
- MM200208.17
- RSI 1447.7
Top panel: closed candles, 20, 50 and 200-day moving averages, with volume in grey. Bottom panel: 14-day RSI with dashed 30 and 70 levels.
200-day average slope, 1 month
+3.38%
200-day average slope, 3 months
+11.15%
50-day average slope, 1 month
+4.46%
Price structure
higher-low
Bullish RSI divergence
No
20-day volatility
1.97 % per day
Volatility change
-2.92%
Forecasts by fiscal year
| Fiscal year | EPS | Normalised EPS | Revenue | EBITDA | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 0.87 (3) | 0.88 (6) | 22 943 (13) | 13 822 (13) | 6 522 (3) |
| 2027 | 0.86 (7) | 0.85 (7) | 22 863 (14) | 13 563 (14) | 6 758 (9) |
Amounts in millions of USD, EPS in USD per share. In brackets, the number of analysts. Consensus as of October 22, 2026.
Same sub-industry: 230 companies behind the medians.
| # | Company | Code | Country | Overall / 10 | Fundamentals / 10 | Mkt cap | P/E | Net margin | Revenue growth | ROIC | Net debt / EBITDA | FCF yield | 1-year perf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 601899 | 8.2 | 8.5 | 108Md USD | 11.7x | 18.0 % | 7.8 % | 24.1 % | 1.0x | 9.4 % | -1.1 % | ||
| 2 | 603993 | 8.0 | 8.9 | 42.6Md USD | 10.9x | 11.3 % | 41.3 % | 33.0 % | -0.3x | 6.1 % | -8.3 % | ||
| 3 | GMEXICO B | 7.5 | 8.2 | 96.7Md USD | 13.4x | 31.0 % | 27.8 % | 18.9 % | 0.0x | 5.9 % | 55.4 % | ||
| 4 | RIO | 6.5 | 7.3 | 144Md USD | 11.3x | 19.6 % | 4.2 % | 14.5 % | 0.7x | 3.9 % | 21.9 % | ||
| 5 | TECK.B | 6.1 | 7.1 | 28.9Md USD | 16.2x | 17.9 % | 78.2 % | 7.1 % | 1.3x | 3.9 % | 36.8 % | ||
| 6 | BHP | 5.6 | 6.2 | 204Md USD | 19.2x | 16.8 % | 9.6 % | 13.5 % | 0.3x | 5.8 % | 28.8 % | ||
| 7 | 1211 | 5.3 | 4.7 | 57.8Md USD | 28.2x | 19.0 % | 16.2 % | 8.2 % | 1.5x | 1.3 % | -16.1 % | ||
| 8 | GLEN | 5.1 | 5.0 | 84.2Md USD | 15.9x | 1.8 % | 3.8 % | 8.1 % | 3.8x | -0.1 % | 56.5 % | ||
| 9 | AAL | 3.6 | 2.0 | 52.4Md USD | Not meaningful (loss) | -6.6 % | 0.9 % | -3.9 % | 1.5x | 3.9 % | 26.4 % |
