Overall verdict
Neutral
5.8/10
1-year performance
+38.33%
Score breakdown
Up 38.3% over 1 year, 76% of the 52-week range.
Strongest: Profitability 8.4/10. Weakest: Valuation 4.2/10.
27 analysts, target +0.1% vs the price.
ConocoPhillips explores for, produces, transports, and markets crude oil, bitumen, natural gas, liquefied natural gas (LNG), and natural gas liquids. It operates in five segments: Alaska; Lower 48; Canada; Europe, Middle East and North Africa; and Asia Pacific. The company's portfolio includes unconventional plays in North America; conventional assets in North America, Europe, Asia, and Australia; global LNG developments; oil sands assets in Canada; and an inventory of global exploration prospects.
It serves in the United States, Canada, China, Equatorial Guinea, Libya, Malaysia, Norway, Singapore, the United Kingdom, and internationally. ConocoPhillips was founded in 1917 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.
Sector
Energy
Industry
Oil, Gas and Consumable Fuels
Primary listing
Nyse
United States
CEO
Andrew O’Brien
Founded
1917
Employees
9 900
Revenue / employee
5.9M USD
Next earnings
November 5, 2026
Institutional holders
- BlackRock, Inc.7.83%
- VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC6.64%
- STATE STREET CORP5.49%
- PRICE T ROWE ASSOCIATES INC /MD/3.74%
- CHARLES SCHWAB INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT INC3.46%
- JPMORGAN CHASE & CO3.17%
- Capital International Investors2.41%
- FMR LLC2.39%
- GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC2.39%
- Other institutions47.51%
- Rest of the register14.98%
2459 13F filings as of June 30, 2026: US managers above $100M, filed up to 45 days after quarter end. No insiders, no retail. A share on loan is declared by its lender and by whoever bought it from the short seller, so the total can exceed 100%.
Research uses the underlying stock’s market history. The purchase quote is calculated separately when you review your order.
52-week high
141.62 USD
52-week low
85.57 USD
1-year performance
38.33%
Rising
Year-to-date performance
36.83%
Rising
Drawdown
-9.42%
Mild pullback
Position in the 52-week range
76% of range
Against the world ETF
Over 17 years, from September 2009 to August 2026, the share did not do better than the world ETF once risk is accounted for. It earned more, but shaking 2.6 times harder: for the risk taken, the ETF paid better.
10,000 € placed at the end of September 2009 are worth today
| ConocoPhillips | 87 137 € |
| World ETF | 74 620 € |
| S&P 500 | 123 025 € |
| Risk-free placement | 11 288 € |
The risk
- Shaking:the share moves 2.6 times as much as the world ETF.
- Worst fall:-69 % between October 2018 and March 2020. 10,000 € placed at the top fell to 3 129 €. The world ETF, at worst: -34 %. Back to its high in 19 months.
ConocoPhillips earned more than the world ETF since 2009
Value of 10,000 euros placed at the end of September 2009, dividends reinvested, in euros
- ConocoPhillips: 87 137 €
- World ETF: 74 620 €
- S&P 500: 123 025 €
- Risk-free placement: 11 288 €
Based on past performance. This is not a recommendation.
Range: 97.58 USD - 173.92 USD (comparables only)
The price implies growth of 1.48% per year; the company grows at 25.00%.
Gross margin 27.2%, net margin 14.7%, ROIC 10.5%, ROE 14.1%.
Net margin
14.66%
Fair
Sector 12.91%|S&P 12.97%
Gross margin
27.18%
Fair
Return on equity (ROE)
14.13%
Exceptional
Sector 9.46%|S&P 16.52%
Return on invested capital (ROIC)
10.46%
Exceptional
Free cash flow margin (FCF)
15.94%
Fair
Profit-to-cash conversion (FCF conversion)
1.09x
High
Margin stability
3.3 pts
Steady
Revenue to net income
Growth
5.5/10Revenue up 37.7% over 1 year, 25.6% a year over 5.
Revenue (trailing 12 months)
63.1Md USD
Revenue growth (1y)
37.70%
Solid
Revenue growth (3y)
-25.28%
Declining
EPS growth (1y)
106.84%
Hyper-growth
EPS CAGR (5y)
—
EPS revisions (3 months)
5.56%
Sharply revised up
Valuation
4.2/10P/E 17.0x, forward P/E 12.1x, EV/EBITDA 6.6x, PEG 13.15. The multiple sits in the 95th percentile of its own 5-year history.
P/E (TTM)
17.0x
Fair
Sector 15.9x|S&P 23.0x
Forward P/E
12.1x
Expensive
EV / EBITDA
6.6x
Expensive
Sector 5.1x|S&P 14.5x
PEG
13.15
Very expensive
Sector 0.13|S&P 0.86
Fair value (reverse DCF)
135.75 USD
Fairly priced
P/E vs its own 5-year history
among the 5% highest valuations
At its historical high
Market cap
154Md USD
Financial strength
7.7/10Cash covers 33.0% of the debt, net debt/EBITDA 0.7x.
Net debt / EBITDA
0.7x
Very solid
Gearing (net debt / equity)
23.87%
Very solid
Cash
7.7Md USD
Cash / market cap
5.00%
Tight
Cash / total debt
33.03%
Solid
Net debt
15.6Md USD
Equity
65.3Md USD
Closed daily candles, 2 years
Last close on September 24, 2026: 129.34 USD
- MM20133.37
- MM50126.84
- MM200115.59
- RSI 1447.5
Top panel: closed candles, 20, 50 and 200-day moving averages, with volume in grey. Bottom panel: 14-day RSI with dashed 30 and 70 levels.
200-day average slope, 1 month
+4.18%
200-day average slope, 3 months
+9.65%
50-day average slope, 1 month
+9.01%
Price structure
Lower lows
Bullish RSI divergence
No
20-day volatility
2.08 % per day
Volatility change
+8.47%
Forecasts by fiscal year
| Fiscal year | EPS | Normalised EPS | Revenue | EBITDA | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 10.61 (8) | 10.59 (25) | 71 546 (9) | 32 298 (12) | 12 779 (11) |
| 2027 | 9.54 (10) | 9.66 (25) | 66 729 (9) | 29 502 (13) | 11 078 (12) |
Amounts in millions of USD, EPS in USD per share. In brackets, the number of analysts. Consensus as of September 24, 2026.
Same sub-industry: 138 companies behind the medians.
| # | Company | Code | Country | Overall / 10 | Fundamentals / 10 | Mkt cap | P/E | Net margin | Revenue growth | ROIC | Net debt / EBITDA | FCF yield | 1-year perf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 883 | 8.1 | 8.3 | 147Md USD | 7.3x | 32.8 % | -3.9 % | 15.5 % | -0.7x | 13.1 % | 14.1 % | ||
| 2 | EOG | 7.9 | 8.3 | 74.4Md USD | 11.0x | 25.7 % | 58.7 % | 19.0 % | 0.5x | 8.9 % | 22.5 % | ||
| 3 | CNQ | 6.9 | 7.0 | 98.0Md USD | 11.9x | 26.3 % | 69.5 % | 19.2 % | 1.1x | 7.1 % | 50.9 % | ||
| 4 | FANG | 6.9 | 5.7 | 52.0Md USD | 36.0x | 8.5 % | 51.2 % | 2.8 % | 1.5x | 12.5 % | 31.0 % | ||
| 5 | DVN | 6.6 | 5.4 | 52.8Md USD | 11.4x | 16.6 % | 73.0 % | 8.7 % | 1.0x | 2.9 % | 39.8 % | ||
| 6 | VG | 6.2 | 4.9 | 33.2Md USD | 10.1x | 22.1 % | 47.6 % | 8.5 % | 5.5x | -21.1 % | -10.7 % | ||
| 7 | COP | 5.8 | 6.4 | 154Md USD | 17.0x | 14.7 % | 37.7 % | 10.5 % | 0.7x | 6.5 % | 38.3 % | ||
| 8 | EQT | 5.7 | 5.0 | 31.9Md USD | 11.8x | 28.6 % | -3.9 % | 9.0 % | 1.4x | 11.8 % | 1.3 % | ||
| 9 | WDS | 5.2 | 4.3 | 41.6Md USD | 13.4x | 22.2 % | -5.2 % | 6.2 % | 0.9x | -1.0 % | 37.1 % |
