Overall verdict
Neutral
5.4/10
1-year performance
+32.89%
Score breakdown
Up 32.9% over 1 year, 63% of the 52-week range.
Strongest: Shareholder return 7.7/10. Weakest: Profitability 2.4/10.
31 analysts, target +0.3% vs the price.
Diamondback Energy, Inc., an independent oil and natural gas company, acquires, develops, explores, and exploits unconventional, onshore oil and natural gas reserves in the Permian Basin in West Texas, the United States. The company primarily focuses on the development of the Spraberry and Wolfcamp formations of the Midland Basin; and the Wolfcamp and Bone Spring formations of the Delaware Basin, both of which are part of the Permian Basin in West Texas and New Mexico. Diamondback Energy, Inc. was founded in 2007 and is headquartered in Midland, Texas.
Sector
Energy
Industry
Oil, Gas and Consumable Fuels
Primary listing
Nasdaq
United States
CEO
Matthew Van’t Hof
Founded
2007
Employees
1 762
Revenue / employee
8.5M USD
Next earnings
November 2, 2026 (estimated)
Institutional holders
- BlackRock, Inc.6.78%
- WELLINGTON MANAGEMENT GROUP LLP5.92%
- VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC4.61%
- STATE STREET CORP4.53%
- Invesco Ltd.4.03%
- VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC3.50%
- Capital World Investors3.23%
- Boston Partners2.11%
- GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC1.94%
- Other institutions35.87%
- Rest of the register27.47%
1190 13F filings as of June 30, 2026: US managers above $100M, filed up to 45 days after quarter end. No insiders, no retail. A share on loan is declared by its lender and by whoever bought it from the short seller, so the total can exceed 100%.
Research uses the underlying stock’s market history. The purchase quote is calculated separately when you review your order.
52-week high
216.90 USD
52-week low
137.03 USD
1-year performance
32.89%
Rising
Year-to-date performance
22.87%
Rising
Drawdown
-13.54%
Mild pullback
Position in the 52-week range
63% of range
Against the world ETF
Over 14 years, from October 2012 to August 2026, the share did not do better than the world ETF once risk is accounted for. It earned more, but shaking 3.6 times harder: for the risk taken, the ETF paid better.
10,000 € placed at the end of October 2012 are worth today
| Diamondback Energy | 173 265 € |
| World ETF | 54 564 € |
| S&P 500 | 77 008 € |
| Risk-free placement | 10 963 € |
The risk
- Shaking:the share moves 3.6 times as much as the world ETF.
- Worst fall:-88 % between October 2018 and March 2020. 10,000 € placed at the top fell to 1 200 €. The world ETF, at worst: -34 %. Back to its high in 22 months.
Diamondback Energy earned 3 times as much as the world ETF since 2012
Value of 10,000 euros placed at the end of October 2012, dividends reinvested, in euros
- Diamondback Energy: 173 265 €
- World ETF: 54 564 €
- S&P 500: 77 008 €
- Risk-free placement: 10 963 €
Based on past performance. This is not a recommendation.
Range: 224.95 USD - 283.00 USD (2 methods agree)
The price implies growth of -7.23% per year; the company grows at 25.00%.
Gross margin 37.4%, net margin 8.5%, ROIC 2.8%, ROE 3.8%.
Net margin
8.51%
Low
Sector 13.32%|S&P 12.97%
Gross margin
37.37%
Fair
Return on equity (ROE)
3.79%
Low
Sector 9.88%|S&P 16.52%
Return on invested capital (ROIC)
2.83%
Low
Free cash flow margin (FCF)
37.99%
Exceptional
Profit-to-cash conversion (FCF conversion)
4.47x
Exceptional
Margin stability
11.3 pts
Very uneven
Revenue to net income
Growth
5.4/10Revenue up 51.2% over 1 year, 39.8% a year over 5.
Revenue (trailing 12 months)
17.1Md USD
Revenue growth (1y)
51.22%
Strong
Revenue growth (3y)
55.82%
Strong
EPS growth (1y)
179.68%
Hyper-growth
EPS CAGR (5y)
—
EPS revisions (3 months)
1.31%
Revised up
Valuation
6.3/10P/E 36.3x, forward P/E 11.3x, EV/EBITDA 9.9x, PEG 0.20. The multiple sits in the 91th percentile of its own 5-year history.
P/E (TTM)
36.3x
Very expensive
Sector 15.9x|S&P 23.0x
Forward P/E
11.3x
Fair
EV / EBITDA
9.9x
Expensive
Sector 5.1x|S&P 14.5x
PEG
0.20
Growth unpriced
Sector 0.13|S&P 0.86
Fair value (reverse DCF)
243.84 USD
Undervalued
P/E vs its own 5-year history
among the 9% highest valuations
At its historical high
Market cap
52.0Md USD
Financial strength
5.9/10Cash covers 3.7% of the debt, net debt/EBITDA 1.5x.
Net debt / EBITDA
1.5x
Solid
Gearing (net debt / equity)
27.62%
Very solid
Cash
464M USD
Cash / market cap
0.89%
Stretched
Cash / total debt
3.68%
Stretched
Interest coverage
26.4x
Very solid
Net debt
12.2Md USD
Equity
44.0Md USD
Closed daily candles, 2 years
Last close on September 24, 2026: 188.95 USD
- MM20198.47
- MM50199.22
- MM200183.80
- RSI 1440.8
Top panel: closed candles, 20, 50 and 200-day moving averages, with volume in grey. Bottom panel: 14-day RSI with dashed 30 and 70 levels.
200-day average slope, 1 month
+2.88%
200-day average slope, 3 months
+9.56%
50-day average slope, 1 month
+3.34%
Price structure
higher-low
Bullish RSI divergence
No
20-day volatility
2.29 % per day
Volatility change
+7.65%
Forecasts by fiscal year
| Fiscal year | EPS | Normalised EPS | Revenue | EBITDA | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 16.54 (7) | 20.91 (26) | 18 808 (9) | 13 188 (20) | 4 543 (11) |
| 2027 | 18.70 (12) | 18.76 (27) | 17 479 (9) | 12 279 (21) | 5 149 (12) |
Amounts in millions of USD, EPS in USD per share. In brackets, the number of analysts. Consensus as of September 23, 2026.
Same sub-industry: 138 companies behind the medians.
| # | Company | Code | Country | Overall / 10 | Fundamentals / 10 | Mkt cap | P/E | Net margin | Revenue growth | ROIC | Net debt / EBITDA | FCF yield | 1-year perf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 883 | 8.1 | 8.3 | 147Md USD | 7.3x | 32.8 % | -3.9 % | 15.5 % | -0.7x | 13.1 % | 14.1 % | ||
| 2 | EOG | 7.9 | 8.3 | 74.4Md USD | 11.0x | 25.7 % | 58.7 % | 19.0 % | 0.5x | 8.9 % | 22.5 % | ||
| 3 | COP | 7.2 | 7.1 | 154Md USD | 17.0x | 14.7 % | 37.7 % | 10.5 % | 0.7x | 6.5 % | 36.9 % | ||
| 4 | CNQ | 6.9 | 7.0 | 98.0Md USD | 11.9x | 26.3 % | 69.5 % | 19.2 % | 1.1x | 7.1 % | 50.9 % | ||
| 5 | DVN | 6.5 | 5.3 | 52.8Md USD | 11.4x | 16.6 % | 73.0 % | 8.7 % | 1.0x | 2.9 % | 39.8 % | ||
| 6 | VG | 6.2 | 5.0 | 33.2Md USD | 10.1x | 22.1 % | 47.6 % | 8.5 % | 5.5x | -21.1 % | -10.7 % | ||
| 7 | EQT | 5.7 | 4.9 | 31.9Md USD | 11.8x | 28.6 % | -3.9 % | 9.0 % | 1.4x | 11.8 % | 1.3 % | ||
| 8 | FANG | 5.4 | 5.2 | 52.0Md USD | 36.3x | 8.5 % | 51.2 % | 2.8 % | 1.5x | 12.5 % | 32.9 % | ||
| 9 | WDS | 5.2 | 4.3 | 41.6Md USD | 13.4x | 22.2 % | -5.2 % | 6.2 % | 0.9x | -1.0 % | 37.1 % |
