Overall verdict
Neutral
5.8/10
1-year performance
+7.85%
Score breakdown
Up 7.8% over 1 year, 83% of the 52-week range.
Strongest: Profitability 8.8/10. Weakest: Valuation 1.2/10.
18 analysts, target -0.0% vs the price.
Fastenal Company, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the wholesale distribution of industrial and construction supplies in the United States, Canada, Mexico, and internationally. It offers fasteners, and related industrial and construction supplies under the Fastenal name. The company's fastener products include threaded fasteners, bolts, nuts, screws, studs, and related washers that are used in manufactured products and construction projects, as well as in the maintenance and repair of machines.
It offers miscellaneous supplies and hardware, including pins, machinery keys, concrete anchors, metal framing systems, wire ropes, strut products, rivets, and related accessories. The company serves the manufacturing market comprising original equipment manufacturers ; maintenance, repair, and operations customers ; non-residential construction market ; farmers, truckers, railroads, mining companies, schools, and retail trades ; and oil exploration, production, and refinement companies, as well as federal, state, and local governmental entities. Fastenal Company was founded in 1967 and is headquartered in Winona, Minnesota.
Sector
Industrials
Industry
Trading Companies and Distributors
Primary listing
Nasdaq
United States
CEO
Jeffery Watts
Founded
1967
Employees
24 489
Revenue / employee
334 865 USD
Next earnings
October 14, 2026
Institutional holders
- BlackRock, Inc.9.19%
- CALIFORNIA STATE TEACHERS RETIREMENT SYSTEM7.30%
- VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC6.48%
- VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC5.61%
- STATE STREET CORP4.88%
- CHARLES SCHWAB INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT INC3.71%
- Invesco Ltd.3.42%
- GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC3.41%
- MORGAN STANLEY1.80%
- Other institutions46.11%
- Rest of the register8.08%
1454 13F filings as of June 30, 2026: US managers above $100M, filed up to 45 days after quarter end. No insiders, no retail. A share on loan is declared by its lender and by whoever bought it from the short seller, so the total can exceed 100%.
Research uses the underlying stock’s market history. The purchase quote is calculated separately when you review your order.
52-week high
52.91 USD
52-week low
38.97 USD
1-year performance
7.85%
Rising
Year-to-date performance
26.65%
Rising
Drawdown
-4.37%
Near its high
Position in the 52-week range
83% of range
Against the world ETF
Over 17 years, from September 2009 to August 2026, the share did not do better than the world ETF once risk is accounted for. It earned more, but shaking 2.1 times harder: for the risk taken, the ETF paid better.
10,000 € placed at the end of September 2009 are worth today
| Fastenal | 195 371 € |
| World ETF | 74 620 € |
| S&P 500 | 123 025 € |
| Risk-free placement | 11 288 € |
The risk
- Shaking:the share moves 2.1 times as much as the world ETF.
- Worst fall:-30 % between March 2017 and August 2017. 10,000 € placed at the top fell to 6 959 €. The world ETF, at worst: -34 %. Back to its high in 11 months.
Fastenal earned 3 times as much as the world ETF since 2009
Value of 10,000 euros placed at the end of September 2009, dividends reinvested, in euros
- Fastenal: 195 371 €
- World ETF: 74 620 €
- S&P 500: 123 025 €
- Risk-free placement: 11 288 €
Based on past performance. This is not a recommendation.
Range: 24.69 USD - 27.08 USD (2 methods agree)
The price implies growth of 17.18% per year; the company grows at 7.95%.
Gross margin 42.8%, net margin 15.5%, ROIC 32.0%, ROE 34.3%.
Net margin
15.45%
Exceptional
Sector 4.04%|S&P 12.97%
Gross margin
42.77%
Exceptional
Return on equity (ROE)
34.34%
Exceptional
Sector 10.14%|S&P 16.52%
Return on invested capital (ROIC)
32.01%
Exceptional
Free cash flow margin (FCF)
13.21%
Exceptional
Profit-to-cash conversion (FCF conversion)
0.85x
Fair
Margin stability
1.0 pts
Very steady
Revenue to net income
Growth
4.0/10Revenue up 14.7% over 1 year, 7.7% a year over 5, EPS 8.0% a year over 5.
Revenue (trailing 12 months)
8.7Md USD
Revenue growth (1y)
14.74%
Hyper-growth
Revenue growth (3y)
17.48%
Solid
EPS growth (1y)
15.88%
Solid
EPS CAGR (5y)
7.95%
Fair
EPS revisions (3 months)
2.03%
Revised up
Valuation
1.2/10P/E 43.1x, forward P/E 40.1x, EV/EBITDA 29.9x, PEG 5.42. The multiple sits in the 97th percentile of its own 5-year history.
P/E (TTM)
43.1x
Very expensive
Sector 17.8x|S&P 23.0x
Forward P/E
40.1x
Expensive
EV / EBITDA
29.9x
Very expensive
Sector 11.0x|S&P 14.5x
PEG
5.42
Very expensive
Sector 1.36|S&P 0.86
Fair value (reverse DCF)
25.89 USD
Deeply overvalued
P/E vs its own 5-year history
among the 3% highest valuations
At its historical high
Market cap
58.5Md USD
Financial strength
7.6/10Cash covers 46.4% of the debt, net debt/EBITDA 0.1x.
Net debt / EBITDA
0.1x
Very solid
Gearing (net debt / equity)
5.82%
Stretched
Cash
205M USD
Cash / market cap
0.35%
Stretched
Cash / total debt
46.36%
Solid
Interest coverage
394.5x
Very solid
Net debt
237M USD
Equity
4.1Md USD
Closed daily candles, 2 years
Last close on September 24, 2026: 50.74 USD
- MM2049.49
- MM5049.32
- MM20045.97
- RSI 1458.8
Top panel: closed candles, 20, 50 and 200-day moving averages, with volume in grey. Bottom panel: 14-day RSI with dashed 30 and 70 levels.
200-day average slope, 1 month
+2.12%
200-day average slope, 3 months
+3.67%
50-day average slope, 1 month
+2.55%
Price structure
higher-low
Bullish RSI divergence
No
20-day volatility
1.21 % per day
Volatility change
-21.91%
Forecasts by fiscal year
| Fiscal year | EPS | Normalised EPS | Revenue | EBITDA | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1.26 (15) | 1.26 (18) | 9 294 (16) | 2 106 (12) | 1 451 (12) |
| 2027 | 1.40 (15) | 1.40 (18) | 10 155 (16) | 2 323 (12) | 1 601 (12) |
Amounts in millions of USD, EPS in USD per share. In brackets, the number of analysts. Consensus as of September 15, 2026.
Same sub-industry: 171 companies behind the medians.
| # | Company | Code | Country | Overall / 10 | Fundamentals / 10 | Mkt cap | P/E | Net margin | Revenue growth | ROIC | Net debt / EBITDA | FCF yield | 1-year perf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8015 | 7.3 | 7.1 | 44.2Md USD | 19.0x | 3.2 % | 37.6 % | 9.9 % | 1.3x | 2.8 % | 76.8 % | ||
| 2 | 8058 | 6.9 | 6.7 | 104Md USD | 20.1x | 4.5 % | 22.8 % | 6.6 % | 5.7x | 8.5 % | 36.1 % | ||
| 3 | URI | 6.8 | 6.1 | 64.2Md USD | 24.8x | 15.7 % | 11.8 % | 11.7 % | 2.1x | 1.0 % | 6.8 % | ||
| 4 | 8002 | 6.6 | 6.7 | 52.1Md USD | 13.9x | 6.6 % | 20.6 % | 9.6 % | 4.5x | 5.2 % | 33.0 % | ||
| 5 | GWW | 6.6 | 6.6 | 59.8Md USD | 32.3x | 9.9 % | 10.3 % | 28.4 % | 0.8x | 2.5 % | 32.3 % | ||
| 6 | 8001 | 6.5 | 5.7 | 113Md USD | 17.1x | 6.0 % | 8.9 % | 9.0 % | 3.5x | 3.8 % | 27.4 % | ||
| 7 | 8053 | 6.4 | 5.6 | 53.4Md USD | 13.7x | 8.3 % | 9.0 % | 7.6 % | 6.2x | 7.4 % | 63.9 % | ||
| 8 | 8031 | 6.2 | 5.8 | 91.7Md USD | 15.4x | 6.2 % | 31.7 % | 7.3 % | 6.3x | -2.6 % | 32.8 % | ||
| 9 | FAST | 5.8 | 4.9 | 58.5Md USD | 43.1x | 15.5 % | 14.7 % | 32.0 % | 0.1x | 2.0 % | 7.8 % |
