Overall verdict
Buy
7.0/10
1-year performance
+76.31%
Score breakdown
Up 76.3% over 1 year, 91% of the 52-week range.
Strongest: Valuation 7.7/10. Weakest: Shareholder return 5.1/10.
8 analysts, target +0.2% vs the price.
Toyota Tsusho Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the manufacturing, processing, and sale of various products in Japan and internationally. It operates through Metal+ (Plus), Circular Economy, Supply Chain, Mobility, Green Infrastructure, Digital Solutions, Lifestyle, and Africa segments. The company processes, manufactures, and sells automotive steel and aluminum sheets, special and stainless steel sheets, electrical steel sheets, and steel bars and pipes, as well as building materials ;
and develops, sells, and distributes critical metals, batteries, electronic materials, synthetic resins, rubber, organic chemicals, additives, and pharmaceutical raw materials. It also procures, designs, develops, sells, and services mobility interior and exterior parts and accessories, as well as offers logistics, airport management, resources recycling, and supply chain-related business development services ;
and import and exports commercial, passenger, industrial, and other vehicles and supply parts, as well as provides vehicle installation and assembly services. In addition, the company trades in manufacturing and logistics equipment, parts and tools, and construction machineries, as well as develops social infrastructure and operates power generation plants, airports, and ports ; and sells electronic devices and components, semiconductors, IT-related products, computers, peripherals, and software, as well as offers network construction and maintenance, help desk, cybersecurity, and software development.
Further, it is involved in the import and export of grain, agricultural, livestock, and marine products, as well as provision of insurance agency and brokerage services, textiles and fiber products, real estate development and management, and healthcare centers ; and leasing and sale of new and used cars, after-sale services, sale of pharmaceutical products, and retail business. The company was founded in 1936 and is headquartered in Nagoya, Japan.
Sector
Industrials
Industry
Trading Companies and Distributors
Primary listing
Tse
Japan
CEO
Tetsuya Watanuki
Founded
1948
Employees
74 927
Revenue / employee
154M JPY
Next earnings
October 30, 2026 (estimated)
Research uses the underlying stock’s market history. The purchase quote is calculated separately when you review your order.
52-week high
7798.00 JPY
52-week low
4022.00 JPY
1-year performance
76.31%
Rising
Year-to-date performance
33.11%
Rising
Drawdown
-4.48%
Near its high
Position in the 52-week range
91% of range
Range: 7500.00 JPY - 8948.50 JPY (2 methods agree)
The price implies growth of 12.80% per year; the company grows at 22.44%.
Gross margin 10.8%, net margin 3.2%, ROIC 9.9%, ROE 15.5%.
Net margin
3.25%
Fair
Sector 4.07%|S&P 12.97%
Gross margin
10.85%
Low
Return on equity (ROE)
15.48%
Exceptional
Sector 10.14%|S&P 16.52%
Return on invested capital (ROIC)
9.92%
High
Free cash flow margin (FCF)
1.58%
Low
Profit-to-cash conversion (FCF conversion)
0.49x
Low
Margin stability
0.6 pts
Very steady
Revenue to net income
Growth
7.4/10Revenue up 37.6% over 1 year, 12.9% a year over 5, EPS 22.4% a year over 5.
Revenue (trailing 12 months)
12.2T JPY
Revenue growth (1y)
37.64%
Hyper-growth
Revenue growth (3y)
17.40%
Solid
EPS growth (1y)
40.14%
Hyper-growth
EPS CAGR (5y)
22.44%
Exceptional
EPS revisions (3 months)
6.32%
Sharply revised up
Valuation
7.7/10P/E 19.2x, forward P/E 16.1x, EV/EBITDA 11.4x, PEG 0.85. The multiple sits in the 98th percentile of its own 5-year history.
P/E (TTM)
19.2x
Fair
Sector 17.8x|S&P 23.0x
Forward P/E
16.1x
Fair
EV / EBITDA
11.4x
Fair
Sector 11.0x|S&P 14.5x
PEG
0.85
Growth unpriced
Sector 1.36|S&P 0.86
Fair value (reverse DCF)
8284.12 JPY
Undervalued
P/E vs its own 5-year history
among the 2% highest valuations
At its historical high
Market cap
7.0T JPY
Financial strength
7.1/10Cash covers 34.2% of the debt, net debt/EBITDA 1.3x.
Net debt / EBITDA
1.3x
Very solid
Gearing (net debt / equity)
64.91%
Tight
Cash
898Md JPY
Cash / market cap
12.79%
Solid
Cash / total debt
34.17%
Solid
Net debt
1.7T JPY
Equity
2.7T JPY
Closed daily candles, 2 years
Last close on September 24, 2026: 7,361.00 JPY
- MM207,519.70
- MM507,083.78
- MM2006,377.89
- RSI 1449.6
Top panel: closed candles, 20, 50 and 200-day moving averages, with volume in grey. Bottom panel: 14-day RSI with dashed 30 and 70 levels.
200-day average slope, 1 month
+4.75%
200-day average slope, 3 months
+14.26%
50-day average slope, 1 month
+8.75%
Price structure
flat
Bullish RSI divergence
No
20-day volatility
1.59 % per day
Volatility change
-40.11%
Forecasts by fiscal year
| Fiscal year | EPS | Normalised EPS | Revenue | EBITDA | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 463.49 (8) | — | 12 750 267 (6) | 833 758 (4) | 451 875 (8) |
Amounts in millions of JPY, EPS in JPY per share. In brackets, the number of analysts. Consensus as of September 10, 2026.
Same sub-industry: 171 companies behind the medians.
| # | Company | Code | Country | Overall / 10 | Fundamentals / 10 | Mkt cap | P/E | Net margin | Revenue growth | ROIC | Net debt / EBITDA | FCF yield | 1-year perf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8015 | 7.0 | 6.9 | 44.2Md USD | 19.2x | 3.2 % | 37.6 % | 9.9 % | 1.3x | 2.8 % | 76.3 % | ||
| 2 | 8058 | 6.9 | 6.7 | 104Md USD | 20.1x | 4.5 % | 22.8 % | 6.6 % | 5.7x | 8.5 % | 36.1 % | ||
| 3 | URI | 6.8 | 6.1 | 64.2Md USD | 24.8x | 15.7 % | 11.8 % | 11.7 % | 2.1x | 1.0 % | 6.8 % | ||
| 4 | 8002 | 6.7 | 6.9 | 52.1Md USD | 13.9x | 6.6 % | 20.6 % | 9.6 % | 4.5x | 5.2 % | 33.0 % | ||
| 5 | 8053 | 6.6 | 5.9 | 53.4Md USD | 13.7x | 8.3 % | 9.0 % | 7.6 % | 6.2x | 7.4 % | 63.9 % | ||
| 6 | GWW | 6.6 | 6.6 | 59.8Md USD | 32.3x | 9.9 % | 10.3 % | 28.4 % | 0.8x | 2.5 % | 32.3 % | ||
| 7 | 8001 | 6.5 | 5.7 | 113Md USD | 17.1x | 6.0 % | 8.9 % | 9.0 % | 3.5x | 3.8 % | 27.4 % | ||
| 8 | 8031 | 6.2 | 5.8 | 91.7Md USD | 15.4x | 6.2 % | 31.7 % | 7.3 % | 6.3x | -2.6 % | 32.8 % | ||
| 9 | FAST | 5.5 | 5.2 | 58.5Md USD | 43.4x | 15.5 % | 14.7 % | 32.0 % | 0.1x | 2.0 % | 5.7 % |
