Overall verdict
Neutral
4.4/10
1-year performance
+10.60%
Score breakdown
Up 10.6% over 1 year, 24% of the 52-week range.
Strongest: Shareholder return 8.1/10. Weakest: Profitability 0.0/10.
20 analysts, target +0.3% vs the price.
Ford Motor Company develops, delivers, and services Ford trucks, sport utility vehicles, commercial vans and cars, and Lincoln luxury vehicles in the United States, Canada, the United Kingdom, Mexico, and internationally. It operates through Ford Blue, Ford Model e, Ford Pro, and Ford Credit segments. The company sells Ford and Lincoln internal combustion engine and hybrid vehicles, electric vehicles, service parts, accessories, and digital services for retail customers; develops EV and digital vehicle technologies, and software; and provides telematics and EV charging solutions.
It also sells Ford and Lincoln vehicles, service parts, and accessories through distributors and dealers, as well as through dealerships to commercial fleet customers, daily rental car companies, and governments. In addition, it engages in vehicle-related financing and leasing activities to and through automotive dealers. Further, the company provides retail installment sale contracts for new and used vehicles; and direct financing leases for new vehicles to retail and commercial customers, such as leasing companies, government entities, daily rental companies, and fleet customers.
Additionally, it offers wholesale loans to dealers to finance the purchase of vehicle inventory; and loans to dealers to finance working capital and enhance dealership facilities, purchase dealership real estate, and other dealer vehicle programs. Ford Motor Company was incorporated in 1903 and is based in Dearborn, Michigan.
Sector
Consumer Discretionary
Industry
Automobiles
Primary listing
Nyse
United States
CEO
James Farley
Founded
1903
Employees
169 000
Revenue / employee
1.1M USD
Next earnings
October 26, 2026 (estimated)
Institutional holders
- BlackRock, Inc.8.25%
- VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC6.30%
- STATE STREET CORP4.79%
- VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC4.48%
- CHARLES SCHWAB INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT INC3.38%
- Newport Trust Company, LLC3.23%
- GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC2.99%
- BANK OF AMERICA CORP /DE/1.79%
- MORGAN STANLEY1.31%
- Other institutions27.80%
- Rest of the register35.68%
1731 13F filings as of June 30, 2026: US managers above $100M, filed up to 45 days after quarter end. No insiders, no retail. A share on loan is declared by its lender and by whoever bought it from the short seller, so the total can exceed 100%.
Research uses the underlying stock’s market history. The purchase quote is calculated separately when you review your order.
52-week high
17.78 USD
52-week low
11.11 USD
1-year performance
10.60%
Rising
Year-to-date performance
-1.82%
Rising
Drawdown
-28.40%
Marked drawdown
Position in the 52-week range
24% of range
Against the world ETF
Over 17 years, from September 2009 to August 2026, the share did clearly worse than the world ETF once risk is accounted for. It earned less, while shaking 2.9 times harder.
10,000 € placed at the end of September 2009 are worth today
| Ford Motor | 48 893 € |
| World ETF | 74 620 € |
| S&P 500 | 123 025 € |
| Risk-free placement | 11 288 € |
The risk
- Shaking:the share moves 2.9 times as much as the world ETF.
- Worst fall:-64 % between January 2017 and March 2020. 10,000 € placed at the top fell to 3 639 €. The world ETF, at worst: -34 %. Back to its high in 12 months.
Ford Motor earned less than the world ETF since 2009
Value of 10,000 euros placed at the end of September 2009, dividends reinvested, in euros
- Ford Motor: 48 893 €
- World ETF: 74 620 €
- S&P 500: 123 025 €
- Risk-free placement: 11 288 €
Based on past performance. This is not a recommendation.
Range: 15.93 USD - 19.97 USD (2 methods agree)
The price implies growth of -8.92% per year; the company grows at 8.05%.
Gross margin 8.0%, the company loses 3.9% of its revenue, ROIC -5.0%, ROE -18.3%.
Net margin
-3.93%
Negative
Sector 1.58%|S&P 12.97%
Gross margin
8.00%
Low
Return on equity (ROE)
-18.31%
Negative
Sector 3.42%|S&P 16.52%
Return on invested capital (ROIC)
-5.01%
Negative
Free cash flow margin (FCF)
3.87%
Low
Margin stability
4.5 pts
Steady
Revenue to net income
Growth
2.1/10Revenue down 3.8% over 1 year, 8.1% a year over 5.
Revenue (trailing 12 months)
188Md USD
Revenue growth (1y)
-3.76%
Declining
Revenue growth (3y)
18.48%
Solid
EPS growth (1y)
—
EPS CAGR (5y)
—
EPS revisions (3 months)
13.55%
Sharply revised up
Valuation
6.4/10The company loses money, so no valuation multiple can be read: a negative P/E is not a discount.
P/E (TTM)
—
N/A (loss)
Sector 12.7x|S&P 23.0x
Forward P/E
12.4x
Cheap
EV / EBITDA
20.5x
Very expensive
Sector 7.9x|S&P 14.5x
PEG
—
Sector 0.51|S&P 0.86
Fair value (reverse DCF)
17.68 USD
Undervalued
P/E vs its own 5-year history
among the 31% highest valuations
Pricier than usual
Market cap
51.6Md USD
Financial strength
0.7/10Cash covers 19.2% of the debt, net debt/EBITDA 14.9x.
Net debt / EBITDA
14.9x
Stretched
Gearing (net debt / equity)
369.07%
Stretched
Cash
31.3Md USD
Cash / market cap
60.73%
Very solid
Cash / total debt
19.19%
Tight
Interest coverage
-5.4x
Stretched
Net debt
132Md USD
Equity
35.8Md USD
Closed daily candles, 2 years
Last close on September 24, 2026: 12.60 USD
- MM2013.67
- MM5014.02
- MM20013.53
- RSI 1433.2
Top panel: closed candles, 20, 50 and 200-day moving averages, with volume in grey. Bottom panel: 14-day RSI with dashed 30 and 70 levels.
200-day average slope, 1 month
+0.47%
200-day average slope, 3 months
+3.65%
50-day average slope, 1 month
-0.77%
Price structure
higher-low
Bullish RSI divergence
No
20-day volatility
2.01 % per day
Volatility change
-16.98%
Forecasts by fiscal year
| Fiscal year | EPS | Normalised EPS | Revenue | EBITDA | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1.03 (7) | 1.86 (18) | 177 288 (10) | 14 045 (8) | 4 395 (6) |
| 2027 | 1.87 (8) | 1.96 (19) | 180 729 (10) | 14 804 (8) | 7 622 (7) |
Amounts in millions of USD, EPS in USD per share. In brackets, the number of analysts. Consensus as of September 23, 2026.
Same sub-industry: 70 companies behind the medians.
| # | Company | Code | Country | Overall / 10 | Fundamentals / 10 | Mkt cap | P/E | Net margin | Revenue growth | ROIC | Net debt / EBITDA | FCF yield | 1-year perf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7203 | 6.6 | 6.5 | 226Md USD | 8.4x | 8.6 % | 10.4 % | 7.3 % | 5.0x | -2.3 % | 1.4 % | ||
| 2 | 1211 | 6.5 | 6.5 | 102Md USD | 22.1x | 3.8 % | 3.3 % | 9.8 % | 0.3x | -7.8 % | -19.7 % | ||
| 3 | RACE | 6.2 | 5.8 | 91.3Md USD | 39.5x | 22.2 % | 8.4 % | 28.8 % | 0.5x | 2.4 % | -12.3 % | ||
| 4 | MBG | 6.2 | 6.7 | 46.2Md USD | 7.9x | 3.9 % | -3.3 % | 3.2 % | 3.7x | 19.7 % | -20.0 % | ||
| 5 | A005380 | 6.1 | 4.9 | 58.9Md USD | 11.3x | 4.3 % | 1.9 % | 3.3 % | 8.9x | -11.6 % | 62.5 % | ||
| 6 | TSLA | 4.9 | 4.8 | 1.5T USD | 353.2x | 3.7 % | 25.5 % | 4.0 % | -2.7x | 0.4 % | -12.1 % | ||
| 7 | P911 | 4.8 | 4.6 | 45.6Md USD | 47.2x | 2.4 % | -5.1 % | 2.8 % | 0.6x | 2.5 % | 5.3 % | ||
| 8 | GM | 4.8 | 2.8 | 73.5Md USD | 42.3x | 1.1 % | 1.9 % | 1.2 % | 6.8x | 0.8 % | 34.1 % | ||
| 9 | F | 4.4 | 3.3 | 51.6Md USD | Not meaningful (loss) | -3.9 % | -3.8 % | -5.0 % | 14.9x | 14.1 % | 10.6 % |
