Overall verdict
Neutral
4.2/10
1-year performance
+5.88%
Score breakdown
Up 5.9% over 1 year, 20% of the 52-week range.
Strongest: Shareholder return 8.2/10. Weakest: Profitability 0.0/10.
20 analysts, target +0.3% vs the price.
Ford Motor Company develops, delivers, and services Ford trucks, sport utility vehicles, commercial vans and cars, and Lincoln luxury vehicles in the United States, Canada, the United Kingdom, Mexico, and internationally. It operates through Ford Blue, Ford Model e, Ford Pro, and Ford Credit segments. The company sells Ford and Lincoln internal combustion engine and hybrid vehicles, electric vehicles, service parts, accessories, and digital services for retail customers; develops EV and digital vehicle technologies, and software; and provides telematics and EV charging solutions.
It also sells Ford and Lincoln vehicles, service parts, and accessories through distributors and dealers, as well as through dealerships to commercial fleet customers, daily rental car companies, and governments. In addition, it engages in vehicle-related financing and leasing activities to and through automotive dealers. Further, the company provides retail installment sale contracts for new and used vehicles; and direct financing leases for new vehicles to retail and commercial customers, such as leasing companies, government entities, daily rental companies, and fleet customers.
Additionally, it offers wholesale loans to dealers to finance the purchase of vehicle inventory; and loans to dealers to finance working capital and enhance dealership facilities, purchase dealership real estate, and other dealer vehicle programs. Ford Motor Company was incorporated in 1903 and is based in Dearborn, Michigan.
Sector
Consumer Discretionary
Industry
Automobiles
Primary listing
Nyse
United States
CEO
James Farley
Founded
1903
Employees
169 000
Revenue / employee
1.1M USD
Next earnings
October 28, 2026
Institutional holders
- BlackRock, Inc.8.39%
- VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC6.41%
- STATE STREET CORP4.87%
- VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC4.55%
- CHARLES SCHWAB INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT INC3.44%
- Newport Trust Company, LLC3.29%
- GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC3.03%
- BANK OF AMERICA CORP /DE/1.82%
- MORGAN STANLEY1.33%
- Other institutions28.27%
- Rest of the register34.61%
1733 13F filings as of June 30, 2026: US managers above $100M, filed up to 45 days after quarter end. No insiders, no retail. A share on loan is declared by its lender and by whoever bought it from the short seller, so the total can exceed 100%.
Research uses the underlying stock’s market history. The purchase quote is calculated separately when you review your order.
52-week high
17.78 USD
52-week low
11.11 USD
1-year performance
5.88%
Rising
Year-to-date performance
-5.69%
Rising
Drawdown
-30.09%
Major drawdown
Position in the 52-week range
20% of range
Against the world ETF
Over 21 years, from January 2006 to September 2026, the share did not clearly beat the world ETF once risk is accounted for. It earned less, while shaking 3.5 times harder.
$10,000 placed at the end of January 2006 are worth today
| Ford Motor | $28,883 |
| World ETF | $54,847 |
| S&P 500 | $87,327 |
| Risk-free placement | $14,210 |
The risk
- Shaking:the share moves 3.5 times as much as the world ETF.
- Worst fall:-80 % between June 2007 and January 2009. $10,000 placed at the top fell to $1,985. The world ETF, at worst: -53 %. Back to its high in 11 months.
Ford Motor earned less than the world ETF since 2006
Value of $10,000 placed at the end of January 2006, dividends reinvested, in dollars
- Ford Motor: $28,883
- World ETF: $54,847
- S&P 500: $87,327
- Risk-free placement: $14,210
Based on past performance. This is not a recommendation.
Range: 16.78 USD - 20.00 USD (2 methods agree)
The price implies growth of -9.49% per year; the company grows at 8.05%.
Gross margin 8.0%, the company loses 3.9% of its revenue, ROIC -5.0%, ROE -18.3%.
Net margin
-3.93%
Negative
Sector 1.77%|S&P 13.13%
Gross margin
8.00%
Low
Return on equity (ROE)
-18.31%
Negative
Sector 4.04%|S&P 16.52%
Return on invested capital (ROIC)
-5.01%
Negative
Free cash flow margin (FCF)
3.87%
Low
Margin stability
4.5 pts
Steady
Revenue to net income
Growth
2.1/10Revenue down 3.8% over 1 year, 8.1% a year over 5.
Revenue (trailing 12 months)
188Md USD
Revenue growth (1y)
-3.76%
Declining
Revenue growth (3y)
18.48%
Solid
EPS growth (1y)
—
EPS CAGR (5y)
—
EPS revisions (3 months)
12.45%
Sharply revised up
Valuation
6.4/10The company loses money, so no valuation multiple can be read: a negative P/E is not a discount.
P/E (TTM)
—
N/A (loss)
Sector 12.3x|S&P 23.7x
Forward P/E
12.2x
Cheap
EV / EBITDA
20.3x
Very expensive
Sector 7.7x|S&P 15.0x
PEG
—
Sector 0.47|S&P 0.89
Fair value (reverse DCF)
18.77 USD
Deeply undervalued
Market cap
49.6Md USD
Financial strength
0.7/10Cash covers 19.2% of the debt, net debt/EBITDA 14.9x.
Net debt / EBITDA
14.9x
Stretched
Gearing (net debt / equity)
369.07%
Stretched
Cash
31.3Md USD
Cash / market cap
63.22%
Very solid
Cash / total debt
19.19%
Tight
Interest coverage
-5.4x
Stretched
Net debt
132Md USD
Equity
35.8Md USD
Closed daily candles, 2 years
Last close on October 15, 2026: 12.31 USD
- MM2012.41
- MM5013.34
- MM20013.44
- RSI 1442.2
Top panel: closed candles, 20, 50 and 200-day moving averages, with volume in grey. Bottom panel: 14-day RSI with dashed 30 and 70 levels.
200-day average slope, 1 month
-0.70%
200-day average slope, 3 months
+1.59%
50-day average slope, 1 month
-5.61%
Price structure
higher-low
Bullish RSI divergence
No
20-day volatility
1.36 % per day
Volatility change
-43.86%
Forecasts by fiscal year
| Fiscal year | EPS | Normalised EPS | Revenue | EBITDA | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1.02 (7) | 1.84 (19) | 178 019 (10) | 14 042 (8) | 4 367 (6) |
| 2027 | 1.92 (7) | 1.92 (19) | 181 389 (10) | 14 750 (7) | 7 898 (6) |
Amounts in millions of USD, EPS in USD per share. In brackets, the number of analysts. Consensus as of October 15, 2026.
Same sub-industry: 74 companies behind the medians.
| # | Company | Code | Country | Overall / 10 | Fundamentals / 10 | Mkt cap | P/E | Net margin | Revenue growth | ROIC | Net debt / EBITDA | FCF yield | 1-year perf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1211 | 6.6 | 6.7 | 95.2Md USD | 20.4x | 3.8 % | 3.3 % | 9.8 % | 0.3x | -8.4 % | -23.2 % | ||
| 2 | RACE | 6.2 | 5.9 | 87.0Md USD | 38.6x | 22.2 % | 8.4 % | 28.8 % | 0.5x | 2.5 % | 6.5 % | ||
| 3 | 7203 | 5.9 | 5.9 | 227Md USD | 8.8x | 8.6 % | 10.4 % | 7.3 % | 5.0x | -2.3 % | 4.1 % | ||
| 4 | MBG | 5.8 | 6.8 | 43.2Md USD | 7.8x | 3.9 % | -3.3 % | 3.2 % | 3.7x | 21.1 % | -24.2 % | ||
| 5 | A005380 | 5.5 | 5.4 | 50.4Md USD | 10.0x | 4.3 % | 1.9 % | 3.3 % | 8.9x | -13.5 % | 31.2 % | ||
| 6 | 7267 | 4.7 | 4.2 | 43.7Md USD | Not meaningful (loss) | -0.8 % | 13.5 % | -0.9 % | 7.1x | 3.9 % | 16.5 % | ||
| 7 | TSLA | 4.6 | 4.5 | 1.4T USD | 336.7x | 3.7 % | 25.5 % | 4.0 % | -2.7x | 0.4 % | -16.7 % | ||
| 8 | F | 4.2 | 3.3 | 49.6Md USD | Not meaningful (loss) | -3.9 % | -3.8 % | -5.0 % | 14.9x | 14.7 % | 5.9 % | ||
| 9 | GM | 4.0 | 3.0 | 73.4Md USD | 42.2x | 1.1 % | 1.9 % | 1.2 % | 6.8x | 0.8 % | 46.1 % |
