Overall verdict
Neutral
4.7/10
1-year performance
-19.80%
Score breakdown
Down 19.8% over 1 year, 6% of the 52-week range.
Strongest: Valuation 9.3/10. Weakest: Growth 0.2/10.
20 analysts, target +0.5% vs the price.
Volkswagen AG manufactures automobiles and commercial vehicles in Europe, Germany, North America, South America, the Asia-Pacific, and internationally. It operates through three segments: Passenger Cars and Light Commercial Vehicles; Commercial Vehicles; and Financial Services. The Passenger Cars and Light Commercial Vehicles segment develops vehicles, engines and motors, vehicle software, and vehicle batteries; produces and sells passenger cars and light commercial vehicles, and the parts.
This segment also offers compact cars, luxury vehicles, and motorcycles, as well as mobility solutions. The Commercial Vehicles segment engages in the development of vehicles, engines, and motors; production and sale of trucks and buses, parts, and related services. The Financial Services segment engages in the dealership and customer financing, leasing, direct banking, and insurance activities; and provision of fleet management, and mobility services.
In addition, the company is involved in the large-bore diesel engines, turbomachinery, and propulsion components businesses. It sells its products under the Volkswagen Passenger Cars, koda, SEAT/CUPRA, Volkswagen Commercial Vehicles, Audi, Lamborghini, Bentley, Ducati, Porsche, Scania, MAN, Volkswagen Truck & Bus, TRATON, and Bugatti Rimac, and international commercial vehicles brands to individual, corporate, and fleet customers. The company was founded in 1937 and is headquartered in Wolfsburg, Germany. Volkswagen AG operates as a subsidiary of Porsche Automobil Holding SE.
Sector
Consumer Discretionary
Industry
Automobiles
Primary listing
Xetr
Germany
CEO
Dr. Oliver Blume Ph.D.
Founded
1937
Employees
662 942
Revenue / employee
499 380 EUR
Next earnings
October 29, 2026
Research uses the underlying stock’s market history. The purchase quote is calculated separately when you review your order.
52-week high
109.15 EUR
52-week low
69.20 EUR
1-year performance
-19.80%
Declining
Year-to-date performance
-22.61%
Declining
Drawdown
-34.46%
Major drawdown
Position in the 52-week range
6% of range
Against the world ETF
Over 17 years, from September 2009 to August 2026, the share did clearly worse than the world ETF once risk is accounted for. It earned less, while shaking 2.8 times harder.
10,000 € placed at the end of September 2009 are worth today
| Volkswagen | 9 760 € |
| World ETF | 74 620 € |
| STOXX Europe 600 | 39 543 € |
| Risk-free placement | 11 288 € |
The risk
- Shaking:the share moves 2.8 times as much as the world ETF.
- Worst fall:-72 % between March 2015 and June 2026. 10,000 € placed at the top fell to 2 828 €. The world ETF, at worst: -34 %. The share has not returned to its high yet.
Volkswagen earned less than the world ETF since 2009
Value of 10,000 euros placed at the end of September 2009, dividends reinvested, in euros
- Volkswagen: 9 760 €
- World ETF: 74 620 €
- STOXX Europe 600: 39 543 €
- Risk-free placement: 11 288 €
Share price without dividends; the world ETF and the index reinvest theirs. A dividend payer is therefore understated here.
Based on past performance. This is not a recommendation.
Range: 78.05 EUR - 151.00 EUR (2 methods agree)
Gross margin 16.6%, net margin 1.6%, ROIC 1.6%, ROE 3.0%.
Net margin
1.63%
Fair
Sector 1.41%|S&P 12.97%
Gross margin
16.59%
High
Return on equity (ROE)
3.05%
Fair
Sector 3.42%|S&P 16.52%
Return on invested capital (ROIC)
1.64%
Low
Free cash flow margin (FCF)
-1.80%
Negative
Profit-to-cash conversion (FCF conversion)
-1.11x
Low
Margin stability
1.3 pts
Very steady
Revenue to net income
Growth
0.2/10Revenue up 2.0% over 1 year, 7.6% a year over 5, EPS -4.3% a year over 5.
Revenue (trailing 12 months)
322Md EUR
Revenue growth (1y)
2.03%
Moderate
Revenue growth (3y)
15.36%
Solid
EPS growth (1y)
-40.97%
Declining
EPS CAGR (5y)
-4.35%
Declining
EPS revisions (3 months)
—
Valuation
9.3/10P/E 6.8x, forward P/E 4.1x, EV/EBITDA 5.5x. The multiple sits in the 79th percentile of its own 5-year history.
P/E (TTM)
6.8x
Cheap
Sector 13.3x|S&P 23.0x
Forward P/E (adjusted)
4.1x
Cheap
EV / EBITDA
5.5x
Fair
Sector 8.1x|S&P 14.5x
PEG
—
Sector 0.51|S&P 0.86
Fair value (reverse DCF)
105.50 EUR
Deeply undervalued
P/E vs its own 5-year history
among the 21% highest valuations
Pricier than usual
Market cap
41.7Md EUR
Financial strength
2.0/10Cash covers 24.8% of the debt, net debt/EBITDA 4.3x.
Net debt / EBITDA
4.3x
Stretched
Gearing (net debt / equity)
116.09%
Stretched
Cash
70.6Md EUR
Cash / market cap
169.33%
Very solid
Cash / total debt
24.76%
Tight
Net debt
215Md EUR
Equity
185Md EUR
Closed daily candles, 2 years
Last close on September 24, 2026: 70.82 EUR
- MM2078.20
- MM5075.76
- MM20087.90
- RSI 1435.1
Top panel: closed candles, 20, 50 and 200-day moving averages, with volume in grey. Bottom panel: 14-day RSI with dashed 30 and 70 levels.
200-day average slope, 1 month
-2.40%
200-day average slope, 3 months
-6.58%
50-day average slope, 1 month
+1.94%
Price structure
higher-low
Bullish RSI divergence
No
20-day volatility
2.81 % per day
Volatility change
+46.76%
Forecasts by fiscal year
| Fiscal year | EPS | Normalised EPS | Revenue | EBITDA | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 16.64 (9) | 17.42 (12) | 320 792 (18) | 36 731 (3) | 8 565 (11) |
| 2027 | 20.48 (12) | 21.88 (14) | 326 226 (17) | 38 923 (4) | 10 676 (12) |
Amounts in millions of EUR, EPS in EUR per share. In brackets, the number of analysts. Consensus as of September 23, 2026.
Same sub-industry: 70 companies behind the medians.
| # | Company | Code | Country | Overall / 10 | Fundamentals / 10 | Mkt cap | P/E | Net margin | Revenue growth | ROIC | Net debt / EBITDA | FCF yield | 1-year perf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7203 | 6.6 | 6.5 | 226Md USD | 8.4x | 8.6 % | 10.4 % | 7.3 % | 5.0x | -2.3 % | 1.4 % | ||
| 2 | 1211 | 6.5 | 6.5 | 102Md USD | 22.1x | 3.8 % | 3.3 % | 9.8 % | 0.3x | -7.8 % | -19.7 % | ||
| 3 | RACE | 6.3 | 6.0 | 91.3Md USD | 39.5x | 22.2 % | 8.4 % | 28.8 % | 0.5x | 2.4 % | -12.3 % | ||
| 4 | A005380 | 6.1 | 4.9 | 58.9Md USD | 11.3x | 4.3 % | 1.9 % | 3.3 % | 8.9x | -11.6 % | 62.5 % | ||
| 5 | TSLA | 5.1 | 5.1 | 1.5T USD | 353.2x | 3.7 % | 25.5 % | 4.0 % | -2.7x | 0.4 % | -12.1 % | ||
| 6 | GM | 5.0 | 3.1 | 73.5Md USD | 42.3x | 1.1 % | 1.9 % | 1.2 % | 6.8x | 0.8 % | 34.1 % | ||
| 7 | P911 | 4.9 | 4.7 | 45.6Md USD | 47.2x | 2.4 % | -5.1 % | 2.8 % | 0.6x | 2.5 % | 5.3 % | ||
| 8 | VOW3 | 4.7 | 4.3 | 47.4Md USD | 6.8x | 1.6 % | 2.0 % | 1.6 % | 4.3x | -13.9 % | -19.8 % | ||
| 9 | F | 4.6 | 3.3 | 51.6Md USD | Not meaningful (loss) | -3.9 % | -3.8 % | -5.0 % | 14.9x | 14.1 % | 7.4 % |
