Overall verdict
Neutral
6.0/10
1-year performance
-8.11%
Score breakdown
Strongest: Shareholder return 5.9/10. Weakest: Profitability 4.1/10.
15 analysts, target +0.2% vs the price.
Intercontinental Exchange, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides technology and data to financial institutions, corporations, and government entities in the United States, the United Kingdom, the European Union, Canada, Asia Pacific, and the Middle East. It operates through three segments: Exchanges, Fixed Income and Data Services, and Mortgage Technology. The Exchanges segment operates regulated marketplace technology for the listing, trading, and clearing of an array of derivatives contracts and financial securities, such as commodities, interest rates, foreign exchange and equities, and corporate and exchange-traded funds, as well as data and connectivity services related to its exchanges and clearing houses.
The Fixed Income and Data Services segment provides fixed income pricing, reference data, indices, analytics, and execution services, as well as global CDS clearing and multi-asset class data delivery technology. The Mortgage Technology segment offers a technology platform that provides customers comprehensive and digital workflow tools to address inefficiencies and mitigate risks that exist in the U.S. residential mortgage market life cycle from application through closing, servicing, and the secondary market. The company was founded in 2000 and is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia.
Sector
Financials
Industry
Capital Markets
Primary listing
Nyse
United States
CEO
Jeffrey Sprecher
Founded
2000
Employees
12 844
Revenue / employee
952 040 USD
Next earnings
October 29, 2026 (Q3 2026)
Institutional holders
- BlackRock, Inc.8.88%
- VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC6.47%
- STATE STREET CORP4.55%
- HARRIS ASSOCIATES L P3.16%
- MORGAN STANLEY2.30%
- GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC2.25%
- VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC2.20%
- WELLINGTON MANAGEMENT GROUP LLP2.07%
- PRICE T ROWE ASSOCIATES INC /MD/1.91%
- Other institutions57.46%
- Rest of the register8.76%
1657 13F filings as of June 30, 2026: US managers above $100M, filed up to 45 days after quarter end. No insiders, no retail. A share on loan is declared by its lender and by whoever bought it from the short seller, so the total can exceed 100%.
Research uses the underlying stock’s market history. The purchase quote is calculated separately when you review your order.
52-week high
176.05 USD
52-week low
121.79 USD
1-year performance
-8.11%
Declining
Year-to-date performance
-3.09%
Declining
Drawdown
-12.68%
Mild pullback
Position in the 52-week range
59% of range
Against the world ETF
Over 17 years, from September 2009 to August 2026, the share did not do better than the world ETF once risk is accounted for. It earned more, but shaking 1.8 times harder: for the risk taken, the ETF paid better.
10,000 € placed at the end of September 2009 are worth today
| Intercontinental | 122 243 € |
| World ETF | 74 620 € |
| S&P 500 | 123 025 € |
| Risk-free placement | 11 288 € |
The risk
- Shaking:the share moves 1.8 times as much as the world ETF.
- Worst fall:-35 % between February 2025 and June 2026. 10,000 € placed at the top fell to 6 544 €. The world ETF, at worst: -34 %. The share has not returned to its high yet.
Intercontinental earned more than the world ETF since 2009
Value of 10,000 euros placed at the end of September 2009, dividends reinvested, in euros
- Intercontinental: 122 243 €
- World ETF: 74 620 €
- S&P 500: 123 025 €
- Risk-free placement: 11 288 €
Based on past performance. This is not a recommendation.
Range: 163.00 USD - 163.16 USD (3 methods agree)
The price implies growth of 3.09% per year; the company grows at 8.90%.
Gross margin 68.6%, net margin 30.7%, ROIC 8.5%, ROE 13.9%.
Net margin
30.74%
Fair
Sector 26.90%|S&P 12.97%
Gross margin
68.57%
Fair
Return on equity (ROE)
13.93%
Fair
Sector 18.14%|S&P 16.52%
Return on invested capital (ROIC)
8.49%
Low
Free cash flow margin (FCF)
38.65%
High
Profit-to-cash conversion (FCF conversion)
1.26x
High
Margin stability
12.3 pts
Very uneven
Revenue to net income
Growth
4.6/10Revenue up 6.8% over 1 year, 9.9% a year over 5, EPS 8.9% a year over 5.
Revenue (trailing 12 months)
13.1Md USD
Revenue growth (1y)
6.78%
Moderate
Revenue growth (3y)
33.23%
Solid
EPS growth (1y)
14.36%
Solid
EPS CAGR (5y)
8.90%
Fair
EPS revisions (3 months)
-0.15%
Revised down
Valuation
5.7/10P/E 21.7x, forward P/E 21.5x, EV/EBITDA 15.2x, PEG 2.44.
P/E (TTM)
21.7x
Fair
Sector 24.4x|S&P 23.0x
Forward P/E
21.5x
Fair
EV / EBITDA
15.2x
Fair
Sector 15.7x|S&P 14.5x
PEG
2.44
Very expensive
Sector 0.56|S&P 0.86
Fair value (reverse DCF)
163.03 USD
Fairly priced
Market cap
87.8Md USD
Financial strength
5.6/10Cash covers 12.6% of the debt, net debt/EBITDA 2.7x.
Net debt / EBITDA
2.7x
Stretched
Gearing (net debt / equity)
60.53%
Tight
Cash
2.6Md USD
Cash / market cap
2.94%
Stretched
Cash / total debt
12.57%
Stretched
Interest coverage
6.8x
Solid
Net debt
17.9Md USD
Equity
29.7Md USD
Closed daily candles, 2 months
Last close on September 24, 2026: 156.93 USD
- MM20157.71
- RSI 1454.4
Top panel: closed candles, 20, 50 and 200-day moving averages, with volume in grey. Bottom panel: 14-day RSI with dashed 30 and 70 levels.
Bullish RSI divergence
No
20-day volatility
1.50 % per day
Volatility change
-2.26%
Forecasts by fiscal year
| Fiscal year | EPS | Normalised EPS | Revenue | EBITDA | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 7.14 (4) | 8.13 (12) | 11 000 (11) | 7 386 (8) | 4 011 (3) |
| 2027 | 7.25 (4) | 8.80 (13) | 11 597 (11) | 7 762 (8) | 3 993 (3) |
Amounts in millions of USD, EPS in USD per share. In brackets, the number of analysts. Consensus as of September 23, 2026.
Same sub-industry: 56 companies behind the medians.
| # | Company | Code | Country | Overall / 10 | Fundamentals / 10 | Mkt cap | P/E | Net margin | Revenue growth | ROIC | Net debt / EBITDA | FCF yield | 1-year perf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DB1 | 7.2 | 7.1 | 57.1Md USD | 24.4x | 27.2 % | 149.8 % | 12.7 % | -2.8x | 5.8 % | 28.4 % | ||
| 2 | 388 | 7.1 | 7.8 | 63.8Md USD | 25.2x | 62.3 % | 17.7 % | 33.3 % | -12.5x | — | -11.1 % | ||
| 3 | MCO | 6.4 | 6.1 | 82.1Md USD | 30.0x | 34.3 % | 15.1 % | 26.6 % | 1.2x | 3.6 % | -1.3 % | ||
| 4 | ICE | 6.0 | 5.1 | 87.8Md USD | 21.7x | 30.7 % | 6.8 % | 8.5 % | 2.7x | 5.8 % | -8.1 % | ||
| 5 | CME | 5.9 | 6.0 | 97.4Md USD | 23.0x | 63.3 % | 0.8 % | 13.9 % | -0.2x | 4.3 % | 2.6 % | ||
| 6 | SPGI | 5.9 | 5.6 | 120Md USD | 24.8x | 30.5 % | 10.4 % | 11.0 % | 1.6x | 4.7 % | -13.4 % | ||
| 7 | NDAQ | 5.3 | 4.9 | 53.3Md USD | 27.8x | 22.6 % | 20.5 % | 9.4 % | 2.8x | 3.7 % | 6.9 % | ||
| 8 | LSEG | 5.2 | 5.3 | 52.9Md USD | 29.9x | 14.6 % | 5.0 % | 4.9 % | 1.7x | 9.5 % | 0.6 % | ||
| 9 | COIN | 4.2 | 2.9 | 53.0Md USD | Not meaningful (loss) | -20.6 % | -60.9 % | -5.7 % | -3.7x | 3.2 % | -38.5 % |
