Overall verdict
Neutral
6.4/10
1-year performance
-2.96%
Score breakdown
Down 3.0% over 1 year, 43% of the 52-week range.
Strongest: Profitability 8.4/10. Weakest: Valuation 3.4/10.
24 analysts, target +0.2% vs the price.
Moody's Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, operates as an integrated risk assessment firm in the United States, the rest of the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific. It operates through two segments, Moody's Analytics (MA) and Moody's Investors Service (MIS). The MA segment develops a range of products and services that support the risk management activities of institutional participants in financial markets.
This segment also offers credit research, credit models and analytics, economic data and models, and structured finance solutions; data sets on companies and securities; and cloud-based SaaS subscription solutions supporting banking, insurance, and know-your-customer workflows. The MIS segment publishes credit ratings and provides assessment services on various debt obligations, programs and facilities, and entities that issue such obligations, including corporate, financial institution, and governmental obligations, as well as structured finance securities.
It also provides ratings, investment research, compliance and third-party risk, supplier risk, trade credit, business intelligence sales and marketing, financial and regulatory reporting, balance sheet management, capital management, credit portfolio management, and model risk and governance solutions ; Maxsight, a unified risk platform ; lending suite, origination, and monitoring solutions ; and property, casualty, and sustainable insurance underwriting solutions.
The company serves the financial, banking, insurance, corporate, public, and asset management sectors. The company was formerly known as Dun and Bradstreet Company and changed its name to Moody's Corporation in September 2000. Moody's Corporation was founded in 1900 and is headquartered in New York, New York.
Sector
Financials
Industry
Capital Markets
Primary listing
Nyse
United States
CEO
Robert Fauber
Founded
1900
Employees
16 076
Revenue / employee
480 095 USD
Next earnings
October 20, 2026 (estimated)
Institutional holders
- Berkshire Hathaway Inc13.97%
- TCI FUND MANAGEMENT LTD8.12%
- BlackRock, Inc.7.06%
- VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC5.53%
- STATE STREET CORP4.03%
- FMR LLC2.82%
- GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC2.27%
- VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC2.11%
- MORGAN STANLEY1.35%
- Other institutions42.17%
- Rest of the register10.56%
1401 13F filings as of June 30, 2026: US managers above $100M, filed up to 45 days after quarter end. No insiders, no retail. A share on loan is declared by its lender and by whoever bought it from the short seller, so the total can exceed 100%.
Research uses the underlying stock’s market history. The purchase quote is calculated separately when you review your order.
52-week high
546.88 USD
52-week low
402.28 USD
1-year performance
-2.96%
Declining
Year-to-date performance
-7.04%
Declining
Drawdown
-14.99%
Mild pullback
Position in the 52-week range
43% of range
Against the world ETF
Over 17 years, from September 2009 to August 2026, the share did not do better than the world ETF once risk is accounted for. It earned more, but shaking 2.1 times harder: for the risk taken, the ETF paid better.
10,000 € placed at the end of September 2009 are worth today
| Moody's | 378 540 € |
| World ETF | 74 620 € |
| S&P 500 | 123 025 € |
| Risk-free placement | 11 288 € |
The risk
- Shaking:the share moves 2.1 times as much as the world ETF.
- Worst fall:-42 % between February 2020 and March 2020. 10,000 € placed at the top fell to 5 817 €. The world ETF, at worst: -34 %. Back to its high in 13 months.
Moody's earned 5 times as much as the world ETF since 2009
Value of 10,000 euros placed at the end of September 2009, dividends reinvested, in euros
- Moody's: 378 540 €
- World ETF: 74 620 €
- S&P 500: 123 025 €
- Risk-free placement: 11 288 €
Based on past performance. This is not a recommendation.
Range: 334.30 USD - 363.39 USD (2 methods agree)
The price implies growth of 9.24% per year; the company grows at 7.79%.
Gross margin 68.8%, net margin 34.3%, ROIC 26.6%, ROE 80.2%.
Net margin
34.25%
High
Sector 26.90%|S&P 12.97%
Gross margin
68.82%
Fair
Return on equity (ROE)
80.15%
Exceptional
Sector 16.54%|S&P 16.52%
Return on invested capital (ROIC)
26.60%
Exceptional
Free cash flow margin (FCF)
36.36%
High
Profit-to-cash conversion (FCF conversion)
1.06x
Fair
Margin stability
7.4 pts
Uneven
Revenue to net income
Growth
7.1/10Revenue up 15.1% over 1 year, 7.5% a year over 5, EPS 7.8% a year over 5.
Revenue (trailing 12 months)
8.2Md USD
Revenue growth (1y)
15.12%
Strong
Revenue growth (3y)
41.15%
Solid
EPS growth (1y)
56.86%
Hyper-growth
EPS CAGR (5y)
7.79%
Low
EPS revisions (3 months)
1.61%
Revised up
Valuation
3.4/10P/E 29.5x, forward P/E 28.6x, EV/EBITDA 21.1x, PEG 3.78. The multiple sits in the 30th percentile of its own 5-year history.
P/E (TTM)
29.5x
Expensive
Sector 24.2x|S&P 23.0x
Forward P/E
28.6x
Expensive
EV / EBITDA
21.1x
Expensive
Sector 15.3x|S&P 14.5x
PEG
3.78
Very expensive
Sector 1.12|S&P 0.86
Fair value (reverse DCF)
352.70 USD
Overvalued
P/E vs its own 5-year history
among the 30% lowest valuations
Cheaper than usual
Market cap
82.1Md USD
Financial strength
5.6/10Cash covers 19.9% of the debt, net debt/EBITDA 1.2x.
Net debt / EBITDA
1.2x
Solid
Gearing (net debt / equity)
190.33%
Stretched
Cash
1.5Md USD
Cash / market cap
1.82%
Stretched
Cash / total debt
19.89%
Tight
Net debt
6.0Md USD
Equity
3.2Md USD
Closed daily candles, 2 years
Last close on September 24, 2026: 467.35 USD
- MM20481.39
- MM50486.20
- MM200472.18
- RSI 1442.1
Top panel: closed candles, 20, 50 and 200-day moving averages, with volume in grey. Bottom panel: 14-day RSI with dashed 30 and 70 levels.
200-day average slope, 1 month
-0.03%
200-day average slope, 3 months
-0.02%
50-day average slope, 1 month
+1.10%
Price structure
higher-low
Bullish RSI divergence
No
20-day volatility
1.49 % per day
Volatility change
-7.57%
Forecasts by fiscal year
| Fiscal year | EPS | Normalised EPS | Revenue | EBITDA | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 16.24 (14) | 16.97 (24) | 8 288 (21) | 4 418 (14) | 2 828 (13) |
| 2027 | 17.78 (14) | 18.92 (24) | 8 888 (21) | 4 791 (14) | 3 021 (13) |
Amounts in millions of USD, EPS in USD per share. In brackets, the number of analysts. Consensus as of September 15, 2026.
Same sub-industry: 56 companies behind the medians.
| # | Company | Code | Country | Overall / 10 | Fundamentals / 10 | Mkt cap | P/E | Net margin | Revenue growth | ROIC | Net debt / EBITDA | FCF yield | 1-year perf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DB1 | 7.2 | 7.2 | 57.1Md USD | 24.4x | 27.2 % | 149.8 % | 12.7 % | -2.8x | 5.8 % | 28.4 % | ||
| 2 | 388 | 7.1 | 7.8 | 63.8Md USD | 25.2x | 62.3 % | 17.7 % | 33.3 % | -12.5x | — | -11.1 % | ||
| 3 | MCO | 6.4 | 5.9 | 82.1Md USD | 29.5x | 34.3 % | 15.1 % | 26.6 % | 1.2x | 3.6 % | -3.0 % | ||
| 4 | CME | 6.0 | 6.2 | 97.4Md USD | 23.0x | 63.3 % | 0.8 % | 13.9 % | -0.2x | 4.3 % | 2.6 % | ||
| 5 | SPGI | 6.0 | 5.8 | 120Md USD | 24.8x | 30.5 % | 10.4 % | 11.0 % | 1.6x | 4.7 % | -13.4 % | ||
| 6 | ICE | 5.5 | 5.0 | 87.8Md USD | 22.1x | 30.7 % | 6.8 % | 8.5 % | 2.7x | 5.8 % | -6.3 % | ||
| 7 | LSEG | 5.2 | 5.3 | 52.9Md USD | 29.9x | 14.6 % | 5.0 % | 4.9 % | 1.7x | 9.5 % | 0.6 % | ||
| 8 | NDAQ | 5.2 | 4.8 | 53.3Md USD | 27.8x | 22.6 % | 20.5 % | 9.4 % | 2.8x | 3.7 % | 6.9 % | ||
| 9 | COIN | 4.2 | 2.8 | 53.0Md USD | Not meaningful (loss) | -20.6 % | -60.9 % | -5.7 % | -3.7x | 3.2 % | -38.5 % |
