Overall verdict
Neutral
6.3/10
1-year performance
-26.86%
Score breakdown
Down 26.9% over 1 year, 23% of the 52-week range.
Strongest: Profitability 10.0/10. Weakest: Valuation 2.1/10.
25 analysts, target +0.3% vs the price.
MercadoLibre, Inc. operates online commerce platforms in Brazil, Mexico, Argentina, and internationally. The company operates Mercado Libre Marketplace, an online commerce platform that can be accessed through mobile app or website; and Mercado Pago, a financial technology solution platform, which offers comprehensive set of financial technology services to users and other users of its e-commerce platform.
It also provides Mercado Fondo that allows users to invest funds deposited in their Mercado Pago accounts; Mercado Credito, which grants loans and obtains better funding alternatives; and Mercado Mercado Envios that facilitates the shipping of goods from the Company and sellers to buyers. In addition, the company provides Mercado Libre Classifieds, where users can list vehicles, properties, and services; Mercado Ads, an advertising platform, which enables retailers and brands to promote their products and services on the platform. MercadoLibre, Inc. was incorporated in 1999 and is headquartered in Montevideo, Uruguay.
Sector
Consumer Discretionary
Industry
Broadline Retail
Primary listing
Nasdaq
Uruguay
CEO
Ariel Szarfsztejn
Founded
1999
Employees
123 670
Revenue / employee
233 630 USD
Next earnings
November 2, 2026 (estimated)
Institutional holders
- Capital Research Global Investors5.98%
- BAILLIE GIFFORD & CO5.79%
- Capital International Investors3.57%
- Capital World Investors3.38%
- MORGAN STANLEY2.85%
- Invesco Ltd.2.80%
- EAGLE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC2.68%
- BlackRock, Inc.2.52%
- PRICE T ROWE ASSOCIATES INC /MD/2.18%
- Other institutions41.32%
- Rest of the register26.94%
1443 13F filings as of June 30, 2026: US managers above $100M, filed up to 45 days after quarter end. No insiders, no retail. A share on loan is declared by its lender and by whoever bought it from the short seller, so the total can exceed 100%.
Research uses the underlying stock’s market history. The purchase quote is calculated separately when you review your order.
52-week high
2548.50 USD
52-week low
1495.00 USD
1-year performance
-26.86%
Declining
Year-to-date performance
-11.26%
Declining
Drawdown
-31.84%
Major drawdown
Position in the 52-week range
23% of range
Against the world ETF
Over 17 years, from September 2009 to August 2026, the share did not do better than the world ETF once risk is accounted for. It earned more, but shaking 3.5 times harder: for the risk taken, the ETF paid better.
10,000 € placed at the end of September 2009 are worth today
| MercadoLibre | 653 121 € |
| World ETF | 74 620 € |
| S&P 500 | 123 025 € |
| Risk-free placement | 11 288 € |
The risk
- Shaking:the share moves 3.5 times as much as the world ETF.
- Worst fall:-65 % between September 2021 and June 2022. 10,000 € placed at the top fell to 3 528 €. The world ETF, at worst: -34 %. Back to its high in 19 months.
MercadoLibre earned 9 times as much as the world ETF since 2009
Value of 10,000 euros placed at the end of September 2009, dividends reinvested, in euros
- MercadoLibre: 653 121 €
- World ETF: 74 620 €
- S&P 500: 123 025 €
- Risk-free placement: 11 288 €
Based on past performance. This is not a recommendation.
Range: 850.61 USD - 1040.25 USD (comparables only)
The price implies growth of -3.89% per year; the company grows at 25.00%.
Quality and profitability
10.0/10Gross margin 42.7%, net margin 5.3%, ROIC 15.0%, ROE 27.5%.
Net margin
5.30%
Exceptional
Sector 3.29%|S&P 12.97%
Gross margin
42.68%
Fair
Return on equity (ROE)
27.50%
Exceptional
Sector 6.67%|S&P 16.52%
Return on invested capital (ROIC)
15.02%
Exceptional
Free cash flow margin (FCF)
25.38%
Exceptional
Profit-to-cash conversion (FCF conversion)
4.79x
Exceptional
Margin stability
6.3 pts
Uneven
Revenue to net income
Growth
3.9/10Revenue up 49.8% over 1 year, 48.7% a year over 5.
Revenue (trailing 12 months)
35.2Md USD
Revenue growth (1y)
49.76%
Hyper-growth
Revenue growth (3y)
174.21%
Hyper-growth
EPS growth (1y)
-10.90%
Declining
EPS CAGR (5y)
—
EPS revisions (3 months)
-5.32%
Sharply revised down
Valuation
2.1/10P/E 47.3x, forward P/E 45.9x, EV/EBITDA 25.2x. The multiple sits in the 7th percentile of its own 5-year history.
P/E (TTM)
47.3x
Very expensive
Sector 20.6x|S&P 23.0x
Forward P/E
45.9x
Very expensive
EV / EBITDA
25.2x
Very expensive
Sector 11.9x|S&P 14.5x
PEG
—
Sector 0.45|S&P 0.86
Fair value (reverse DCF)
945.43 USD
Deeply overvalued
P/E vs its own 5-year history
among the 7% lowest valuations
Far cheaper than usual
Market cap
91.2Md USD
Financial strength
10.0/10Cash covers 102.6% of the debt, net debt/EBITDA -0.3x.
Net debt / EBITDA
-0.3x
Very solid
Gearing (net debt / equity)
-6.18%
Net cash
Cash
18.8Md USD
Cash / market cap
20.66%
Very solid
Cash / total debt
102.64%
Net cash
Interest coverage
154.2x
Very solid
Net debt
-484M USD
Equity
7.8Md USD
Closed daily candles, 2 years
Last close on September 24, 2026: 1,754.35 USD
- MM201,888.04
- MM501,872.77
- MM2001,846.80
- RSI 1436.3
Top panel: closed candles, 20, 50 and 200-day moving averages, with volume in grey. Bottom panel: 14-day RSI with dashed 30 and 70 levels.
200-day average slope, 1 month
-0.97%
200-day average slope, 3 months
-5.70%
50-day average slope, 1 month
+3.81%
Price structure
higher-low
Bullish RSI divergence
No
20-day volatility
1.69 % per day
Volatility change
-28.42%
Forecasts by fiscal year
| Fiscal year | EPS | Normalised EPS | Revenue | EBITDA | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 37.83 (20) | 38.14 (15) | 41 685 (24) | 4 031 (22) | 1 947 (19) |
| 2027 | 55.36 (21) | 55.90 (17) | 53 328 (25) | 5 558 (23) | 2 818 (22) |
Amounts in millions of USD, EPS in USD per share. In brackets, the number of analysts. Consensus as of September 25, 2026.
Same sub-industry: 113 companies behind the medians.
| # | Company | Code | Country | Overall / 10 | Fundamentals / 10 | Mkt cap | P/E | Net margin | Revenue growth | ROIC | Net debt / EBITDA | FCF yield | 1-year perf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PDD | 7.2 | 8.1 | 113Md USD | 8.8x | 20.7 % | 14.8 % | 22.8 % | -5.3x | — | -40.6 % | ||
| 2 | EBAY | 6.8 | 7.2 | 48.5Md USD | 22.6x | 18.1 % | 14.4 % | 21.7 % | 1.4x | 5.4 % | 17.4 % | ||
| 3 | SE | 6.7 | 5.8 | 63.3Md USD | 39.1x | 5.9 % | 48.1 % | 11.9 % | -4.2x | — | -45.6 % | ||
| 4 | AMZN | 6.6 | 6.8 | 2.7T USD | 20.0x | 17.4 % | 19.6 % | 21.8 % | 0.3x | -0.4 % | 11.3 % | ||
| 5 | MELI | Uruguay | 6.3 | 5.7 | 91.2Md USD | 47.3x | 5.3 % | 49.8 % | 15.0 % | -0.3x | 9.8 % | -26.9 % | |
| 6 | PRX | 6.3 | 6.1 | 81.1Md USD | 7.9x | 120.2 % | 45.7 % | 16.6 % | 2.3x | 1.8 % | -38.7 % | ||
| 7 | BABA | 5.8 | 5.0 | 278Md USD | 26.1x | 7.0 % | 15.4 % | 5.8 % | -0.8x | -4.0 % | -35.9 % | ||
| 8 | DOL | 5.3 | 5.0 | 34.2Md USD | 35.8x | 17.3 % | 17.6 % | 21.0 % | 2.3x | 3.1 % | -3.2 % | ||
| 9 | WES | 5.0 | 5.4 | 58.9Md USD | 29.2x | 6.1 % | 3.4 % | 14.8 % | 2.1x | 3.6 % | -19.8 % |
