Overall verdict
Neutral
6.2/10
1-year performance
-11.88%
Score breakdown
Down 11.9% over 1 year, 39% of the 52-week range.
Strongest: Profitability 10.0/10. Weakest: Valuation 2.1/10.
26 analysts, target +0.2% vs the price.
MercadoLibre, Inc. operates online commerce platforms in Brazil, Mexico, Argentina, and internationally. The company operates Mercado Libre Marketplace, an online commerce platform that can be accessed through mobile app or website; and Mercado Pago, a financial technology solution platform, which offers comprehensive set of financial technology services to users and other users of its e-commerce platform.
It also provides Mercado Fondo that allows users to invest funds deposited in their Mercado Pago accounts; Mercado Credito, which grants loans and obtains better funding alternatives; and Mercado Mercado Envios that facilitates the shipping of goods from the Company and sellers to buyers. In addition, the company provides Mercado Libre Classifieds, where users can list vehicles, properties, and services; Mercado Ads, an advertising platform, which enables retailers and brands to promote their products and services on the platform. MercadoLibre, Inc. was incorporated in 1999 and is headquartered in Montevideo, Uruguay.
Sector
Consumer Discretionary
Industry
Broadline Retail
Primary listing
Nasdaq
Uruguay
CEO
Ariel Szarfsztejn
Founded
1999
Employees
123 670
Revenue / employee
233 630 USD
Next earnings
November 2, 2026 (estimated)
Institutional holders
- Capital Research Global Investors6.19%
- BAILLIE GIFFORD & CO6.00%
- Capital International Investors3.70%
- Capital World Investors3.50%
- MORGAN STANLEY2.95%
- Invesco Ltd.2.90%
- EAGLE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC2.78%
- BlackRock, Inc.2.61%
- PRICE T ROWE ASSOCIATES INC /MD/2.26%
- Other institutions42.80%
- Rest of the register24.32%
1444 13F filings as of June 30, 2026: US managers above $100M, filed up to 45 days after quarter end. No insiders, no retail. A share on loan is declared by its lender and by whoever bought it from the short seller, so the total can exceed 100%.
Research uses the underlying stock’s market history. The purchase quote is calculated separately when you review your order.
52-week high
2428.00 USD
52-week low
1495.00 USD
1-year performance
-11.88%
Declining
Year-to-date performance
-8.52%
Declining
Drawdown
-23.60%
Marked drawdown
Position in the 52-week range
39% of range
Against the world ETF
Over 19 years, from August 2007 to September 2026, the share did better than the world ETF once risk is accounted for.
$10,000 placed at the end of August 2007 are worth today
| MercadoLibre | $634,364 |
| World ETF | $44,696 |
| S&P 500 | $73,460 |
| Risk-free placement | $13,178 |
The risk
- Shaking:the share moves 3.6 times as much as the world ETF.
- Worst fall:-83 % between December 2007 and November 2008. $10,000 placed at the top fell to $1,668. The world ETF, at worst: -53 %. Back to its high in 28 months.
MercadoLibre earned 14 times as much as the world ETF since 2007
Value of $10,000 placed at the end of August 2007, dividends reinvested, in dollars
- MercadoLibre: $634,364
- World ETF: $44,696
- S&P 500: $73,460
- Risk-free placement: $13,178
Based on past performance. This is not a recommendation.
Range: 883.97 USD - 1088.28 USD (comparables only)
The price implies growth of -3.48% per year; the company grows at 25.00%.
Quality and profitability
10.0/10Gross margin 42.7%, net margin 5.3%, ROIC 15.0%, ROE 27.5%.
Net margin
5.30%
Exceptional
Sector 3.49%|S&P 13.15%
Gross margin
42.68%
Fair
Return on equity (ROE)
27.50%
Exceptional
Sector 6.67%|S&P 16.61%
Return on invested capital (ROIC)
15.02%
Exceptional
Free cash flow margin (FCF)
25.38%
Exceptional
Profit-to-cash conversion (FCF conversion)
4.79x
Exceptional
Margin stability
6.3 pts
Uneven
Revenue to net income
Growth
3.9/10Revenue up 49.8% over 1 year, 48.7% a year over 5.
Revenue (trailing 12 months)
35.2Md USD
Revenue growth (1y)
49.76%
Strong
Revenue growth (3y)
174.21%
Hyper-growth
EPS growth (1y)
-10.90%
Declining
EPS CAGR (5y)
—
EPS revisions (3 months)
-3.95%
Revised down
Valuation
2.1/10P/E 50.5x, forward P/E 48.4x, EV/EBITDA 26.0x. The multiple sits in the 14th percentile of its own 5-year history.
P/E (TTM)
50.5x
Very expensive
Sector 21.1x|S&P 24.1x
Forward P/E
48.4x
Very expensive
EV / EBITDA
26.0x
Very expensive
Sector 11.8x|S&P 15.2x
PEG
—
Sector 0.41|S&P 0.90
Fair value (reverse DCF)
986.13 USD
Deeply overvalued
P/E vs its own 5-year history
among the 14% lowest valuations
Far cheaper than usual
Market cap
94.0Md USD
Financial strength
10.0/10Cash covers 102.6% of the debt, net debt/EBITDA -0.3x.
Net debt / EBITDA
-0.3x
Very solid
Gearing (net debt / equity)
-6.18%
Net cash
Cash
18.8Md USD
Cash / market cap
20.04%
Very solid
Cash / total debt
102.64%
Net cash
Interest coverage
154.2x
Very solid
Net debt
-484M USD
Equity
7.8Md USD
Closed daily candles, 2 years
Last close on October 21, 2026: 1,854.88 USD
- MM201,813.32
- MM501,859.82
- MM2001,828.79
- RSI 1452.0
Top panel: closed candles, 20, 50 and 200-day moving averages, with volume in grey. Bottom panel: 14-day RSI with dashed 30 and 70 levels.
200-day average slope, 1 month
-1.15%
200-day average slope, 3 months
-3.87%
50-day average slope, 1 month
-0.86%
Price structure
Lower lows
Bullish RSI divergence
No
20-day volatility
2.55 % per day
Volatility change
+8.06%
Forecasts by fiscal year
| Fiscal year | EPS | Normalised EPS | Revenue | EBITDA | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 38.35 (22) | 38.38 (18) | 41 860 (26) | 4 076 (24) | 1 948 (23) |
| 2027 | 55.70 (22) | 56.24 (18) | 54 130 (26) | 5 626 (24) | 2 829 (23) |
Amounts in millions of USD, EPS in USD per share. In brackets, the number of analysts. Consensus as of October 18, 2026.
Same sub-industry: 118 companies behind the medians.
| # | Company | Code | Country | Overall / 10 | Fundamentals / 10 | Mkt cap | P/E | Net margin | Revenue growth | ROIC | Net debt / EBITDA | FCF yield | 1-year perf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE | 7.2 | 7.2 | 49.3Md USD | 29.5x | 5.9 % | 48.1 % | 11.9 % | -4.2x | — | -54.2 % | ||
| 2 | AMZN | 6.9 | 6.8 | 2.8T USD | 21.1x | 17.4 % | 19.6 % | 21.8 % | 0.3x | -0.4 % | 20.1 % | ||
| 3 | PDD | 6.6 | 7.2 | 116Md USD | 8.7x | 20.7 % | 14.8 % | 22.8 % | -5.3x | — | -40.1 % | ||
| 4 | EBAY | 6.4 | 6.8 | 54.7Md USD | 25.4x | 18.1 % | 14.4 % | 21.7 % | 1.4x | 4.8 % | 28.3 % | ||
| 5 | MELI | Uruguay | 6.2 | 5.7 | 94.0Md USD | 50.5x | 5.3 % | 49.8 % | 15.0 % | -0.3x | 9.5 % | -11.9 % | |
| 6 | PRX | 5.6 | 6.2 | 79.8Md USD | 7.3x | 120.2 % | 45.7 % | 16.6 % | 2.3x | 1.9 % | -41.4 % | ||
| 7 | BABA | 5.2 | 5.0 | 263Md USD | 24.6x | 7.0 % | 15.4 % | 5.8 % | -0.8x | -4.3 % | -44.2 % | ||
| 8 | DOL | 5.2 | 4.8 | 39.3Md USD | 41.0x | 17.3 % | 17.6 % | 21.0 % | 2.3x | 2.7 % | 12.3 % | ||
| 9 | WES | 4.9 | 4.6 | 63.5Md USD | 30.5x | 6.1 % | 3.4 % | 14.8 % | 2.1x | 3.4 % | -14.6 % |
