Overall verdict
Buy
6.7/10
1-year performance
-41.81%
Score breakdown
Down 41.8% over 1 year, 9% of the 52-week range.
Strongest: Profitability 8.4/10. Weakest: Shareholder return 4.8/10.
52 analysts, target +0.3% vs the price.
Netflix, Inc. provides entertainment services worldwide. The company offers television (TV) series, documentaries, feature films, games, and live programming across various genres and languages. It also provides members the ability to receive streaming content through a host of internet-connected devices, including TVs, digital video players, TV set-top boxes, and mobile devices. Netflix, Inc. was incorporated in 1997 and is headquartered in Los Gatos, California.
Sector
Communication Services
Industry
Entertainment
Primary listing
Nasdaq
United States
CEO
Gregory Peters
Founded
1997
Employees
16 000
Revenue / employee
2.8M USD
Next earnings
October 20, 2026
Institutional holders
- BlackRock, Inc.8.38%
- VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC6.60%
- STATE STREET CORP4.33%
- FMR LLC3.26%
- Invesco Ltd.3.25%
- GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC2.65%
- MORGAN STANLEY2.39%
- PRICE T ROWE ASSOCIATES INC /MD/2.25%
- Capital World Investors2.10%
- Other institutions46.27%
- Rest of the register18.51%
3369 13F filings as of June 30, 2026: US managers above $100M, filed up to 45 days after quarter end. No insiders, no retail. A share on loan is declared by its lender and by whoever bought it from the short seller, so the total can exceed 100%.
Research uses the underlying stock’s market history. The purchase quote is calculated separately when you review your order.
52-week high
124.86 USD
52-week low
65.08 USD
1-year performance
-41.81%
Declining
Year-to-date performance
-25.07%
Declining
Drawdown
-43.51%
Major drawdown
Position in the 52-week range
9% of range
Against the world ETF
Over 21 years, from January 2006 to September 2026, the share did better than the world ETF once risk is accounted for.
$10,000 placed at the end of January 2006 are worth today
| Netflix | $1,767,915 |
| World ETF | $54,847 |
| S&P 500 | $87,327 |
| Risk-free placement | $14,210 |
The risk
- Shaking:the share moves 3.6 times as much as the world ETF.
- Worst fall:-80 % between May 2011 and September 2012. $10,000 placed at the top fell to $2,010. The world ETF, at worst: -53 %. Back to its high in 11 months.
Netflix earned 32 times as much as the world ETF since 2006
Value of $10,000 placed at the end of January 2006, dividends reinvested, in dollars
- Netflix: $1,767,915
- World ETF: $54,847
- S&P 500: $87,327
- Risk-free placement: $14,210
Based on past performance. This is not a recommendation.
Range: 57.00 USD - 75.37 USD (3 methods agree)
The price implies growth of 8.59% per year; the company grows at 25.00%.
Gross margin 49.5%, net margin 28.0%, ROIC 32.0%, ROE 49.5%.
Net margin
27.99%
Exceptional
Sector 3.92%|S&P 13.13%
Gross margin
49.53%
Exceptional
Return on equity (ROE)
49.54%
Exceptional
Sector 3.97%|S&P 16.52%
Return on invested capital (ROIC)
32.00%
Exceptional
Free cash flow margin (FCF)
22.87%
Exceptional
Profit-to-cash conversion (FCF conversion)
0.82x
Fair
Margin stability
6.9 pts
Uneven
Revenue to net income
Growth
5.2/10Revenue up 13.4% over 1 year, 12.6% a year over 5, EPS 33.0% a year over 5.
Revenue (trailing 12 months)
48.8Md USD
Revenue growth (1y)
13.41%
Strong
Revenue growth (3y)
43.20%
Solid
EPS growth (1y)
11.06%
Solid
EPS CAGR (5y)
32.98%
Exceptional
EPS revisions (3 months)
-0.04%
Revised down
Valuation
7.1/10P/E 22.2x, forward P/E 19.7x, EV/EBITDA 20.7x, PEG 0.67. The multiple sits in the 18th percentile of its own 5-year history.
P/E (TTM)
22.2x
Fair
Sector 24.1x|S&P 23.7x
Forward P/E
19.7x
Fair
EV / EBITDA
20.7x
Expensive
Sector 12.7x|S&P 15.0x
PEG
0.67
Growth unpriced
Sector 0.65|S&P 0.89
Fair value (reverse DCF)
63.84 USD
Fairly priced
P/E vs its own 5-year history
among the 18% lowest valuations
Far cheaper than usual
Market cap
294Md USD
Financial strength
8.4/10Cash covers 54.9% of the debt, net debt/EBITDA 0.3x.
Net debt / EBITDA
0.3x
Very solid
Gearing (net debt / equity)
24.90%
Very solid
Cash
9.1Md USD
Cash / market cap
3.11%
Tight
Cash / total debt
54.88%
Solid
Interest coverage
16.9x
Very solid
Net debt
7.5Md USD
Equity
30.2Md USD
Closed daily candles, 2 years
Last close on October 15, 2026: 72.61 USD
- MM2070.38
- MM5075.16
- MM20083.00
- RSI 1452.0
Top panel: closed candles, 20, 50 and 200-day moving averages, with volume in grey. Bottom panel: 14-day RSI with dashed 30 and 70 levels.
200-day average slope, 1 month
-3.25%
200-day average slope, 3 months
-11.34%
50-day average slope, 1 month
-0.92%
Price structure
Lower lows
Bullish RSI divergence
Yes
20-day volatility
1.74 % per day
Volatility change
-18.42%
Forecasts by fiscal year
| Fiscal year | EPS | Normalised EPS | Revenue | EBITDA | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3.58 (41) | 3.58 (39) | 51 218 (46) | 17 061 (30) | 15 266 (40) |
| 2027 | 3.80 (44) | 3.81 (42) | 56 952 (45) | 19 948 (29) | 15 792 (39) |
Amounts in millions of USD, EPS in USD per share. In brackets, the number of analysts. Consensus as of October 15, 2026.
Same sub-industry: 92 companies behind the medians.
| # | Company | Code | Country | Overall / 10 | Fundamentals / 10 | Mkt cap | P/E | Net margin | Revenue growth | ROIC | Net debt / EBITDA | FCF yield | 1-year perf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ROKU | 7.6 | 7.2 | 23.0Md USD | 66.1x | 6.8 % | 21.9 % | 11.3 % | -5.5x | 2.2 % | 61.3 % | ||
| 2 | SPOT | 7.0 | 6.9 | 110Md USD | 33.2x | 18.4 % | 16.9 % | 42.4 % | -3.4x | 3.5 % | -22.7 % | ||
| 3 | NFLX | 6.7 | 7.0 | 294Md USD | 22.2x | 28.0 % | 13.4 % | 32.0 % | 0.3x | 3.8 % | -41.8 % | ||
| 4 | FWON.K | 6.5 | 6.0 | 22.6Md USD | 56.1x | 10.3 % | -30.4 % | 3.9 % | 4.1x | 3.5 % | -12.2 % | ||
| 5 | DIS | 6.1 | 6.0 | 191Md USD | 22.8x | 8.7 % | 7.5 % | 5.9 % | 2.1x | 4.3 % | -0.7 % | ||
| 6 | WMG | 5.9 | 6.2 | 16.1Md USD | 24.3x | 9.1 % | 10.4 % | 12.2 % | 2.7x | 5.2 % | -6.1 % | ||
| 7 | UMG | 5.5 | 5.2 | 32.2Md USD | 90.2x | 2.5 % | 5.7 % | 4.4 % | 1.1x | 5.3 % | -33.1 % | ||
| 8 | TKO | 4.8 | 5.4 | 33.3Md USD | 60.9x | 4.3 % | 18.2 % | 3.0 % | 2.0x | 5.0 % | -8.1 % | ||
| 9 | LYV | 4.4 | 2.9 | 40.6Md USD | Not meaningful (loss) | -1.0 % | 9.4 % | -3.3 % | 1.5x | 3.4 % | 12.7 % |
