Overall verdict
Buy
6.8/10
1-year performance
-41.86%
Score breakdown
Down 41.9% over 1 year, 10% of the 52-week range.
Strongest: Financial strength 9.2/10. Weakest: Shareholder return 4.7/10.
51 analysts, target +0.3% vs the price.
Netflix, Inc. provides entertainment services worldwide. The company offers television (TV) series, documentaries, feature films, games, and live programming across various genres and languages. It also provides members the ability to receive streaming content through a host of internet-connected devices, including TVs, digital video players, TV set-top boxes, and mobile devices. Netflix, Inc. was incorporated in 1997 and is headquartered in Los Gatos, California.
Sector
Communication Services
Industry
Entertainment
Primary listing
Nasdaq
United States
CEO
Gregory Peters
Founded
1997
Employees
16 000
Revenue / employee
2.8M USD
Next earnings
October 20, 2026
Institutional holders
- BlackRock, Inc.8.36%
- VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC6.59%
- STATE STREET CORP4.32%
- FMR LLC3.26%
- Invesco Ltd.3.25%
- GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC2.64%
- MORGAN STANLEY2.39%
- PRICE T ROWE ASSOCIATES INC /MD/2.24%
- Capital World Investors2.09%
- Other institutions46.19%
- Rest of the register18.65%
3367 13F filings as of June 30, 2026: US managers above $100M, filed up to 45 days after quarter end. No insiders, no retail. A share on loan is declared by its lender and by whoever bought it from the short seller, so the total can exceed 100%.
Research uses the underlying stock’s market history. The purchase quote is calculated separately when you review your order.
52-week high
124.86 USD
52-week low
65.08 USD
1-year performance
-41.86%
Declining
Year-to-date performance
-24.19%
Declining
Drawdown
-42.94%
Major drawdown
Position in the 52-week range
10% of range
Against the world ETF
Over 17 years, from September 2009 to August 2026, the share did not do better than the world ETF once risk is accounted for. It earned more, but shaking 4.3 times harder: for the risk taken, the ETF paid better.
10,000 € placed at the end of September 2009 are worth today
| Netflix | 1 544 780 € |
| World ETF | 74 620 € |
| S&P 500 | 123 025 € |
| Risk-free placement | 11 288 € |
The risk
- Shaking:the share moves 4.3 times as much as the world ETF.
- Worst fall:-78 % between May 2011 and September 2012. 10,000 € placed at the top fell to 2 237 €. The world ETF, at worst: -34 %. Back to its high in 11 months.
Netflix earned 21 times as much as the world ETF since 2009
Value of 10,000 euros placed at the end of September 2009, dividends reinvested, in euros
- Netflix: 1 544 780 €
- World ETF: 74 620 €
- S&P 500: 123 025 €
- Risk-free placement: 11 288 €
Based on past performance. This is not a recommendation.
Range: 57.00 USD - 73.14 USD (3 methods agree)
The price implies growth of 8.75% per year; the company grows at 25.00%.
Gross margin 49.5%, net margin 28.0%, ROIC 32.0%, ROE 49.5%.
Net margin
27.99%
Exceptional
Sector 3.15%|S&P 12.97%
Gross margin
49.53%
Exceptional
Return on equity (ROE)
49.54%
Exceptional
Sector 3.66%|S&P 16.52%
Return on invested capital (ROIC)
32.00%
Exceptional
Free cash flow margin (FCF)
22.87%
Exceptional
Profit-to-cash conversion (FCF conversion)
0.82x
Fair
Margin stability
6.9 pts
Uneven
Revenue to net income
Growth
5.2/10Revenue up 13.4% over 1 year, 12.6% a year over 5, EPS 33.0% a year over 5.
Revenue (trailing 12 months)
48.8Md USD
Revenue growth (1y)
13.41%
Strong
Revenue growth (3y)
43.20%
Solid
EPS growth (1y)
11.06%
Solid
EPS CAGR (5y)
32.98%
Exceptional
EPS revisions (3 months)
-0.24%
Revised down
Valuation
7.1/10P/E 22.4x, forward P/E 19.9x, EV/EBITDA 21.0x, PEG 0.68. The multiple sits in the 18th percentile of its own 5-year history.
P/E (TTM)
22.4x
Fair
Sector 25.8x|S&P 23.0x
Forward P/E
19.9x
Fair
EV / EBITDA
21.0x
Expensive
Sector 12.6x|S&P 14.5x
PEG
0.68
Growth unpriced
Sector 0.77|S&P 0.86
Fair value (reverse DCF)
63.38 USD
Overvalued
P/E vs its own 5-year history
among the 18% lowest valuations
Far cheaper than usual
Market cap
297Md USD
Financial strength
9.2/10Cash covers 54.9% of the debt, net debt/EBITDA 0.3x.
Net debt / EBITDA
0.3x
Very solid
Gearing (net debt / equity)
24.90%
Very solid
Cash
9.1Md USD
Cash / market cap
3.07%
Tight
Cash / total debt
54.88%
Solid
Interest coverage
16.9x
Very solid
Net debt
7.5Md USD
Equity
30.2Md USD
Closed daily candles, 2 years
Last close on September 24, 2026: 71.70 USD
- MM2077.18
- MM5075.60
- MM20084.84
- RSI 1438.1
Top panel: closed candles, 20, 50 and 200-day moving averages, with volume in grey. Bottom panel: 14-day RSI with dashed 30 and 70 levels.
200-day average slope, 1 month
-3.74%
200-day average slope, 3 months
-12.81%
50-day average slope, 1 month
+1.43%
Price structure
Lower lows
Bullish RSI divergence
Yes
20-day volatility
2.29 % per day
Volatility change
+8.93%
Forecasts by fiscal year
| Fiscal year | EPS | Normalised EPS | Revenue | EBITDA | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3.58 (41) | 3.59 (39) | 51 219 (46) | 17 042 (31) | 15 266 (40) |
| 2027 | 3.81 (45) | 3.81 (43) | 56 985 (45) | 20 013 (30) | 15 846 (39) |
Amounts in millions of USD, EPS in USD per share. In brackets, the number of analysts. Consensus as of September 22, 2026.
Same sub-industry: 91 companies behind the medians.
| # | Company | Code | Country | Overall / 10 | Fundamentals / 10 | Mkt cap | P/E | Net margin | Revenue growth | ROIC | Net debt / EBITDA | FCF yield | 1-year perf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ROKU | 7.0 | 7.0 | 22.8Md USD | 65.6x | 6.8 % | 21.9 % | 11.3 % | -5.5x | 2.2 % | 54.2 % | ||
| 2 | NFLX | 6.8 | 7.1 | 297Md USD | 22.4x | 28.0 % | 13.4 % | 32.0 % | 0.3x | 3.8 % | -41.9 % | ||
| 3 | SPOT | 6.8 | 7.0 | 105Md USD | 31.8x | 18.4 % | 16.9 % | 42.4 % | -3.4x | 3.7 % | -28.5 % | ||
| 4 | DIS | 6.5 | 6.0 | 179Md USD | 21.3x | 8.7 % | 7.5 % | 5.9 % | 2.1x | 4.6 % | -6.1 % | ||
| 5 | TKO | 6.2 | 5.6 | 35.8Md USD | 65.4x | 4.3 % | 18.2 % | 3.0 % | 2.0x | 4.7 % | -8.4 % | ||
| 6 | FWON.K | 5.8 | 4.3 | 23.8Md USD | 59.0x | 10.3 % | -30.4 % | 3.9 % | 4.1x | 3.3 % | -7.6 % | ||
| 7 | LYV | 5.6 | 3.6 | 39.8Md USD | Not meaningful (loss) | -1.0 % | 9.4 % | -3.3 % | 1.5x | 3.5 % | 4.0 % | ||
| 8 | UMG | 5.6 | 5.1 | 30.6Md USD | 82.6x | 2.5 % | 5.7 % | 4.4 % | 1.1x | 5.6 % | -38.5 % | ||
| 9 | WBD | 2.9 | 1.4 | 77.2Md USD | Not meaningful (loss) | -8.8 % | -11.1 % | -4.7 % | 4.4x | 2.8 % | 58.0 % |
