Overall verdict
Buy
7.4/10
1-year performance
-65.91%
Score breakdown
Down 65.9% over 1 year, 4% of the 52-week range.
Strongest: Valuation 10.0/10. Weakest: Growth 4.0/10.
29 analysts, target +0.6% vs the price.
Tencent Music Entertainment Group operates online music entertainment platforms that provides music streaming, online karaoke, and live streaming services in the People's Republic of China. It provides QQ Music, Kugou Music, and Kuwo Music that enable users to discover, enjoy, and share music in personalized ways ; long-form audio content, including audiobooks, podcasts and talk shows, as well as music-oriented video content comprising music videos, live performances, and short videos ;
and WeSing, which enables users to sing along from its library of karaoke songs and share their performances in audio or video formats with friends. The company also delivers music-centric live streaming services primarily through the Live Streaming tab on QQ Music, Kugou Music, Kuwo Music, WeSing, Kugou Live, and Kuwo Live that provides an interactive online stage for performers and users to showcase their talent and engage with audience base ;
and Lazy Audio, an audio platform. In addition, it sells artist-related merchandise, such as branded apparel, posters and art prints, and accessories ; other music services, such as content licensing, sales of digital albums, sales of customized artist-related merchandises, live performances and concerts, and artist management services ; and music subscriptions, as well as offers advertising services across its social entertainment platforms. The company is headquartered in Shenzhen, China. Tencent Music Entertainment Group operates as a subsidiary of Tencent Holdings Limited.
Sector
Communication Services
Industry
Entertainment
Primary listing
Nyse
China
CEO
Zhu Liang
Founded
—
Employees
5 690
Revenue / employee
5.8M CNY
Next earnings
November 10, 2026 (estimated)
Institutional holders
- SCHRODER INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT GROUP3.10%
- BlackRock, Inc.2.23%
- Invesco Ltd.1.99%
- Krane Funds Advisors LLC1.53%
- Overlook Investments LP1.29%
- ARGA Investment Management, LP1.23%
- VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC1.09%
- JPMORGAN CHASE & CO0.85%
- MORGAN STANLEY0.76%
- Other institutions15.25%
- Rest of the register70.69%
309 13F filings as of June 30, 2026: US managers above $100M, filed up to 45 days after quarter end. No insiders, no retail. A share on loan is declared by its lender and by whoever bought it from the short seller, so the total can exceed 100%.
Research uses the underlying stock’s market history. The purchase quote is calculated separately when you review your order.
52-week high
24.25 USD
52-week low
7.70 USD
1-year performance
-65.91%
Declining
Year-to-date performance
-54.35%
Declining
Drawdown
-65.52%
Major drawdown
Position in the 52-week range
4% of range
Range: 20.57 USD - 22.05 USD (2 methods agree)
Quality and profitability
10.0/10Gross margin 44.3%, net margin 26.3%, ROIC 10.1%, ROE 11.0%.
Net margin
26.30%
Exceptional
Sector 3.15%|S&P 12.97%
Gross margin
44.32%
Exceptional
Return on equity (ROE)
10.98%
Exceptional
Sector 3.66%|S&P 16.52%
Return on invested capital (ROIC)
10.07%
Exceptional
Free cash flow margin (FCF)
—
Margin stability
8.2 pts
Uneven
Revenue to net income
Growth
4.0/10Revenue up 12.4% over 1 year, 1.6% a year over 5, EPS 22.5% a year over 5.
Revenue (trailing 12 months)
34.9Md CNY
Revenue growth (1y)
12.44%
Strong
Revenue growth (3y)
8.76%
Moderate
EPS growth (1y)
7.36%
Moderate
EPS CAGR (5y)
22.53%
Exceptional
EPS revisions (3 months)
-3.55%
Revised down
Valuation
10.0/10P/E 9.4x, forward P/E 9.8x, EV/EBITDA 5.9x, PEG 0.42.
P/E (TTM)
9.4x
Cheap
Sector 25.8x|S&P 23.0x
Forward P/E
9.8x
Cheap
EV / EBITDA
5.9x
Cheap
Sector 12.6x|S&P 14.5x
PEG
0.42
Growth unpriced
Sector 0.77|S&P 0.86
Fair value (reverse DCF)
21.31 USD
Deeply undervalued
Market cap
82.7Md CNY
Financial strength
10.0/10Cash covers 181.6% of the debt, net debt/EBITDA -1.9x.
Net debt / EBITDA
-1.9x
Net cash
Gearing (net debt / equity)
-16.99%
Net cash
Cash
32.4Md CNY
Cash / market cap
39.26%
Very solid
Cash / total debt
181.60%
Net cash
Interest coverage
103.6x
Very solid
Net debt
-14.6Md CNY
Equity
85.8Md CNY
Closed daily candles, 2 years
Last close on September 24, 2026: 8.34 USD
- MM208.14
- MM508.72
- MM20011.48
- RSI 1451.0
Top panel: closed candles, 20, 50 and 200-day moving averages, with volume in grey. Bottom panel: 14-day RSI with dashed 30 and 70 levels.
200-day average slope, 1 month
-9.07%
200-day average slope, 3 months
-26.79%
50-day average slope, 1 month
-2.18%
Price structure
Lower lows
Bullish RSI divergence
No
20-day volatility
1.95 % per day
Volatility change
-29.03%
Forecasts by fiscal year
| Fiscal year | EPS | Normalised EPS | Revenue | EBITDA | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 5.71 (18) | 6.25 (20) | 35 360 (26) | 11 685 (19) | 9 041 (22) |
| 2027 | 6.15 (18) | 6.75 (21) | 38 319 (28) | 12 580 (19) | 9 753 (22) |
Amounts in millions of CNY, EPS in CNY per share. In brackets, the number of analysts. Consensus as of September 15, 2026.
Same sub-industry: 91 companies behind the medians.
| # | Company | Code | Country | Overall / 10 | Fundamentals / 10 | Mkt cap | P/E | Net margin | Revenue growth | ROIC | Net debt / EBITDA | FCF yield | 1-year perf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TME | 7.4 | 8.3 | 12.3Md USD | 9.4x | 26.3 % | 12.4 % | 10.1 % | -1.9x | — | -65.9 % | ||
| 2 | NFLX | 7.0 | 7.6 | 297Md USD | 22.5x | 28.0 % | 13.4 % | 32.0 % | 0.3x | 3.8 % | -41.1 % | ||
| 3 | SPOT | 6.8 | 7.0 | 105Md USD | 31.8x | 18.4 % | 16.9 % | 42.4 % | -3.4x | 3.7 % | -28.5 % | ||
| 4 | DIS | 6.5 | 6.0 | 179Md USD | 21.3x | 8.7 % | 7.5 % | 5.9 % | 2.1x | 4.6 % | -6.1 % | ||
| 5 | TKO | 6.2 | 5.5 | 35.8Md USD | 65.4x | 4.3 % | 18.2 % | 3.0 % | 2.0x | 4.7 % | -8.4 % | ||
| 6 | FWON.K | 5.8 | 4.3 | 23.8Md USD | 59.0x | 10.3 % | -30.4 % | 3.9 % | 4.1x | 3.3 % | -7.6 % | ||
| 7 | LYV | 5.6 | 3.6 | 39.8Md USD | Not meaningful (loss) | -1.0 % | 9.4 % | -3.3 % | 1.5x | 3.5 % | 4.0 % | ||
| 8 | UMG | 5.6 | 5.1 | 30.6Md USD | 82.6x | 2.5 % | 5.7 % | 4.4 % | 1.1x | 5.6 % | -38.5 % | ||
| 9 | WBD | 2.9 | 1.4 | 77.2Md USD | Not meaningful (loss) | -8.8 % | -11.1 % | -4.7 % | 4.4x | 2.8 % | 58.0 % |
