Overall verdict
Neutral
5.7/10
1-year performance
+17.90%
Score breakdown
Up 17.9% over 1 year, 70% of the 52-week range.
Strongest: Profitability 7.1/10. Weakest: Valuation 2.2/10.
16 analysts, target +0.1% vs the price.
Philip Morris International Inc. operates as a tobacco company. The company offers cigarettes and smoke-free products, including heat-not-burn, e-vapor, and oral nicotine products under the IQOS, VEEV, and ZYN brands; and consumer accessories, such as lighters and matches. It also offers wellness products. The company was incorporated in 1987 and is headquartered in Stamford, Connecticut.
Sector
Consumer Staples
Industry
Tobacco
Primary listing
Nyse
United States
CEO
Jacek Olczak
Founded
1987
Employees
84 900
Revenue / employee
477 503 USD
Next earnings
October 21, 2026
Institutional holders
- Capital World Investors8.42%
- BlackRock, Inc.6.83%
- VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC6.44%
- Capital Research Global Investors5.33%
- Capital International Investors4.57%
- STATE STREET CORP3.52%
- JPMORGAN CHASE & CO3.05%
- FMR LLC2.94%
- GQG Partners LLC2.87%
- Other institutions38.36%
- Rest of the register17.66%
2920 13F filings as of June 30, 2026: US managers above $100M, filed up to 45 days after quarter end. No insiders, no retail. A share on loan is declared by its lender and by whoever bought it from the short seller, so the total can exceed 100%.
Research uses the underlying stock’s market history. The purchase quote is calculated separately when you review your order.
52-week high
207.76 USD
52-week low
142.11 USD
1-year performance
17.90%
Rising
Year-to-date performance
19.08%
Rising
Drawdown
-9.43%
Mild pullback
Position in the 52-week range
70% of range
Against the world ETF
Over 17 years, from September 2009 to August 2026, the share did not do better than the world ETF once risk is accounted for. It earned more, but shaking 1.8 times harder: for the risk taken, the ETF paid better.
10,000 € placed at the end of September 2009 are worth today
| Philip Morris | 105 134 € |
| World ETF | 74 620 € |
| S&P 500 | 123 025 € |
| Risk-free placement | 11 288 € |
The risk
- Shaking:the share moves 1.8 times as much as the world ETF.
- Worst fall:-43 % between June 2017 and December 2018. 10,000 € placed at the top fell to 5 724 €. The world ETF, at worst: -34 %. Back to its high in 33 months.
Philip Morris earned more than the world ETF since 2009
Value of 10,000 euros placed at the end of September 2009, dividends reinvested, in euros
- Philip Morris: 105 134 €
- World ETF: 74 620 €
- S&P 500: 123 025 €
- Risk-free placement: 11 288 €
Based on past performance. This is not a recommendation.
Range: 117.14 USD - 144.56 USD (comparables only)
The price implies growth of 7.04% per year; the company grows at 7.09%.
Gross margin 65.3%, net margin 25.5%, ROIC 33.8%, ROE -105.8%.
Net margin
25.55%
Exceptional
Sector 8.87%|S&P 12.97%
Gross margin
65.33%
Exceptional
Return on equity (ROE)
-105.83%
Negative
Sector 11.01%|S&P 16.52%
Return on invested capital (ROIC)
33.76%
Exceptional
Free cash flow margin (FCF)
29.97%
Exceptional
Profit-to-cash conversion (FCF conversion)
1.17x
High
Margin stability
3.4 pts
Steady
Revenue to net income
Growth
3.1/10Revenue up 10.2% over 1 year, 7.2% a year over 5, EPS 7.1% a year over 5.
Revenue (trailing 12 months)
42.4Md USD
Revenue growth (1y)
10.19%
Solid
Revenue growth (3y)
28.58%
Solid
EPS growth (1y)
-7.41%
Declining
EPS CAGR (5y)
7.09%
Exceptional
EPS revisions (3 months)
-0.16%
Revised down
Valuation
2.2/10P/E 27.0x, forward P/E 25.2x, EV/EBITDA 18.4x, PEG 3.82. The multiple sits in the 77th percentile of its own 5-year history.
P/E (TTM)
27.0x
Expensive
Sector 14.5x|S&P 23.0x
Forward P/E
25.2x
Expensive
EV / EBITDA
18.4x
Expensive
Sector 9.3x|S&P 14.5x
PEG
3.82
Very expensive
Sector 0.43|S&P 0.86
Fair value (reverse DCF)
130.85 USD
Deeply overvalued
P/E vs its own 5-year history
among the 23% highest valuations
Pricier than usual
Market cap
297Md USD
Financial strength
3.0/10Cash covers 12.3% of the debt, net debt/EBITDA 2.3x.
Net debt / EBITDA
2.3x
Stretched
Gearing (net debt / equity)
—
Cash
6.0Md USD
Cash / market cap
2.03%
Stretched
Cash / total debt
12.29%
Stretched
Interest coverage
9.4x
Solid
Net debt
43.1Md USD
Equity
-6.7Md USD
Closed daily candles, 2 years
Last close on September 24, 2026: 191.50 USD
- MM20189.23
- MM50190.07
- MM200176.74
- RSI 1453.8
Top panel: closed candles, 20, 50 and 200-day moving averages, with volume in grey. Bottom panel: 14-day RSI with dashed 30 and 70 levels.
200-day average slope, 1 month
+2.14%
200-day average slope, 3 months
+6.00%
50-day average slope, 1 month
+1.95%
Price structure
higher-low
Bullish RSI divergence
No
20-day volatility
1.25 % per day
Volatility change
-33.70%
Forecasts by fiscal year
| Fiscal year | EPS | Normalised EPS | Revenue | EBITDA | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 7.46 (3) | 8.40 (14) | 43 532 (13) | 19 527 (4) | 11 648 (3) |
| 2027 | 8.73 (5) | 9.19 (15) | 46 062 (13) | 20 799 (5) | 13 588 (5) |
Amounts in millions of USD, EPS in USD per share. In brackets, the number of analysts. Consensus as of September 22, 2026.
Same sub-industry: 20 companies behind the medians.
| # | Company | Code | Country | Overall / 10 | Fundamentals / 10 | Mkt cap | P/E | Net margin | Revenue growth | ROIC | Net debt / EBITDA | FCF yield | 1-year perf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | HMSP | 7.2 | 8.3 | 4.2Md USD | 8.6x | 19.3 % | 12.8 % | 34.4 % | -0.4x | 14.2 % | -19.5 % | ||
| 2 | 2914 | 6.5 | 6.1 | 77.2Md USD | 19.6x | 16.4 % | 20.0 % | 10.7 % | 0.9x | 4.3 % | 43.9 % | ||
| 3 | A033780 | 6.5 | 5.1 | 13.2Md USD | 12.7x | 20.6 % | 9.9 % | 13.5 % | 0.3x | 2.4 % | 21.2 % | ||
| 4 | MO | 5.7 | 5.5 | 115Md USD | 14.5x | 38.9 % | 1.2 % | 39.2 % | 1.4x | 7.9 % | 6.4 % | ||
| 5 | PM | 5.7 | 4.1 | 297Md USD | 27.0x | 25.5 % | 10.2 % | 33.8 % | 2.3x | 4.3 % | 17.9 % | ||
| 6 | IMB | 5.4 | 6.4 | 24.6Md USD | 11.7x | 9.0 % | 2.7 % | 13.4 % | 1.9x | 15.1 % | -20.1 % | ||
| 7 | ITC | 5.4 | 5.7 | 35.3Md USD | 17.0x | 25.9 % | -11.1 % | — | -0.8x | — | -33.3 % | ||
| 8 | BATS | 5.0 | 4.9 | 120Md USD | 14.7x | 24.6 % | -1.0 % | 8.0 % | 2.5x | 6.0 % | 7.8 % | ||
| 9 | 6969 | 4.0 | 2.6 | 7.3Md USD | 45.0x | 7.4 % | 20.9 % | 5.2 % | -6.4x | 0.9 % | -47.3 % |
