Overall verdict
Buy
7.7/10
1-year performance
-23.81%
Score breakdown
Down 23.8% over 1 year, 21% of the 52-week range.
Strongest: Profitability 10.0/10. Weakest: Growth 5.2/10.
9 analysts, target +0.3% vs the price.
PT Hanjaya Mandala Sampoerna Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, engages in manufacture, distribution, and trading of cigarettes and other tobacco products in Indonesia and Internationally. It offers combustible cigarettes, including machine-made kretek (SKM), hand-rolled kretek, machine-made white, and hand-rolled white cigarettes under the Dji Sam Soe Magnum, Sampoerna Kretek, Sampoerna A, Magnum, and Marlboro Filter Black brand names.
The company also provides smoke-free products, such as heat-not-burn, e-vapor, and oral smokeless products. In addition, it is involved in general trading; e-commerce and agency; and property development business. Further, the company offers general importer, warehousing, and delivery services; job training; and management consulting, advertising, and brand management services. The company was founded in 1913 and is headquartered in Surabaya, Indonesia. PT Hanjaya Mandala Sampoerna Tbk operates as a subsidiary of PT Philip Morris Indonesia.
Sector
Consumer Staples
Industry
Tobacco
Primary listing
Idx
Indonesia
CEO
—
Founded
1913
Employees
19 816
Revenue / employee
2.4Md IDR
Next earnings
—
Research uses the underlying stock’s market history. The purchase quote is calculated separately when you review your order.
52-week high
1000.00 IDR
52-week low
540.00 IDR
1-year performance
-23.81%
Declining
Year-to-date performance
-11.72%
Declining
Drawdown
-36.50%
Major drawdown
Position in the 52-week range
21% of range
Range: 1394.16 IDR - 1519.83 IDR (2 methods agree)
The price implies growth of -8.95% per year; the company grows at -5.09%.
Quality and profitability
10.0/10Gross margin 47.4%, net margin 19.3%, ROIC 34.4%, ROE 34.7%.
Net margin
19.33%
Exceptional
Sector 8.87%|S&P 12.97%
Gross margin
47.40%
High
Return on equity (ROE)
34.69%
Exceptional
Sector 8.70%|S&P 16.52%
Return on invested capital (ROIC)
34.39%
Exceptional
Free cash flow margin (FCF)
23.68%
Exceptional
Profit-to-cash conversion (FCF conversion)
1.23x
Exceptional
Margin stability
6.2 pts
Uneven
Revenue to net income
Growth
5.2/10Revenue up 12.8% over 1 year, 4.4% a year over 5, EPS -5.1% a year over 5.
Revenue (trailing 12 months)
44.9T IDR
Revenue growth (1y)
12.83%
Solid
Revenue growth (3y)
20.85%
Solid
EPS growth (1y)
917.50%
Hyper-growth
EPS CAGR (5y)
-5.09%
Declining
EPS revisions (3 months)
0.55%
Revised up
Valuation
9.3/10P/E 8.5x, forward P/E 9.1x, EV/EBITDA 5.9x, PEG 0.15. The multiple sits in the 38th percentile of its own 5-year history.
P/E (TTM)
8.5x
Cheap
Sector 15.1x|S&P 23.0x
Forward P/E
9.1x
Cheap
EV / EBITDA
5.9x
Cheap
Sector 9.9x|S&P 14.5x
PEG
0.15
Growth unpriced
Sector 0.43|S&P 0.86
Fair value (reverse DCF)
1457.00 IDR
Deeply undervalued
P/E vs its own 5-year history
among the 38% lowest valuations
Cheaper than usual
Market cap
75.2T IDR
Financial strength
10.0/10Cash covers 1976.0% of the debt, net debt/EBITDA -0.4x.
Net debt / EBITDA
-0.4x
Very solid
Gearing (net debt / equity)
-24.12%
Net cash
Cash
6.2T IDR
Cash / market cap
8.21%
Solid
Cash / total debt
1976.00%
Net cash
Net debt
-5.9T IDR
Equity
24.3T IDR
Closed daily candles, 2 years
Last close on September 14, 2026: 720.00 IDR
- MM20741.50
- MM50727.20
- MM200751.68
- RSI 1442.9
Top panel: closed candles, 20, 50 and 200-day moving averages, with volume in grey. Bottom panel: 14-day RSI with dashed 30 and 70 levels.
200-day average slope, 1 month
-0.97%
200-day average slope, 3 months
+0.28%
50-day average slope, 1 month
+6.39%
Price structure
higher-low
Bullish RSI divergence
No
20-day volatility
1.22 % per day
Volatility change
-44.51%
Forecasts by fiscal year
| Fiscal year | EPS | Normalised EPS | Revenue | EBITDA | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 69.61 (6) | 69.98 (9) | 114 518 295 (6) | 11 485 370 (5) | 8 227 600 (8) |
| 2027 | 77.74 (5) | 78.23 (8) | 121 174 585 (8) | 13 466 977 (5) | 9 116 143 (7) |
Amounts in millions of IDR, EPS in IDR per share. In brackets, the number of analysts. Consensus as of September 3, 2026.
Same sub-industry: 20 companies behind the medians.
| # | Company | Code | Country | Overall / 10 | Fundamentals / 10 | Mkt cap | P/E | Net margin | Revenue growth | ROIC | Net debt / EBITDA | FCF yield | 1-year perf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | HMSP | 7.7 | 8.7 | 4.2Md USD | 8.5x | 19.3 % | 12.8 % | 34.4 % | -0.4x | 14.1 % | -23.8 % | ||
| 2 | 2914 | 6.9 | 6.7 | 77.2Md USD | 19.6x | 16.4 % | 20.0 % | 10.7 % | 0.9x | 4.3 % | 43.9 % | ||
| 3 | A033780 | 6.7 | 5.6 | 13.2Md USD | 12.7x | 20.6 % | 9.9 % | 13.5 % | 0.3x | 2.4 % | 21.2 % | ||
| 4 | MO | 6.0 | 5.9 | 115Md USD | 14.5x | 38.9 % | 1.2 % | 39.2 % | 1.4x | 7.9 % | 6.4 % | ||
| 5 | PM | 5.7 | 4.3 | 297Md USD | 27.4x | 25.5 % | 10.2 % | 33.8 % | 2.3x | 4.3 % | 17.1 % | ||
| 6 | IMB | 5.5 | 6.5 | 24.6Md USD | 11.7x | 9.0 % | 2.7 % | 13.4 % | 1.9x | 15.1 % | -20.1 % | ||
| 7 | ITC | 5.5 | 5.9 | 35.3Md USD | 17.0x | 25.9 % | -11.1 % | — | -0.8x | — | -33.3 % | ||
| 8 | BATS | 4.9 | 4.7 | 120Md USD | 14.7x | 24.6 % | -1.0 % | 8.0 % | 2.5x | 6.0 % | 7.8 % | ||
| 9 | 6969 | 4.1 | 2.7 | 7.3Md USD | 45.0x | 7.4 % | 20.9 % | 5.2 % | -6.4x | 0.9 % | -47.3 % |
