Overall verdict
Neutral
6.3/10
1-year performance
-52.41%
Score breakdown
Down 52.4% over 1 year, 0% of the 52-week range.
Strongest: Financial strength 10.0/10. Weakest: Shareholder return 4.3/10.
26 analysts, target +0.3% vs the price.
Pop Mart International Group Limited, an investment holding company, designs, develops, and sells pop toys in the People's Republic of China, Hong Kong, Macau, Taiwan, and internationally. The company offers blind boxes. It sells its products through a network of retail stores and roboshops; online channels, including Tmall flagship store, DouYin, Pop Draw, and other online channels; and wholesale channels and others.
The company also provides internet technology, customer, and technology development services; and operates playgrounds, as well as engages in investment and exhibition activities. Pop Mart International Group Limited was founded in 2010 and is headquartered in Beijing, the People's Republic of China.
Sector
Consumer Discretionary
Industry
Specialty Retail
Primary listing
Hkex
China
CEO
Ning Wang
Founded
2010
Employees
10 879
Revenue / employee
3.4M CNY
Next earnings
November 20, 2026 (estimated)
Research uses the underlying stock’s market history. The purchase quote is calculated separately when you review your order.
52-week high
274.20 HKD
52-week low
128.10 HKD
1-year performance
-52.41%
Declining
Year-to-date performance
-32.19%
Declining
Drawdown
-53.14%
Major drawdown
Position in the 52-week range
0% of range
Range: 141.76 HKD - 213.71 HKD (2 methods agree)
The price implies growth of 4.63% per year; the company grows at 25.00%.
Gross margin 70.9%, net margin 32.7%, ROIC 62.9%, ROE 69.8%.
Net margin
32.70%
Exceptional
Sector 5.08%|S&P 13.15%
Gross margin
70.86%
Exceptional
Return on equity (ROE)
69.79%
Exceptional
Sector 14.10%|S&P 16.61%
Return on invested capital (ROIC)
62.89%
Exceptional
Free cash flow margin (FCF)
18.15%
Exceptional
Profit-to-cash conversion (FCF conversion)
0.55x
Low
Margin stability
9.0 pts
Uneven
Revenue to net income
Growth
6.3/10Revenue up 23.8% over 1 year, 70.1% a year over 5, EPS 89.3% a year over 5.
Revenue (trailing 12 months)
41.2Md CNY
Revenue growth (1y)
23.80%
Hyper-growth
Revenue growth (3y)
649.76%
Hyper-growth
EPS growth (1y)
—
EPS CAGR (5y)
89.35%
Exceptional
EPS revisions (3 months)
-19.68%
Sharply revised down
Valuation
8.2/10P/E 10.8x, forward P/E 13.9x, EV/EBITDA 6.8x, PEG 0.12. The multiple sits in the 34th percentile of its own 5-year history.
P/E (TTM)
10.8x
Cheap
Sector 18.3x|S&P 24.1x
Forward P/E
13.9x
Fair
EV / EBITDA
6.8x
Fair
Sector 9.3x|S&P 15.2x
PEG
0.12
Growth unpriced
Sector 0.39|S&P 0.90
Fair value (reverse DCF)
174.14 HKD
Undervalued
P/E vs its own 5-year history
among the 34% lowest valuations
Cheaper than usual
Market cap
145Md CNY
Financial strength
10.0/10Cash covers 374.9% of the debt, net debt/EBITDA -0.8x.
Net debt / EBITDA
-0.8x
Net cash
Gearing (net debt / equity)
-44.00%
Net cash
Cash
14.8Md CNY
Cash / market cap
10.17%
Solid
Cash / total debt
374.92%
Net cash
Interest coverage
133.5x
Very solid
Net debt
-10.8Md CNY
Equity
24.6Md CNY
Closed daily candles, 2 years
Last close on October 21, 2026: 129.80 HKD
- MM20149.00
- MM50151.87
- MM200174.25
- RSI 1417.5
Top panel: closed candles, 20, 50 and 200-day moving averages, with volume in grey. Bottom panel: 14-day RSI with dashed 30 and 70 levels.
200-day average slope, 1 month
-3.14%
200-day average slope, 3 months
-11.60%
50-day average slope, 1 month
-3.10%
Price structure
higher-low
Bullish RSI divergence
No
20-day volatility
1.61 % per day
Volatility change
-25.01%
Forecasts by fiscal year
| Fiscal year | EPS | Normalised EPS | Revenue | EBITDA | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 7.89 (16) | 8.43 (13) | 35 309 (21) | 15 225 (20) | 10 394 (19) |
| 2027 | 9.14 (16) | 9.67 (13) | 39 848 (22) | 17 522 (20) | 12 626 (21) |
Amounts in millions of CNY, EPS in CNY per share. In brackets, the number of analysts. Consensus as of October 22, 2026.
Same sub-industry: 76 companies behind the medians.
| # | Company | Code | Country | Overall / 10 | Fundamentals / 10 | Mkt cap | P/E | Net margin | Revenue growth | ROIC | Net debt / EBITDA | FCF yield | 1-year perf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FIVE | 7.5 | 6.7 | 12.3Md USD | 20.1x | 11.7 % | 22.9 % | 15.8 % | 1.7x | 4.9 % | 45.6 % | ||
| 2 | 8136 | 6.7 | 6.6 | 10.8Md USD | 29.1x | 27.6 % | 20.7 % | 35.5 % | -1.3x | — | -11.7 % | ||
| 3 | ULTA | 6.4 | 6.5 | 26.0Md USD | 22.1x | 9.3 % | 8.9 % | 27.4 % | 0.9x | 4.4 % | 16.5 % | ||
| 4 | 9992 | 6.3 | 7.7 | 21.8Md USD | 10.8x | 32.7 % | 23.8 % | 62.9 % | -0.8x | 5.1 % | -52.4 % | ||
| 5 | LENSKART | 6.1 | 4.8 | 11.8Md USD | 166.7x | 6.8 % | 43.3 % | — | -0.4x | — | 56.8 % | ||
| 6 | 1929 | 6.0 | 6.6 | 14.2Md USD | 12.1x | 9.5 % | 5.3 % | 27.5 % | 1.0x | 0.4 % | -33.7 % | ||
| 7 | 601888 | 5.7 | 4.7 | 14.5Md USD | 24.8x | 7.7 % | -5.7 % | 6.6 % | -5.2x | 4.7 % | -30.7 % | ||
| 8 | DKS | 5.0 | 4.9 | 12.6Md USD | 15.2x | 4.0 % | 53.2 % | 8.3 % | 3.5x | 1.9 % | -36.9 % | ||
| 9 | TSCO | 4.8 | 4.6 | 17.0Md USD | 17.1x | 6.4 % | 2.3 % | 12.4 % | 2.9x | 1.8 % | -40.6 % |
