Overall verdict
Buy
6.7/10
1-year performance
+302.78%
Score breakdown
Up 302.8% over 1 year, 75% of the 52-week range.
Strongest: Profitability 9.6/10. Weakest: Valuation 1.7/10.
25 analysts, target +0.2% vs the price.
Seagate Technology Holdings plc engages in providing data storage solutions in Singapore, the United States, the Netherlands, and internationally. The company offers External and internal hard drives; external and internal solid-state drives (SSDs); enterprise hard drives and SSDs; data storage systems; network attached storage (NAS) hard drives; video and analytics hard drives; and hyperscale and cloud solution.
It offers its products for Healthcare, Media & Entertainment, Surveillance & Security, and telecommunication industry. The company sells its products primarily to original equipment manufacturers, distributors, and retailers. The company was founded in 1978 and is based in Singapore.
Sector
Information Technology
Industry
Technology Hardware, Storage and Peripherals
Primary listing
Nasdaq
United States
CEO
William Mosley
Founded
1978
Employees
30 000
Revenue / employee
406 500 USD
Next earnings
October 23, 2026 (estimated)
Research uses the underlying stock’s market history. The purchase quote is calculated separately when you review your order.
52-week high
1145.00 USD
52-week low
209.00 USD
1-year performance
302.78%
Rising
Year-to-date performance
227.64%
Rising
Drawdown
-20.30%
Marked drawdown
Position in the 52-week range
75% of range
Against the world ETF
Over 17 years, from September 2009 to August 2026, the share did not do better than the world ETF once risk is accounted for. It earned more, but shaking 3.8 times harder: for the risk taken, the ETF paid better.
10,000 € placed at the end of September 2009 are worth today
| Seagate Technology | 1 325 140 € |
| World ETF | 74 620 € |
| S&P 500 | 123 025 € |
| Risk-free placement | 11 288 € |
The risk
- Shaking:the share moves 3.8 times as much as the world ETF.
- Worst fall:-63 % between April 2015 and April 2016. 10,000 € placed at the top fell to 3 703 €. The world ETF, at worst: -34 %. Back to its high in 23 months.
Seagate Technology earned 18 times as much as the world ETF since 2009
Value of 10,000 euros placed at the end of September 2009, dividends reinvested, in euros
- Seagate Technology: 1 325 140 €
- World ETF: 74 620 €
- S&P 500: 123 025 €
- Risk-free placement: 11 288 €
Based on past performance. This is not a recommendation.
Range: 269.97 USD - 319.70 USD (comparables only)
The price implies growth of 21.06% per year; the company grows at 20.99%.
Gross margin 45.6%, net margin 26.1%, ROIC 59.5%, ROE 371.5%.
Net margin
26.11%
Exceptional
Sector 5.96%|S&P 12.97%
Gross margin
45.58%
Exceptional
Return on equity (ROE)
371.53%
Exceptional
Sector 11.74%|S&P 16.52%
Return on invested capital (ROIC)
59.52%
Exceptional
Free cash flow margin (FCF)
25.46%
Exceptional
Profit-to-cash conversion (FCF conversion)
0.98x
High
Margin stability
8.5 pts
Uneven
Revenue to net income
Growth
8.5/10Revenue up 48.5% over 1 year, 2.7% a year over 5, EPS 21.0% a year over 5.
Revenue (trailing 12 months)
12.2Md USD
Revenue growth (1y)
48.49%
Hyper-growth
Revenue growth (3y)
65.15%
Strong
EPS growth (1y)
149.17%
Hyper-growth
EPS CAGR (5y)
20.99%
Exceptional
EPS revisions (3 months)
34.60%
Sharply revised up
Valuation
1.7/10P/E 65.8x, forward P/E 26.6x, EV/EBITDA 48.5x, PEG 3.13. The multiple sits in the 88th percentile of its own 5-year history.
P/E (TTM)
65.8x
Very expensive
Sector 22.9x|S&P 23.0x
Forward P/E
26.6x
Expensive
EV / EBITDA
48.5x
Very expensive
Sector 17.8x|S&P 14.5x
PEG
3.13
Very expensive
Sector 0.13|S&P 0.86
Fair value (reverse DCF)
294.84 USD
Deeply overvalued
P/E vs its own 5-year history
among the 12% highest valuations
At its historical high
Market cap
210Md USD
Financial strength
8.0/10Cash covers 43.7% of the debt, net debt/EBITDA 0.5x.
Net debt / EBITDA
0.5x
Very solid
Gearing (net debt / equity)
101.20%
Stretched
Cash
1.7Md USD
Cash / market cap
0.81%
Stretched
Cash / total debt
43.74%
Solid
Interest coverage
14.4x
Very solid
Net debt
2.2Md USD
Equity
2.2Md USD
Closed daily candles, 2 years
Last close on September 24, 2026: 905.92 USD
- MM20845.55
- MM50846.33
- MM200632.11
- RSI 1457.2
Top panel: closed candles, 20, 50 and 200-day moving averages, with volume in grey. Bottom panel: 14-day RSI with dashed 30 and 70 levels.
200-day average slope, 1 month
+10.64%
200-day average slope, 3 months
+44.02%
50-day average slope, 1 month
-4.67%
Price structure
higher-low
Bullish RSI divergence
No
20-day volatility
3.38 % per day
Volatility change
-25.65%
Forecasts by fiscal year
| Fiscal year | EPS | Normalised EPS | Revenue | EBITDA | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 34.33 (9) | 35.78 (21) | 18 785 (21) | 10 597 (12) | 8 417 (10) |
Amounts in millions of USD, EPS in USD per share. In brackets, the number of analysts. Consensus as of September 4, 2026.
Same sub-industry: 145 companies behind the medians.
| # | Company | Code | Country | Overall / 10 | Fundamentals / 10 | Mkt cap | P/E | Net margin | Revenue growth | ROIC | Net debt / EBITDA | FCF yield | 1-year perf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A005930 | 9.1 | 8.9 | 1.3T USD | 12.7x | 30.8 % | 130.0 % | 31.0 % | -1.1x | 7.0 % | 232.8 % | ||
| 2 | SNDK | 8.3 | 8.7 | 266Md USD | 24.9x | 56.5 % | 371.6 % | 84.2 % | -0.4x | 4.3 % | 1593.4 % | ||
| 3 | WDC | 7.9 | 7.4 | 171Md USD | 19.6x | 72.1 % | 43.8 % | 108.9 % | -0.1x | 2.1 % | 306.3 % | ||
| 4 | DELL | 6.7 | 6.2 | 350Md USD | 31.9x | 7.5 % | 56.7 % | 51.2 % | 1.7x | 2.4 % | 297.1 % | ||
| 5 | STX | 6.7 | 6.0 | 210Md USD | 65.8x | 26.1 % | 48.5 % | 59.5 % | 0.5x | 1.5 % | 302.8 % | ||
| 6 | HPE | 6.5 | 6.5 | 82.7Md USD | 32.5x | 6.7 % | 32.4 % | 6.6 % | 4.1x | 5.0 % | 155.2 % | ||
| 7 | AAPL | 6.2 | 6.2 | 4.9T USD | 38.6x | 27.6 % | 16.4 % | 78.8 % | 0.4x | 2.8 % | 31.6 % | ||
| 8 | 1810 | 5.7 | 5.2 | 85.1Md USD | 19.4x | 7.5 % | 0.2 % | 11.3 % | -1.9x | — | -53.4 % | ||
| 9 | 992 | 5.5 | 5.5 | 58.4Md USD | 89.8x | 0.9 % | 43.6 % | 6.5 % | 0.0x | 3.4 % | 193.8 % |
