Overall verdict
Buy
7.4/10
1-year performance
+321.13%
Score breakdown
Up 321.1% over 1 year, 50% of the 52-week range.
Strongest: Financial strength 10.0/10. Weakest: Shareholder return 1.9/10.
26 analysts, target +0.5% vs the price.
Western Digital Corporation engages in the development, manufacture, and sale of data storage devices and solutions based on hard disk drive (HDD) technology in the United States, Asia, Europe, the Middle East, and Africa. The company offers internal HDDs, data center drives, data center platforms, external drives, portable drives, NAS for home and office, and accessories. It sells its data storage devices and solutions through its computer sales personnel, dealers, distributors, retailers, and subsidiaries.
The company has a collaboration with Open Quantum Design for the development of quantum error correction technology and related systems to advance reliable quantum computing. Western Digital Corporation was founded in 1970 and is headquartered in San Jose, California.
Sector
Information Technology
Industry
Technology Hardware, Storage and Peripherals
Primary listing
Nasdaq
United States
CEO
Tiang Yew Tan
Founded
1970
Employees
40 000
Revenue / employee
322 975 USD
Next earnings
October 29, 2026 (estimated)
Institutional holders
- BlackRock, Inc.8.73%
- FMR LLC6.89%
- VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC5.97%
- JPMORGAN CHASE & CO4.51%
- Capital World Investors4.40%
- STATE STREET CORP4.31%
- Invesco Ltd.3.83%
- VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC3.47%
- GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC2.23%
- Other institutions42.24%
- Rest of the register13.42%
1838 13F filings as of June 30, 2026: US managers above $100M, filed up to 45 days after quarter end. No insiders, no retail. A share on loan is declared by its lender and by whoever bought it from the short seller, so the total can exceed 100%.
Research uses the underlying stock’s market history. The purchase quote is calculated separately when you review your order.
52-week high
799.87 USD
52-week low
105.42 USD
1-year performance
321.13%
Rising
Year-to-date performance
167.32%
Rising
Drawdown
-43.41%
Major drawdown
Position in the 52-week range
50% of range
Against the world ETF
Over 17 years, from September 2009 to August 2026, the share did not do better than the world ETF once risk is accounted for. It earned more, but shaking 3.8 times harder: for the risk taken, the ETF paid better.
10,000 € placed at the end of September 2009 are worth today
| Western Digital | 256 688 € |
| World ETF | 74 620 € |
| S&P 500 | 123 025 € |
| Risk-free placement | 11 288 € |
The risk
- Shaking:the share moves 3.8 times as much as the world ETF.
- Worst fall:-67 % between March 2018 and March 2020. 10,000 € placed at the top fell to 3 345 €. The world ETF, at worst: -34 %. Back to its high in 64 months.
Western Digital earned 3 times as much as the world ETF since 2009
Value of 10,000 euros placed at the end of September 2009, dividends reinvested, in euros
- Western Digital: 256 688 €
- World ETF: 74 620 €
- S&P 500: 123 025 €
- Risk-free placement: 11 288 €
Based on past performance. This is not a recommendation.
Range: 246.77 USD - 316.71 USD (comparables only)
The price implies growth of 16.65% per year; the company grows at 25.00%.
Gross margin 48.8%, net margin 72.1%, ROIC 108.9%, ROE 131.4%.
Net margin
72.06%
Exceptional
Sector 5.96%|S&P 12.97%
Gross margin
48.83%
Exceptional
Return on equity (ROE)
131.36%
Exceptional
Sector 11.74%|S&P 16.52%
Return on invested capital (ROIC)
108.85%
Exceptional
Free cash flow margin (FCF)
27.18%
Exceptional
Profit-to-cash conversion (FCF conversion)
0.38x
Low
Margin stability
25.1 pts
Very uneven
Revenue to net income
Growth
8.7/10Revenue up 43.8% over 1 year, -5.3% a year over 5, EPS 55.7% a year over 5.
Revenue (trailing 12 months)
12.9Md USD
Revenue growth (1y)
43.84%
Hyper-growth
Revenue growth (3y)
4.88%
Moderate
EPS growth (1y)
980.72%
Hyper-growth
EPS CAGR (5y)
55.65%
Exceptional
EPS revisions (3 months)
16.44%
Sharply revised up
Valuation
6.0/10P/E 18.7x, forward P/E 23.2x, EV/EBITDA 34.3x, PEG 0.34. The multiple sits in the 43th percentile of its own 5-year history.
P/E (TTM)
18.7x
Fair
Sector 23.4x|S&P 23.0x
Forward P/E
23.2x
Expensive
EV / EBITDA
34.3x
Expensive
Sector 17.8x|S&P 14.5x
PEG
0.34
Growth unpriced
Sector 0.13|S&P 0.86
Fair value (reverse DCF)
281.74 USD
Deeply overvalued
P/E vs its own 5-year history
among the 43% lowest valuations
In line with its history
Market cap
171Md USD
Financial strength
10.0/10Cash covers 132.6% of the debt, net debt/EBITDA -0.1x.
Net debt / EBITDA
-0.1x
Very solid
Gearing (net debt / equity)
-4.38%
Net cash
Cash
1.6Md USD
Cash / market cap
0.92%
Stretched
Cash / total debt
132.58%
Net cash
Interest coverage
27.0x
Very solid
Net debt
-388M USD
Equity
8.9Md USD
Closed daily candles, 2 years
Last close on September 24, 2026: 450.31 USD
- MM20450.28
- MM50474.13
- MM200391.83
- RSI 1447.9
Top panel: closed candles, 20, 50 and 200-day moving averages, with volume in grey. Bottom panel: 14-day RSI with dashed 30 and 70 levels.
200-day average slope, 1 month
+8.50%
200-day average slope, 3 months
+40.99%
50-day average slope, 1 month
-12.89%
Price structure
Lower lows
Bullish RSI divergence
No
20-day volatility
2.96 % per day
Volatility change
-41.35%
Forecasts by fiscal year
| Fiscal year | EPS | Normalised EPS | Revenue | EBITDA | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 19.48 (8) | 20.09 (22) | 19 192 (21) | 9 931 (9) | 7 751 (5) |
Amounts in millions of USD, EPS in USD per share. In brackets, the number of analysts. Consensus as of September 4, 2026.
Same sub-industry: 145 companies behind the medians.
| # | Company | Code | Country | Overall / 10 | Fundamentals / 10 | Mkt cap | P/E | Net margin | Revenue growth | ROIC | Net debt / EBITDA | FCF yield | 1-year perf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A005930 | 9.1 | 8.9 | 1.3T USD | 12.7x | 30.8 % | 130.0 % | 31.0 % | -1.1x | 7.0 % | 232.8 % | ||
| 2 | SNDK | 8.3 | 8.7 | 266Md USD | 24.9x | 56.5 % | 371.6 % | 84.2 % | -0.4x | 4.3 % | 1593.4 % | ||
| 3 | WDC | 7.4 | 7.3 | 171Md USD | 18.7x | 72.1 % | 43.8 % | 108.9 % | -0.1x | 2.1 % | 321.1 % | ||
| 4 | STX | 7.0 | 6.2 | 210Md USD | 66.6x | 26.1 % | 48.5 % | 59.5 % | 0.5x | 1.5 % | 297.8 % | ||
| 5 | DELL | 6.7 | 6.2 | 350Md USD | 31.9x | 7.5 % | 56.7 % | 51.2 % | 1.7x | 2.4 % | 297.1 % | ||
| 6 | HPE | 6.5 | 6.5 | 82.7Md USD | 32.5x | 6.7 % | 32.4 % | 6.6 % | 4.1x | 5.0 % | 155.2 % | ||
| 7 | AAPL | 6.2 | 6.2 | 4.9T USD | 38.6x | 27.6 % | 16.4 % | 78.8 % | 0.4x | 2.8 % | 31.6 % | ||
| 8 | 1810 | 5.7 | 5.2 | 85.1Md USD | 19.4x | 7.5 % | 0.2 % | 11.3 % | -1.9x | — | -53.4 % | ||
| 9 | 992 | 5.5 | 5.5 | 58.4Md USD | 89.8x | 0.9 % | 43.6 % | 6.5 % | 0.0x | 3.4 % | 193.8 % |
