Overall verdict
Buy
6.9/10
1-year performance
-9.40%
Score breakdown
Down 9.4% over 1 year, 54% of the 52-week range.
Strongest: Financial strength 10.0/10. Weakest: Valuation 2.3/10.
54 analysts, target +0.2% vs the price.
Shopify Inc., a commerce technology company, provides tools to start, scale, market, and run a business of various sizes in Canada, the United States, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Asia Pacific, and Latin America. The Company offers Shopify platform that enables merchants to manage products and inventory, process orders and payments, fulfill and ship orders, build customer relationships, source products, leverage analytics, and reporting and access financing for running their business across all of their sales channels, including web and mobile storefronts, physical retail locations, social media storefronts, and marketplaces.
It also provides Shopify Payments, a fully integrated payment processing service that allows merchants to accept and process payment cards online and offline. In addition, the company engages in the sale of themes and apps; shipping labels through Shopify Shipping; point-of-sale hardware; advertising on the Shopify App Store; and Shop Campaigns for buyer acquisitions, as well as registration of domain names. The company was formerly known as Jaded Pixel Technologies Inc. and changed its name to Shopify Inc. in November 2011. Shopify Inc. was incorporated in 2004 and is based in Ottawa, Canada.
Sector
Information Technology
Industry
IT Services
Primary listing
Nasdaq
Canada
CEO
Mr. Tobias Lutke
Founded
2004
Employees
7 600
Revenue / employee
1.5M USD
Next earnings
November 3, 2026 (estimated)
Research uses the underlying stock’s market history. The purchase quote is calculated separately when you review your order.
52-week high
182.19 USD
52-week low
94.00 USD
1-year performance
-9.40%
Declining
Year-to-date performance
-12.24%
Declining
Drawdown
-22.06%
Marked drawdown
Position in the 52-week range
54% of range
Against the world ETF
Over 11 years, from May 2015 to August 2026, the share did better than the world ETF once risk is accounted for.
10,000 € placed at the end of May 2015 are worth today
| Shopify | 521 847 € |
| World ETF | 32 056 € |
| S&P 500 | 42 173 € |
| Risk-free placement | 10 911 € |
The risk
- Shaking:the share moves 3.9 times as much as the world ETF.
- Worst fall:-82 % between November 2021 and October 2022. 10,000 € placed at the top fell to 1 761 €. The world ETF, at worst: -34 %. Back to its high in 36 months.
Shopify earned 16 times as much as the world ETF since 2015
Value of 10,000 euros placed at the end of May 2015, dividends reinvested, in euros
- Shopify: 521 847 €
- World ETF: 32 056 €
- S&P 500: 42 173 €
- Risk-free placement: 10 911 €
Based on past performance. This is not a recommendation.
Gross margin 47.6%, net margin 14.6%, ROIC 15.3%, ROE 15.5%.
Net margin
14.62%
Exceptional
Sector 3.34%|S&P 12.97%
Gross margin
47.61%
High
Return on equity (ROE)
15.53%
Exceptional
Sector 2.51%|S&P 16.52%
Return on invested capital (ROIC)
15.30%
Exceptional
Free cash flow margin (FCF)
17.74%
Exceptional
Profit-to-cash conversion (FCF conversion)
1.21x
High
Margin stability
29.6 pts
Very uneven
Revenue to net income
Growth
9.5/10Revenue up 28.1% over 1 year, 30.7% a year over 5, EPS 28.6% a year over 5.
Revenue (trailing 12 months)
12.9Md USD
Revenue growth (1y)
28.11%
Hyper-growth
Revenue growth (3y)
118.64%
Strong
EPS growth (1y)
60.21%
Hyper-growth
EPS CAGR (5y)
28.64%
Exceptional
EPS revisions (3 months)
3.98%
Revised up
Valuation
2.3/10P/E 97.8x, forward P/E 88.4x, EV/EBITDA 95.2x, PEG 3.42. The multiple sits in the 67th percentile of its own 5-year history.
P/E (TTM)
97.8x
Very expensive
Sector 42.3x|S&P 23.0x
Forward P/E
88.4x
Expensive
EV / EBITDA
95.2x
Very expensive
Sector 25.2x|S&P 14.5x
PEG
3.42
Very expensive
Sector 1.30|S&P 0.86
P/E vs its own 5-year history
among the 33% highest valuations
Pricier than usual
Market cap
183Md USD
Financial strength
10.0/10Cash covers 2779.2% of the debt, net debt/EBITDA -2.9x.
Net debt / EBITDA
-2.9x
Net cash
Gearing (net debt / equity)
-37.60%
Net cash
Cash
4.9Md USD
Cash / market cap
2.70%
Stretched
Cash / total debt
2779.21%
Net cash
Net debt
-4.8Md USD
Equity
12.7Md USD
Closed daily candles, 2 years
Last close on September 24, 2026: 145.16 USD
- MM20138.36
- MM50137.61
- MM200130.01
- RSI 1456.3
Top panel: closed candles, 20, 50 and 200-day moving averages, with volume in grey. Bottom panel: 14-day RSI with dashed 30 and 70 levels.
200-day average slope, 1 month
-1.13%
200-day average slope, 3 months
-5.04%
50-day average slope, 1 month
+7.27%
Price structure
higher-low
Bullish RSI divergence
No
20-day volatility
3.86 % per day
Volatility change
+2.36%
Forecasts by fiscal year
| Fiscal year | EPS | Normalised EPS | Revenue | EBITDA | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1.61 (26) | 1.91 (40) | 15 245 (49) | 2 839 (30) | 2 083 (30) |
| 2027 | 2.06 (29) | 2.45 (39) | 19 179 (50) | 3 712 (29) | 2 672 (32) |
Amounts in millions of USD, EPS in USD per share. In brackets, the number of analysts. Consensus as of September 24, 2026.
Same sub-industry: 61 companies behind the medians.
| # | Company | Code | Country | Overall / 10 | Fundamentals / 10 | Mkt cap | P/E | Net margin | Revenue growth | ROIC | Net debt / EBITDA | FCF yield | 1-year perf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SHOP | 6.9 | 6.7 | 183Md USD | 97.8x | 14.6 % | 28.1 % | 15.3 % | -2.9x | 1.3 % | -9.4 % | ||
| 2 | OKTA | 6.7 | 7.2 | 35.9Md USD | 124.1x | 9.6 % | 10.6 % | 4.3 % | -8.6x | 2.7 % | 123.9 % | ||
| 3 | TWLO | 6.7 | 7.4 | 44.6Md USD | 40.5x | 20.6 % | 22.0 % | 12.0 % | -3.5x | 2.2 % | 186.6 % | ||
| 4 | MDB | 6.5 | 5.9 | 34.5Md USD | 604.5x | 2.1 % | 30.5 % | 2.0 % | -105.3x | 1.9 % | 31.5 % | ||
| 5 | VRSN | 6.1 | 5.1 | 26.5Md USD | 31.8x | 49.8 % | 6.0 % | -44.1 % | 1.1x | 4.0 % | 1.5 % | ||
| 6 | SNOW | 5.5 | 3.4 | 118Md USD | Not meaningful (loss) | -20.1 % | 35.1 % | -22.1 % | -0.4x | 1.0 % | 47.3 % | ||
| 7 | DCII | 4.8 | 5.2 | 26.4Md USD | 422.6x | 37.4 % | 64.0 % | 19.8 % | 1.1x | -0.2 % | -30.7 % | ||
| 8 | CRWV | 4.6 | 2.5 | 47.9Md USD | Not meaningful (loss) | -25.4 % | 112.3 % | -6.1 % | 10.6x | -28.5 % | -32.1 % | ||
| 9 | NET | 3.7 | 1.9 | 125Md USD | Not meaningful (loss) | -8.2 % | 35.9 % | -4.9 % | -4.5x | 0.3 % | 58.8 % |
