Overall verdict
Buy
7.1/10
1-year performance
+175.73%
Score breakdown
Up 175.7% over 1 year, 89% of the 52-week range.
Strongest: Financial strength 9.4/10. Weakest: Shareholder return 4.5/10.
30 analysts, target -0.1% vs the price.
Twilio Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides customer engagement platform solutions in the United States and internationally. The company provides various application programming interfaces and software solutions for communications between customers and end users, including messaging, voice, email, video interactions, digital engagement centers, marketing campaigns, and user authentication and identity solutions.
It also offers software products to build direct and personalized relationships with their end users, such as Segment, a platform that provides tools to harness the power of contextual data by unifying real-time information collected throughout each customer's journey into a unique profile. Twilio Inc. was incorporated in 2008 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California.
Sector
Information Technology
Industry
IT Services
Primary listing
Nyse
United States
CEO
Khozema Shipchandler
Founded
2008
Employees
5 587
Revenue / employee
906 966 USD
Next earnings
October 30, 2026 (estimated)
Institutional holders
- BlackRock, Inc.10.48%
- JPMORGAN CHASE & CO7.70%
- FMR LLC7.10%
- VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC4.82%
- VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC4.32%
- STATE STREET CORP3.78%
- GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC1.81%
- ALKEON CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC1.47%
- ROYAL BANK OF CANADA1.42%
- Other institutions44.34%
- Rest of the register12.75%
961 13F filings as of June 30, 2026: US managers above $100M, filed up to 45 days after quarter end. No insiders, no retail. A share on loan is declared by its lender and by whoever bought it from the short seller, so the total can exceed 100%.
Research uses the underlying stock’s market history. The purchase quote is calculated separately when you review your order.
52-week high
304.75 USD
52-week low
98.44 USD
1-year performance
175.73%
Rising
Year-to-date performance
103.50%
Rising
Drawdown
-7.68%
Mild pullback
Position in the 52-week range
89% of range
Against the world ETF
Over 10 years, from June 2016 to August 2026, the share did not do better than the world ETF once risk is accounted for. It earned more, but shaking 4.6 times harder: for the risk taken, the ETF paid better.
10,000 € placed at the end of June 2016 are worth today
| Twilio | 62 541 € |
| World ETF | 34 163 € |
| S&P 500 | 41 645 € |
| Risk-free placement | 10 927 € |
The risk
- Shaking:the share moves 4.6 times as much as the world ETF.
- Worst fall:-89 % between February 2021 and December 2022. 10,000 € placed at the top fell to 1 140 €. The world ETF, at worst: -34 %. The share has not returned to its high yet.
Twilio earned more than the world ETF since 2016
Value of 10,000 euros placed at the end of June 2016, dividends reinvested, in euros
- Twilio: 62 541 €
- World ETF: 34 163 €
- S&P 500: 41 645 €
- Risk-free placement: 10 927 €
Based on past performance. This is not a recommendation.
Range: 81.34 USD - 165.60 USD (comparables only)
The price implies growth of 15.67% per year; the company grows at 23.53%.
Gross margin 47.9%, net margin 20.6%, ROIC 12.0%, ROE 13.5%.
Net margin
20.62%
Exceptional
Sector 3.34%|S&P 12.97%
Gross margin
47.90%
High
Return on equity (ROE)
13.50%
Exceptional
Sector 2.51%|S&P 16.52%
Return on invested capital (ROIC)
12.01%
Exceptional
Free cash flow margin (FCF)
17.74%
Exceptional
Profit-to-cash conversion (FCF conversion)
0.86x
Fair
Margin stability
11.2 pts
Very uneven
Revenue to net income
Growth
7.7/10Revenue up 22.0% over 1 year, 23.5% a year over 5.
Revenue (trailing 12 months)
5.6Md USD
Revenue growth (1y)
22.03%
Hyper-growth
Revenue growth (3y)
32.43%
Solid
EPS growth (1y)
—
EPS CAGR (5y)
—
EPS revisions (3 months)
3.90%
Revised up
Valuation
6.2/10P/E 39.1x, forward P/E 32.7x, EV/EBITDA 99.7x, PEG 0.01.
P/E (TTM)
39.1x
Fair
Sector 46.0x|S&P 23.0x
Forward P/E
32.7x
Fair
EV / EBITDA
99.7x
Very expensive
Sector 25.2x|S&P 14.5x
PEG
0.01
Growth unpriced
Sector 0.84|S&P 0.86
Fair value (reverse DCF)
123.47 USD
Deeply overvalued
Market cap
44.6Md USD
Financial strength
9.4/10Cash covers 249.3% of the debt, net debt/EBITDA -3.5x.
Net debt / EBITDA
-3.5x
Net cash
Gearing (net debt / equity)
-17.72%
Net cash
Cash
2.7Md USD
Cash / market cap
5.95%
Tight
Cash / total debt
249.30%
Net cash
Interest coverage
9.0x
Solid
Net debt
-1.6Md USD
Equity
9.0Md USD
Closed daily candles, 2 years
Last close on September 24, 2026: 299.66 USD
- MM20244.96
- MM50226.01
- MM200171.38
- RSI 1477.4
Top panel: closed candles, 20, 50 and 200-day moving averages, with volume in grey. Bottom panel: 14-day RSI with dashed 30 and 70 levels.
200-day average slope, 1 month
+7.82%
200-day average slope, 3 months
+24.70%
50-day average slope, 1 month
+8.44%
Price structure
higher-low
Bullish RSI divergence
No
20-day volatility
3.51 % per day
Volatility change
-13.70%
Forecasts by fiscal year
| Fiscal year | EPS | Normalised EPS | Revenue | EBITDA | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 8.59 (10) | 5.93 (28) | 6 000 (26) | 1 250 (9) | 1 354 (13) |
| 2027 | 3.50 (10) | 6.79 (30) | 6 688 (28) | 1 480 (10) | 539 (13) |
Amounts in millions of USD, EPS in USD per share. In brackets, the number of analysts. Consensus as of September 24, 2026.
Same sub-industry: 61 companies behind the medians.
| # | Company | Code | Country | Overall / 10 | Fundamentals / 10 | Mkt cap | P/E | Net margin | Revenue growth | ROIC | Net debt / EBITDA | FCF yield | 1-year perf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TWLO | 7.1 | 7.4 | 44.6Md USD | 39.1x | 20.6 % | 22.0 % | 12.0 % | -3.5x | 2.2 % | 175.7 % | ||
| 2 | OKTA | 6.7 | 7.2 | 35.9Md USD | 124.1x | 9.6 % | 10.6 % | 4.3 % | -8.6x | 2.7 % | 123.9 % | ||
| 3 | MDB | 6.5 | 5.9 | 34.5Md USD | 604.5x | 2.1 % | 30.5 % | 2.0 % | -105.3x | 1.9 % | 31.5 % | ||
| 4 | SHOP | 6.5 | 6.7 | 183Md USD | 98.1x | 14.6 % | 28.1 % | 15.3 % | -2.9x | 1.3 % | -1.8 % | ||
| 5 | VRSN | 6.1 | 5.1 | 26.5Md USD | 31.8x | 49.8 % | 6.0 % | -44.1 % | 1.1x | 4.0 % | 1.5 % | ||
| 6 | SNOW | 5.5 | 3.4 | 118Md USD | Not meaningful (loss) | -20.1 % | 35.1 % | -22.1 % | -0.4x | 1.0 % | 47.3 % | ||
| 7 | DCII | 4.8 | 5.2 | 26.4Md USD | 422.6x | 37.4 % | 64.0 % | 19.8 % | 1.1x | -0.2 % | -30.7 % | ||
| 8 | CRWV | 4.6 | 2.5 | 47.9Md USD | Not meaningful (loss) | -25.4 % | 112.3 % | -6.1 % | 10.6x | -28.5 % | -32.1 % | ||
| 9 | NET | 3.7 | 1.9 | 125Md USD | Not meaningful (loss) | -8.2 % | 35.9 % | -4.9 % | -4.5x | 0.3 % | 58.8 % |
