Overall verdict
Neutral
6.4/10
1-year performance
+79.84%
Score breakdown
Up 79.8% over 1 year, 83% of the 52-week range.
Strongest: Profitability 8.4/10. Weakest: Growth 5.0/10.
37 analysts, target +0.0% vs the price.
Target Corporation operates as a general merchandise retailer in the United States. It offers apparel for women, men, young adults, kids, toddlers, and babies, as well as jewelry, accessories, and shoes; and beauty products, such as skin and bath care, cosmetics, hair care, oral care, deodorant, and shaving products. The company also provides food and beverage products comprising dry and perishable grocery, including snacks, candy, beverages, deli, bakery, meat, produce, and food service ;
electronics which includes video games and consoles, toys, sporting goods, entertainment, and luggage ; bed and bath, home décor, school/office supplies, storage, small appliances, kitchenware, greeting cards, party supplies, furniture, lighting, home improvement, and seasonal merchandise ; and household essentials, such as household cleaning, paper products, over-the-counter healthcare, vitamins and supplements, baby gear, and pet supplies.
In addition, it sells merchandise through periodic design and creative partnerships, and shop-in-shop experience; and in-store amenities. The company sells its products through its stores; and digital channels, including Target.com. Target Corporation was incorporated in 1902 and is headquartered in Minneapolis, Minnesota.
Sector
Consumer Staples
Industry
Consumer Staples Distribution and Retail
Primary listing
Nyse
United States
CEO
Michael Fiddelke
Founded
1902
Employees
415 000
Revenue / employee
252 482 USD
Next earnings
November 18, 2026 (Q3 2027)
Institutional holders
- BlackRock, Inc.8.52%
- STATE STREET CORP7.94%
- VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC6.53%
- FMR LLC5.42%
- VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC4.86%
- CHARLES SCHWAB INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT INC3.40%
- GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC2.39%
- MORGAN STANLEY1.51%
- Bank of New York Mellon Corp1.40%
- Other institutions44.42%
- Rest of the register13.63%
1880 13F filings as of June 30, 2026: US managers above $100M, filed up to 45 days after quarter end. No insiders, no retail. A share on loan is declared by its lender and by whoever bought it from the short seller, so the total can exceed 100%.
Research uses the underlying stock’s market history. The purchase quote is calculated separately when you review your order.
52-week high
170.75 USD
52-week low
83.44 USD
1-year performance
79.84%
Rising
Year-to-date performance
59.60%
Rising
Drawdown
-8.49%
Mild pullback
Position in the 52-week range
83% of range
Against the world ETF
Over 17 years, from September 2009 to August 2026, the share did clearly worse than the world ETF once risk is accounted for. It earned less, while shaking 2.2 times harder.
10,000 € placed at the end of September 2009 are worth today
| Target | 43 326 € |
| World ETF | 74 620 € |
| S&P 500 | 123 025 € |
| Risk-free placement | 11 288 € |
The risk
- Shaking:the share moves 2.2 times as much as the world ETF.
- Worst fall:-69 % between November 2021 and November 2025. 10,000 € placed at the top fell to 3 087 €. The world ETF, at worst: -34 %. The share has not returned to its high yet.
Target earned less than the world ETF since 2009
Value of 10,000 euros placed at the end of September 2009, dividends reinvested, in euros
- Target: 43 326 €
- World ETF: 74 620 €
- S&P 500: 123 025 €
- Risk-free placement: 11 288 €
Share price without dividends; the world ETF and the index reinvest theirs. A dividend payer is therefore understated here.
Based on past performance. This is not a recommendation.
Range: 125.00 USD - 182.27 USD (2 methods agree)
The price implies growth of 2.02% per year; the company grows at -1.21%.
Gross margin 26.8%, net margin 4.1%, ROIC 12.6%, ROE 26.4%.
Net margin
4.08%
High
Sector 3.02%|S&P 12.97%
Gross margin
26.83%
High
Return on equity (ROE)
26.41%
Exceptional
Sector 15.67%|S&P 16.52%
Return on invested capital (ROIC)
12.61%
Exceptional
Free cash flow margin (FCF)
4.14%
Fair
Profit-to-cash conversion (FCF conversion)
1.01x
Fair
Margin stability
1.0 pts
Very steady
Revenue to net income
Growth
5.0/10Revenue up 5.3% over 1 year, 2.3% a year over 5, EPS -1.2% a year over 5.
Revenue (trailing 12 months)
108Md USD
Revenue growth (1y)
5.27%
Moderate
Revenue growth (3y)
-3.98%
Declining
EPS growth (1y)
100.31%
Hyper-growth
EPS CAGR (5y)
-1.21%
Declining
EPS revisions (3 months)
22.58%
Sharply revised up
Valuation
6.0/10P/E 16.2x, forward P/E 15.1x, EV/EBITDA 8.9x, PEG 1.34. The multiple sits in the 72th percentile of its own 5-year history.
P/E (TTM)
16.2x
Fair
Sector 22.7x|S&P 23.0x
Forward P/E
15.1x
Fair
EV / EBITDA
8.9x
Fair
Sector 11.2x|S&P 14.5x
PEG
1.34
Fair
Sector 0.65|S&P 0.86
Fair value (reverse DCF)
153.57 USD
Fairly priced
P/E vs its own 5-year history
among the 28% highest valuations
Pricier than usual
Market cap
71.0Md USD
Financial strength
6.5/10Cash covers 28.3% of the debt, net debt/EBITDA 1.9x.
Net debt / EBITDA
1.9x
Solid
Gearing (net debt / equity)
76.66%
Tight
Cash
5.4Md USD
Cash / market cap
7.62%
Tight
Cash / total debt
28.34%
Tight
Interest coverage
14.0x
Very solid
Net debt
13.7Md USD
Equity
17.8Md USD
Closed daily candles, 2 years
Last close on September 24, 2026: 156.15 USD
- MM20159.61
- MM50153.45
- MM200126.97
- RSI 1448.2
Top panel: closed candles, 20, 50 and 200-day moving averages, with volume in grey. Bottom panel: 14-day RSI with dashed 30 and 70 levels.
200-day average slope, 1 month
+6.18%
200-day average slope, 3 months
+17.18%
50-day average slope, 1 month
+7.88%
Price structure
higher-low
Bullish RSI divergence
No
20-day volatility
1.54 % per day
Volatility change
-20.06%
Forecasts by fiscal year
| Fiscal year | EPS | Normalised EPS | Revenue | EBITDA | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 10.37 (24) | 10.23 (35) | 110 198 (34) | 9 546 (17) | 4 718 (25) |
Amounts in millions of USD, EPS in USD per share. In brackets, the number of analysts. Consensus as of September 25, 2026.
Same sub-industry: 24 companies behind the medians.
| # | Company | Code | Country | Overall / 10 | Fundamentals / 10 | Mkt cap | P/E | Net margin | Revenue growth | ROIC | Net debt / EBITDA | FCF yield | 1-year perf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | WALMEX * | 6.7 | 7.2 | 45.0Md USD | 15.6x | 4.9 % | 9.2 % | 16.5 % | 0.5x | 6.4 % | -16.8 % | ||
| 2 | TGT | 6.4 | 6.5 | 71.0Md USD | 16.2x | 4.1 % | 5.3 % | 12.6 % | 1.9x | 6.3 % | 79.8 % | ||
| 3 | BJ | 6.1 | 5.9 | 11.4Md USD | 19.7x | 2.6 % | 15.7 % | 13.2 % | 2.4x | 2.4 % | -4.3 % | ||
| 4 | CA | 6.0 | 5.2 | 13.4Md USD | 15.3x | 1.8 % | 0.7 % | 5.8 % | 3.2x | 21.2 % | 32.2 % | ||
| 5 | DG | 6.0 | 6.0 | 26.6Md USD | 15.7x | 3.9 % | 5.2 % | 7.2 % | 4.4x | 7.6 % | 18.8 % | ||
| 6 | DLTR | 6.0 | 5.9 | 21.2Md USD | 13.8x | 8.1 % | 7.0 % | 16.4 % | 2.8x | 9.3 % | 19.9 % | ||
| 7 | COST | 5.8 | 5.3 | 401Md USD | 45.5x | 3.0 % | 11.6 % | 23.0 % | -0.4x | 2.2 % | -5.1 % | ||
| 8 | WMT | 5.5 | 4.5 | 877Md USD | 40.0x | 3.0 % | 5.9 % | 14.7 % | 1.3x | 1.5 % | 4.4 % | ||
| 9 | 8267 | 4.3 | 4.6 | 23.0Md USD | 38.4x | 0.8 % | 14.6 % | 2.4 % | 2.8x | — | -29.5 % |
