Overall verdict
Neutral
6.1/10
1-year performance
-19.03%
Score breakdown
Down 19.0% over 1 year, 6% of the 52-week range.
Strongest: Profitability 8.3/10. Weakest: Growth 3.8/10.
18 analysts, target +0.3% vs the price.
Sector
Consumer Staples
Industry
Consumer Staples Distribution and Retail
Primary listing
Bmv
Mexico
CEO
Cristian Barrientos Pozo
Founded
1958
Employees
240 779
Revenue / employee
4.2M MXN
Next earnings
October 27, 2026
Research uses the underlying stock’s market history. The purchase quote is calculated separately when you review your order.
52-week high
63.97 MXN
52-week low
44.80 MXN
1-year performance
-19.03%
Declining
Year-to-date performance
-18.51%
Declining
Drawdown
-28.17%
Marked drawdown
Position in the 52-week range
6% of range
Range: 66.84 MXN - 72.38 MXN (3 methods agree)
The price implies growth of 1.55% per year; the company grows at 8.45%.
Gross margin 24.2%, net margin 4.9%, ROIC 16.5%, ROE 21.9%.
Net margin
4.90%
Exceptional
Sector 3.02%|S&P 12.97%
Gross margin
24.18%
Fair
Return on equity (ROE)
21.92%
High
Sector 15.67%|S&P 16.52%
Return on invested capital (ROIC)
16.46%
Exceptional
Free cash flow margin (FCF)
4.95%
Fair
Profit-to-cash conversion (FCF conversion)
1.01x
Fair
Margin stability
0.6 pts
Very steady
Revenue to net income
Growth
3.8/10Revenue up 1.9% over 1 year, 7.6% a year over 5, EPS 8.5% a year over 5.
Revenue (trailing 12 months)
1.1T MXN
Revenue growth (1y)
1.91%
Moderate
Revenue growth (3y)
23.49%
Solid
EPS growth (1y)
0.33%
Moderate
EPS CAGR (5y)
8.45%
Exceptional
EPS revisions (3 months)
—
Valuation
7.3/10P/E 15.8x, forward P/E 15.2x, EV/EBITDA 8.1x, PEG 1.87. The multiple sits in the 2th percentile of its own 5-year history.
P/E (TTM)
15.8x
Fair
Sector 22.7x|S&P 23.0x
Forward P/E
15.2x
Fair
EV / EBITDA
8.1x
Fair
Sector 11.2x|S&P 14.5x
PEG
1.87
Expensive
Sector 0.65|S&P 0.86
Fair value (reverse DCF)
69.61 MXN
Deeply undervalued
P/E vs its own 5-year history
among the 2% lowest valuations
Far cheaper than usual
Market cap
799Md MXN
Financial strength
6.6/10Cash covers 36.2% of the debt, net debt/EBITDA 0.5x.
Net debt / EBITDA
0.5x
Very solid
Gearing (net debt / equity)
22.20%
Stretched
Cash
31.0Md MXN
Cash / market cap
3.88%
Tight
Cash / total debt
36.24%
Solid
Net debt
54.6Md MXN
Equity
246Md MXN
Closed daily candles, 2 years
Last close on September 24, 2026: 46.04 MXN
- MM2046.49
- MM5047.63
- MM20053.50
- RSI 1444.3
Top panel: closed candles, 20, 50 and 200-day moving averages, with volume in grey. Bottom panel: 14-day RSI with dashed 30 and 70 levels.
200-day average slope, 1 month
-2.83%
200-day average slope, 3 months
-6.19%
50-day average slope, 1 month
-3.24%
Price structure
Lower lows
Bullish RSI divergence
Yes
20-day volatility
1.07 % per day
Volatility change
-19.98%
Forecasts by fiscal year
| Fiscal year | EPS | Normalised EPS | Revenue | EBITDA | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3.02 (11) | 3.03 (11) | 1 046 942 (15) | 105 013 (15) | 52 946 (14) |
| 2027 | 3.17 (10) | 3.20 (10) | 1 113 525 (14) | 111 212 (13) | 55 586 (12) |
Amounts in millions of MXN, EPS in MXN per share. In brackets, the number of analysts. Consensus as of September 21, 2026.
Same sub-industry: 24 companies behind the medians.
| # | Company | Code | Country | Overall / 10 | Fundamentals / 10 | Mkt cap | P/E | Net margin | Revenue growth | ROIC | Net debt / EBITDA | FCF yield | 1-year perf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TGT | 6.6 | 6.5 | 71.0Md USD | 16.2x | 4.1 % | 5.3 % | 12.6 % | 1.9x | 6.3 % | 79.1 % | ||
| 2 | BJ | 6.2 | 6.0 | 11.4Md USD | 19.7x | 2.6 % | 15.7 % | 13.2 % | 2.4x | 2.4 % | -4.3 % | ||
| 3 | DLTR | 6.2 | 6.2 | 21.2Md USD | 13.8x | 8.1 % | 7.0 % | 16.4 % | 2.8x | 9.3 % | 19.9 % | ||
| 4 | WALMEX * | 6.1 | 6.6 | 45.1Md USD | 15.8x | 4.9 % | 1.9 % | 16.5 % | 0.5x | 6.5 % | -19.0 % | ||
| 5 | CA | 6.0 | 5.2 | 13.4Md USD | 15.3x | 1.8 % | 0.7 % | 5.8 % | 3.2x | 21.2 % | 32.2 % | ||
| 6 | DG | 6.0 | 6.0 | 26.6Md USD | 15.7x | 3.9 % | 5.2 % | 7.2 % | 4.4x | 7.6 % | 18.8 % | ||
| 7 | COST | 5.8 | 5.3 | 401Md USD | 45.5x | 3.0 % | 11.6 % | 23.0 % | -0.4x | 2.2 % | -5.1 % | ||
| 8 | WMT | 5.5 | 4.5 | 877Md USD | 40.0x | 3.0 % | 5.9 % | 14.7 % | 1.3x | 1.5 % | 4.4 % | ||
| 9 | 8267 | 4.3 | 4.6 | 23.0Md USD | 38.4x | 0.8 % | 14.6 % | 2.4 % | 2.8x | — | -29.5 % |
