Overall verdict
Neutral
5.9/10
1-year performance
-19.03%
Score breakdown
Down 19.0% over 1 year, 31% of the 52-week range.
Strongest: Profitability 8.8/10. Weakest: Growth 3.4/10.
18 analysts, target +0.1% vs the price.
Wal-Mart de México, S.A.B. de C.V. owns and operates self-service stores in Mexico and Central America. The company operates discount stores under the Bodega Aurrerá, Despensa Familiar, and Palí names; hypermarkets under the Walmart name; supermarkets under the Walmart Express, Paiz, La Despensa de Don Juan, La Unión, and Más x Menos names; and membership self-service wholesale stores under the Sam's Club name.
It also offers mobile internet connectivity services, advertising services, and financial services through digital wallet, as well as sells airtime recharges and imports goods for resale. In addition, the company develops and manages real estate properties. The company was founded in 1958 and is headquartered in Mexico City, Mexico. Wal-Mart de México, S.A.B. de C.V. operates as a subsidiary of Intersalt, S. de R.L. de C.V.
Sector
Consumer Staples
Industry
Consumer Staples Distribution and Retail
Primary listing
Bmv
Mexico
CEO
Cristian Barrientos Pozo
Founded
1958
Employees
240 779
Revenue / employee
4.2M MXN
Next earnings
October 27, 2026 (Q3 2026)
Research uses the underlying stock’s market history. The purchase quote is calculated separately when you review your order.
52-week high
63.97 MXN
52-week low
44.80 MXN
1-year performance
-19.03%
Declining
Year-to-date performance
-9.97%
Declining
Drawdown
-20.63%
Marked drawdown
Position in the 52-week range
31% of range
Range: 69.86 MXN - 71.66 MXN (3 methods agree)
The price implies growth of 2.85% per year; the company grows at 8.45%.
Gross margin 24.2%, net margin 4.9%, ROIC 16.5%, ROE 21.9%.
Net margin
4.90%
Exceptional
Sector 3.14%|S&P 13.15%
Gross margin
24.18%
Fair
Return on equity (ROE)
21.92%
Exceptional
Sector 13.76%|S&P 16.60%
Return on invested capital (ROIC)
16.46%
Exceptional
Free cash flow margin (FCF)
4.95%
Fair
Profit-to-cash conversion (FCF conversion)
1.01x
Fair
Margin stability
0.6 pts
Very steady
Revenue to net income
Growth
3.4/10Revenue up 1.9% over 1 year, 7.6% a year over 5, EPS 8.5% a year over 5.
Revenue (trailing 12 months)
1.1T MXN
Revenue growth (1y)
1.91%
Moderate
Revenue growth (3y)
23.49%
Solid
EPS growth (1y)
-6.88%
Declining
EPS CAGR (5y)
8.45%
Exceptional
EPS revisions (3 months)
-3.41%
Revised down
Valuation
6.0/10P/E 17.5x, forward P/E 17.0x, EV/EBITDA 8.9x, PEG 2.07. The multiple sits in the 10th percentile of its own 5-year history.
P/E (TTM)
17.5x
Fair
Sector 19.6x|S&P 24.1x
Forward P/E
17.0x
Fair
EV / EBITDA
8.9x
Fair
Sector 9.4x|S&P 15.1x
PEG
2.07
Very expensive
Sector 0.89|S&P 0.92
Fair value (reverse DCF)
70.76 MXN
Undervalued
P/E vs its own 5-year history
among the 10% lowest valuations
Far cheaper than usual
Market cap
883Md MXN
Financial strength
6.7/10Cash covers 36.2% of the debt, net debt/EBITDA 0.5x.
Net debt / EBITDA
0.5x
Very solid
Gearing (net debt / equity)
22.20%
Stretched
Cash
31.0Md MXN
Cash / market cap
3.51%
Tight
Cash / total debt
36.24%
Solid
Interest coverage
7.1x
Solid
Net debt
54.6Md MXN
Equity
246Md MXN
Closed daily candles, 2 years
Last close on October 23, 2026: 50.87 MXN
- MM2047.89
- MM5047.19
- MM20052.50
- RSI 1471.4
Top panel: closed candles, 20, 50 and 200-day moving averages, with volume in grey. Bottom panel: 14-day RSI with dashed 30 and 70 levels.
200-day average slope, 1 month
-1.86%
200-day average slope, 3 months
-6.80%
50-day average slope, 1 month
-0.93%
Price structure
Lower lows
Bullish RSI divergence
Yes
20-day volatility
1.06 % per day
Volatility change
-18.37%
Forecasts by fiscal year
| Fiscal year | EPS | Normalised EPS | Revenue | EBITDA | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2.99 (12) | 3.00 (12) | 1 045 980 (16) | 104 155 (15) | 52 403 (15) |
| 2027 | 3.15 (11) | 3.17 (11) | 1 111 799 (15) | 110 592 (14) | 55 105 (13) |
Amounts in millions of MXN, EPS in MXN per share. In brackets, the number of analysts. Consensus as of October 19, 2026.
Same sub-industry: 34 companies behind the medians.
| # | Company | Code | Country | Overall / 10 | Fundamentals / 10 | Mkt cap | P/E | Net margin | Revenue growth | ROIC | Net debt / EBITDA | FCF yield | 1-year perf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TGT | 6.6 | 6.7 | 69.4Md USD | 15.9x | 4.1 % | 5.3 % | 12.6 % | 1.9x | 6.4 % | 62.4 % | ||
| 2 | DG | 6.0 | 6.2 | 29.3Md USD | 17.2x | 3.9 % | 5.2 % | 7.2 % | 4.4x | 6.9 % | 28.2 % | ||
| 3 | WALMEX * | 5.9 | 6.3 | 47.3Md USD | 17.5x | 4.9 % | 1.9 % | 16.5 % | 0.5x | 5.9 % | -19.0 % | ||
| 4 | CA | 5.6 | 5.7 | 11.3Md USD | 13.0x | 1.8 % | 0.7 % | 5.8 % | 3.2x | 25.1 % | 7.6 % | ||
| 5 | DLTR | 5.6 | 6.2 | 23.5Md USD | 15.3x | 8.1 % | 7.0 % | 16.4 % | 2.8x | 8.4 % | 25.1 % | ||
| 6 | BJ | 5.4 | 5.1 | 13.4Md USD | 23.1x | 2.6 % | 15.7 % | 13.2 % | 2.4x | 2.1 % | 12.6 % | ||
| 7 | COST | 5.4 | 5.2 | 445Md USD | 48.3x | 3.0 % | 11.1 % | 22.5 % | -0.8x | 2.1 % | 6.1 % | ||
| 8 | WMT | 5.3 | 4.1 | 951Md USD | 43.4x | 3.0 % | 5.9 % | 14.7 % | 1.3x | 1.4 % | 11.7 % | ||
| 9 | 8267 | 4.4 | 4.1 | 20.8Md USD | 39.9x | 0.7 % | 12.9 % | 2.0 % | 2.8x | — | -49.9 % |
