Overall verdict
Buy
7.7/10
1-year performance
+57.49%
Score breakdown
Up 57.5% over 1 year, 64% of the 52-week range.
Strongest: Profitability 10.0/10. Weakest: Valuation 5.3/10.
28 analysts, target +0.3% vs the price.
Cisco Systems, Inc. designs, develops, and sells technologies to power, help, secure, and draw insights from the internet in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Asia Pacific, Japan, and China. The company provides data center switching ; network security, identity and access management, and secure access service edge ; identity and agentic security solutions ; interconnects public and private wireline and mobile networks, delivering connectivity to campus, data center, and branch networks ;
WEBEX suite, collaboration devices, and contact center ; communication platform as a service software, including perpetual licenses, subscription arrangements, and hardware solutions ; network assurance and observability suite ; accelerated issue resolution, software support, and hardware replacement ; professional services, such as planning, design, implementation, and high-value consulting ; service and support packages, financing, and managed network services ;
and regional, national, and international wireline carriers, webscale products, internet, and cable. It also provides wireless products, including indoor and outdoor coverage designed for seamless roaming use of voice, video, and data applications; end-to-end collaboration solutions through cloud, on-premise, or within hybrid cloud environments. In addition, it offers technical support services.
The company serves businesses, public institutions, governments, and service providers. It sells its products and services directly, through systems integrators, service providers, and other thirdy-party resellers, and distributors. Cisco Systems, Inc. was incorporated in 1984 and is headquartered in San Jose, California.
Sector
Information Technology
Industry
Communications Equipment
Primary listing
Nasdaq
United States
CEO
Charles Robbins
Founded
1984
Employees
82 400
Revenue / employee
768 507 USD
Next earnings
November 11, 2026 (estimated)
Institutional holders
- BlackRock, Inc.9.21%
- VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC6.29%
- STATE STREET CORP5.06%
- Invesco Ltd.3.55%
- VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC3.06%
- GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC2.59%
- MORGAN STANLEY2.07%
- FMR LLC1.95%
- Capital Research Global Investors1.73%
- Other institutions45.88%
- Rest of the register18.60%
4065 13F filings as of June 30, 2026: US managers above $100M, filed up to 45 days after quarter end. No insiders, no retail. A share on loan is declared by its lender and by whoever bought it from the short seller, so the total can exceed 100%.
Research uses the underlying stock’s market history. The purchase quote is calculated separately when you review your order.
52-week high
130.37 USD
52-week low
66.81 USD
1-year performance
57.49%
Rising
Year-to-date performance
38.86%
Rising
Drawdown
-17.32%
Marked drawdown
Position in the 52-week range
64% of range
Against the world ETF
Over 17 years, from September 2009 to August 2026, the share did not do better than the world ETF once risk is accounted for. It earned more, but shaking 2.1 times harder: for the risk taken, the ETF paid better.
10,000 € placed at the end of September 2009 are worth today
| Cisco Systems | 92 028 € |
| World ETF | 74 620 € |
| S&P 500 | 123 025 € |
| Risk-free placement | 11 288 € |
The risk
- Shaking:the share moves 2.1 times as much as the world ETF.
- Worst fall:-46 % between April 2010 and June 2011. 10,000 € placed at the top fell to 5 419 €. The world ETF, at worst: -34 %. Back to its high in 25 months.
Cisco Systems earned more than the world ETF since 2009
Value of 10,000 euros placed at the end of September 2009, dividends reinvested, in euros
- Cisco Systems: 92 028 €
- World ETF: 74 620 €
- S&P 500: 123 025 €
- Risk-free placement: 11 288 €
Based on past performance. This is not a recommendation.
Range: 64.14 USD - 76.71 USD (2 methods agree)
The price implies growth of 11.49% per year; the company grows at 5.88%.
Quality and profitability
10.0/10Gross margin 63.4%, net margin 21.0%, ROIC 18.7%, ROE 27.3%.
Net margin
20.95%
Exceptional
Sector 3.97%|S&P 12.97%
Gross margin
63.41%
Exceptional
Return on equity (ROE)
27.32%
Exceptional
Sector 4.33%|S&P 16.52%
Return on invested capital (ROIC)
18.71%
Exceptional
Free cash flow margin (FCF)
20.16%
High
Profit-to-cash conversion (FCF conversion)
0.96x
Exceptional
Margin stability
6.4 pts
Uneven
Revenue to net income
Growth
6.8/10Revenue up 17.6% over 1 year, 4.9% a year over 5, EPS 5.9% a year over 5.
Revenue (trailing 12 months)
63.3Md USD
Revenue growth (1y)
17.58%
Strong
Revenue growth (3y)
11.10%
Moderate
EPS growth (1y)
36.96%
Hyper-growth
EPS CAGR (5y)
5.88%
Fair
EPS revisions (3 months)
8.02%
Sharply revised up
Valuation
5.3/10P/E 32.4x, forward P/E 26.3x, EV/EBITDA 23.6x, PEG 5.50. The multiple sits in the 92th percentile of its own 5-year history.
P/E (TTM)
32.4x
Cheap
Sector 70.5x|S&P 23.0x
Forward P/E
26.3x
Fair
EV / EBITDA
23.6x
Cheap
Sector 39.9x|S&P 14.5x
PEG
5.50
Very expensive
Sector 0.51|S&P 0.86
Fair value (reverse DCF)
70.43 USD
Deeply overvalued
P/E vs its own 5-year history
among the 8% highest valuations
At its historical high
Market cap
420Md USD
Financial strength
8.5/10Cash covers 51.1% of the debt, net debt/EBITDA 0.8x.
Net debt / EBITDA
0.8x
Solid
Gearing (net debt / equity)
30.34%
Solid
Cash
15.9Md USD
Cash / market cap
3.80%
Tight
Cash / total debt
51.07%
Solid
Interest coverage
10.5x
Very solid
Net debt
15.3Md USD
Equity
50.3Md USD
Closed daily candles, 2 years
Last close on September 24, 2026: 106.97 USD
- MM20109.33
- MM50112.50
- MM20096.84
- RSI 1442.2
Top panel: closed candles, 20, 50 and 200-day moving averages, with volume in grey. Bottom panel: 14-day RSI with dashed 30 and 70 levels.
200-day average slope, 1 month
+3.79%
200-day average slope, 3 months
+15.70%
50-day average slope, 1 month
-2.85%
Price structure
higher-low
Bullish RSI divergence
No
20-day volatility
1.80 % per day
Volatility change
-20.51%
Forecasts by fiscal year
| Fiscal year | EPS | Normalised EPS | Revenue | EBITDA | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 4.10 (12) | 5.15 (27) | 73 164 (24) | 28 247 (10) | 16 132 (13) |
Amounts in millions of USD, EPS in USD per share. In brackets, the number of analysts. Consensus as of September 23, 2026.
Same sub-industry: 169 companies behind the medians.
| # | Company | Code | Country | Overall / 10 | Fundamentals / 10 | Mkt cap | P/E | Net margin | Revenue growth | ROIC | Net debt / EBITDA | FCF yield | 1-year perf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 300308 | 8.2 | 7.7 | 163Md USD | 48.9x | 31.4 % | 174.6 % | 63.6 % | -0.6x | 0.3 % | 115.3 % | ||
| 2 | CSCO | 7.7 | 7.3 | 420Md USD | 32.4x | 21.0 % | 17.6 % | 18.7 % | 0.8x | 3.0 % | 57.5 % | ||
| 3 | MSI | 7.5 | 7.1 | 76.2Md USD | 36.3x | 17.4 % | 13.3 % | 19.7 % | 2.5x | 3.5 % | -2.9 % | ||
| 4 | ANET | 7.4 | 7.2 | 257Md USD | 64.1x | 38.4 % | 37.7 % | 31.5 % | -2.7x | 2.0 % | 42.2 % | ||
| 5 | CIEN | 6.9 | 6.5 | 50.5Md USD | 79.4x | 10.9 % | 37.0 % | 12.3 % | 0.7x | 1.6 % | 157.2 % | ||
| 6 | 300394 | 6.8 | 6.2 | 44.7Md USD | 125.9x | 42.0 % | -0.9 % | 42.5 % | -1.3x | 0.6 % | 108.1 % | ||
| 7 | 6869 | 6.7 | 7.5 | 38.2Md USD | 38.8x | 19.8 % | 86.8 % | 18.5 % | 1.3x | 1.2 % | 290.0 % | ||
| 8 | NOKIA | 5.9 | 4.9 | 60.0Md USD | 73.7x | 3.6 % | 8.3 % | 3.1 % | -0.7x | 1.0 % | 120.6 % | ||
| 9 | LITE | 4.7 | 2.6 | 84.0Md USD | Not meaningful (loss) | -230.1 % | 109.3 % | -164.6 % | -1.3x | 0.4 % | 471.8 % |
