Overall verdict
Neutral
6.1/10
1-year performance
+122.76%
Score breakdown
Up 122.8% over 1 year, 47% of the 52-week range.
Strongest: Financial strength 8.6/10. Weakest: Growth 0.3/10.
23 analysts, target +0.2% vs the price.
Nokia Oyj, together with its subsidiaries, provides mobile, fixed, and cloud network solutions in North and Latin America, Greater China, India, Asia Pacific, Europe, the Middle East, and Africa. It operates in four segments: Network Infrastructure, Mobile Networks, Cloud and Network Services, and Nokia Technologies. The company offers fixed network solutions, such as fiber and copper technologies, access infrastructure, in-home Wi-Fi solutions, and cloud and virtualization services ;
IP network solutions, which delivers IP edge routing and data center networking solutions for residential, mobile, enterprise, and cloud applications ; and optical networks solutions, which provides optical transport networks for metro, regional, and long-haul applications. It also provides mobile technology products and services for radio access networks and microwave radio links for transport networks; and network management solutions, as well as network planning, optimization, network deployment, and technical support services.
In addition, the company offers cloud and network services, including open, secure, automated, and scalable software and solutions; and 5G core, secure autonomous networks, private wireless and industrial edge, and network APIs. Further, it licenses intellectual property, including patents, technologies, and the Nokia brand. The company serves its products and services to defense communications energy and resources, enterprise and industrial campus, private networks, public sector, and transportation industries. Nokia Oyj was founded in 1865 and is headquartered in Espoo, Finland.
Sector
Information Technology
Industry
Communications Equipment
Primary listing
Omxhex
Finland
CEO
Justin Hotard
Founded
1865
Employees
—
Revenue / employee
—
Next earnings
October 22, 2026
Research uses the underlying stock’s market history. The purchase quote is calculated separately when you review your order.
52-week high
14.99 EUR
52-week low
3.93 EUR
1-year performance
122.76%
Rising
Year-to-date performance
63.57%
Rising
Drawdown
-39.07%
Major drawdown
Position in the 52-week range
47% of range
Against the world ETF
Over 17 years, from September 2009 to August 2026, the share did clearly worse than the world ETF once risk is accounted for. It earned less, while shaking 3.4 times harder.
10,000 € placed at the end of September 2009 are worth today
| Nokia | 15 006 € |
| World ETF | 74 620 € |
| STOXX Europe 600 | 39 543 € |
| Risk-free placement | 11 288 € |
The risk
- Shaking:the share moves 3.4 times as much as the world ETF.
- Worst fall:-83 % between March 2010 and June 2012. 10,000 € placed at the top fell to 1 698 €. The world ETF, at worst: -34 %. Back to its high in 165 months.
Nokia earned less than the world ETF since 2009
Value of 10,000 euros placed at the end of September 2009, dividends reinvested, in euros
- Nokia: 15 006 €
- World ETF: 74 620 €
- STOXX Europe 600: 39 543 €
- Risk-free placement: 11 288 €
Based on past performance. This is not a recommendation.
Range: 4.65 EUR - 8.68 EUR (2 methods agree)
The price implies growth of 26.18% per year; the company grows at -1.86%.
Gross margin 44.1%, net margin 3.6%, ROIC 3.1%, ROE 3.5%.
Net margin
3.55%
Fair
Sector 4.11%|S&P 12.97%
Gross margin
44.14%
Exceptional
Return on equity (ROE)
3.52%
Fair
Sector 4.36%|S&P 16.52%
Return on invested capital (ROIC)
3.08%
Fair
Free cash flow margin (FCF)
2.64%
Low
Profit-to-cash conversion (FCF conversion)
0.74x
Exceptional
Margin stability
5.4 pts
Uneven
Revenue to net income
Growth
0.3/10Revenue up 8.3% over 1 year, -1.9% a year over 5.
Revenue (trailing 12 months)
20.3Md EUR
Revenue growth (1y)
8.25%
Moderate
Revenue growth (3y)
-20.16%
Declining
EPS growth (1y)
-98.17%
Declining
EPS CAGR (5y)
—
EPS revisions (3 months)
1.50%
Revised up
Valuation
6.3/10P/E 73.5x, forward P/E 42.6x, EV/EBITDA 15.8x, PEG 0.89. The multiple sits in the 95th percentile of its own 5-year history.
P/E (TTM)
73.5x
Fair
Sector 69.4x|S&P 23.0x
Forward P/E
42.6x
Fair
EV / EBITDA
15.8x
Cheap
Sector 39.9x|S&P 14.5x
PEG
0.89
Growth unpriced
Sector 0.51|S&P 0.86
Fair value (reverse DCF)
5.77 EUR
Deeply overvalued
P/E vs its own 5-year history
among the 5% highest valuations
At its historical high
Market cap
52.7Md EUR
Financial strength
8.6/10Cash covers 143.9% of the debt, net debt/EBITDA -0.7x.
Net debt / EBITDA
-0.7x
Net cash
Gearing (net debt / equity)
-6.92%
Net cash
Cash
4.7Md EUR
Cash / market cap
8.91%
Solid
Cash / total debt
143.85%
Net cash
Interest coverage
3.6x
Tight
Net debt
-1.4Md EUR
Equity
20.7Md EUR
Closed daily candles, 2 years
Last close on September 24, 2026: 9.07 EUR
- MM209.03
- MM508.78
- MM2008.52
- RSI 1449.8
Top panel: closed candles, 20, 50 and 200-day moving averages, with volume in grey. Bottom panel: 14-day RSI with dashed 30 and 70 levels.
200-day average slope, 1 month
+4.50%
200-day average slope, 3 months
+18.70%
50-day average slope, 1 month
-9.12%
Price structure
higher-low
Bullish RSI divergence
No
20-day volatility
3.53 % per day
Volatility change
-8.61%
Forecasts by fiscal year
| Fiscal year | EPS | Normalised EPS | Revenue | EBITDA | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 0.21 (11) | 0.34 (19) | 20 760 (25) | 3 209 (15) | 1 174 (13) |
| 2027 | 0.34 (11) | 0.40 (19) | 22 190 (26) | 3 811 (14) | 1 899 (13) |
Amounts in millions of EUR, EPS in EUR per share. In brackets, the number of analysts. Consensus as of September 24, 2026.
Same sub-industry: 169 companies behind the medians.
| # | Company | Code | Country | Overall / 10 | Fundamentals / 10 | Mkt cap | P/E | Net margin | Revenue growth | ROIC | Net debt / EBITDA | FCF yield | 1-year perf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 300308 | 8.2 | 7.7 | 163Md USD | 48.9x | 31.4 % | 174.6 % | 63.6 % | -0.6x | 0.3 % | 115.3 % | ||
| 2 | CSCO | 7.8 | 7.5 | 420Md USD | 32.0x | 21.0 % | 17.6 % | 18.7 % | 0.8x | 3.0 % | 58.0 % | ||
| 3 | MSI | 7.5 | 7.1 | 76.2Md USD | 36.3x | 17.4 % | 13.3 % | 19.7 % | 2.5x | 3.5 % | -2.9 % | ||
| 4 | ANET | 7.4 | 7.2 | 257Md USD | 64.1x | 38.4 % | 37.7 % | 31.5 % | -2.7x | 2.0 % | 42.2 % | ||
| 5 | CIEN | 6.9 | 6.5 | 50.5Md USD | 79.4x | 10.9 % | 37.0 % | 12.3 % | 0.7x | 1.6 % | 157.2 % | ||
| 6 | 300394 | 6.8 | 6.2 | 44.7Md USD | 125.9x | 42.0 % | -0.9 % | 42.5 % | -1.3x | 0.6 % | 108.1 % | ||
| 7 | 6869 | 6.7 | 7.5 | 38.2Md USD | 38.8x | 19.8 % | 86.8 % | 18.5 % | 1.3x | 1.2 % | 290.0 % | ||
| 8 | NOKIA | 6.1 | 5.0 | 60.0Md USD | 73.5x | 3.6 % | 8.3 % | 3.1 % | -0.7x | 1.0 % | 122.8 % | ||
| 9 | LITE | 4.7 | 2.6 | 84.0Md USD | Not meaningful (loss) | -230.1 % | 109.3 % | -164.6 % | -1.3x | 0.4 % | 471.8 % |
