Overall verdict
Neutral
4.2/10
1-year performance
+469.09%
Score breakdown
Up 469.1% over 1 year, 84% of the 52-week range.
Strongest: Financial strength 10.0/10. Weakest: Profitability 0.0/10.
26 analysts, target +0.2% vs the price.
Lumentum Holdings Inc. manufactures and sells optical and photonic products in the Americas, the Asia-Pacific, Europe, the Middle East, and Africa. It offers component products, including semiconductor laser chips, laser sub-assemblies, line subsystems, and wavelength management systems. The company also offers system products, such as optical modules, optical circuit switches, and industrial lasers, including short-pulse solid-state lasers and kilowatt-class fiber lasers.
Its products and solutions are used in cloud, artificial intelligence and machine learning (AI/ML), telecommunications, consumer, and industrial end-market applications. The company was incorporated in 2015 and is headquartered in San Jose, California.
Sector
Information Technology
Industry
Communications Equipment
Primary listing
Nasdaq
United States
CEO
Michael E. Hurlston
Founded
2015
Employees
13 757
Revenue / employee
219 088 USD
Next earnings
November 6, 2026 (estimated)
Institutional holders
- BlackRock, Inc.10.21%
- VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC5.65%
- VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC4.55%
- JPMORGAN CHASE & CO4.52%
- FMR LLC3.92%
- STATE STREET CORP3.84%
- Invesco Ltd.3.53%
- GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC2.50%
- Jupiter Topco LLC2.10%
- Other institutions50.58%
- Rest of the register8.59%
1314 13F filings as of June 30, 2026: US managers above $100M, filed up to 45 days after quarter end. No insiders, no retail. A share on loan is declared by its lender and by whoever bought it from the short seller, so the total can exceed 100%.
Research uses the underlying stock’s market history. The purchase quote is calculated separately when you review your order.
52-week high
1085.68 USD
52-week low
144.52 USD
1-year performance
469.09%
Rising
Year-to-date performance
146.98%
Rising
Drawdown
-13.87%
Mild pullback
Position in the 52-week range
84% of range
Against the world ETF
Over 11 years, from July 2015 to August 2026, the share did not do better than the world ETF once risk is accounted for. It earned much more, but shaking 4.2 times harder: once that risk is counted, its lead is thin.
10,000 € placed at the end of July 2015 are worth today
| Lumentum Holdings | 440 435 € |
| World ETF | 32 280 € |
| S&P 500 | 41 456 € |
| Risk-free placement | 10 911 € |
The risk
- Shaking:the share moves 4.2 times as much as the world ETF.
- Worst fall:-64 % between January 2022 and October 2023. 10,000 € placed at the top fell to 3 589 €. The world ETF, at worst: -34 %. Back to its high in 15 months.
Lumentum Holdings earned 14 times as much as the world ETF since 2015
Value of 10,000 euros placed at the end of July 2015, dividends reinvested, in euros
- Lumentum Holdings: 440 435 €
- World ETF: 32 280 €
- S&P 500: 41 456 €
- Risk-free placement: 10 911 €
Based on past performance. This is not a recommendation.
Gross margin 39.7%, the company loses 230.1% of its revenue, ROIC -164.6%, ROE -240.0%.
Net margin
-230.10%
Negative
Sector 4.11%|S&P 12.97%
Gross margin
39.74%
High
Return on equity (ROE)
-240.03%
Negative
Sector 4.36%|S&P 16.52%
Return on invested capital (ROIC)
-164.62%
Negative
Free cash flow margin (FCF)
9.96%
Fair
Margin stability
71.2 pts
Very uneven
Revenue to net income
Growth
0.9/10Revenue up 109.3% over 1 year, 11.6% a year over 5.
Revenue (trailing 12 months)
3.0Md USD
Revenue growth (1y)
109.34%
Hyper-growth
Revenue growth (3y)
70.57%
Strong
EPS growth (1y)
—
EPS CAGR (5y)
—
EPS revisions (3 months)
19.52%
Sharply revised up
Valuation
0.9/10The company loses money, so no valuation multiple can be read: a negative P/E is not a discount.
P/E (TTM)
—
N/A (loss)
Sector 69.6x|S&P 23.0x
Forward P/E
44.1x
Expensive
EV / EBITDA
104.1x
Very expensive
Sector 39.0x|S&P 14.5x
PEG
—
Sector 0.95|S&P 0.86
P/E vs its own 5-year history
among the 3% highest valuations
At its historical high
Market cap
84.0Md USD
Financial strength
10.0/10Cash covers 163.9% of the debt, net debt/EBITDA -1.3x.
Net debt / EBITDA
-1.3x
Net cash
Gearing (net debt / equity)
-22.98%
Net cash
Cash
2.7Md USD
Cash / market cap
3.26%
Tight
Cash / total debt
163.86%
Net cash
Interest coverage
24.1x
Very solid
Net debt
-1.1Md USD
Equity
4.6Md USD
Closed daily candles, 2 years
Last close on September 24, 2026: 929.04 USD
- MM20912.41
- MM50854.35
- MM200726.23
- RSI 1453.2
Top panel: closed candles, 20, 50 and 200-day moving averages, with volume in grey. Bottom panel: 14-day RSI with dashed 30 and 70 levels.
200-day average slope, 1 month
+10.19%
200-day average slope, 3 months
+37.88%
50-day average slope, 1 month
+5.15%
Price structure
Lower lows
Bullish RSI divergence
No
20-day volatility
4.87 % per day
Volatility change
-20.96%
Forecasts by fiscal year
| Fiscal year | EPS | Normalised EPS | Revenue | EBITDA | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 21.20 (10) | 21.67 (25) | 6 317 (23) | 2 811 (10) | 1 953 (12) |
Amounts in millions of USD, EPS in USD per share. In brackets, the number of analysts. Consensus as of September 22, 2026.
Same sub-industry: 169 companies behind the medians.
| # | Company | Code | Country | Overall / 10 | Fundamentals / 10 | Mkt cap | P/E | Net margin | Revenue growth | ROIC | Net debt / EBITDA | FCF yield | 1-year perf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 300308 | 8.2 | 7.7 | 163Md USD | 48.9x | 31.4 % | 174.6 % | 63.6 % | -0.6x | 0.3 % | 115.3 % | ||
| 2 | CSCO | 7.8 | 7.4 | 420Md USD | 32.0x | 21.0 % | 17.6 % | 18.7 % | 0.8x | 3.0 % | 58.0 % | ||
| 3 | MSI | 7.5 | 7.1 | 76.2Md USD | 36.3x | 17.4 % | 13.3 % | 19.7 % | 2.5x | 3.5 % | -2.9 % | ||
| 4 | ANET | 7.4 | 7.2 | 257Md USD | 64.1x | 38.4 % | 37.7 % | 31.5 % | -2.7x | 2.0 % | 42.2 % | ||
| 5 | CIEN | 6.9 | 6.5 | 50.5Md USD | 79.4x | 10.9 % | 37.0 % | 12.3 % | 0.7x | 1.6 % | 157.2 % | ||
| 6 | 300394 | 6.7 | 6.0 | 44.7Md USD | 125.9x | 42.0 % | -0.9 % | 42.5 % | -1.3x | 0.6 % | 108.1 % | ||
| 7 | 6869 | 6.7 | 7.5 | 38.2Md USD | 38.8x | 19.8 % | 86.8 % | 18.5 % | 1.3x | 1.2 % | 290.0 % | ||
| 8 | NOKIA | 5.9 | 4.9 | 60.0Md USD | 73.7x | 3.6 % | 8.3 % | 3.1 % | -0.7x | 1.0 % | 120.6 % | ||
| 9 | LITE | 4.2 | 2.0 | 84.0Md USD | Not meaningful (loss) | -230.1 % | 109.3 % | -164.6 % | -1.3x | 0.4 % | 469.1 % |
