Overall verdict
Buy
8.1/10
1-year performance
+16.29%
Score breakdown
Up 16.3% over 1 year, 52% of the 52-week range.
Strongest: Profitability 10.0/10. Weakest: Shareholder return 7.1/10.
39 analysts, target +0.3% vs the price.
Expedia Group, Inc. operates as an online travel company in the United States and internationally. The company operates through B2C, B2B, and trivago segments. The B2C segment includes Brand Expedia, a full-service online travel brand offers various travel products and services; Hotels.com for lodging accommodations; Vrbo, an online marketplace for the alternative accommodations; and Orbitz, Travelocity, ebookers, and Wotif Group.
The B2B segment provides various travel and non-travel companies including airlines, offline travel agents, online retailers, corporate travel management, and financial institutions who leverage its travel technology and tap into its diverse supply to augment their offerings and market Expedia Group rates and availabilities to its travelers. The trivago segment sends referrals to online travel companies and travel service providers from hotel metasearch websites.
In addition, it provides brand advertising through online and offline channels, loyalty programs, mobile apps, and search engine marketing, as well as metasearch, social media, direct and personalized traveler communications on its websites, and through direct e-mail communication with its travelers. The company was formerly known as Expedia, Inc. and changed its name to Expedia Group, Inc. in March 2018. Expedia Group, Inc. was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in Seattle, Washington.
Sector
Consumer Discretionary
Industry
Hotels, Restaurants and Leisure
Primary listing
Nasdaq
United States
CEO
Ariane Gorin
Founded
1996
Employees
16 000
Revenue / employee
920 813 USD
Next earnings
November 5, 2026 (estimated)
Institutional holders
- BlackRock, Inc.8.80%
- VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC6.41%
- VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC4.98%
- STATE STREET CORP4.86%
- GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC3.42%
- WINDACRE PARTNERSHIP LLC3.35%
- AQR CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC2.66%
- NORGES BANK2.46%
- Invesco Ltd.2.08%
- Other institutions64.11%
1120 13F filings as of June 30, 2026: US managers above $100M, filed up to 45 days after quarter end. No insiders, no retail. A share on loan is declared by its lender and by whoever bought it from the short seller, so the total can exceed 100%.
Research uses the underlying stock’s market history. The purchase quote is calculated separately when you review your order.
52-week high
342.00 USD
52-week low
185.34 USD
1-year performance
16.29%
Rising
Year-to-date performance
-8.47%
Rising
Drawdown
-22.10%
Marked drawdown
Position in the 52-week range
52% of range
Against the world ETF
Over 17 years, from September 2009 to August 2026, the share did not do better than the world ETF once risk is accounted for. It earned more, but shaking 3.2 times harder: for the risk taken, the ETF paid better.
10,000 € placed at the end of September 2009 are worth today
| Expedia Group | 83 201 € |
| World ETF | 74 620 € |
| S&P 500 | 123 025 € |
| Risk-free placement | 11 288 € |
The risk
- Shaking:the share moves 3.2 times as much as the world ETF.
- Worst fall:-69 % between June 2017 and March 2020. 10,000 € placed at the top fell to 3 055 €. The world ETF, at worst: -34 %. Back to its high in 12 months.
Expedia Group earned more than the world ETF since 2009
Value of 10,000 euros placed at the end of September 2009, dividends reinvested, in euros
- Expedia Group: 83 201 €
- World ETF: 74 620 €
- S&P 500: 123 025 €
- Risk-free placement: 11 288 €
Share price without dividends; the world ETF and the index reinvest theirs. A dividend payer is therefore understated here.
Based on past performance. This is not a recommendation.
Range: 369.46 USD - 428.10 USD (2 methods agree)
The price implies growth of -9.15% per year; the company grows at 23.16%.
Quality and profitability
10.0/10Gross margin 84.7%, net margin 13.0%, ROIC 32.7%, ROE 199.1%.
Net margin
12.97%
Exceptional
Sector 7.80%|S&P 12.97%
Gross margin
84.69%
Exceptional
Return on equity (ROE)
199.12%
Exceptional
Sector 8.12%|S&P 16.52%
Return on invested capital (ROIC)
32.67%
Exceptional
Free cash flow margin (FCF)
28.40%
Exceptional
Profit-to-cash conversion (FCF conversion)
2.19x
Exceptional
Margin stability
16.7 pts
Very uneven
Revenue to net income
Growth
7.6/10Revenue up 14.0% over 1 year, 23.2% a year over 5.
Revenue (trailing 12 months)
15.7Md USD
Revenue growth (1y)
13.97%
Hyper-growth
Revenue growth (3y)
26.28%
Solid
EPS growth (1y)
188.33%
Hyper-growth
EPS CAGR (5y)
—
EPS revisions (3 months)
6.17%
Sharply revised up
Valuation
8.7/10P/E 16.6x, forward P/E 14.4x, EV/EBITDA 8.8x, PEG 0.18. The multiple sits in the 53th percentile of its own 5-year history.
P/E (TTM)
16.6x
Fair
Sector 20.7x|S&P 23.0x
Forward P/E
14.4x
Fair
EV / EBITDA
8.8x
Fair
Sector 11.7x|S&P 14.5x
PEG
0.18
Growth unpriced
Sector 0.50|S&P 0.86
Fair value (reverse DCF)
398.78 USD
Deeply undervalued
P/E vs its own 5-year history
among the 47% highest valuations
In line with its history
Market cap
31.1Md USD
Financial strength
9.2/10Cash covers 167.6% of the debt, net debt/EBITDA -0.3x.
Net debt / EBITDA
-0.3x
Very solid
Gearing (net debt / equity)
-155.56%
Net cash
Cash
9.5Md USD
Cash / market cap
30.65%
Very solid
Cash / total debt
167.62%
Net cash
Interest coverage
7.1x
Solid
Net debt
-3.8Md USD
Equity
2.5Md USD
Closed daily candles, 2 years
Last close on September 24, 2026: 261.75 USD
- MM20289.90
- MM50298.08
- MM200260.34
- RSI 1433.8
Top panel: closed candles, 20, 50 and 200-day moving averages, with volume in grey. Bottom panel: 14-day RSI with dashed 30 and 70 levels.
200-day average slope, 1 month
+1.52%
200-day average slope, 3 months
+7.86%
50-day average slope, 1 month
+5.10%
Price structure
higher-low
Bullish RSI divergence
No
20-day volatility
3.05 % per day
Volatility change
+11.90%
Forecasts by fiscal year
| Fiscal year | EPS | Normalised EPS | Revenue | EBITDA | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 18.53 (24) | 20.99 (30) | 16 201 (36) | 4 126 (33) | 2 282 (27) |
| 2027 | 21.23 (25) | 24.47 (32) | 17 348 (37) | 4 540 (35) | 2 528 (28) |
Amounts in millions of USD, EPS in USD per share. In brackets, the number of analysts. Consensus as of September 23, 2026.
Same sub-industry: 114 companies behind the medians.
| # | Company | Code | Country | Overall / 10 | Fundamentals / 10 | Mkt cap | P/E | Net margin | Revenue growth | ROIC | Net debt / EBITDA | FCF yield | 1-year perf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | EXPE | 8.1 | 8.7 | 31.1Md USD | 16.6x | 13.0 % | 14.0 % | 32.7 % | -0.3x | 14.3 % | 16.3 % | ||
| 2 | BKNG | 7.8 | 7.9 | 117Md USD | 17.2x | 25.5 % | 8.1 % | 74.9 % | 0.2x | 8.1 % | -28.8 % | ||
| 3 | ABNB | 7.3 | 7.5 | 89.6Md USD | 34.0x | 20.3 % | 16.5 % | 29.5 % | -3.3x | 5.4 % | 22.6 % | ||
| 4 | TCOM | 6.8 | 7.4 | 26.8Md USD | 8.4x | 36.1 % | 12.1 % | 14.7 % | -2.9x | — | -48.1 % | ||
| 5 | VIK | 6.7 | 6.0 | 35.8Md USD | 26.6x | 19.3 % | 16.5 % | 20.3 % | 1.1x | 2.6 % | 29.1 % | ||
| 6 | CCL | 6.5 | 6.5 | 29.9Md USD | 9.8x | 11.2 % | 5.3 % | 8.2 % | 3.6x | 10.6 % | -29.0 % | ||
| 7 | RCL | 6.4 | 5.7 | 61.6Md USD | 14.2x | 23.5 % | 6.5 % | 14.8 % | 3.2x | -0.7 % | -27.7 % | ||
| 8 | HLT | 5.4 | 4.5 | 69.1Md USD | 45.1x | 12.7 % | 6.5 % | 22.4 % | 4.4x | 2.9 % | 18.2 % | ||
| 9 | MAR | 5.4 | 4.7 | 91.7Md USD | 36.4x | 9.6 % | 4.8 % | 20.5 % | 3.9x | 3.4 % | 33.6 % |
