Overall verdict
Neutral
5.4/10
1-year performance
+14.95%
Score breakdown
Up 14.9% over 1 year, 55% of the 52-week range.
Strongest: Growth 6.8/10. Weakest: Valuation 1.7/10.
28 analysts, target +0.1% vs the price.
Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc., a hospitality company, engages in managing, franchising, and leasing hotels and resorts. It operates in two segments, Management and Franchise, and Ownership. The company engages in the hotel management and licensing of its brand names, trademarks, and service marks.
It operates a brand portfolio of luxury, lifestyle, full service, focused service, all-suites hotel, and timeshare under the Waldorf Astoria Hotels & Resorts, LXR Hotels & Resorts, Conrad Hotels & Resorts, Signia by Hilton, NoMad, Canopy by Hilton, Graduate by Hilton, Tempo by Hilton, Motto by Hilton, Hilton Hotels & Resorts, DoubleTree by Hilton, Curio Collection by Hilton, Tapestry Collection by Hilton, Outset Collection by Hilton, Embassy Suites by Hilton, Homewood Suites by Hilton, Home2 Suites by Hilton, LivSmart Studios by Hilton, Hilton Garden Inn, Hampton by Hilton, Tru by Hilton, Spark by Hilton, Hilton Grand Vacations, Small Luxury Hotels of the World, AutoCamp, and Hilton Honors brand names.
The company has operations in North America, South America, and Central America, including various Caribbean nations; Europe, the Middle East, and Africa; and the Asia Pacific. Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. was founded in 1919 and is headquartered in McLean, Virginia.
Sector
Consumer Discretionary
Industry
Hotels, Restaurants and Leisure
Primary listing
Nyse
United States
CEO
Christopher Nassetta
Founded
1919
Employees
182 000
Revenue / employee
65 835 USD
Next earnings
October 21, 2026 (estimated)
Institutional holders
- BlackRock, Inc.8.54%
- VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC6.69%
- FMR LLC5.06%
- STATE STREET CORP4.36%
- JPMORGAN CHASE & CO3.54%
- VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC3.43%
- PRINCIPAL FINANCIAL GROUP INC2.63%
- FRANKLIN RESOURCES INC2.55%
- GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC2.46%
- Other institutions56.59%
- Rest of the register4.16%
1280 13F filings as of June 30, 2026: US managers above $100M, filed up to 45 days after quarter end. No insiders, no retail. A share on loan is declared by its lender and by whoever bought it from the short seller, so the total can exceed 100%.
Research uses the underlying stock’s market history. The purchase quote is calculated separately when you review your order.
52-week high
358.00 USD
52-week low
253.54 USD
1-year performance
14.95%
Rising
Year-to-date performance
7.09%
Rising
Drawdown
-13.13%
Mild pullback
Position in the 52-week range
55% of range
Against the world ETF
Over 13 years, from December 2013 to August 2026, the share did not do better than the world ETF once risk is accounted for. It earned more, but shaking 2.0 times harder: for the risk taken, the ETF paid better.
10,000 € placed at the end of December 2013 are worth today
| Hilton Worldwide | 86 730 € |
| World ETF | 44 422 € |
| S&P 500 | 60 609 € |
| Risk-free placement | 10 935 € |
The risk
- Shaking:the share moves 2.0 times as much as the world ETF.
- Worst fall:-50 % between February 2020 and April 2020. 10,000 € placed at the top fell to 4 967 €. The world ETF, at worst: -34 %. Back to its high in 10 months.
Hilton Worldwide earned more than the world ETF since 2013
Value of 10,000 euros placed at the end of December 2013, dividends reinvested, in euros
- Hilton Worldwide: 86 730 €
- World ETF: 44 422 €
- S&P 500: 60 609 €
- Risk-free placement: 10 935 €
Based on past performance. This is not a recommendation.
Range: 146.10 USD - 156.82 USD (comparables only)
The price implies growth of 11.97% per year; the company grows at 22.71%.
Gross margin 27.8%, net margin 12.7%, ROIC 22.4%, ROE -29.1%.
Net margin
12.69%
Exceptional
Sector 7.80%|S&P 12.97%
Gross margin
27.79%
Low
Return on equity (ROE)
-29.08%
Negative
Sector 8.32%|S&P 16.52%
Return on invested capital (ROIC)
22.37%
Exceptional
Free cash flow margin (FCF)
16.25%
High
Profit-to-cash conversion (FCF conversion)
1.28x
High
Margin stability
6.0 pts
Uneven
Revenue to net income
Growth
6.8/10Revenue up 6.5% over 1 year, 22.7% a year over 5.
Revenue (trailing 12 months)
12.5Md USD
Revenue growth (1y)
6.50%
Solid
Revenue growth (3y)
36.58%
Solid
EPS growth (1y)
14.33%
Hyper-growth
EPS CAGR (5y)
—
EPS revisions (3 months)
0.26%
Revised up
Valuation
1.7/10P/E 45.7x, forward P/E 37.1x, EV/EBITDA 26.0x, PEG 9.98. The multiple sits in the 64th percentile of its own 5-year history.
P/E (TTM)
45.7x
Very expensive
Sector 19.8x|S&P 23.0x
Forward P/E
37.1x
Very expensive
EV / EBITDA
26.0x
Very expensive
Sector 11.5x|S&P 14.5x
PEG
9.98
Very expensive
Sector 0.71|S&P 0.86
Fair value (reverse DCF)
151.46 USD
Deeply overvalued
P/E vs its own 5-year history
among the 36% highest valuations
Pricier than usual
Market cap
69.1Md USD
Financial strength
2.1/10Cash covers 7.6% of the debt, net debt/EBITDA 4.4x.
Net debt / EBITDA
4.4x
Stretched
Gearing (net debt / equity)
—
Cash
1.1Md USD
Cash / market cap
1.54%
Stretched
Cash / total debt
7.59%
Stretched
Interest coverage
4.4x
Tight
Net debt
13.0Md USD
Equity
-6.3Md USD
Closed daily candles, 2 years
Last close on September 24, 2026: 312.13 USD
- MM20310.19
- MM50318.12
- MM200314.82
- RSI 1449.1
Top panel: closed candles, 20, 50 and 200-day moving averages, with volume in grey. Bottom panel: 14-day RSI with dashed 30 and 70 levels.
200-day average slope, 1 month
+1.25%
200-day average slope, 3 months
+5.67%
50-day average slope, 1 month
-3.40%
Price structure
higher-low
Bullish RSI divergence
No
20-day volatility
1.11 % per day
Volatility change
-27.00%
Forecasts by fiscal year
| Fiscal year | EPS | Normalised EPS | Revenue | EBITDA | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 8.38 (13) | 9.04 (27) | 13 026 (20) | 4 064 (25) | 1 874 (15) |
| 2027 | 9.87 (16) | 10.46 (28) | 14 149 (20) | 4 461 (25) | 2 161 (15) |
Amounts in millions of USD, EPS in USD per share. In brackets, the number of analysts. Consensus as of September 11, 2026.
Same sub-industry: 114 companies behind the medians.
| # | Company | Code | Country | Overall / 10 | Fundamentals / 10 | Mkt cap | P/E | Net margin | Revenue growth | ROIC | Net debt / EBITDA | FCF yield | 1-year perf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | EXPE | 8.1 | 8.7 | 31.1Md USD | 16.2x | 13.0 % | 14.0 % | 32.7 % | -0.3x | 14.3 % | 17.7 % | ||
| 2 | BKNG | 7.7 | 7.7 | 117Md USD | 17.2x | 25.5 % | 8.1 % | 74.9 % | 0.2x | 8.1 % | -28.8 % | ||
| 3 | ABNB | 7.1 | 7.2 | 89.6Md USD | 34.0x | 20.3 % | 16.5 % | 29.5 % | -3.3x | 5.4 % | 22.6 % | ||
| 4 | TCOM | 6.7 | 7.1 | 26.8Md USD | 8.4x | 36.1 % | 12.1 % | 14.7 % | -2.9x | — | -48.1 % | ||
| 5 | VIK | 6.6 | 5.7 | 35.8Md USD | 26.6x | 19.3 % | 16.5 % | 20.3 % | 1.1x | 2.6 % | 29.1 % | ||
| 6 | CCL | 6.4 | 6.2 | 29.9Md USD | 9.8x | 11.2 % | 5.3 % | 8.2 % | 3.6x | 10.6 % | -29.0 % | ||
| 7 | RCL | 6.2 | 5.4 | 61.6Md USD | 14.2x | 23.5 % | 6.5 % | 14.8 % | 3.2x | -0.7 % | -27.7 % | ||
| 8 | HLT | 5.4 | 4.0 | 69.1Md USD | 45.7x | 12.7 % | 6.5 % | 22.4 % | 4.4x | 2.9 % | 14.9 % | ||
| 9 | MAR | 5.2 | 4.3 | 91.7Md USD | 36.4x | 9.6 % | 4.8 % | 20.5 % | 3.9x | 3.4 % | 33.6 % |
