Overall verdict
Neutral
6.0/10
1-year performance
-47.30%
Score breakdown
Down 47.3% over 1 year, 3% of the 52-week range.
Strongest: Profitability 10.0/10. Weakest: Shareholder return 0.0/10.
29 analysts, target +0.5% vs the price.
Trip.com Group Limited, through its subsidiaries, operates as a travel service provider for accommodation reservation, transportation ticketing, packaged tours, in-destination, corporate travel management, and other travel-related services in China and internationally. It acts as an agent for hotel-related transactions and selling air tickets, as well as provides train, long-distance bus, and ferry tickets ;
travel insurance products, such as flight delay, air accident, and baggage loss coverage ; and air-ticket delivery, online check-in and seat selection, express security screening, real-time flight status tracker, and airport VIP lounge services. The company also provides travelers bundled packaged-tour products, such as group, semi-group, and customized and packaged tours with various transportation arrangements, including air, cruise, bus, and car rental services.
In addition, it offers integrated transportation and accommodation services; ticket, activity, insurance, visa, and tour guide services; and user support, supplier management, and customer relationship management services; and in-destination products and services. Further, the company provides Trip.Biz, a digital first, full-service, corporate travel management business which provides technology-enabled solutions for organizations managing business travel.
Additionally, it offers online advertising and financial services, such as marketing planning and travel media services; Omni-Channel Touchpoints for Users; and Open Platform for Ecosystem Partners. It operates under the Ctrip, Qunar, Trip.com, Travix, Travelfusion, and Skyscanner brand names. The company was formerly known as Ctrip.com International, Ltd. and changed its name to Trip.com Group Limited in October 2019. Trip.com Group Limited was founded in 1999 and is based in Singapore.
Sector
Consumer Discretionary
Industry
Hotels, Restaurants and Leisure
Primary listing
Nasdaq
Singapore
CEO
Jie Sun
Founded
1999
Employees
43 574
Revenue / employee
1.4M CNY
Next earnings
November 16, 2026 (estimated)
Institutional holders
- Capital World Investors5.33%
- MORGAN STANLEY1.89%
- Sanders Capital, LLC1.55%
- Davis Selected Advisers1.29%
- ARGA Investment Management, LP0.96%
- Capital International Investors0.89%
- JPMORGAN CHASE & CO0.52%
- Robeco Institutional Asset Management B.V.0.41%
- Legal & General Group Plc0.38%
- Other institutions9.04%
- Rest of the register77.73%
320 13F filings as of June 30, 2026: US managers above $100M, filed up to 45 days after quarter end. No insiders, no retail. A share on loan is declared by its lender and by whoever bought it from the short seller, so the total can exceed 100%.
Research uses the underlying stock’s market history. The purchase quote is calculated separately when you review your order.
52-week high
78.99 USD
52-week low
38.04 USD
1-year performance
-47.30%
Declining
Year-to-date performance
-45.17%
Declining
Drawdown
-50.16%
Major drawdown
Position in the 52-week range
3% of range
Against the world ETF
Over 17 years, from September 2009 to August 2026, the share did not do better than the world ETF once risk is accounted for. It earned less, while shaking 3.6 times harder.
10,000 € placed at the end of September 2009 are worth today
| Trip com Group | 38 376 € |
| World ETF | 74 620 € |
| S&P 500 | 123 025 € |
| Risk-free placement | 11 288 € |
The risk
- Shaking:the share moves 3.6 times as much as the world ETF.
- Worst fall:-73 % between October 2010 and July 2012. 10,000 € placed at the top fell to 2 714 €. The world ETF, at worst: -34 %. Back to its high in 14 months.
Trip com Group earned less than the world ETF since 2009
Value of 10,000 euros placed at the end of September 2009, dividends reinvested, in euros
- Trip com Group: 38 376 €
- World ETF: 74 620 €
- S&P 500: 123 025 €
- Risk-free placement: 11 288 €
Based on past performance. This is not a recommendation.
Range: 43.45 USD - 49.65 USD (2 methods agree)
Quality and profitability
10.0/10Gross margin 80.0%, net margin 36.1%, ROIC 14.7%, ROE 15.3%.
Net margin
36.08%
Exceptional
Sector 7.80%|S&P 12.97%
Gross margin
80.04%
Exceptional
Return on equity (ROE)
15.31%
Exceptional
Sector 8.12%|S&P 16.52%
Return on invested capital (ROIC)
14.72%
Exceptional
Free cash flow margin (FCF)
—
Margin stability
19.7 pts
Very uneven
Revenue to net income
Growth
2.9/10Revenue up 12.1% over 1 year, 26.8% a year over 5.
Revenue (trailing 12 months)
67.3Md CNY
Revenue growth (1y)
12.13%
Hyper-growth
Revenue growth (3y)
191.74%
Hyper-growth
EPS growth (1y)
-159.30%
Declining
EPS CAGR (5y)
—
EPS revisions (3 months)
-9.67%
Sharply revised down
Valuation
8.1/10P/E 7.6x, forward P/E 24.5x, EV/EBITDA 11.2x, PEG 0.25.
P/E (TTM)
7.6x
Cheap
Sector 20.7x|S&P 23.0x
Forward P/E
24.5x
Fair
EV / EBITDA
11.2x
Fair
Sector 11.6x|S&P 14.5x
PEG
0.25
Growth unpriced
Sector 0.50|S&P 0.86
Fair value (reverse DCF)
46.55 USD
Undervalued
Market cap
180Md CNY
Financial strength
9.9/10Cash covers 294.9% of the debt, net debt/EBITDA -2.9x.
Net debt / EBITDA
-2.9x
Net cash
Gearing (net debt / equity)
-32.68%
Net cash
Cash
84.1Md CNY
Cash / market cap
46.82%
Very solid
Cash / total debt
294.89%
Net cash
Interest coverage
18.6x
Very solid
Net debt
-55.6Md CNY
Equity
170Md CNY
Closed daily candles, 2 years
Last close on September 24, 2026: 40.04 USD
- MM2041.19
- MM5043.67
- MM20052.24
- RSI 1436.3
Top panel: closed candles, 20, 50 and 200-day moving averages, with volume in grey. Bottom panel: 14-day RSI with dashed 30 and 70 levels.
200-day average slope, 1 month
-5.68%
200-day average slope, 3 months
-15.03%
50-day average slope, 1 month
-1.49%
Price structure
Lower lows
Bullish RSI divergence
No
20-day volatility
1.68 % per day
Volatility change
-10.89%
Forecasts by fiscal year
| Fiscal year | EPS | Normalised EPS | Revenue | EBITDA | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 10.80 (11) | 25.20 (22) | 66 591 (30) | 16 032 (12) | 7 022 (17) |
| 2027 | 22.93 (12) | 27.53 (23) | 72 620 (32) | 19 901 (13) | 15 794 (22) |
Amounts in millions of CNY, EPS in CNY per share. In brackets, the number of analysts. Consensus as of September 20, 2026.
Same sub-industry: 114 companies behind the medians.
| # | Company | Code | Country | Overall / 10 | Fundamentals / 10 | Mkt cap | P/E | Net margin | Revenue growth | ROIC | Net debt / EBITDA | FCF yield | 1-year perf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | EXPE | 8.1 | 8.7 | 31.1Md USD | 16.2x | 13.0 % | 14.0 % | 32.7 % | -0.3x | 14.3 % | 17.7 % | ||
| 2 | BKNG | 7.7 | 7.7 | 117Md USD | 17.2x | 25.5 % | 8.1 % | 74.9 % | 0.2x | 8.1 % | -28.8 % | ||
| 3 | ABNB | 7.1 | 7.2 | 89.6Md USD | 34.0x | 20.3 % | 16.5 % | 29.5 % | -3.3x | 5.4 % | 22.6 % | ||
| 4 | VIK | 6.6 | 5.7 | 35.8Md USD | 26.6x | 19.3 % | 16.5 % | 20.3 % | 1.1x | 2.6 % | 29.1 % | ||
| 5 | CCL | 6.4 | 6.2 | 29.9Md USD | 9.8x | 11.2 % | 5.3 % | 8.2 % | 3.6x | 10.6 % | -29.0 % | ||
| 6 | RCL | 6.2 | 5.4 | 61.6Md USD | 14.2x | 23.5 % | 6.5 % | 14.8 % | 3.2x | -0.7 % | -27.7 % | ||
| 7 | TCOM | 6.0 | 7.0 | 26.8Md USD | 7.6x | 36.1 % | 12.1 % | 14.7 % | -2.9x | — | -47.3 % | ||
| 8 | HLT | 5.3 | 4.3 | 69.1Md USD | 45.1x | 12.7 % | 6.5 % | 22.4 % | 4.4x | 2.9 % | 18.2 % | ||
| 9 | MAR | 5.2 | 4.3 | 91.7Md USD | 36.4x | 9.6 % | 4.8 % | 20.5 % | 3.9x | 3.4 % | 33.6 % |
