Overall verdict
Neutral
6.4/10
1-year performance
+57.41%
Score breakdown
Up 57.4% over 1 year, 90% of the 52-week range.
Strongest: Financial strength 10.0/10. Weakest: Valuation 3.7/10.
17 analysts, target -0.0% vs the price.
Expeditors International of Washington, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides logistics services in the Americas, North Asia, South Asia, Europe, and Middle East, Africa, and India. The company offers airfreight services, such as air freight consolidation and forwarding ; ocean freight and ocean services, including ocean freight consolidation, direct ocean forwarding, and order management ;
customs brokerage and other services, import, intra-continental ground transportation and delivery, and warehousing and distribution services ; and customs clearance, purchase order management, vendor consolidation, time-definite transportation services, temperature-controlled transit, cargo insurance, specialized cargo monitoring and tracking, and other logistics solutions. It also provides optimization, trade compliance consulting, cargo insurance, cargo security, and solutions.
In addition, it acts as a freight consolidator or as an agent for the airline that carries the shipment. Further, the company provides ancillary services that include preparation of shipping and customs documentation, packing, crating, insurance services, and the preparation of documentation to comply with local export and import laws. The company was incorporated in 1979 and is headquartered in Bellevue, Washington.
Sector
Industrials
Industry
Air Freight and Logistics
Primary listing
Nyse
United States
CEO
Daniel Wall
Founded
1979
Employees
19 800
Revenue / employee
559 041 USD
Next earnings
November 3, 2026
Institutional holders
- BlackRock, Inc.10.25%
- VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC6.51%
- STATE STREET CORP5.59%
- VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC5.05%
- LOOMIS SAYLES & CO L P4.19%
- GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC2.71%
- FIL Ltd2.35%
- Boston Partners2.29%
- BANK OF AMERICA CORP /DE/1.97%
- Other institutions54.94%
- Rest of the register4.14%
950 13F filings as of June 30, 2026: US managers above $100M, filed up to 45 days after quarter end. No insiders, no retail. A share on loan is declared by its lender and by whoever bought it from the short seller, so the total can exceed 100%.
Research uses the underlying stock’s market history. The purchase quote is calculated separately when you review your order.
52-week high
194.59 USD
52-week low
112.94 USD
1-year performance
57.41%
Rising
Year-to-date performance
26.08%
Rising
Drawdown
-4.30%
Near its high
Position in the 52-week range
90% of range
Against the world ETF
Over 17 years, from September 2009 to August 2026, the share did not do better than the world ETF once risk is accounted for. It earned more, but shaking 1.9 times harder: for the risk taken, the ETF paid better.
10,000 € placed at the end of September 2009 are worth today
| Expeditors | 84 136 € |
| World ETF | 74 620 € |
| S&P 500 | 123 025 € |
| Risk-free placement | 11 288 € |
The risk
- Shaking:the share moves 1.9 times as much as the world ETF.
- Worst fall:-31 % between December 2010 and March 2013. 10,000 € placed at the top fell to 6 853 €. The world ETF, at worst: -34 %. Back to its high in 23 months.
Expeditors earned more than the world ETF since 2009
Value of 10,000 euros placed at the end of September 2009, dividends reinvested, in euros
- Expeditors: 84 136 €
- World ETF: 74 620 €
- S&P 500: 123 025 €
- Risk-free placement: 11 288 €
Based on past performance. This is not a recommendation.
Range: 141.97 USD - 158.37 USD (2 methods agree)
The price implies growth of 8.65% per year; the company grows at 7.86%.
Gross margin 15.2%, net margin 7.6%, ROIC 35.1%, ROE 42.6%.
Net margin
7.63%
Exceptional
Sector 3.57%|S&P 12.97%
Gross margin
15.20%
High
Return on equity (ROE)
42.60%
Exceptional
Sector 9.95%|S&P 16.52%
Return on invested capital (ROIC)
35.08%
Exceptional
Free cash flow margin (FCF)
7.68%
Exceptional
Profit-to-cash conversion (FCF conversion)
1.01x
Fair
Margin stability
0.5 pts
Very steady
Revenue to net income
Growth
6.9/10Revenue up 32.1% over 1 year, 2.9% a year over 5, EPS 7.9% a year over 5.
Revenue (trailing 12 months)
12.0Md USD
Revenue growth (1y)
32.07%
Hyper-growth
Revenue growth (3y)
-35.16%
Declining
EPS growth (1y)
50.83%
Hyper-growth
EPS CAGR (5y)
7.86%
Fair
EPS revisions (3 months)
13.69%
Sharply revised up
Valuation
3.7/10P/E 27.1x, forward P/E 24.1x, EV/EBITDA 19.4x, PEG 3.45. The multiple sits in the 98th percentile of its own 5-year history.
P/E (TTM)
27.1x
Expensive
Sector 18.7x|S&P 23.0x
Forward P/E
24.1x
Fair
EV / EBITDA
19.4x
Expensive
Sector 10.0x|S&P 14.5x
PEG
3.45
Very expensive
Sector 1.01|S&P 0.86
Fair value (reverse DCF)
150.17 USD
Overvalued
P/E vs its own 5-year history
among the 2% highest valuations
At its historical high
Market cap
24.4Md USD
Financial strength
10.0/10Cash covers 181.8% of the debt, net debt/EBITDA -0.7x.
Net debt / EBITDA
-0.7x
Net cash
Gearing (net debt / equity)
-21.88%
Net cash
Cash
1.0Md USD
Cash / market cap
4.22%
Tight
Cash / total debt
181.82%
Net cash
Interest coverage
246.5x
Very solid
Net debt
-464M USD
Equity
2.1Md USD
Closed daily candles, 2 years
Last close on September 24, 2026: 183.66 USD
- MM20189.26
- MM50183.78
- MM200161.59
- RSI 1442.8
Top panel: closed candles, 20, 50 and 200-day moving averages, with volume in grey. Bottom panel: 14-day RSI with dashed 30 and 70 levels.
200-day average slope, 1 month
+3.11%
200-day average slope, 3 months
+11.29%
50-day average slope, 1 month
+5.63%
Price structure
higher-low
Bullish RSI divergence
No
20-day volatility
1.21 % per day
Volatility change
-22.21%
Forecasts by fiscal year
| Fiscal year | EPS | Normalised EPS | Revenue | EBITDA | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 7.72 (14) | 7.66 (16) | 13 031 (15) | 1 371 (12) | 1 018 (12) |
| 2027 | 8.07 (14) | 7.93 (16) | 13 092 (15) | 1 393 (12) | 1 029 (12) |
Amounts in millions of USD, EPS in USD per share. In brackets, the number of analysts. Consensus as of September 10, 2026.
Same sub-industry: 91 companies behind the medians.
| # | Company | Code | Country | Overall / 10 | Fundamentals / 10 | Mkt cap | P/E | Net margin | Revenue growth | ROIC | Net debt / EBITDA | FCF yield | 1-year perf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ZTO | 8.3 | 9.4 | 14.7Md USD | 10.7x | 19.0 % | 30.7 % | 14.8 % | -1.1x | — | 3.8 % | ||
| 2 | UPS | 6.6 | 6.8 | 81.5Md USD | 17.8x | 5.1 % | 7.7 % | 10.7 % | 1.9x | 6.7 % | 9.2 % | ||
| 3 | DHL | 6.4 | 6.6 | 73.0Md USD | 17.7x | 4.4 % | 12.8 % | 8.6 % | 2.3x | 9.7 % | 50.1 % | ||
| 4 | EXPD | 6.4 | 6.6 | 24.4Md USD | 27.1x | 7.6 % | 32.1 % | 35.1 % | -0.7x | 3.8 % | 57.4 % | ||
| 5 | 002352 | 6.3 | 6.4 | 22.0Md USD | 13.7x | 3.4 % | 5.7 % | 8.4 % | 0.4x | 10.2 % | -23.8 % | ||
| 6 | CHRW | 6.0 | 5.3 | 17.5Md USD | 28.6x | 3.7 % | 19.3 % | 19.5 % | 1.4x | 3.8 % | 8.5 % | ||
| 7 | FDX | 6.0 | 5.4 | 69.0Md USD | 15.7x | 4.7 % | 12.5 % | 6.8 % | 2.7x | 7.4 % | 48.8 % | ||
| 8 | 1519 | 5.9 | 6.5 | 10.7Md USD | 28.3x | 2.5 % | 18.4 % | 5.7 % | 1.2x | 5.0 % | -15.4 % | ||
| 9 | DSV | 5.4 | 3.5 | 44.1Md USD | 42.9x | 2.5 % | 23.7 % | 3.6 % | 3.2x | 3.4 % | -10.6 % |
