Overall verdict
Neutral
6.0/10
1-year performance
+56.94%
Score breakdown
Up 56.9% over 1 year, 31% of the 52-week range.
Strongest: Profitability 7.4/10. Weakest: Growth 1.6/10.
28 analysts, target +0.3% vs the price.
FedEx Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, provides transportation, e-commerce, and business services in the United States and internationally. The company operates through two segments, Express U.S. Domestic and Express International. It provides e-commerce and digital solutions ; dataworks ; printing and shipping management, including digital printing, professional finishing, document creation, design solutions, direct mail, signs and graphics, custom-branded boxes, copying, computer rental, Wi-Fi, corporate print solutions, shredding, U.S. passport processing and renewal, and digital notarization ;
packing services, as well as packing supplies and boxes ; document and business services ; and retail access for package transportation. In addition, the company offers logistics services, air and ocean cargo transportation, specialty transportation, customs brokerage, trade management tools and data, and door-to-door solutions ; and third party logistics and supply chain management solutions, such as inbound logistics, warehousing and distribution, fulfillment, contract packaging and product configuration, systems integration, returns process and disposition, test, repair, refurbishment, and product liquidation. Further, it provides sales, marketing, administrative, information technology, and back-office support services. FedEx Corporation was founded in 1971 and is headquartered in Memphis, Tennessee.
Sector
Industrials
Industry
Air Freight and Logistics
Primary listing
Nyse
United States
CEO
Rajesh Subramaniam
Founded
1971
Employees
530 000
Revenue / employee
178 717 USD
Next earnings
—
Institutional holders
- BlackRock, Inc.8.54%
- VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC5.82%
- STATE STREET CORP4.13%
- PRIMECAP MANAGEMENT CO/CA/3.35%
- VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC3.02%
- Dodge & Cox2.97%
- FRANKLIN RESOURCES INC2.20%
- GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC2.13%
- FMR LLC2.07%
- Other institutions43.82%
- Rest of the register21.95%
1954 13F filings as of June 30, 2026: US managers above $100M, filed up to 45 days after quarter end. No insiders, no retail. A share on loan is declared by its lender and by whoever bought it from the short seller, so the total can exceed 100%.
Research uses the underlying stock’s market history. The purchase quote is calculated separately when you review your order.
52-week high
413.87 USD
52-week low
224.61 USD
1-year performance
56.94%
Rising
Year-to-date performance
25.29%
Rising
Drawdown
-31.55%
Major drawdown
Position in the 52-week range
31% of range
Against the world ETF
Over 17 years, from September 2009 to August 2026, the share did not do better than the world ETF once risk is accounted for. It earned more, but shaking 2.3 times harder: for the risk taken, the ETF paid better.
10,000 € placed at the end of September 2009 are worth today
| FedEx | 82 779 € |
| World ETF | 74 620 € |
| S&P 500 | 123 025 € |
| Risk-free placement | 11 288 € |
The risk
- Shaking:the share moves 2.3 times as much as the world ETF.
- Worst fall:-63 % between June 2018 and March 2020. 10,000 € placed at the top fell to 3 672 €. The world ETF, at worst: -34 %. Back to its high in 7 months.
FedEx earned more than the world ETF since 2009
Value of 10,000 euros placed at the end of September 2009, dividends reinvested, in euros
- FedEx: 82 779 €
- World ETF: 74 620 €
- S&P 500: 123 025 €
- Risk-free placement: 11 288 €
Based on past performance. This is not a recommendation.
Range: 397.93 USD - 427.14 USD (comparables only)
The price implies growth of -0.18% per year; the company grows at -1.01%.
Gross margin 21.8%, net margin 4.7%, ROIC 6.8%, ROE 14.8%.
Net margin
4.67%
High
Sector 3.57%|S&P 12.97%
Gross margin
21.77%
Exceptional
Return on equity (ROE)
14.83%
Exceptional
Sector 9.95%|S&P 16.52%
Return on invested capital (ROIC)
6.76%
Fair
Free cash flow margin (FCF)
5.40%
High
Profit-to-cash conversion (FCF conversion)
1.16x
High
Margin stability
1.7 pts
Very steady
Revenue to net income
Growth
1.6/10Revenue up 12.5% over 1 year, 2.5% a year over 5, EPS -1.0% a year over 5.
Revenue (trailing 12 months)
94.7Md USD
Revenue growth (1y)
12.54%
Solid
Revenue growth (3y)
5.06%
Moderate
EPS growth (1y)
-3.63%
Declining
EPS CAGR (5y)
-1.01%
Declining
EPS revisions (3 months)
-3.46%
Revised down
Valuation
6.8/10P/E 15.3x, forward P/E 16.2x, EV/EBITDA 8.0x, PEG 1.61. The multiple sits in the 43th percentile of its own 5-year history.
P/E (TTM)
15.3x
Fair
Sector 19.0x|S&P 23.0x
Forward P/E
16.2x
Fair
EV / EBITDA
8.0x
Fair
Sector 10.1x|S&P 14.5x
PEG
1.61
Expensive
Sector 1.01|S&P 0.86
Fair value (reverse DCF)
412.54 USD
Deeply undervalued
P/E vs its own 5-year history
among the 43% lowest valuations
In line with its history
Market cap
69.0Md USD
Financial strength
3.3/10Cash covers 31.5% of the debt, net debt/EBITDA 2.7x.
Net debt / EBITDA
2.7x
Stretched
Gearing (net debt / equity)
92.89%
Tight
Cash
13.5Md USD
Cash / market cap
19.64%
Very solid
Cash / total debt
31.55%
Solid
Interest coverage
5.6x
Solid
Net debt
29.4Md USD
Equity
31.6Md USD
Closed daily candles, 2 years
Last close on September 24, 2026: 279.54 USD
- MM20311.00
- MM50316.62
- MM200337.70
- RSI 1423.6
Top panel: closed candles, 20, 50 and 200-day moving averages, with volume in grey. Bottom panel: 14-day RSI with dashed 30 and 70 levels.
200-day average slope, 1 month
+1.40%
200-day average slope, 3 months
+6.79%
50-day average slope, 1 month
-0.91%
Price structure
Lower lows
Bullish RSI divergence
No
20-day volatility
1.50 % per day
Volatility change
-34.12%
Forecasts by fiscal year
| Fiscal year | EPS | Normalised EPS | Revenue | EBITDA | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 17.53 (6) | 17.72 (9) | 91 225 (5) | 9 712 (7) | 4 176 (5) |
| 2027 | 20.37 (1) | 19.55 (7) | 91 355 (6) | 10 487 (6) | 4 789 (9) |
Amounts in millions of USD, EPS in USD per share. In brackets, the number of analysts. Consensus as of September 9, 2026.
Same sub-industry: 91 companies behind the medians.
| # | Company | Code | Country | Overall / 10 | Fundamentals / 10 | Mkt cap | P/E | Net margin | Revenue growth | ROIC | Net debt / EBITDA | FCF yield | 1-year perf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ZTO | 8.3 | 9.4 | 14.7Md USD | 10.7x | 19.0 % | 30.7 % | 14.8 % | -1.1x | — | 3.8 % | ||
| 2 | UPS | 6.6 | 6.7 | 81.5Md USD | 17.8x | 5.1 % | 7.7 % | 10.7 % | 1.9x | 6.7 % | 9.2 % | ||
| 3 | EXPD | 6.5 | 6.8 | 24.4Md USD | 27.4x | 7.6 % | 32.1 % | 35.1 % | -0.7x | 3.8 % | 51.8 % | ||
| 4 | DHL | 6.4 | 6.5 | 73.0Md USD | 17.7x | 4.4 % | 12.8 % | 8.6 % | 2.3x | 9.7 % | 50.1 % | ||
| 5 | 002352 | 6.2 | 6.2 | 22.0Md USD | 13.7x | 3.4 % | 5.7 % | 8.4 % | 0.4x | 10.2 % | -23.8 % | ||
| 6 | FDX | 6.0 | 5.3 | 69.0Md USD | 15.3x | 4.7 % | 12.5 % | 6.8 % | 2.7x | 7.4 % | 56.9 % | ||
| 7 | CHRW | 5.9 | 5.1 | 17.5Md USD | 28.6x | 3.7 % | 19.3 % | 19.5 % | 1.4x | 3.8 % | 8.5 % | ||
| 8 | 1519 | 5.8 | 6.3 | 10.7Md USD | 28.3x | 2.5 % | 18.4 % | 5.7 % | 1.2x | 5.0 % | -15.4 % | ||
| 9 | DSV | 5.4 | 3.5 | 44.1Md USD | 42.9x | 2.5 % | 23.7 % | 3.6 % | 3.2x | 3.4 % | -10.6 % |
