Overall verdict
Buy
6.5/10
1-year performance
-4.36%
Score breakdown
Down 4.4% over 1 year, 74% of the 52-week range.
Strongest: Profitability 8.8/10. Weakest: Valuation 3.0/10.
40 analysts, target +0.2% vs the price.
Mastercard Incorporated, a technology company, provides transaction processing and other payment-related products and services in the United States and internationally. The company offers products and services for account holders, merchants, financial institutions, digital partners, businesses, governments, and other organizations, such as programs that enable issuers to provide consumers with credits to defer payments ;
payment products and solutions that allow its customers to access funds in deposit and other accounts ; prepaid programs services ; consumer bill payment services ; and commercial credit, debit, and prepaid payment products and solutions. It also provides solutions that enable businesses or governments to make payments to businesses, including Virtual Card Number, which is generated dynamically from an existing account and leverages the credit limit of the funding account ;
and a platform to optimize supplier payment enablement campaigns for financial institutions. In addition, the company offers Mastercard Move, which partners with digital messaging and payment platforms to enable consumers to send money directly within applications to other consumers; and partners with central banks, fintechs, and financial institutions, as well as enables various cross-border payment flows.
Further, it provides security solutions ; marketing, personalization, and issuer and merchant loyalty services ; business and operational intelligence, advanced analytics and AI, consulting and agentic solutions, and payments and portfolio optimization ; digital and authentication ; processing and gateway solutions ; and other solutions. The company offers payment solutions and services under the MasterCard, Maestro, and Cirrus names. Mastercard Incorporated was founded in 1966 and is headquartered in Purchase, New York.
Sector
Financials
Industry
Financial Services
Primary listing
Nyse
United States
CEO
Michael Miebach
Founded
1966
Employees
39 800
Revenue / employee
825 025 USD
Next earnings
October 29, 2026 (estimated)
Institutional holders
- BlackRock, Inc.7.66%
- MASTERCARD FOUNDATION ASSET MANAGEMENT CORP6.96%
- VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC6.01%
- STATE STREET CORP4.27%
- JPMORGAN CHASE & CO3.26%
- FMR LLC2.75%
- GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC2.48%
- VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC2.21%
- PRICE T ROWE ASSOCIATES INC /MD/2.14%
- Other institutions51.28%
- Rest of the register10.98%
3607 13F filings as of June 30, 2026: US managers above $100M, filed up to 45 days after quarter end. No insiders, no retail. A share on loan is declared by its lender and by whoever bought it from the short seller, so the total can exceed 100%.
Research uses the underlying stock’s market history. The purchase quote is calculated separately when you review your order.
52-week high
601.23 USD
52-week low
464.52 USD
1-year performance
-4.36%
Declining
Year-to-date performance
-1.89%
Declining
Drawdown
-5.86%
Mild pullback
Position in the 52-week range
74% of range
Against the world ETF
Over 17 years, from September 2009 to August 2026, the share did better than the world ETF once risk is accounted for.
10,000 € placed at the end of September 2009 are worth today
| Mastercard | 400 788 € |
| World ETF | 74 620 € |
| S&P 500 | 123 025 € |
| Risk-free placement | 11 288 € |
The risk
- Shaking:the share moves 1.7 times as much as the world ETF.
- Worst fall:-41 % between February 2020 and March 2020. 10,000 € placed at the top fell to 5 919 €. The world ETF, at worst: -34 %. Back to its high in 12 months.
Mastercard earned 5 times as much as the world ETF since 2009
Value of 10,000 euros placed at the end of September 2009, dividends reinvested, in euros
- Mastercard: 400 788 €
- World ETF: 74 620 €
- S&P 500: 123 025 €
- Risk-free placement: 11 288 €
Based on past performance. This is not a recommendation.
Range: 346.96 USD - 418.85 USD (comparables only)
The price implies growth of 10.19% per year; the company grows at 20.99%.
Gross margin 96.6%, net margin 46.3%, ROIC 59.5%, ROE 241.5%.
Net margin
46.27%
Exceptional
Sector 7.79%|S&P 12.97%
Gross margin
96.60%
Exceptional
Return on equity (ROE)
241.49%
Exceptional
Sector 15.35%|S&P 16.52%
Return on invested capital (ROIC)
59.53%
Exceptional
Free cash flow margin (FCF)
46.93%
Exceptional
Profit-to-cash conversion (FCF conversion)
1.01x
Fair
Margin stability
0.6 pts
Very steady
Revenue to net income
Growth
6.4/10Revenue up 13.8% over 1 year, 16.5% a year over 5, EPS 21.0% a year over 5.
Revenue (trailing 12 months)
35.1Md USD
Revenue growth (1y)
13.79%
Solid
Revenue growth (3y)
47.77%
Solid
EPS growth (1y)
22.05%
Solid
EPS CAGR (5y)
20.99%
Fair
EPS revisions (3 months)
1.41%
Revised up
Valuation
3.0/10P/E 31.1x, forward P/E 28.9x, EV/EBITDA 23.3x, PEG 1.48. The multiple sits in the 13th percentile of its own 5-year history.
P/E (TTM)
31.1x
Expensive
Sector 22.9x|S&P 23.0x
Forward P/E
28.9x
Very expensive
EV / EBITDA
23.3x
Very expensive
Sector 10.9x|S&P 14.5x
PEG
1.48
Fair
Sector 0.71|S&P 0.86
Fair value (reverse DCF)
382.90 USD
Deeply overvalued
P/E vs its own 5-year history
among the 13% lowest valuations
Far cheaper than usual
Market cap
490Md USD
Financial strength
7.6/10Cash covers 49.1% of the debt, net debt/EBITDA 0.4x.
Net debt / EBITDA
0.4x
Very solid
Gearing (net debt / equity)
223.80%
Stretched
Cash
12.1Md USD
Cash / market cap
2.47%
Stretched
Cash / total debt
49.09%
Solid
Interest coverage
27.4x
Very solid
Net debt
12.5Md USD
Equity
5.6Md USD
Closed daily candles, 2 years
Last close on September 24, 2026: 566.08 USD
- MM20573.97
- MM50568.50
- MM200532.01
- RSI 1447.3
Top panel: closed candles, 20, 50 and 200-day moving averages, with volume in grey. Bottom panel: 14-day RSI with dashed 30 and 70 levels.
200-day average slope, 1 month
+0.59%
200-day average slope, 3 months
-0.15%
50-day average slope, 1 month
+4.86%
Price structure
higher-low
Bullish RSI divergence
No
20-day volatility
0.93 % per day
Volatility change
-34.06%
Forecasts by fiscal year
| Fiscal year | EPS | Normalised EPS | Revenue | EBITDA | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 19.55 (20) | 19.93 (37) | 37 260 (37) | 23 584 (24) | 17 235 (18) |
| 2027 | 22.95 (22) | 23.02 (38) | 41 958 (36) | 26 660 (24) | 19 585 (18) |
Amounts in millions of USD, EPS in USD per share. In brackets, the number of analysts. Consensus as of September 23, 2026.
Same sub-industry: 62 companies behind the medians.
| # | Company | Code | Country | Overall / 10 | Fundamentals / 10 | Mkt cap | P/E | Net margin | Revenue growth | ROIC | Net debt / EBITDA | FCF yield | 1-year perf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CPAY | 6.9 | 6.1 | 25.9Md USD | 24.0x | 22.6 % | 21.5 % | 11.7 % | 0.5x | 6.3 % | 34.2 % | ||
| 2 | ADYEN | 6.7 | 6.8 | 31.0Md USD | 24.2x | 39.1 % | 18.3 % | 20.3 % | -8.5x | 1.9 % | -38.5 % | ||
| 3 | V | 6.7 | 5.6 | 675Md USD | 31.0x | 50.3 % | 14.4 % | 39.2 % | 0.1x | 3.1 % | 8.5 % | ||
| 4 | MA | 6.5 | 6.0 | 490Md USD | 31.1x | 46.3 % | 13.8 % | 59.5 % | 0.4x | 3.4 % | -4.4 % | ||
| 5 | PYPL | 6.5 | 7.4 | 44.9Md USD | 9.9x | 14.3 % | 3.8 % | 15.4 % | 0.2x | 14.7 % | -22.2 % | ||
| 6 | XYZ | 6.2 | 4.5 | 44.9Md USD | 133.0x | 1.4 % | 9.3 % | 1.3 % | 0.2x | 8.7 % | 0.7 % | ||
| 7 | AFRM | 6.1 | 5.7 | 23.0Md USD | 12.3x | 48.9 % | 33.5 % | 15.1 % | 3.4x | 4.3 % | -14.9 % | ||
| 8 | GPN | 5.5 | 4.4 | 22.2Md USD | 26.4x | 4.9 % | 68.6 % | 1.2 % | 3.6x | 3.7 % | -1.1 % | ||
| 9 | FISV | 5.4 | 5.8 | 24.4Md USD | 8.8x | 13.4 % | -4.1 % | 5.2 % | 3.3x | 16.2 % | -64.8 % |
