Overall verdict
Neutral
6.4/10
1-year performance
+2.06%
Score breakdown
Up 2.1% over 1 year, 91% of the 52-week range.
Strongest: Profitability 8.8/10. Weakest: Valuation 3.0/10.
40 analysts, target +0.1% vs the price.
Mastercard Incorporated, a technology company, provides transaction processing and other payment-related products and services in the United States and internationally. The company offers products and services for account holders, merchants, financial institutions, digital partners, businesses, governments, and other organizations, such as programs that enable issuers to provide consumers with credits to defer payments ;
payment products and solutions that allow its customers to access funds in deposit and other accounts ; prepaid programs services ; consumer bill payment services ; and commercial credit, debit, and prepaid payment products and solutions. It also provides solutions that enable businesses or governments to make payments to businesses, including Virtual Card Number, which is generated dynamically from an existing account and leverages the credit limit of the funding account ;
and a platform to optimize supplier payment enablement campaigns for financial institutions. In addition, the company offers Mastercard Move, which partners with digital messaging and payment platforms to enable consumers to send money directly within applications to other consumers; and partners with central banks, fintechs, and financial institutions, as well as enables various cross-border payment flows.
Further, it provides security solutions ; marketing, personalization, and issuer and merchant loyalty services ; business and operational intelligence, advanced analytics and AI, consulting and agentic solutions, and payments and portfolio optimization ; digital and authentication ; processing and gateway solutions ; and other solutions. The company offers payment solutions and services under the MasterCard, Maestro, and Cirrus names. Mastercard Incorporated was founded in 1966 and is headquartered in Purchase, New York.
Sector
Financials
Industry
Financial Services
Primary listing
Nyse
United States
CEO
Michael Miebach
Founded
1966
Employees
39 800
Revenue / employee
825 025 USD
Next earnings
October 29, 2026 (Q3 2026)
Institutional holders
- BlackRock, Inc.7.58%
- MASTERCARD FOUNDATION ASSET MANAGEMENT CORP6.89%
- VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC5.95%
- STATE STREET CORP4.22%
- JPMORGAN CHASE & CO3.22%
- FMR LLC2.72%
- GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC2.46%
- VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC2.19%
- PRICE T ROWE ASSOCIATES INC /MD/2.11%
- Other institutions50.73%
- Rest of the register11.93%
3607 13F filings as of June 30, 2026: US managers above $100M, filed up to 45 days after quarter end. No insiders, no retail. A share on loan is declared by its lender and by whoever bought it from the short seller, so the total can exceed 100%.
Research uses the underlying stock’s market history. The purchase quote is calculated separately when you review your order.
52-week high
601.23 USD
52-week low
464.52 USD
1-year performance
2.06%
Rising
Year-to-date performance
3.23%
Rising
Drawdown
-2.01%
Near its high
Position in the 52-week range
91% of range
Against the world ETF
Over 17 years, from September 2009 to September 2026, the share did better than the world ETF once risk is accounted for.
$10,000 placed at the end of September 2009 are worth today
| Mastercard | $298,344 |
| World ETF | $60,004 |
| S&P 500 | $97,541 |
| Risk-free placement | $12,831 |
The risk
- Shaking:the share moves 1.7 times as much as the world ETF.
- Worst fall:-41 % between February 2020 and March 2020. $10,000 placed at the top fell to $5,900. The world ETF, at worst: -34 %. Back to its high in 5 months.
Mastercard earned 5 times as much as the world ETF since 2009
Value of $10,000 placed at the end of September 2009, dividends reinvested, in dollars
- Mastercard: $298,344
- World ETF: $60,004
- S&P 500: $97,541
- Risk-free placement: $12,831
Based on past performance. This is not a recommendation.
Range: 350.60 USD - 426.97 USD (comparables only)
The price implies growth of 10.85% per year; the company grows at 20.99%.
Gross margin 96.6%, net margin 46.3%, ROIC 59.5%, ROE 241.5%.
Net margin
46.27%
Exceptional
Sector 9.00%|S&P 13.13%
Gross margin
96.60%
Exceptional
Return on equity (ROE)
241.49%
Exceptional
Sector 18.78%|S&P 16.52%
Return on invested capital (ROIC)
59.53%
Exceptional
Free cash flow margin (FCF)
46.93%
Exceptional
Profit-to-cash conversion (FCF conversion)
1.01x
Fair
Margin stability
4.8 pts
Steady
Revenue to net income
Growth
6.4/10Revenue up 13.8% over 1 year, 16.5% a year over 5, EPS 21.0% a year over 5.
Revenue (trailing 12 months)
35.1Md USD
Revenue growth (1y)
13.79%
Solid
Revenue growth (3y)
47.77%
Solid
EPS growth (1y)
22.05%
Solid
EPS CAGR (5y)
20.99%
Fair
EPS revisions (3 months)
1.37%
Revised up
Valuation
3.0/10P/E 32.4x, forward P/E 30.1x, EV/EBITDA 24.4x, PEG 1.54. The multiple sits in the 21th percentile of its own 5-year history.
P/E (TTM)
32.4x
Expensive
Sector 21.8x|S&P 23.5x
Forward P/E
30.1x
Very expensive
EV / EBITDA
24.4x
Very expensive
Sector 11.6x|S&P 14.7x
PEG
1.54
Expensive
Sector 0.63|S&P 0.87
Fair value (reverse DCF)
388.79 USD
Deeply overvalued
P/E vs its own 5-year history
among the 21% lowest valuations
Cheaper than usual
Market cap
516Md USD
Financial strength
7.6/10Cash covers 49.1% of the debt, net debt/EBITDA 0.4x.
Net debt / EBITDA
0.4x
Very solid
Gearing (net debt / equity)
223.80%
Stretched
Cash
12.1Md USD
Cash / market cap
2.34%
Stretched
Cash / total debt
49.09%
Solid
Interest coverage
27.4x
Very solid
Net debt
12.5Md USD
Equity
5.6Md USD
Closed daily candles, 2 years
Last close on October 9, 2026: 589.14 USD
- MM20565.72
- MM50572.11
- MM200532.26
- RSI 1464.9
Top panel: closed candles, 20, 50 and 200-day moving averages, with volume in grey. Bottom panel: 14-day RSI with dashed 30 and 70 levels.
200-day average slope, 1 month
+0.25%
200-day average slope, 3 months
+0.53%
50-day average slope, 1 month
+1.92%
Price structure
higher-low
Bullish RSI divergence
No
20-day volatility
1.13 % per day
Volatility change
-16.94%
Forecasts by fiscal year
| Fiscal year | EPS | Normalised EPS | Revenue | EBITDA | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 19.55 (20) | 19.93 (37) | 37 260 (37) | 23 584 (24) | 17 235 (18) |
| 2027 | 22.95 (22) | 23.03 (38) | 41 961 (36) | 26 660 (24) | 19 585 (18) |
Amounts in millions of USD, EPS in USD per share. In brackets, the number of analysts. Consensus as of October 8, 2026.
Same sub-industry: 67 companies behind the medians.
| # | Company | Code | Country | Overall / 10 | Fundamentals / 10 | Mkt cap | P/E | Net margin | Revenue growth | ROIC | Net debt / EBITDA | FCF yield | 1-year perf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CPAY | 6.8 | 5.9 | 26.1Md USD | 24.2x | 22.6 % | 21.5 % | 11.7 % | 0.5x | 6.3 % | 35.7 % | ||
| 2 | ADYEN | 6.5 | 6.5 | 30.6Md USD | 24.9x | 39.1 % | 18.3 % | 20.3 % | -8.5x | 1.9 % | -40.9 % | ||
| 3 | MA | 6.4 | 5.9 | 516Md USD | 32.4x | 46.3 % | 13.8 % | 59.5 % | 0.4x | 3.2 % | 2.1 % | ||
| 4 | PYPL | 6.4 | 7.2 | 47.5Md USD | 10.5x | 14.3 % | 3.8 % | 15.4 % | 0.2x | 13.9 % | -28.1 % | ||
| 5 | XYZ | 6.1 | 4.3 | 46.4Md USD | 137.5x | 1.4 % | 9.3 % | 1.3 % | 0.2x | 8.4 % | -4.7 % | ||
| 6 | V | 6.1 | 5.4 | 720Md USD | 33.1x | 50.3 % | 14.4 % | 39.2 % | 0.1x | 2.9 % | 9.7 % | ||
| 7 | AFRM | 5.8 | 5.6 | 27.2Md USD | 14.6x | 48.9 % | 33.5 % | 15.1 % | 3.4x | 3.6 % | 6.2 % | ||
| 8 | FISV | 5.4 | 5.8 | 24.3Md USD | 8.8x | 13.4 % | -4.1 % | 5.2 % | 3.3x | 16.3 % | -64.0 % | ||
| 9 | GPN | 5.0 | 4.6 | 21.8Md USD | 25.8x | 4.9 % | 68.6 % | 1.2 % | 3.6x | 3.8 % | -7.5 % |
