Overall verdict
Buy
6.9/10
1-year performance
-23.60%
Score breakdown
Down 23.6% over 1 year, 47% of the 52-week range.
Strongest: Financial strength 10.0/10. Weakest: Shareholder return 2.5/10.
30 analysts, target +0.3% vs the price.
Toast, Inc. operates a cloud-based digital technology platform for the restaurant industry in the United States, Ireland, India, and internationally. It offers a platform of software-as-a-service for restaurant operations and point of sale, such as Toast POS; Toast IQ, a conversational artificial intelligence; vendor management; multi-location management; kitchen display system; online ordering and delivery.
It offers payroll and team management ; inventory and supply chain tools ; xtraCHEF by toast, a set of back-office tools for restaurants, including accounts payable automation, inventory management, ingredient price tracking, and recipe costing ; financial technology solutions, including integrated payment processing, and restaurant-grade hardware. The company was formerly known as Opti Systems, Inc. and changed its name to Toast, Inc. in May 2012. Toast, Inc. was incorporated in 2011 and is headquartered in Boston, Massachusetts.
Sector
Financials
Industry
Financial Services
Primary listing
Nyse
United States
CEO
Aman Narang
Founded
2011
Employees
6 500
Revenue / employee
946 615 USD
Next earnings
November 6, 2026 (estimated)
Institutional holders
- BlackRock, Inc.8.57%
- FMR LLC5.90%
- Capital International Investors4.70%
- VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC3.88%
- VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC3.85%
- CALIFORNIA STATE TEACHERS RETIREMENT SYSTEM3.15%
- STATE STREET CORP2.97%
- JPMORGAN CHASE & CO2.96%
- PRINCIPAL FINANCIAL GROUP INC2.67%
- Other institutions49.02%
- Rest of the register12.32%
769 13F filings as of June 30, 2026: US managers above $100M, filed up to 45 days after quarter end. No insiders, no retail. A share on loan is declared by its lender and by whoever bought it from the short seller, so the total can exceed 100%.
Research uses the underlying stock’s market history. The purchase quote is calculated separately when you review your order.
52-week high
39.73 USD
52-week low
22.26 USD
1-year performance
-23.60%
Declining
Year-to-date performance
-16.66%
Declining
Drawdown
-23.32%
Marked drawdown
Position in the 52-week range
47% of range
Range: 25.00 USD - 32.82 USD (2 methods agree)
The price implies growth of 10.33% per year; the company grows at 25.00%.
Gross margin 26.7%, net margin 7.1%, ROIC 25.0%, ROE 25.2%.
Net margin
7.14%
Fair
Sector 8.24%|S&P 12.97%
Gross margin
26.68%
Low
Return on equity (ROE)
25.16%
Exceptional
Sector 15.35%|S&P 16.52%
Return on invested capital (ROIC)
25.04%
Exceptional
Free cash flow margin (FCF)
8.47%
Low
Profit-to-cash conversion (FCF conversion)
1.19x
Fair
Margin stability
14.3 pts
Very uneven
Revenue to net income
Growth
8.3/10Revenue up 23.1% over 1 year, 49.5% a year over 5.
Revenue (trailing 12 months)
6.8Md USD
Revenue growth (1y)
23.10%
Strong
Revenue growth (3y)
125.30%
Hyper-growth
EPS growth (1y)
97.43%
Hyper-growth
EPS CAGR (5y)
—
EPS revisions (3 months)
2.81%
Revised up
Valuation
4.7/10P/E 38.9x, forward P/E 31.8x, EV/EBITDA 32.4x, PEG 0.30. The multiple sits in the 27th percentile of its own 5-year history.
P/E (TTM)
38.9x
Expensive
Sector 22.9x|S&P 23.0x
Forward P/E
31.8x
Expensive
EV / EBITDA
32.4x
Very expensive
Sector 10.9x|S&P 14.5x
PEG
0.30
Growth unpriced
Sector 0.84|S&P 0.86
Fair value (reverse DCF)
26.51 USD
Overvalued
P/E vs its own 5-year history
among the 27% lowest valuations
Cheaper than usual
Market cap
17.3Md USD
Financial strength
10.0/10net debt/EBITDA -5.3x.
Net debt / EBITDA
-5.3x
Net cash
Gearing (net debt / equity)
-83.77%
Net cash
Cash
1.7Md USD
Cash / market cap
9.89%
Solid
Interest coverage
37.0x
Very solid
Net debt
-1.7Md USD
Equity
2.0Md USD
Closed daily candles, 2 years
Last close on September 24, 2026: 30.11 USD
- MM2032.29
- MM5032.94
- MM20029.93
- RSI 1435.6
Top panel: closed candles, 20, 50 and 200-day moving averages, with volume in grey. Bottom panel: 14-day RSI with dashed 30 and 70 levels.
200-day average slope, 1 month
-0.90%
200-day average slope, 3 months
-4.79%
50-day average slope, 1 month
+6.89%
Price structure
higher-low
Bullish RSI divergence
No
20-day volatility
2.00 % per day
Volatility change
-27.22%
Forecasts by fiscal year
| Fiscal year | EPS | Normalised EPS | Revenue | EBITDA | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 0.96 (18) | 1.39 (17) | 7 469 (27) | 824 (26) | 567 (19) |
| 2027 | 1.22 (19) | 1.73 (17) | 8 844 (27) | 1 047 (26) | 716 (19) |
Amounts in millions of USD, EPS in USD per share. In brackets, the number of analysts. Consensus as of September 25, 2026.
Same sub-industry: 62 companies behind the medians.
| # | Company | Code | Country | Overall / 10 | Fundamentals / 10 | Mkt cap | P/E | Net margin | Revenue growth | ROIC | Net debt / EBITDA | FCF yield | 1-year perf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CPAY | 6.9 | 6.1 | 25.9Md USD | 24.0x | 22.6 % | 21.5 % | 11.7 % | 0.5x | 6.3 % | 34.2 % | ||
| 2 | TOST | 6.9 | 6.7 | 17.3Md USD | 38.9x | 7.1 % | 23.1 % | 25.0 % | -5.3x | 3.3 % | -23.6 % | ||
| 3 | ADYEN | 6.7 | 6.8 | 31.0Md USD | 24.2x | 39.1 % | 18.3 % | 20.3 % | -8.5x | 1.9 % | -38.5 % | ||
| 4 | V | 6.7 | 5.6 | 675Md USD | 31.0x | 50.3 % | 14.4 % | 39.2 % | 0.1x | 3.1 % | 8.5 % | ||
| 5 | PYPL | 6.4 | 7.1 | 44.9Md USD | 9.9x | 14.3 % | 3.8 % | 15.4 % | 0.2x | 14.7 % | -22.2 % | ||
| 6 | MA | 6.3 | 6.0 | 490Md USD | 30.8x | 46.3 % | 13.8 % | 59.5 % | 0.4x | 3.4 % | -0.9 % | ||
| 7 | XYZ | 6.2 | 4.5 | 44.9Md USD | 133.0x | 1.4 % | 9.3 % | 1.3 % | 0.2x | 8.7 % | 0.7 % | ||
| 8 | AFRM | 6.1 | 5.7 | 23.0Md USD | 12.3x | 48.9 % | 33.5 % | 15.1 % | 3.4x | 4.3 % | -14.9 % | ||
| 9 | FISV | 5.4 | 5.8 | 24.4Md USD | 8.8x | 13.4 % | -4.1 % | 5.2 % | 3.3x | 16.2 % | -64.8 % |
