Overall verdict
Buy
6.7/10
1-year performance
-22.56%
Score breakdown
Down 22.6% over 1 year, 40% of the 52-week range.
Strongest: Financial strength 9.3/10. Weakest: Growth 2.0/10.
42 analysts, target +0.0% vs the price.
PayPal Holdings, Inc. operates a technology platform that enables digital payments for merchants and consumers worldwide. The company operates a two-sided network at scale that connects merchants and consumers that enables its customers to connect, transact, and send and receive payments through online and in person, as well as transfer and withdraw funds using various funding sources, such as bank accounts, PayPal or Venmo account balance, consumer credit and debit products, credit and debit cards, and cryptocurrencies, as well as other stored value products, including gift cards and eligible rewards.
It provides payment solutions under the PayPal, PayPal Credit, Braintree, Venmo, Xoom, Hyperwallet, Honey, and Paidy names. The company was founded in 1998 and is headquartered in San Jose, California.
Sector
Financials
Industry
Financial Services
Primary listing
Nasdaq
United States
CEO
Enrique Lores
Founded
1998
Employees
23 800
Revenue / employee
1.4M USD
Next earnings
October 27, 2026 (Q3 2026)
Institutional holders
- BlackRock, Inc.9.13%
- CALIFORNIA STATE TEACHERS RETIREMENT SYSTEM6.81%
- VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC6.53%
- STATE STREET CORP5.02%
- Invesco Ltd.4.07%
- GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC3.58%
- Comprehensive Financial Management LLC2.92%
- VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC2.76%
- BANK OF AMERICA CORP /DE/2.75%
- Other institutions42.51%
- Rest of the register13.94%
1387 13F filings as of June 30, 2026: US managers above $100M, filed up to 45 days after quarter end. No insiders, no retail. A share on loan is declared by its lender and by whoever bought it from the short seller, so the total can exceed 100%.
Research uses the underlying stock’s market history. The purchase quote is calculated separately when you review your order.
52-week high
79.22 USD
52-week low
38.46 USD
1-year performance
-22.56%
Declining
Year-to-date performance
-10.50%
Declining
Drawdown
-30.97%
Major drawdown
Position in the 52-week range
40% of range
Against the world ETF
Over 11 years, from July 2015 to August 2026, the share did not do better than the world ETF once risk is accounted for. It earned less, while shaking 2.6 times harder.
10,000 € placed at the end of July 2015 are worth today
| PayPal Holdings | 13 020 € |
| World ETF | 32 280 € |
| S&P 500 | 41 456 € |
| Risk-free placement | 10 911 € |
The risk
- Shaking:the share moves 2.6 times as much as the world ETF.
- Worst fall:-87 % between July 2021 and February 2026. 10,000 € placed at the top fell to 1 258 €. The world ETF, at worst: -34 %. The share has not returned to its high yet.
PayPal Holdings earned less than the world ETF since 2015
Value of 10,000 euros placed at the end of July 2015, dividends reinvested, in euros
- PayPal Holdings: 13 020 €
- World ETF: 32 280 €
- S&P 500: 41 456 €
- Risk-free placement: 10 911 €
Based on past performance. This is not a recommendation.
Range: 116.54 USD - 121.94 USD (2 methods agree)
The price implies growth of -9.46% per year; the company grows at 8.84%.
Gross margin 40.9%, net margin 14.3%, ROIC 15.4%, ROE 24.5%.
Net margin
14.27%
Exceptional
Sector 7.79%|S&P 12.97%
Gross margin
40.86%
Fair
Return on equity (ROE)
24.50%
Exceptional
Sector 15.35%|S&P 16.52%
Return on invested capital (ROIC)
15.45%
Exceptional
Free cash flow margin (FCF)
19.18%
Fair
Profit-to-cash conversion (FCF conversion)
1.34x
High
Margin stability
2.6 pts
Steady
Revenue to net income
Growth
2.0/10Revenue up 3.8% over 1 year, 9.2% a year over 5, EPS 8.8% a year over 5.
Revenue (trailing 12 months)
34.3Md USD
Revenue growth (1y)
3.80%
Moderate
Revenue growth (3y)
23.22%
Solid
EPS growth (1y)
-3.02%
Declining
EPS CAGR (5y)
8.84%
Low
EPS revisions (3 months)
1.65%
Revised up
Valuation
8.1/10P/E 10.3x, forward P/E 10.7x, EV/EBITDA 7.1x, PEG 1.17. The multiple sits in the 10th percentile of its own 5-year history.
P/E (TTM)
10.3x
Cheap
Sector 23.8x|S&P 23.0x
Forward P/E
10.7x
Fair
EV / EBITDA
7.1x
Fair
Sector 11.4x|S&P 14.5x
PEG
1.17
Fair
Sector 1.30|S&P 0.86
Fair value (reverse DCF)
119.24 USD
Deeply undervalued
P/E vs its own 5-year history
among the 10% lowest valuations
Far cheaper than usual
Market cap
44.9Md USD
Financial strength
9.3/10Cash covers 79.2% of the debt, net debt/EBITDA 0.2x.
Net debt / EBITDA
0.2x
Very solid
Gearing (net debt / equity)
14.96%
Very solid
Cash
11.3Md USD
Cash / market cap
25.06%
Very solid
Cash / total debt
79.15%
Very solid
Interest coverage
12.9x
Very solid
Net debt
3.0Md USD
Equity
19.8Md USD
Closed daily candles, 2 years
Last close on September 24, 2026: 52.60 USD
- MM2053.78
- MM5056.83
- MM20050.48
- RSI 1440.8
Top panel: closed candles, 20, 50 and 200-day moving averages, with volume in grey. Bottom panel: 14-day RSI with dashed 30 and 70 levels.
200-day average slope, 1 month
-1.78%
200-day average slope, 3 months
-7.10%
50-day average slope, 1 month
+7.53%
Price structure
higher-low
Bullish RSI divergence
No
20-day volatility
3.35 % per day
Volatility change
+37.06%
Forecasts by fiscal year
| Fiscal year | EPS | Normalised EPS | Revenue | EBITDA | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 5.09 (26) | 5.39 (42) | 34 752 (38) | 6 759 (14) | 4 436 (26) |
| 2027 | 5.64 (26) | 5.79 (43) | 36 210 (41) | 6 707 (14) | 4 571 (25) |
Amounts in millions of USD, EPS in USD per share. In brackets, the number of analysts. Consensus as of September 24, 2026.
Same sub-industry: 62 companies behind the medians.
| # | Company | Code | Country | Overall / 10 | Fundamentals / 10 | Mkt cap | P/E | Net margin | Revenue growth | ROIC | Net debt / EBITDA | FCF yield | 1-year perf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CPAY | 6.9 | 6.0 | 25.9Md USD | 24.0x | 22.6 % | 21.5 % | 11.7 % | 0.5x | 6.3 % | 34.2 % | ||
| 2 | V | 6.8 | 5.7 | 675Md USD | 31.0x | 50.3 % | 14.4 % | 39.2 % | 0.1x | 3.1 % | 8.5 % | ||
| 3 | ADYEN | 6.7 | 6.8 | 31.0Md USD | 24.2x | 39.1 % | 18.3 % | 20.3 % | -8.5x | 1.9 % | -38.5 % | ||
| 4 | PYPL | 6.7 | 7.4 | 44.9Md USD | 10.3x | 14.3 % | 3.8 % | 15.4 % | 0.2x | 14.7 % | -22.6 % | ||
| 5 | MA | 6.3 | 6.0 | 490Md USD | 30.8x | 46.3 % | 13.8 % | 59.5 % | 0.4x | 3.4 % | -0.9 % | ||
| 6 | XYZ | 6.2 | 4.5 | 44.9Md USD | 133.0x | 1.4 % | 9.3 % | 1.3 % | 0.2x | 8.7 % | 0.7 % | ||
| 7 | AFRM | 6.1 | 5.7 | 23.0Md USD | 12.3x | 48.9 % | 33.5 % | 15.1 % | 3.4x | 4.3 % | -14.9 % | ||
| 8 | FISV | 5.5 | 5.9 | 24.4Md USD | 8.8x | 13.4 % | -4.1 % | 5.2 % | 3.3x | 16.2 % | -64.8 % | ||
| 9 | GPN | 5.5 | 4.4 | 22.2Md USD | 26.4x | 4.9 % | 68.6 % | 1.2 % | 3.6x | 3.7 % | -1.1 % |
